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    Mitch McConnell declares 'this is no time to tear down statues' in victory speech – video

    The US Senate majority leader, Mitch McConnell, has won re-election in Kentucky, despite Democrat Amy McGrath’s long-shot bid to unseat him. In a victory speech, McConnell, who won his seventh term, said: “This is no time to tear down statues of our founders and heroes. This is the time to follow their example.”
    US election 2020 live: Trump and Biden pick up several states each as polls close in Florida More

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    US election 2020 live results: Donald Trump takes on Joe Biden in race for White House

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    JOE
    BIDEN

    131

    electoral college votes

    36,902,456 votes

    DONALD
    TRUMP

    electoral college votes

    38,431,036 votes

    98

    36,902,456 votes

    38,431,036 votes

    How does the election work?

    Live coverage / Trump and Biden pick up wins as votes counted in Florida

    Updating in …

    Latest results

    The latest results will show up here.

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    Support journalism that stands for democracy, civility and truth

    At this critical time for America and the world, fact-based, independent reporting is essential. Help us deliver the high-quality news and intelligent analysis you need.

    Support the Guardian

    Key states to watch

    The race for the presidency is usually decided in a small number of key battleground states that switch party allegiance between elections.

    Democrats

    Republicans

    Florida

    29 electoral college votes

    Est. vote count
    91%

    Polls closed 2 hours ago

    Est. vote count
    91%

    Candidate
    Votes
    Percent

     
    Donald Trump
    5,617,645
    51.3%

     

     
    Joe Biden
    5,235,443
    47.8%

     

     
    Jo Jorgensen
    68,626
    0.6%

     

    Why does it matter?
    Florida has voted with the eventual winner in all but one presidential election since 1964. It is also the swing state with the largest population and the most electoral college votes.

    Pennsylvania

    20 electoral college votes

    Est. vote count
    31%

    Polls closed 2 hours ago

    Est. vote count
    31%

    Candidate
    Votes
    Percent

     
    Donald Trump
    1,075,787
    51.8%

     

     
    Joe Biden
    941,763
    45.4%

     

     
    Jo Jorgensen
    58,210
    2.8%

     

    Why does it matter?
    Pennsylvania was one of the largest states to swing to Trump in the 2016 election. He won the state by a margin of just 0.7 percentage points, turning it Republican for the first time since 1992.

    Ohio

    18 electoral college votes

    Est. vote count
    80%

    Polls closed 3 hours ago

    Est. vote count
    80%

    Candidate
    Votes
    Percent

     
    Donald Trump
    2,469,381
    52.1%

     

     
    Joe Biden
    2,207,916
    46.6%

     

     
    Jo Jorgensen
    50,398
    1.1%

     

    Why does it matter?
    Ohio is one of the largest swing states in the midwest, and it has sided with the eventual election winner for decades. Trump won the state by a margin of over eight points in 2016.

    Georgia

    16 electoral college votes

    Est. vote count
    56%

    Polls closed 3 hours ago

    Est. vote count
    56%

    Candidate
    Votes
    Percent

     
    Donald Trump
    1,546,826
    55.4%

     

     
    Joe Biden
    1,213,435
    43.4%

     

     
    Jo Jorgensen
    32,776
    1.2%

     

    Why does it matter?
    Long a Republican stronghold, southern Georgia has recently become more of a battleground state due to its growing black electorate. In the 2018 governor’s election, Republican Brian Kemp defeated Democrat Stacey Abrams by just 1.4 percentage points.

    Michigan

    16 electoral college votes

    Est. vote count
    34%

    Polls closed an hour ago

    Est. vote count
    34%

    Candidate
    Votes
    Percent

     
    Donald Trump
    1,042,125
    55.4%

     

     
    Joe Biden
    805,733
    42.9%

     

     
    Jo Jorgensen
    23,969
    1.3%

     

    Why does it matter?
    Trump won Michigan by just 0.2 percentage points in 2016 – the narrowest margin of any state. In the six elections prior, the state consistently voted Democratic.

    Arizona

    11 electoral college votes

    Est. vote count
    71%

    Polls closed an hour ago

    Est. vote count
    71%

    Candidate
    Votes
    Percent

     
    Joe Biden
    1,254,478
    53.9%

     

     
    Donald Trump
    1,042,791
    44.8%

     

     
    Jo Jorgensen
    29,385
    1.3%

     

    Why does it matter?
    Arizona last voted Democratic for President in 1996, but the state has become increasingly competitive as the Hispanic share of the electorate has grown. The Democrats managed to gain a number of seats in the 2018 midterms here.

    Wisconsin

    10 electoral college votes

    Est. vote count
    39%

    Polls closed an hour ago

    Est. vote count
    39%

    Candidate
    Votes
    Percent

     
    Donald Trump
    638,334
    51.6%

     

     
    Joe Biden
    580,660
    46.9%

     

     
    Jo Jorgensen
    14,808
    1.2%

     

    Why does it matter?
    Wisconsin sided with the Democratic candidate in all presidential elections from 1988 through 2012, although sometimes by very narrow margins. In 2016, Trump managed to flip the state despite his underdog status in the polls.

    More key states

    Who is controlling Congress?

    Americans are also electing members to the two chambers of Congress, the main law-making body of the US. Those chambers are the Senate and the House of Representatives.
    Without support in the Senate and the House, the president’s ability to enact key policies is severely limited.

    SENATE

    Democrats*

    43

    +0

    Republicans

    +0

    41

    19 of 35 races called

    * Includes 2 independents

    HOUSE

    Democrats

    74

    +0

    Republicans

    +0

    95

    169 of 435 races called

    Full Senate and House results

    How does the election work?

    The winner of the election is determined through a system called the electoral college. Each of the 50 states, plus Washington DC, is given a number of electoral college votes, adding up to a total of 538 votes. More populous states get more electoral college votes than smaller ones.

    A candidate needs to win 270 electoral college votes (50% plus one) to win the election.

    In every state except two – Maine and Nebraska – the candidate that gets the most votes wins all of the state’s electoral college votes.

    Due to these rules, a candidate can win the election without getting the most votes at the national level. This happened at the last election, in which Donald Trump won a majority of electoral college votes although more people voted for Hillary Clinton across the US.

    How are the results reported?
    The election results on this page are reported by the Associated Press (AP). AP “call” the winner in a state when they determine that the trailing candidate has no path to victory. This can happen before 100% of votes in a state have been counted.

    Estimates for the total vote in each state are also provided by AP. The numbers update throughout election night, as more data on voter turnout becomes available.

    Back to top More

  • in

    Voting proceeds smoothly across US despite fears of unrest

    Across America millions of people went to the polls amid an election campaign fraught with anxiety over the prospect of voter intimidation and the chance of civil unrest after a historically divisive election.But as polls started to close on the east coast of the US, reports from across the country reflected a day of peaceful voting with only sporadic reports of incidents of intimidation or misinformation or technological problems with voting machines.The leader of a group of 42,000 legal volunteers deployed for the election said so far there had not been “major, systemic problems or attempts to obstruct voting”.Kristen Clarke, president and executive director of the Lawyers’ Committee for Civil Rights Under Law, said early voting, voter education efforts and earlier litigation had made for “a relatively smooth election day across the country”.The committee operates the Election Protection hotline, which provides information and assistance to Americans who encounter problems while voting. Clarke said there was an increase in complaints about voter intimidation and electioneering compared to past elections, but those problems were at a smaller, less intense scale than had been expected.“While we have seen these complaints, in many instances they are lone wolfs, individuals, maybe two people, but not large groups that would otherwise have a stark chilling effect on the electorate,” Clarke said. “And I think many voters this season have come out determined.”Clarke cautioned that this could be the “calm before the storm,” and that the committee was bracing for issues over whether absentee ballots were properly handled and counted in the coming days. More

  • in

    Build your own US election result: plot a Biden or Trump win

    The electoral map has shifted in 2020, amid new challenges from misinformation to mail-in ballots. Previously reliable states on both sides are now looking more competitive.
    In the interactive graphic below, you decide which way these closer states will vote, and try to pave Joe Biden or Donald Trump’s path to victory.
    Some states remain very likely to go to Biden or Trump because they were won by large margins in 2016, or they have voted the same way in several recent elections. Such states – ranked either a “solid” or “likely” win for either party, according to the Cook Political Report – have already been coloured in for Biden and Trump in the graphic below.
    A majority of 270 electoral votes out of a total of 538 is needed to win, and the remaining states are up to you. Can you take Biden to victory? Or will Trump stay in the White House?

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    Choose which way the key swing states will vote and trace Biden or Trump’s potential path to victory.

    JOE BIDEN
    BIDEN

    electoral college votes

    DONALD TRUMP
    TRUMP

    electoral college votes

    Under your scenario,
    would win the election!

    Under your scenario,
    Nobody would win the election. It’s a tie! More

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    ‘It’s not up to him’: how media outlets plan to sidestep any Trump ‘victory’ news

    Newsrooms across the United States are bracing for a potentially volatile election night, after reports suggested that Donald Trump is planning to declare “victory” on Tuesday even before results from critical battleground states have been determined.
    The president’s reported intention to make a premature – and potentially false – victory speech by the end of Tuesday night, with large numbers of mail-in ballots yet to be counted, has provoked intense journalistic debate. TV channels would be under pressure to air such an event on grounds that it is “news”, while aware that it amounted to dangerous misinformation that could stir violence across the nation and undermine the democratic process.
    Such a clash of responsibilities would amount to a heady climax in the American media’s extremely vexed relationship with Trump over the past four years.
    Were Trump to try to stage such a “victory” stunt it would chime with the relentless doubt that he has sown for months around the election, with repeated false claims that mail-in voting is riddled with fraud. His comments suggest that his aim is to create the illusion that the election is being stolen from him in states such as Pennsylvania where early results from in-person voting might favor Trump in a so-called “red mirage”, only for the balance to swing to Biden as absentee ballots are counted beyond election day.
    As Jake Tapper, chief Washington correspondent for CNN, pointed out, any premature claim of victory would be electorally meaningless, the equivalent of a football coach bragging about having won at half-time. “That’s not how it works and it’s not up to him,” Tapper said in a tweet.
    But it would still present media outlets with a classic Trump conundrum. How do you cover a presidential “victory” speech that is founded upon hot air yet has the potential to cause serious public discord?
    Vivian Schiller, a former president and CEO of National Public Radio who was also NBC News’s chief digital officer, said that news organizations have no excuse for being unprepared for such an eventuality. Headlines such as “Trump declares victory”, especially on social media, could “shape public opinion and become a weapon against truth and trust in the democratic process,” she told the Guardian.

    Schiller, who in her current role as executive director of Aspen Digital has co-written a 10-point plan for news rooms on how to cover a historically toxic election, proposed that TV channels should actively counter any Trump gambit. One technique would be to display a fixed on-screen banner reminding viewers that the votes are still being counted with no winner yet declared.
    “If Trump goes on for more than a minute or two with falsehoods, cut away from the live feed and have your reporters explain that elections are not ‘called’ by their contestants,” she said. “Explain why such a premature declaration of victory is both wrong and dangerous.”
    Jay Rosen, journalism professor at New York University, responded to the Axios story by calling on newsrooms to step up and meet the challenge. A premature Trump “victory” declaration would be the most important test yet of what he called the “fading maxim” that whatever the US president says is news.
    That maxim, Rosen said on Twitter, was “corroded beyond repair by its abuser”.
    Election night is also likely to present the social media giants with challenges, after they struggled to counter misinformation throughout the presidential election cycle.
    Late on Monday, Twitter and Facebook announced that they would flag posts from candidates who claim to have won the election before the votes have been counted.
    In Twitter’s case, a warning label on the tweet will say “Official sources called this election differently”, or that “Official sources may not have called the race when this was tweeted”. Users would still be able to quote tweet the post, but not to like or retweet it.
    The company says it will consider a result official after it has been declared by a state election official, or confirmed by two or more of a list of news outlets including Fox, CNN and the Associated Press.
    Facebook’s warning labels, applied on both Facebook and Instagram, will state that “votes are being counted. The winner of the 2020 US presidential election has not been projected.” The company has also updated its “voting information centre”, which was that “Some election results may not be available for days or weeks. This means things are happening as expected.”
    “Election officials will get the vote count right, and slower results reporting does not mean wrong or fraudulent results,” Facebook advises its users. “All Americans need to give election officials the time to do their jobs right.” More

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    Could Donald Trump refuse to accept defeat in US presidential election?

    [embedded content]
    As the US prepared for a Joe Biden or a Donald Trump victory, Americans were forced to consider an extraordinary scenario in which Trump loses, but refuses to concede.
    The president has suggested he may not accept the results of the 2020 election enough times to prompt alarm over whether he may actually be serious.
    Over the past six months Trump has repeatedly refused to commit to a peaceful transition of power, when asked, and has claimed he will only lose if the election is rigged.
    Trump displayed the same non-commitment in 2016, but this year an expectation of delays in the result gives the president more scope to claim election results can’t be trusted, or even to claim victory before enough votes are counted.
    Back in July, Trump seemed to be laying the ground for potentially repudiating the vote. In an interview with Chris Wallace on Fox News, largely remembered for Wallace confronting Trump with the “very hard” cognitive test the president claimed to have taken – the test required the sitter to identify an elephant, an alligator and a snake – Wallace asked Trump if he would accept the election results.
    “I have to see,” Trump said. “Look – I have to see. No, I’m not going to just say yes. I’m not going to say no.”
    On other occasions he was happy to bring up the question himself.
    “The only way we’re going to lose this election is if the election is rigged,” Trump told the crowd at a rally in Oshkosh, Wisconsin, in August. “Remember that. That’s the only way we’re going to lose this election.”
    The president repeated the message in a rare White House news conference in September, and during the first presidential debate a week later.
    But how real is the threat of Trump refusing to accept the results?
    Well, the circumstances of hosting an election in the midst of a pandemic make it more of a possibility than in a normal election.
    The changes to voting habits have made it easier for Trump to level baseless accusations of fraud, and even create a scenario where he could prematurely declare himself the winner.
    Record numbers of Americans have voted early, with a significant proportion doing so by mail. The increased number of mail-in ballots, in particular, could mean it takes polling workers longer to count – and announce – the results.
    As some election experts have pointed out, the US could find itself in an election week, not night. If Trump finds himself in the lead early in some states, there is a chance he could declare himself the victor, before enough votes have been counted to be certain who has won.
    The likelihood of the president finding himself in an early lead is exacerbated by the trend for Democrat votes to come in later, as votes from urban areas, which tend to be more Democratic-minded, take longer to count than those from more Republican areas. An academic study has shown how “overtime votes” – votes counted in the days after an election – have in the last 20 years shifted in favour of the Democratic candidate.
    overtime votes
    In the Florida elections for Senate and governor in 2018, both Republican candidates’ early leads shrank in the days after the vote, as mail-in ballots were counted. As Trump watched the Democratic candidates narrow the gap, he attempted to intervene.
    “The Florida Election should be called in favor of Rick Scott and Ron DeSantis in that large numbers of new ballots showed up out of nowhere, and many ballots are missing or forged,” Trump tweeted.
    “An honest vote count is no longer possible – ballots massively infected. Must go with Election Night!”
    Exploiting confusion
    The potential for confusion, which Trump could potentially exploit, is exacerbated by laws that prevent early processing of ballots. Some key swing states – including Pennsylvania and Wisconsin – are only allowed to begin opening and counting mail-in ballots on election day.
    Doing so as officials also hold an in-person election could lead to a delay in announcing results – opening the window further for a candidate to potentially, and wrongly, claim an early victory.
    Away from vote counting, Trump’s rhetoric around voting fraud could also confuse matters. The president has urged his supporters to go to the polls, and in September a group of Trump backers supporters intimidated early voters at a polling location in Fairfax, Virginia.
    There is also the threat of legal action against states, as lawyers could attempt to rule ballots, particularly mail-in ballots, illegitimate.
    Post-election litigation is normal in the US, and includes issues such as allowing a poll site to remain open for two extra hours because its machines broke down in the afternoon.
    Franita Tolson, a University of Southern California law professor, said these mistakes are more dangerous because of the president’s rhetoric about fraud.
    “We will be in a particularly vulnerable spot because the president has spent months and days talking about how the system is rife with voter fraud and it’s rigged and it’s illegitimate and all these other things,” Tolson said.
    “It’s hard to not confuse election mistakes with deliberate election irregularities.”
    Some experts, however, believe Trump’s rhetoric has encouraged early voting and that chances have actually risen that a clear result will emerge, if not on election night, then in the following days.
    And if there is a clear result, Trump’s chances of plausibly “stealing the election” – using the confusion of the pandemic as cover – vastly diminish.
    It has also been pointed out that, if lawsuits drag on past 20 January, preventing a victor from being declared, neither Trump nor Biden would be sworn in as president. In that scenario, the law is pretty clear:
    “If, by reason of death, resignation, removal from office, inability, or failure to qualify, there is neither a President nor Vice President to discharge the powers and duties of the office of President, then the Speaker of the House of Representatives shall, upon his resignation as Speaker and as Representative in Congress, act as President.”
    That would mean Nancy Pelosi, as speaker of the House, would assume the presidency – presumably not an eventuality Trump has in mind.

    The barricade scenario
    In the unlikely event that Trump, still refusing to accept his loss despite Biden having been ruled the victor, barricades himself inside the White House and physically will not leave office, it’s not immediately clear who would be in charge of removing him.
    Biden, back in June, said the military would remove the by-now-former president. He told the Daily Show: “I promise you, I’m absolutely convinced they will escort him from the White House with great dispatch.”
    The military seems to have other ideas, however.
    Gen Mark Milley, the chairman of the joint chief of staffs and the country’s top military officer, has said service members would not get involved in the transfer of power. “In the event of a dispute over some aspect of the elections, by law US courts and the US Congress are required to resolve any disputes, not the US Military,” Milley said. “We will not turn our backs on the constitution of the United States.”
    Clearly Trump would be removed somehow – at some point he surely would have to leave of his own accord – but Americans will be hoping this hypothetical does not come to pass.
    As Trump likes to say: “We’ll see what happens.”
    With additional reporting by Amanda Holpuch More

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    Biden joined by Lady Gaga as Trump hails crowd at final election rallies – video

    As the presidential election campaign drew to a close, Biden and Trump conducted their final rallies. In Pennsylvania Joe Biden welcomed Lady Gaga to the stage to perform as well as have her say on the current president. ‘Now is your chance to vote against Donald Trump, a man who believes his fame gives him the right to grab one of your daughters, or sisters, or mothers or wives by any part of their bodies.’ Elsewhere, the singer-songwriter John Legend performed and spoke passionately about his vote for Biden. In Michigan, Trump wrapped up proceedings with further digs at Biden, adding: ‘This is not the crowd of somebody who is going to lose the state of Michigan’
    Lady Gaga attacks Trump’s ‘grab’ remarks at Biden rally
    US election day 2020: Trump and Biden supporters vote – live updates More

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    The real reason Trump is terrified of losing the presidency: fear of prosecution | Samer S Shehata

    The United States is hardly an autocracy; it might be better described as a flawed democracy. Yet its president, Donald Trump, behaves a lot like an autocrat – and it’s worth remembering, as the election looms, that autocratic leaders do not like to give up their power.
    Obviously, few autocrats are willing to relinquish the benefits that accompany political office. But there is another, more important, reason they often try to retain power at almost any cost, even after losing elections or completing their terms. After two decades of researching and writing about autocratic politics in the Middle East, I call this the autocrat’s dilemma: losing power can expose autocrats to accountability, prosecution and potential jail time. As a result, autocrats are often willing to break laws, rig elections, create chaos and even use violence to retain power.
    If Trump loses the election, there may be calls to investigate and prosecute him for possible crimes involving obstruction of justice, violating the emolument clause of the constitution, and/or tax fraud, among others. Citizen Trump would face investigation without the luxury of “executive privilege” or the legal chicanery of the attorney general, William Barr, who has acted more like Trump’s personal lawyer than the nation’s top law enforcement official, to protect him. Accordingly, Trump has even more reason to lie, cheat and sow discord in order to retain office, because losing the White House could land him in court or even behind bars.
    Although special prosecutor Robert Mueller did not produce a smoking gun proving Trump conspired with Russia in the 2016 election, he clearly stated that the investigation did not exonerate Trump of wrongdoing. After the investigation, over a thousand former federal prosecutors from both parties signed a letter stating that Trump’s conduct as described in the investigation would warrant “multiple felony charges for obstruction of justice” were it not for the Office of Legal Counsel’s policy of not indicting a sitting president.
    More recent criticisms of Mueller from top aides within the investigation allege Mueller did not go far enough in exposing collusion between the Trump campaign and Russia. At the very least, there is a strong case that Trump obstructed the investigation. After he leaves office there will be vocal calls to get to the bottom of Russian election interference, his campaign’s alleged collusion, and to hold the former president accountable for obstruction of justice. The outcome could very well be a subpoena for the ex-president or even an indictment.
    Allegations of campaign finance violations related to the Stormy Daniels affair and financial irregularities regarding the president’s inauguration could also expose Trump to legal troubles. But perhaps the most likely reason Trump will end up in court after leaving office concerns his taxes. Trump’s recently revealed tax filings expose a series of ethically dubious and possibly illegal activities. If he loses in November, citizen Trump will likely face increasing pressure from agencies such as the IRS and the New York state attorney general’s office.
    Trump’s tax filings are brimming with shady dealings. In addition to not paying federal income tax in 10 of the 15 years preceding his election – and paying a mere $750 a year in 2016 and 2017 – Trump received a $72.9m refund from the IRS in 2010 after claiming more than a billion dollars in earlier losses. The massive refund is the subject of an ongoing IRS audit; an adverse outcome could force Trump to return the money, which, with penalties and interest, might total more than $100m.
    Trump’s tax filings include other dubious and possibly illegal practices. He paid his daughter Ivanka over $700,000 in “consulting fees” while she was a salaried employee of the Trump Organization. Such high-dollar “business expenses” not only benefited Ivanka, they reduced Trump’s own tax liability.
    An even bigger deduction concerns Trump’s Seven Springs estate an hour’s drive from New York. In addition to claiming a $21m tax deduction for not developing most of the 230-acre property (known as a conservation easement), Trump claimed the estate was an investment and not a personal residence, allowing him to deduct more than $2m in property taxes as business expenses. Yet Trump’s sons Eric and Donald Jr lived on the compound and the Trump Organization’s official webpage describes it as “a retreat for the Trump family”.

    Trump’s personal debt raises different sorts of questions about potential national security vulnerabilities that arise from a sitting president owing hundreds of millions of dollars to creditors. And the massive debts are another reason why Trump desperately wants to remain in the White House. The president owes over $300m in personally backed loans to Deutsche Bank, Ladder Capital and possibly other creditors, which mature in the next four years. If he were unable to pay back or refinance the loans, Deutsche Bank and Ladder could, although it’s unlikely, take legal action against him. As long as he remains president, however, neither lender would probably call the loans and risk forcing a sitting president into personal bankruptcy.
    Trump desperately wants to retain the presidency – not to “keep America Great” but to protect himself from future prosecution. His embrace of white supremacists and his calls to supporters to monitor polling places on election day (and intimidate Biden voters in the process) is an attempt to engineer an election victory through force. And by disputing the election’s integrity he is inciting post-election violence: another tactic with the same intended goal.
    When past presidents have lost re-election, they often return to their home states to plan presidential libraries, establish philanthropic foundations and give well-compensated corporate speeches. Trump’s post-presidency could look very different. This vote is not simply about an incumbent president standing for re-election: it is about two starkly different futures for Donald Trump.
    Samer S Shehata is an associate professor of Middle East Studies at the University of Oklahoma More