The Liberal Democrats are finally putting “the disaster” of recent election thrashings behind them with local council gains, a polling expert has suggested.
Ed Davey’s party is celebrating making 58 early extra town hall seats after Thursday’s elections, including snatching Hull City Council from Labour, in an embarrassment for Keir Starmer.
Perhaps more significantly, the Lib Dems have also taken seats from the Conservatives in places such as Stockport, Wimbledon, in south west London, and in David Cameron’s former backyard of West Oxfordshire.
Perversely, only a Lib Dem revival can deliver a Labour victory at the next general election, by winning seats from the Tories in Blue-Yellow battlegrounds.
Speaking in Wimbledon, Sir Ed claimed the results amounted to “an almighty shockwave that will bring this Conservative government tumbling down”.
Voters have “had enough” of rising living costs, an NHS in crisis and of “a prime minister who breaks the law and lies about it”, he argued.
“The tectonic plates of British politics are shifting beneath Boris Johnson’s feet. And now it’s time for Conservative MPs to plunge him into the abyss,” Sir Ed said.
John Curtice, an elections expert, described the Lib Dem improvement as “relatively modest”, saying: “It’s up a couple of points as compared with 2018.”
The party had won more seats than Labour largely because of the technicality of gains “in smaller, more rural councils where the wards are smaller, so you get more seats per person”.
But Sir John told BBC Radio 4: “Even so, I think Liberal Democrats might just be hoping that, on this occasion – against a backdrop that was not particularly propitious for them – perhaps finally beginning to demonstrate some evidence of progress and recovery from the disaster of the 2015 general election.
“It’s taken a long time. Maybe, maybe at least the foundations of recovery, or potential recovery at least, have been laid for them.”
Sir Ed is also hoping to win control of Somerset County Council, in a result expected later – one that will be seen as a pointer to looming Westminster battles.
A by-election is looming in nearby Tiverton and Honiton, where Neil Parish quit over his porn shame, while David Warburton, the Conservative MP in Somerton and Frome, is currently suspended.
Labour blamed their loss of control of Hull – after more than a decade in power in the city – on a collapse of the Tory vote, which delivered victories to the Lib Dems.
The party gained three seats, leaving it with 29 seats on the 57-seat council, compared with 27 for Labour and one independent. The Conservatives lost their last remaining seat.
Daren Hale, the outgoing Labour council leader, told the BBC: “In the seats we held, our majority went up.
“It was the collapse of the Tory vote, which, in a sense, the Labour party isn’t responsible for, that led to those seats changing hands.”
