Asian Americans, Shifting Right

The Chinatown area of Sunset Park, Brooklyn, was long a Democratic stronghold. The party’s candidates would often receive more than 70 percent of the vote there. Last year, however, the neighborhood underwent a political transformation.

Lee Zeldin, the Republican nominee for governor, managed to win Sunset Park’s Chinatown, receiving more votes than Gov. Kathy Hochul. This map, by my colleague Jason Kao, shows the change:

This shift is part of a national story. In the past two elections — 2020 and 2022 — Asian Americans have moved toward the right, according to election returns and exit polls. Democrats still won Asian voters by a wide margin in last year’s midterms but by less than in the recent past:

In Texas, Gov. Greg Abbott, the Republican incumbent, beat Beto O’Rourke among Asian voters, 52 percent to 46 percent, and Texas House Republicans also did well, according to polls by the Asian American Legal Defense and Education Fund. In statewide races in Florida and Georgia, the Republican candidates received at least one-third of the vote, substantially more than in previous elections.

The Times has just published a series of maps and charts focusing on New York City neighborhoods where most eligible voters are of Asian descent, including Sunset Park, Flushing and Manhattan’s Chinatown. Jason told me that he had started thinking about this subject after his father, who rarely talks about politics, said that he had voted for Zeldin. Later, Jason saw a post-election map of New York and was shocked to see that some of the Chinatown neighborhoods where he grew up were colored red.

As Aminta Kilawan-Narine, a community activist who was raised in South Richmond Hill, which is home to a large Indian American population, told Jason, “I’ve never seen so many signs for a Republican governor in the areas I grew up in.” She was one of the local leaders, academic researchers and political officials whom Jason interviewed, and he heard a few points repeatedly from those experts:

• Republican campaigns have recently increased their outreach to Asian voters, while Democratic candidates had grown complacent.

• Education issues hurt Democrats. Asian voters have been unhappy with proposals to change the rules for magnet high schools like Stuyvesant that admit children based on test scores. Many students at those schools come from lower-income Asian families.

• Perhaps most important, the Republicans’ anti-crime message resonated, following increases in both citywide crime and anti-Asian violence. Lester Chang, a military veteran and a new Republican member of the New York State Assembly, said that the overwhelming reason he won a Brooklyn district — beating a Democratic incumbent who had held the seat for 36 years — was crime.

• Asian Americans are politically diverse. The most heavily Democratic groups include those of Indian, Pakistani, Bangladeshi and Arab descent. The least Democratic group is Vietnamese Americans, followed by Korean, Cambodian and Filipino Americans.

Upscale Democrats

Nationally, the rightward drift of Asian voters is connected to a new class divide in American politics. The Democratic Party, especially its liberal wing, has increasingly come to reflect the views of college-educated professionals. This development has had some benefits for Democrats, helping them win more suburban voters and flip Arizona and Georgia in recent elections.

To a growing number of working-class voters, however, the newly upscale version of the party has become less appealing. The trend has long been evident among white working-class voters, and many liberal analysts have claimed that it mostly reflects racial bigotry. But recent developments have weakened that argument. Class appears to be an important factor as well. Since 2018, more Asian and Latino voters have supported Republicans, and these voters appear to be disproportionately working-class.

The Pew Research Center has conducted a detailed analysis of the electorate and categorized about 8 percent of voters as belonging to “the progressive left.” This group spans all races, but it is disproportionately white — and upper-income. True, a large number of Democrats, including many Black voters, are more moderate. But the progressive left has an outsize impact partly because of its strong presence in institutions with access to political megaphones, like advocacy groups, universities, media organizations and Hollywood.

The Covid era

The shift of Asian and Latino voters has coincided with a period when the progressive left has become bolder and shaped the Democrats’ national image. The shift has also coincided with the pandemic and its aftermath.

Progressives supported extended Covid school closures — which were easier for white-collar parents to manage — and often excoriated people who favored a return to normal activities. As crime surged during the pandemic, progressives often downplayed the importance of the trend even as it alarmed many people of color. “Being Asian, I felt I had a bigger target on my back,” Karen Wang, 48, a Queens resident and lifelong Democrat who voted Republican last year, told The Times.

Immigration may also play a role. Democratic leaders like Barack Obama once emphasized the importance of border security. Today, many Democrats are uncomfortable talking about almost any immigration restrictions. In Texas, polls show, immigration concerns have driven some Latino voters toward Republicans.

Then there are the debates over language. In the name of inclusion and respect, some progressives have argued that common terms such as “pregnant women,” “the poor” and “Latinos” are offensive. Many voters find these arguments befuddling and irrelevant to their everyday concerns.

Beyond individual policy issues, working-class voters tend to have a different worldview than much of the modern Democratic Party. They are often more religious and more patriotic. In a Times poll last year, only 26 percent of Democratic voters with a bachelor’s degree described the U.S. as the greatest country in the world; more than half of voters without a bachelor’s degree gave that answer.

The Republican Party obviously has its own problems with swing voters, including Asian Americans. Donald Trump has promoted white nationalism, and his descriptions of Covid fed anti-Asian racism. The Republican Party favors abortion bans, while most voters favor significant access to abortion. Many Republican politicians also oppose popular economic policies, like caps on medical costs.

Given the radicalism of today’s Republican Party, liberals had hoped that Asian and Latino voters would help usher in an era of Democratic dominance. And maybe that will happen one day. But it is not happening yet. Instead, Democrats’ struggles with Latino and Asian voters have helped Republicans solidify their hold on states where Democrats had hoped to start winning by now, like Texas, Florida and North Carolina.

To a growing number of working-class voters, the Democratic Party looks even more flawed than the alternative.

For more: Jason’s article compares the trends in New York’s majority Asian precincts with the trends in majority Black, Latino and white precincts. You can see his charts and maps here.

THE LATEST NEWS

War in Ukraine

• Hundreds of Ukrainian troops joined the fight to repel Russian forces who were close to taking the city of Bakhmut.

• There are many ways to kill and be killed on the front lines. See inside the trenches.

• South Korea is filling a weapons shortage by arming Ukraine’s allies — but not Ukraine itself, to try to avoid provoking Russia.

Politics

• Immigration, gun rights, education: Florida lawmakers are advancing Gov. Ron DeSantis’s agenda, helping him in a potential 2024 presidential run.

• President Biden said voting rights were still “under assault” in a speech in Selma, Ala., on the anniversary of Bloody Sunday, a 1965 police attack on Black protesters.

• Balancing the federal budget without limiting defense, Medicare or Social Security spending would require brutal cuts to the government.

• A Tennessee law prohibiting “adult cabaret” has raised uncertainty about drag events.

Other Big Stories

• “The little things that run the world”: Insects like bees and butterflies are not considered wildlife in many states, making it difficult for officials to protect them.

• South Korea will set up a fund to pay citizens who were forced to work for Japanese companies during World War II, hoping to resolve a dispute between the countries.

• A new treatment could help fix the heart’s “forgotten valve.”

• A Pennsylvania woman, now 83, who disappeared more than 30 years ago was found alive in Puerto Rico.

• Homelessness is increasing again in the United States. Read the stories of people affected.

Opinions

Gail Collins and Bret Stephens discuss Chicago’s mayoral election.

Ford, a 120-year-old company, is leaving Tesla in the dust, Ezra Dyer writes.

Go ahead, celebrate the chirping birds. But an early spring is a harbinger of our troubled future, Margaret Renkl says.

MORNING READS

Needing a freeze: Residents on one Ohio island earn a living with ice. It hasn’t come this winter.

Mythical skating: An 18-year-old speedskater astonished competitors with his turns.

Youngest Vogue editor: She’s figuring out how to run a fashion magazine in China.

Quiz time: Take our latest news quiz and share your score (the average was 7.9).

Advice from Wirecutter: Break up with your phone.

Lives Lived: Judy Heumann was an activist who championed disability rights and ultimately joined and reformed the political establishment she once fought against. She died at 75.

SPORTS NEWS FROM THE ATHLETIC

A rule change “poster boy”: Kevin Gausman is a toe tapper. Thanks to baseball’s new rules, he has to unlearn years of work to change his delivery.

A budding rivalry? Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving shared a court for the first time since their respective trades. Durant scored 37 points, including the game-winner.

“The world stopped”: Teammates remember Nilay Aydogan, a Turkish pro basketball player who died in the country’s earthquake last month.

ARTS AND IDEAS

A sake boom

Sake, the Japanese alcoholic drink, is gaining popularity. Exports from Japan more than doubled between 2012 and 2022, and breweries are starting to pop up around the U.S. — including two in Brooklyn.

This spring, a 24,000-square-foot sake brewery is scheduled to open in Arkansas, which produces more rice than any other state. “The goal, really, is to move sake into the mainstream,” said Matt Bell, the brewery’s chief executive.

PLAY, WATCH, EAT

What to Cook

This pasta alla Norma comes together in under an hour.

What to Watch

A year after Will Smith slapped him at the Oscars, Chris Rock responded fiercely in “Selective Outrage,” a new stand-up special.

What to Read

Sally Adee explores the body’s capacity for electricity.

Now Time to Play

The pangram from yesterday’s Spelling Bee was although. Here is today’s puzzle.

Here’s today’s Mini Crossword, and a clue: Criticism, slangily (five letters).

And here’s today’s Wordle. After, use our bot to get better.

Thanks for spending part of your morning with The Times. See you tomorrow.

P.S. A Spelling Bee fan created an unusual version of the puzzle as part of a marriage proposal. Congrats!

Here’s today’s front page.

“The Daily” is about last month’s Ohio train derailment.

Matthew Cullen, Lauren Hard, Lauren Jackson, Claire Moses, Ian Prasad Philbrick, Tom Wright-Piersanti and Ashley Wu contributed to The Morning. You can reach the team at themorning@nytimes.com.

Sign up here to get this newsletter in your inbox.