43% vs. 43%: Why Trump and Biden Are Tied in Our New Poll

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With Donald Trump facing charges in three different criminal cases, the biggest questions in American politics are whether that creates an opening for his Republican rivals in the presidential race — and whether it disqualifies him in the eyes of general election voters.

A new set of Times polls has answers to those questions. It shows the president and the former president still tied among registered voters, each at 43 percent.

Nate Cohn, The New York Times’s chief political analyst, talks us through the first Times/Siena polling of the 2024 election cycle.

On today’s episode

Background reading

• Can the race really be that close?

• The first Times/Siena poll of the Republican primary shows Trump still commands a seemingly unshakable base of loyal supporters.

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We aim to make transcripts available the next workday after an episode’s publication. You can find them at the top of the page.

Nate Cohn contributed reporting.

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