Boris Johnson is being urged to come clean on the risks of food, fuel and medicine shortages, and the greater threat from terrorism, if no post-Brexit deal is struck with the EU.
Those dangers – plus potential import delays hitting social care providers and even the need for emergency supplies to “purify the water supply” – were all listed in a “no-deal readiness report” last autumn.
The report has not been updated despite the prospect that, with the talks in deadlock, the UK will crash out of the transition period at the end of the year with no trade or security agreement.
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Now the Liberal Democrats and the pro-EU European Movement are demanding that the prime minister reveal which risks remain – and whether the coronavirus pandemic has inflated them further.
“As the prime minister continues to oppose extending the transition period, he must at least be honest about what this means for our country,” said Ed Davey, the acting Lib Dem co-leader.
“By reviewing the impact assessments done last autumn, as well as undertaking an economic assessment, ministers can be transparent with the public about the consequence.”
Stephen Dorrell, chair of the European Movement and a former Conservative health secretary, said: “With Covid-19 wreaking havoc on our economy and the NHS and social care under unprecedented strain, the British people have the right to accurate and up-to-date information about the implications of the government’s policy.
“Failure to undertake a serious review would represent wilful recklessness towards the lives and livelihoods of the British people. It would be extraordinarily irresponsible.”
In a letter to Mr Johnson, Sir Ed demands that he “publish before 1 July a review of the impact assessments done in autumn of 2019”.
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A message projected onto the White Cliffs of Dover
Sky News/AFP via Getty
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Getty
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Big Ben, shows the hands at eleven o’clock at night
AFP via Getty Images
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Nigel Farage speaks to pro-Brexit supporters
PA
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Pro-Brexit demonstrators celebrate on Parliament Square
REUTERS
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The Union flag is taken down outside the European Parliament in Brussels
PA
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Pro-EU campaigners outside the Scottish Parliament, Edinburgh
PA
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A pro-Brexit supporter jumps on an EU flag in Parliament Square
PA
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EU Council staff removed the Union Jack-British flag from the European Council in Brussels, Belgium
EPA
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A pro-Brexit supporter pours beer onto an EU flag
PA
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Pedestrians pass in front of the Ministry of Defence Building on Whitehall, illuminated by red, white and blue lights in central London
AFP via Getty Images
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A Brexit supporter shouts during a rally in London
AP
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Pro-EU campaigners outside the Scottish Parliament, Edinburgh
PA
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Pro-EU campaigners take part in a ‘Missing EU Already’ rally outside the Scottish Parliament, Edinburgh
PA
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A large pro-EU banner is projected onto Ramsgate cliff in Kent
PA
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Pro-EU supporters light candles in Smith Square in Westminster
PA
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A man waves Union flags from a small car as he drives past Brexit supporters gathering in Parliament Square
AFP via Getty Images
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The five-year old Elisa Saemann, left, and her seven-year old sister Katie hold a placard during a rally by anti-Brexit protesters outside the Scottish parliament in Edinburgh
AP
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Pro Europe supporters gather on Brexit day near the British embassy in Berlin, Germany
EPA
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Anti-Brexit protester hugs a man while holding a placard
REUTERS
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A decorated, old fashioned fire pump in Parliament Square
PA
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Pro Brexit Elvis impersonator performs at Parliament Square
Getty Images
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An anti-Brexiteers stands with his dog in Parliament Square
AFP via Getty Images
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Paddy from Bournemouth wears Union colours as he sits next to an EU flag decorated bag in Parliament Square
AFP via Getty Images
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A pro-EU activist plays a guitar decorated with the EU flag during a protest organised by civil rights group New Europeans outside Europe House, central London
AFP via Getty Images
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People celebrate Britain leaving the EU
REUTERS
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A Pro Brexit supporter has a Union Jack painted onto his face at Parliament Square
Getty Images
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Men hold placards celebrating Britain leaving the EU
REUTERS
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Pro Brexit supporters dance in the street draped with Union Jack flags at Parliament Square
Getty Images
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An anti-Brexit demonstrator spreads his wings during a gathering near Downing Street
AP
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Pro EU supporters display a banner ‘ Here to Stay, Here to Fight, Migrants In, Tories Out’ from Westminster bridge
EPA
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Pro-Brexit supporters burn European Union flags at Parliament Square
Getty
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A man poses for a picture on Parliament Square in a ‘Brexit Day’ t-shirt
Reuters
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People celebrate Britain leaving the EU
Reuters
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AFP via Getty
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A man wears a pro-Brexit t-shirt
Reuters
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Anti-Brexit demonstrators visit Europe House to give flowers to the staff on Brexit day
Reuters
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Pro Brexit supporter wears a novelty Union Jack top hat outside the Houses of Parliament
Getty Images
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Customers Scott Jones and Laura Jones at the Sawmill Bar in South Elmsall, Yorkshire, where a Brexit party is being held throughout the day
PA
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AP
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Getty Images
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Pro-EU activists protest
Getty Images
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A pro-Brexit demonstrator burns a European Union flag
AP
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Pro Brexit supporters
Getty Images
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Pro Brexit supporters
Getty Images
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A Brexit supports holds a sign in Parliament Square
AP
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A man carries an EU themed wreath
Reuters
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Ann Widdecombe reacts with other members of the Brexit party as they leave en masse from the European Parliament
PA
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Anti-Brexit demonstrators in Parliament Square
PA
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Pro EU supporters let off flares from Westminster Bridge
Getty
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British MEPs Jonathan Bullock, holding the Union Jack flag and Jake Pugh leave the European Parliament, in Brussels on the Brexit day
AFP via Getty
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Newspapers and other souvenirs at a store, near Parliament Square
Reuters
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Brexit supporters hold signs in Parliament Square
AP
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Pro-EU protesters hold placards in Parliament Square
AFP via Getty
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French newspapers
PA
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Sinn Fein leader Mary Lou McDonald with a Border Communities Against Brexit poster before its unveiling in Carrickcarnon on the Irish border
PA
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National growers organisation British Apples & Pears has renamed a British apple to EOS, the Greek goddess of dawn, to commemorate Brexit day
AP
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Pro-EU protesters hold placards in Parliament Square
AFP via Getty
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Britain’s departure from the European Union was set in law on January 29, amid emotional scenes, as the bloc’s parliament voted to ratify the divorce papers. After half a century of membership and three years of tense withdrawal talks, the UK will leave the EU at midnight Brussels time (23.00 GMT) on January 31
Reuters
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A man poses with paintings on Parliament Square
Reuters
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People sporting Union Flags gather in Parliament Square
Getty
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A man walks with a St. George’s flag at Westminster bridge on Brexit day
Reuters
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A British bulldog toy and other souvenirs at a souvenir store
Reuters
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British pro-brexit Members of the European Parliament leave the EU Parliament for the last time
Reuters
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Jonathan Bullock waves the Union Jack as he leaves the European Parliament
EPA
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A message projected onto the White Cliffs of Dover
Sky News/AFP via Getty
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Getty
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Big Ben, shows the hands at eleven o’clock at night
AFP via Getty Images
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Nigel Farage speaks to pro-Brexit supporters
PA
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Pro-Brexit demonstrators celebrate on Parliament Square
REUTERS
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The Union flag is taken down outside the European Parliament in Brussels
PA
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Pro-EU campaigners outside the Scottish Parliament, Edinburgh
PA
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A pro-Brexit supporter jumps on an EU flag in Parliament Square
PA
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EU Council staff removed the Union Jack-British flag from the European Council in Brussels, Belgium
EPA
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A pro-Brexit supporter pours beer onto an EU flag
PA
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Pedestrians pass in front of the Ministry of Defence Building on Whitehall, illuminated by red, white and blue lights in central London
AFP via Getty Images
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A Brexit supporter shouts during a rally in London
AP
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Pro-EU campaigners outside the Scottish Parliament, Edinburgh
PA
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Pro-EU campaigners take part in a ‘Missing EU Already’ rally outside the Scottish Parliament, Edinburgh
PA
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A large pro-EU banner is projected onto Ramsgate cliff in Kent
PA
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Pro-EU supporters light candles in Smith Square in Westminster
PA
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A man waves Union flags from a small car as he drives past Brexit supporters gathering in Parliament Square
AFP via Getty Images
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The five-year old Elisa Saemann, left, and her seven-year old sister Katie hold a placard during a rally by anti-Brexit protesters outside the Scottish parliament in Edinburgh
AP
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Pro Europe supporters gather on Brexit day near the British embassy in Berlin, Germany
EPA
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Anti-Brexit protester hugs a man while holding a placard
REUTERS
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A decorated, old fashioned fire pump in Parliament Square
PA
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Pro Brexit Elvis impersonator performs at Parliament Square
Getty Images
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An anti-Brexiteers stands with his dog in Parliament Square
AFP via Getty Images
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Paddy from Bournemouth wears Union colours as he sits next to an EU flag decorated bag in Parliament Square
AFP via Getty Images
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A pro-EU activist plays a guitar decorated with the EU flag during a protest organised by civil rights group New Europeans outside Europe House, central London
AFP via Getty Images
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People celebrate Britain leaving the EU
REUTERS
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A Pro Brexit supporter has a Union Jack painted onto his face at Parliament Square
Getty Images
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Men hold placards celebrating Britain leaving the EU
REUTERS
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Pro Brexit supporters dance in the street draped with Union Jack flags at Parliament Square
Getty Images
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An anti-Brexit demonstrator spreads his wings during a gathering near Downing Street
AP
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Pro EU supporters display a banner ‘ Here to Stay, Here to Fight, Migrants In, Tories Out’ from Westminster bridge
EPA
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Pro-Brexit supporters burn European Union flags at Parliament Square
Getty
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A man poses for a picture on Parliament Square in a ‘Brexit Day’ t-shirt
Reuters
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People celebrate Britain leaving the EU
Reuters
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AFP via Getty
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A man wears a pro-Brexit t-shirt
Reuters
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Anti-Brexit demonstrators visit Europe House to give flowers to the staff on Brexit day
Reuters
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Pro Brexit supporter wears a novelty Union Jack top hat outside the Houses of Parliament
Getty Images
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Customers Scott Jones and Laura Jones at the Sawmill Bar in South Elmsall, Yorkshire, where a Brexit party is being held throughout the day
PA
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AP
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Getty
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Getty Images
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Pro-EU activists protest
Getty Images
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A pro-Brexit demonstrator burns a European Union flag
AP
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Pro Brexit supporters
Getty Images
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Pro Brexit supporters
Getty Images
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A Brexit supports holds a sign in Parliament Square
AP
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A man carries an EU themed wreath
Reuters
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Ann Widdecombe reacts with other members of the Brexit party as they leave en masse from the European Parliament
PA
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Anti-Brexit demonstrators in Parliament Square
PA
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Pro EU supporters let off flares from Westminster Bridge
Getty
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British MEPs Jonathan Bullock, holding the Union Jack flag and Jake Pugh leave the European Parliament, in Brussels on the Brexit day
AFP via Getty
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Newspapers and other souvenirs at a store, near Parliament Square
Reuters
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Brexit supporters hold signs in Parliament Square
AP
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Pro-EU protesters hold placards in Parliament Square
AFP via Getty
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French newspapers
PA
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Sinn Fein leader Mary Lou McDonald with a Border Communities Against Brexit poster before its unveiling in Carrickcarnon on the Irish border
PA
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National growers organisation British Apples & Pears has renamed a British apple to EOS, the Greek goddess of dawn, to commemorate Brexit day
AP
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Pro-EU protesters hold placards in Parliament Square
AFP via Getty
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Britain’s departure from the European Union was set in law on January 29, amid emotional scenes, as the bloc’s parliament voted to ratify the divorce papers. After half a century of membership and three years of tense withdrawal talks, the UK will leave the EU at midnight Brussels time (23.00 GMT) on January 31
Reuters
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A man poses with paintings on Parliament Square
Reuters
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People sporting Union Flags gather in Parliament Square
Getty
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A man walks with a St. George’s flag at Westminster bridge on Brexit day
Reuters
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A British bulldog toy and other souvenirs at a souvenir store
Reuters
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British pro-brexit Members of the European Parliament leave the EU Parliament for the last time
Reuters
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Jonathan Bullock waves the Union Jack as he leaves the European Parliament
EPA
The prime minister has formally told Brussels that he will not seek an extension to the transition under any circumstances – giving the UK just four months to strike a deal, before an effective deadline of October.
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The two sides remain at odds over access to UK fishing waters, “level playing field” rules to protect the EU from unfair competition and Brussels’ desire to wrap everything into a single, over-arching legal treaty.
Last October’s document pointed to no-deal threats including:
* Greater risk from terrorism and organised crime – with the loss of the European Arrest Warrant and access to the Schengen Information System database of suspects;
* “Reduced availability and choice” of some food products – although “there would be no overall shortage”;
* The EU refusing to grant the UK an “adequacy decision” to allow the free flow of data – forcing companies to move part of their operations to the EU or risk losing business to its firms;
* It taking “up to five days” for adult social-care providers to import products from the EU;
* Emergency supplies of chemicals having to be imported to “purify the water supply”, if the industry’s contingency plans are insufficient;
* The biggest suppliers of insulin, the life-saving treatment for diabetics, having capacity to stockpile only 18 weeks’ worth of supplies.
The UK is hoping to strike a compromise under which it would accept EU regulatory conditions, while maintaining the right to deviate in future – but with tariffs on exports as a punishment.