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Democrats’ triumph may be miraculous but US is still split down the middle | Michael Cohen
by Evelyn Reynolds 13 November 2022, 07:00
Democrats’ triumph may be miraculous but US is still split down the middleMichael CohenThe midterms are a win for democracy but many Republicans await a third Trump bid Midterm elections in the United States are where the hopes and dreams of governing parties go to die. Since 1932, the party in power has lost on average 28 seats in the House of Representatives and four seats in the Senate. In 2018, two years after taking the White House and both Houses of Congress, Republicans lost 40 House seats and control of the chamber. In 2010, Democrats lost 63 seats. In 1994, it was 54 and eight Senate seats. Every two years, after electing a new president, voters, generally speaking, go to the polls with buyer’s remorse.But not this year. In a truly stunning outcome, Democrats reversed the historical trend lines and, at least for the time being, protected American democracy from the worst excesses of the Donald Trump-led Republican party.While all the votes still need to be tabulated, it appears that Democrats will keep control of the Senate and have an outside chance of maintaining their narrow majority in the House of Representatives. At the beginning of the year such a scenario was virtually unimaginable. Democrats were facing not only historical headwinds but also rising inflation, a teetering economy and an unpopular incumbent president. Traditionally, these are the kinds of political dynamics that portend a Republican-wave victory in November.But then in June the supreme court overturned Roe v Wade, removed a 50-year constitutional guarantee protecting reproductive health rights and virtually overnight turned American women into second-class citizens. Over the summer, congressional Democrats achieved a host of notable legislative successes and President Biden announced billions in student loan forgiveness, fulfilling a promise he’d made during the 2020 presidential campaign.By the autumn, the political winds shifted in the Democrats’ direction – and no issue loomed larger than abortion. In August, a referendum in ruby-red Kansas, which would have made it easier for Republicans in the state legislature to outlaw the procedure, lost by a whopping 18 points.Democratic campaign advisers took their cues from Kansas and made abortion the centrepiece of the autumn campaign. And in the states where Republicans’ victories could have led to potentially greater abortion restrictions, such as Michigan and Pennsylvania, Democrats won decisive victories. In suburban districts, the new linchpin of the Democratic coalition, white female college graduates, outraged by the supreme court decision, propelled House Democratic candidates to victory in toss-up races.Republicans compounded the problem by nominating a host of Trump-endorsed first-time Senate and gubernatorial candidates. The closer a Republican was to Trump, the worse they did on Tuesday.Indeed, for months, political commentators had portrayed the 2022 election as potentially the end of democracy in the US. In state after state, election deniers, parroting Trump’s lies about the 2020 election, appeared poised to take office. Yet across the board they lost. On an even more positive note, while Trump still refuses to accept that he lost the presidency to Joe Biden, his enablers and sycophants in the GOP (“grand old party”) refused to follow the same script. Virtually every Republican who lost their election – including the election deniers – has conceded defeat, in the best sign for the strength of American democracy in quite some time.How the fall of Roe shattered Republicans’ midterm dreamsRead moreThat’s the good news, but like everything these days in American politics it’s virtually impossible for us to have nice things. While Trump is arguably the biggest loser of the 2022 campaign, his stranglehold over the Republican party is not ending just yet. This week, he will announce his third bid for the White House and, while plenty of Republican leaders wish he would go away, a great many rank-and-file Republicans don’t feel the same.It’s easy to criticise Trump for his lousy record of endorsements, but it’s not as if he held a gun to the collective head of Republicans and forced them to vote for his preferred candidates. These are still the types of politicians that Republican voters want and there is little reason to expect that they are prepared to jettison Trump.What makes matters even worse for Republicans is that no matter how the presidential nomination contest turns out, it’s a no-win situation. Democrats have won the past three US elections, in large measure by running against Trump. If he is again the Republican nominee there is no reason to expect that 2024 would play out any differently.What if Trump loses? That might actually be a worse outcome because if there’s one thing we know about the former president, it’s that he is a thin-skinned narcissist who doesn’t care about anybody but himself. If he loses the GOP presidential bid, say to the Florida governor Ron DeSantis, who just won a landslide re-election victory, one can expect that he will not respond well. There will not be a moment at the Republican national convention with Trump and DeSantis, their hands clasped together in party unity. Instead, Trump will handle himself probably no differently from the way he did after losing to Biden – again claiming fraud and denigrating DeSantis to his supporters. Indeed, Trump would probably prefer Biden wins re-election than watch DeSantis accomplish a feat that he could not.But beyond all that, the final numbers in the House and Senate tell a crucial story. Democrats will probably either maintain their 50-50 edge in the Senate or add one seat (the US vice-president, Kamala Harris, is the tie-breaking vote in the Senate). In the House, the most likely result is an incredibly narrow Republican advantage – somewhere between one and three seats. Governorships could be split evenly 25-25.America is almost perfectly divided between Democrats and Republicans and neither party can cobble together an effective majority. The 2022 midterms are, on the surface, a win for Democrats, but from a deeper perspective they have simply ratified the status quo of the US as a divided and divisive country.TopicsUS midterm elections 2022OpinionUS politicsDemocratsRepublicansJoe BidenDonald TrumpcommentReuse this content More
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Who were the big winners and losers of the US midterm elections?
by Evelyn Reynolds 13 November 2022, 06:00
Who were the big winners and losers of the US midterm elections?Biden and DeSantis are on the up, but Donald Trump and some of the Republicans’ more unhinged candidates flopped After months of campaigning and billions of dollars spent on advertising, the message from America’s midterm elections could essentially be boiled down to: “Not as bad as Democrats feared.”There were big wins for Republicans in Florida, and the party still seems likely to take the House, but elsewhere candidates endorsed by former president Donald Trump flopped, and there were key victories for supporters of reproductive rights.As Trump licks his wounds after being compared to an egg on legs by a Rupert Murdoch-owned newspaper, and as Democrats celebrate avoiding a predicted “red wave”, here’s a look at who did well, and who suffered.WINNERSJoe Biden, US presidentMuch of the talk ahead of last Tuesday’s elections was about how Biden might tank the Democratic party’s candidates. Republicans across the country ran ads tying their opponents to Biden, banking that the unloved president would turn off voters. It didn’t work, as Democrats performed much better than expected across the board. Biden remains very unpopular – his approval rating dropped to 39% in a Reuters poll this week – but that doesn’t seem to be hindering his party. The results prompted Biden, who turns 80 later this month, to repeat his recent assertions that he will run for a second term as president in two years’ time.Ron DeSantis, Republican Florida governorIt’s not just that the Florida governor won re-election, in what is supposed to be a swing state, by almost 20 points. In the process, DeSantis, 44, has also found himself anointed by the rightwing media as the future of the Republican party – in the case of the New York Post, quite literally: “DeFuture”, blasted the front page of the tabloid on Wednesday morning. DeSantis, an anti-immigrant, anti-abortion, anti-LGBTQ+ rights Republican, is seen as a more palatable, less hysterical version of Donald Trump. He has been cagey about whether he will run for president in 2024, but if DeSantis does want to launch a campaign, then this was a pretty good way to start.John Fetterman, Democrat Senate candidateThree years ago John Fetterman was mayor of Braddock, a town of fewer than 2,000 people. On Tuesday he was elected to the US Senate, and will represent 13 million Pennsylvanians. It has been a remarkable rise, made all the more astonishing by the fact Fetterman had a stroke days before the Democratic primary in May. The 6ft 8in, tattooed, permanently hoodie-clad senator-elect is still recovering – he relied on closed captioning to process questions in a debate in October – but overcame a stiff challenge from Trump-backed Mehmet Oz to win relatively easily on Tuesday. Fetterman, who has previously said he owns only one suit, is going to have to do some clothes shopping.Reproductive rightsAway from the noise and intrigue about Republican and Democratic candidates and races, Michigan voters approved a ballot measure to secure a constitutional right to abortion, blocking the imposition of a 1931 abortion ban in the state. In Kentucky, voters rejected a measure which would have denied constitutional protections for abortion. North Carolina Republicans failed to secure a majority which would have enabled them to ram through restrictive abortion bans, and it was a similar story in Wisconsin, where the re-elected Democratic governor, Tony Evers, will have the power to veto abortion laws proposed by the state legislature.LOSERSDonald TrumpThe one-term, twice-impeached president had a shocker of an evening, as one after another, many of his endorsed candidates flopped in key races across the country. The fact that many of the Republicans Trump had backed lost isn’t the only thing that will sting. Several of Trump’s people underperformed in states – including New Hampshire and Georgia – where Republicans who had not been anointed by Trump triumphed. To top it all off, Rupert Murdoch seems to have turned on Trump. On Thursday the New York Post, a Murdoch-owned tabloid, mocked up an image of Trump as Humpty Dumpty. “Don (who couldn’t build a wall) had a great fall – can all the GOP’s men put the party back together again?” read the accompanying text.Republicans – outside Florida and New YorkWith an unpopular Democratic president, soaring inflation, high gas prices and widespread doom and gloom about the economy, this was supposed to be the night that Republicans swept through Congress in a “red wave”. They didn’t. By Friday, with votes still being tallied in some states, the Republican party was still short of a majority in the House and the Senate, as Democrats out-performed expectations across the country. There were some exceptions. In Florida both DeSantis and Marco Rubio, the state’s incumbent senator, cruised to victory, and Republicans flourished in state-level races too. It was, the Tampa Bay Times declared, “an electoral catastrophe for Democrats”.(Some of) the unhinged candidatesIn Pennsylvania Doug Mastriano, a Christian nationalist state senator who paid for buses to take people to what became the January 6 insurrection and tried to overturn the results of the 2020 election, was swept away in the governor’s race. Matthew DePerno, a fellow election conspiracy theorist who had branded Democrats “radical, cultural Marxists” lost his bid to be Michigan’s attorney general, and his ideological counterpart Kristina Karamo failed to become secretary of state. Tina Forte, a Republican who attended the January 6 rally and has dabbled in QAnon conspiracy theories, was crushed in her attempt to defeat Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, the Democratic congresswoman, in New York.TopicsUS midterm elections 2022Donald TrumpUS politicsRepublicansDemocratsAbortionJoe BidenfeaturesReuse this content More
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New generation of candidates stakes claim to Democratic party’s future
by Evelyn Reynolds 13 November 2022, 06:00
New generation of candidates stakes claim to Democratic party’s future The leadership Washington may be geriatric but key victories for younger suggest see a generational change is under wayWe are in the early hours of Wednesday morning, 6 November 2024, and after a nail-biting night two men are preparing to give their respective victory and concession speeches in the US presidential election. One of the men is days away from his 82nd birthday, the other is 78.The prospect of a possible rematch between Joe Biden and Donald Trump in two years’ time is instilling trepidation in both main parties. It is not just the political perils that go with either individual, it’s also the simple matter of their age.Young voters hailed as key to Democratic successes in midtermsRead moreWhat happened to the America of the new world, the young country?But in the wake of this week’s midterm elections there is a stirring in the air. The Democratic party may remain heavily dominated by the old guard – the House speaker, Nancy Pelosi, is 82 and the top senator, Chuck Schumer, is 69 – yet there are strong signs of fresh beginnings.From the first openly lesbian governors in the US and first Black governor of Maryland, to the first Gen Z member of Congress, as well as battle-hardened young politicians in critical swing states like Michigan and Pennsylvania, a new slate of Democratic leaders is coming into view after Tuesday’s elections. They may be too new to reshape the 2024 presidential race, but they carry much promise for the years to come.“There’s a generational change happening of the kind you see every few decades,” said Joe Trippi, a Democratic strategist who has worked on state and congressional campaigns. “A younger generation is emerging with different ideas who aren’t necessarily wedded to the old way of doing things.”It is perhaps no coincidence that several of the names garnering attention are to be found in battleground states where their political skills and resilience have been put to the test. In Michigan, which has become a frontline state in the struggle between liberal versus Maga politics, Gretchen Whitmer handily won a double-digit re-election in her gubernatorial race against Tudor Dixon, an election denier.Whitmer, 51, proved herself not only adept at fending off election subversion misinformation in a midwestern state, but she also withstood the pressures of the kidnap plot against her which led to last month’s convictions of three anti-government plotters. “After two terms as governor, Whitmer is going to be well placed for a move on to the national stage,” Trippi said.Another breeding ground for the new Democratic leaders is Pennsylvania, which has also been on the frontlines of the Maga wars. John Fetterman, 53, was widely written off by conservative pundits after his televised debate in the race for a US Senate seat with his Trump-endorsed opponent, Mehmet Oz, who had ridiculed him for his speech impediment caused by a stroke in May that almost killed him.Fetterman survived all that opprobrium to frame a classic Pennsylvania story: his rise from small-town mayor to US senator-elect. He still has a mountain to climb in his physical recovery, but he is clearly now a fixture in national politics.Pennsylvania has spawned other fresh Democratic faces to watch: Josh Shapiro, 49, has become the commonwealth’s governor-elect, managing to mobilise voters by warning of the threat to democracy posed by his election-denying opponent.Then there is Summer Lee, 34, the first Black woman to be sent to Congress from the state. “We fought, we built coalitions, we brought people together,” she said at her victory party.The new generation contains a striking proportion of prominent African American politicians. Record numbers of Black women and men stood for elected office in 2022, and the impact is starting to show.The Collective Pac, which aims to increase Black representation in elected positions, endorsed 252 Black candidates across the country this cycle. It pumped more than $1m into supporting those campaigns, with 117 so far winning.“We are seeing a new wave of everyday folks who are bringing their lived experiences to the table and becoming decision-makers in their communities by being in public office. That’s here to stay,” said Stephanie Brown James, The Collective’s co-founder and senior adviser.For James, one of the standout qualities of the next generation of Black leaders is that several of them are first-time candidates with no prior political experience. That goes for Wes Moore, 43, now about to become Maryland’s first African American governor, a Rhodes scholar whose career has ranged from investment banker and TV producer to head of the anti-poverty non-profit the Robin Hood Foundation.“Wes Moore, Summer Lee – they have real-world experiences that are greatly going to contribute to the dialogue around what policies are necessary to help move people forward,” James said.Some of the most eagerly followed Black politicians fell at the ballot box this week, including Stacey Abrams, 48, in Georgia’s gubernatorial race and Mandela Barnes, 35, running for a US Senate seat in Wisconsin. Neither should be written off, however, given the excitement they brought to their contests and the extent to which they have transformed their states by increasing Democratic turnout.Across the country, other stars are rising. Gavin Newsom found re-election as California’s governor a breeze on Tuesday night, which bodes well as and when he decides to indulge any national ambitions.Maura Healey in Massachusetts and Tina Kotek in Oregon will share the distinction of becoming the first openly lesbian governors of their states.Newsom, Healey and Kotek are all in their 50s. But they had better watch their backs – a much younger cohort is on the move.Maxwell Frost, an Afro-Cuban progressive from Florida, was elected the first Gen Z member of Congress on Tuesday night.He is 25. Electoral law prohibits anyone running for president until they are 35 – which falls rather neatly for Frost who will turn 35 in the presidential election year of 2032.TopicsDemocratsUS politicsUS midterm elections 2022featuresReuse this content More
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Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez wins key House seat in Washington state
by Evelyn Reynolds 13 November 2022, 03:44
Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez wins key House seat in Washington stateGluesenkamp Perez’s win over Trump-backed far-right candidate Joe Kent helps buoy party hopes of keeping a majority in the House
US midterm election results – live
Democrats have won a second key House race in Washington state – an open seat in a conservative region that long evaded the party.Marie Gluesenkamp Perez, an auto-shop owner who describes herself as an independent-minded Democrat, pulled off a victory against Joe Kent, a far-right “America First” ex-Green Beret who was endorsed by former president Donald Trump, in south-west Washington’s third congressional district on Saturday.Combined with Rep Kim Schrier’s reelection to what Democrats feared was a vulnerable seat, Gluesenkamp Perez’s victory helped buoy party hopes of keeping a majority in the House.Democrats retain control of Senate after crucial victory in NevadaRead more“I am humbled and honored by the vote of confidence the people of South-west Washington have put in me and my campaign,“ Gluesenkamp Perez said in a statement.The third district, which narrowly voted for Trump in 2020, had been represented for more than a decade by Republican Rep Jaime Herrera Beutler. But she failed to make it through the state’s top-two primary after angering conservatives with her vote to impeach Trump after the attack on the US Capitol by his supporters.Schrier survived a challenge from Republican Matt Larkin to win a third term in the eighth district, which stretches from Seattle’s wealthy eastern ex-urbs across the Cascade Mountains to the orchard country of central Washington. Schrier, a pediatrician, in 2018 became the first Democrat to win the seat since its creation in the early 1980s.“I don’t know which party will control Congress, but it’s races like mine – the ones that are sitting on a razor’s edge – that flip one way or another,” Schrier told the Associated Press. “If more of them flip in this direction, that may mean we have the majority and set the agenda.”By flipping the third district, which Democrats had not held since former rep Brian Baird retired in 2010, the party will now have eight of Washington’s 10 congressional seats. Herrera Beutler won 22% of the vote in the primary, and how her voters split between Gluesenkamp Perez and Kent may have been the deciding factor in the race.Gluesenkamp Perez, who co-owns an auto shop with her husband just across the Columbia River in Portland, Oregon, said that as a small business owner who lives in a rural part of the district, she was more in line with voters than Kent, who repeatedly had to explain his connections to rightwing extremists.Survivor winner Nick Wilson secures seat in Kentucky legislatureRead moreGluesenkamp Perez supports abortion access and policies to counter climate change, but also described herself as a gun owner who opposes an assault rifle ban, though she does support raising the age of purchase for such guns to 21. She wouldn’t be a “typical Democrat” in Congress, she said.Kent, a former Green Beret who is a regular on conservative cable and podcasts, has called for the impeachment of president Joe Biden and an investigation into the 2020 election. He’s also railed against Covid-19 shutdowns and vaccine mandates and has called to defund the FBI after the search on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago home for classified documents.In the eighth district, Schrier stressed results she has achieved, including helping to secure money for road projects, rural broadband access and police body cameras. She also emphasized that as the only female doctor in Congress who supports abortion rights, she’s a bulwark against any Republican efforts to restrict abortion nationally after the US supreme court’s decision to overturn Roe v Wade. She called Larkin’s opposition to abortion rights disqualifying.Larkin is a lawyer and former Washington attorney general candidate who works for his family’s company, which makes parts for water pipes. Unlike more extreme Republican candidates, Larkin says Biden was legitimately elected, though he also notes that many people disagree and are frustrated about it. TopicsUS midterm elections 2022Washington stateHouse of RepresentativesUS politicsDemocratsRepublicansDonald TrumpnewsReuse this content More
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Catherine Cortez Masto wins Nevada Senate race to hold Democrat seat
by Evelyn Reynolds 13 November 2022, 02:37
Catherine Cortez Masto wins Nevada Senate race to hold Democrat seatThe race was among the tightest in the country and saw record spending with the incumbent senator nearly beaten
US midterm election results – live
Senator Catherine Cortez Masto managed to hang on to her seat in a close race that nearly saw her beaten by her Republican adversary, with the result leaving control of the US Senate in the hands of Democrats.After Democratic senator Mark Kelly’s victory in Arizona on Friday, the party now holds a 50-49 edge in the Senate. The Democratic party will retain control of the chamber, no matter how next month’s Georgia runoff plays out, by virtue of vice-president Kamala Harris’ tie-breaking vote.Democrats retain control of Senate after crucial victory in NevadaRead moreCortez Masto, America’s first Latina senator, beat out Adam Laxalt, a former Nevada attorney general who aided in efforts to overturn the results of the 2020 election, according to the Associated Press.The race was among the tightest in the country and saw record spending with $158m on TV ads, $15m raised for Laxalt and $52m for Cortez Masto. The contest was crucial for Democrats to maintain control of the Senate, along with races in Pennsylvania and Arizona Democrat wins.Nevada’s vote count took several days partly because of the mail voting system created by the state Legislature in 2020 that requires counties to accept ballots postmarked by election day if they arrive up to four days later. Laxalt had an early lead that dwindled after late-counted ballots came in from the state’s population centers in Las Vegas and Reno. High-profile Democrats had joined efforts to re-elect Cortez Masto in recent days, with Bill Clinton and Barack Obama making appearances with the senator. Cortez Masto also had the backing of 14 members of Laxalt’s family, who said she “possesses a set of qualities that clearly speak of what we like to call ‘Nevada grit’”.Democrats had dialed up efforts to reach voters with the state party contacting thousands of voters, and the local culinary union – which backed Democratic candidates – knocking on 1m doors in the state of 3 million people.Associated Press contributed to this reportTopicsUS midterm elections 2022US SenateNevadaUS politicsDemocratsRepublicansnewsReuse this content More
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US midterm elections 2022: focus on Nevada after Democrat Mark Kelly wins key Senate seat – as it happened
by Evelyn Reynolds 12 November 2022, 20:36
Adam Laxalt, who must win his Senate challenge to Catherine Cortez Masto in Nevada if Republicans are to have any chance of retaking control of the chamber, is acknowledging that the race could be slipping away.In a Saturday tweet, Laxalt says early ballots dropped off on election day, and currently being tallied, and which have narrowed his lead to 862 votes, are breaking for his Democratic opponent at a greater rate than he expected.“This has narrowed our victory window,” he wrote on Twitter.In the 2020 presidential election, ballots counted after election day largely favored Democrats.Laxalt said the result depended on where the outstanding votes are coming from. “If they are GOP precincts or slightly DEM leaning then we can still win. If they continue to trend heavy DEM then she will overtake us,” he wrote.Here is where we are — we are up only 862 votes. Multiple days in a row, the mostly mail in ballots counted continue to break in higher DEM margins than we calculated. This has narrowed our victory window. The race will come down to 20-30K Election Day Clark drop off ballots.— Adam Paul Laxalt (@AdamLaxalt) November 12, 2022
Earlier, the Republican candidate appeared more confident, stating in a Friday night tweet that he expected “her percentages to continue to remain under what she needs”.There is no indication yet when the race might be called, but today is the last day for Nevada mail-in ballots to arrive and be counted, as long as they were postmarked by the 8 November election day.A Cortez Masto victory would retain Democratic control of the Senate for another two years, and lessen the importance of 6 December runoff between Democrat Raphael Warnock and Republican Herschel Walker in Georgia.We’re closing our live midterm elections blog now, but look out for our news reports later for developments in Senate, House and governor’s races in which winners have yet to be projected.Democrats need to win only one of the two remaining Senate races, in Nevada and Georgia, to retain control of the chamber for two more years. Each party currently has 49 seats.Republicans are narrowing in on victory in the House of Representatives, having won 211 of the 218 seats they need for a majority.Here’s what we followed today:
The Republican who must win his Senate challenge in Nevada if his party is to have a chance of controlling the chamber said his path to victory was “narrowing”. Adam Laxalt, ahead by just 862 votes, conceded drop-off ballots still being tallied favored Democratic incumbent Catherine Cortez Masto at a greater rate than he expected.
Mark Kelly, whose win over Donald Trump-endorsed Blake Masters in Arizona put Democrats on the brink of retaining Senate control, criticized election deniers and praised Republican predecessor John McCain in a victory speech in Phoenix.
The atmosphere grew tense outside the Maricopa county elections office in Phoenix, where several dozen rightwing protestors hurled abuse at sheriff’s deputies. Extremist Republican Kari Lake, an election denier, narrowly trails Democrat Katie Hobbs in the race for Arizona governor.
Police say no powder was found in “suspicious” envelopes sent to Lake’s campaign headquarters last week. The candidate had closed her office and claimed what it described as an attack was politically motivated.
The race for Georgia’s Senate seat, which will be decided in a 6 December runoff between Democratic incumbent Raphael Warnock and challenger Herschel Walker, will see Pac-funded negative attack ads questioning the Republican’s character, CNN reports.
The Associated Press, whose projections the Guardian uses to call election results, is explaining why it declared Mark Kelly the winner in the Senate race on Friday, but has not yet done so in the contest for governor.“At around 10pm ET on Friday, officials in Maricopa released another batch of 75,000 votes, a tranche that provided enough information for AP to determine that Democratic Senator Kelly had won reelection against Republican Blake Masters,” the agency says.“But there still was not enough for AP to call a winner in the governor’s race. The batch favored Hobbs over Lake by less than 10 percentage points.“After Friday’s vote release, the margin in the governor’s race [between Republican Kari Lake and Democrat Katie Hobbs] sat at just over 31,000 votes, with Lake about a point and a half behind.”In all of Arizona, the AP says, officials report some 400,000 ballots left to count, including up to 275,000 in Maricopa county, meaning there are simply too many left untallied to be sure which way the race will go.The picture could become clearer around 10pm ET Saturday, when officials in Maricopa county say they will release another batch of votes.Protestors have been gathering outside the Maricopa county elections office in Phoenix, Arizona, and hurling abuse at sheriff’s deputies, according to reports.CNN’s Kyung Lah says “a few dozen” demonstrators waving stars and stripes flags are calling the officers “evil traitors”.Workers at the office, where Donald Trump supporters protested non-existent election fraud after his 2020 defeat, are still counting ballots from Tuesday’s midterm vote. The winner is still unclear in a highly contentious governor’s race between the extremist rightwing Republican Kari Lake and her Democratic opponent, Katie Hobbs, who holds a narrow lead.Lake, an election denier, has been accused of potentially stoking violence by leaning into debunked conspiracy theories of election malfeasance.County officials have thanked law enforcement for keeping the elections office secure. Workers “have families and roommates and pets to go home to at the end of the night”, they said in a tweet.Thank you @mcsoaz deputies. We respect protesters’ 1st Amendment rights & hope they demonstrate peacefully and with consideration for the people involved in administering @maricopavote elections who have families and roommates and pets to go home to at the end of the night. https://t.co/IV2pKmy6c4— Maricopa County (@maricopacounty) November 12, 2022
Earlier today, the Democrat Mark Kelly, who is projected to retain his Senate seat, berated election deniers in a victory speech in Phoenix.“We’ve seen the consequences that come when leaders refuse to accept the truth and focus more on conspiracies of the past than solving the challenges that we face today,” he said.Kelly’s beaten Republican challenger, Blake Masters, has not yet conceded the race.He posted a tweet saying: “If, at the end, Senator Kelly has more [votes] than I do, then I will congratulate him on a hard-fought victory.”pic.twitter.com/XVbq4WU4nj— Blake Masters (@bgmasters) November 12, 2022
Republicans are emboldened by a string of electoral victories in Montana and are turning their attention to seizing the Senate seat held by three-term Democrat Jon Tester in 2024, the Associated Press reports.A potentially bruising primary battle is possible between two Republicans who won US House seats Tuesday, former interior secretary Ryan Zinke and representative Matt Rosendale, the agency says.Zinke, 61, said he considers Tester vulnerable, and he will make a decision on whether to seek the Senate seat next year. Rosendale, 62, said Tester doesn’t represent Montana’s interests and should be replaced, but he declined to answer when asked if he will run.Tester is expected to be among the most vulnerable Democrats in the Senate in the next election cycle, along with fellow moderates Joe Manchin of West Virginia and Kyrsten Sinema of Arizona. Voters in Montana and West Virginia have increasingly trended Republican, while Arizona has become a key swing state targeted by both parties.Tester, 66, said it is not certain he will seek a fourth term. “I’m going to make this decision based on my effectiveness and my family,” he said Friday.Joe Biden called three Democratic midterm winners on Saturday to offer congratulations, CNN reports.The president phoned Maryland congressman David Trone, representative Pat Ryan from New York, and the newly re-elected Arizona senator Mark Kelly, the network said.Biden “made a congratulatory call to congressman David Trone from Phnom Penh, Cambodia at 11.39pm local time”, the White House said.Biden is in Cambodia at the Association of South-east Asian Nations summit, after attending the Cop27 climate conference in Egypt on Friday.Here’s where things stand midway through a potentially decisive day for control of the Senate, as counting continues in the midterm elections:
The Republican who must win his Senate challenge in Nevada if his party is to seize control of the chamber is admitting his path to victory is “narrowing”. Adam Laxalt, who leads by just 862 votes, says mail-in ballots are favoring Democratic incumbent Catherine Cortez Masto at a greater rate than he expected.
Mark Kelly, whose win over Donald Trump-endorsed Blake Masters in Arizona put Democrats on the brink of retaining Senate control, criticized election deniers and praised Republican predecessor John McCain in a morning victory speech in Phoenix.
The race for Georgia’s Senate seat, which will be decided in a 6 December runoff between Democratic incumbent Raphael Warnock and challenger Herschel Walker, will see Pac-funded negative attack ads questioning the Republican’s character, CNN reports.
Police in Phoenix say no powder was found in “suspicious” envelopes sent to the headquarters of extremist Republican governor candidate Kari Lake’s campaign last week. Lake continues to trail Democrat Katie Hobbs by a narrow margin.
Adam Laxalt, who must win his Senate challenge to Catherine Cortez Masto in Nevada if Republicans are to have any chance of retaking control of the chamber, is acknowledging that the race could be slipping away.In a Saturday tweet, Laxalt says early ballots dropped off on election day, and currently being tallied, and which have narrowed his lead to 862 votes, are breaking for his Democratic opponent at a greater rate than he expected.“This has narrowed our victory window,” he wrote on Twitter.In the 2020 presidential election, ballots counted after election day largely favored Democrats.Laxalt said the result depended on where the outstanding votes are coming from. “If they are GOP precincts or slightly DEM leaning then we can still win. If they continue to trend heavy DEM then she will overtake us,” he wrote.Here is where we are — we are up only 862 votes. Multiple days in a row, the mostly mail in ballots counted continue to break in higher DEM margins than we calculated. This has narrowed our victory window. The race will come down to 20-30K Election Day Clark drop off ballots.— Adam Paul Laxalt (@AdamLaxalt) November 12, 2022
Earlier, the Republican candidate appeared more confident, stating in a Friday night tweet that he expected “her percentages to continue to remain under what she needs”.There is no indication yet when the race might be called, but today is the last day for Nevada mail-in ballots to arrive and be counted, as long as they were postmarked by the 8 November election day.A Cortez Masto victory would retain Democratic control of the Senate for another two years, and lessen the importance of 6 December runoff between Democrat Raphael Warnock and Republican Herschel Walker in Georgia.Mark Kelly, whose win in his Senate race in Arizona moved Democrats to within one seat of retaining control of the chamber, has slammed election deniers and praised his late predecessor, Republican John McCain, in a victory speech in Phoenix.Kelly was speaking to jubilant supporters on Saturday morning, with his wife Gabby Giffords, a former Democratic congresswoman who was shot and badly injured in an attempted assassination 11 years ago, at his side.Kelly also praised election workers, Republican and Democrat, who he said had done the “important work of making sure Arizonans’ voices are heard”:.css-knbk2a{height:1em;width:1.5em;margin-right:3px;vertical-align:baseline;fill:#C70000;}After a long election it can be tempting to remain focused on the things that divide us, but we’ve seen the consequences that come when leaders refuse to accept the truth and focus more on conspiracies of the past than solving the challenges that we face today.
And for the past two years, as we face these challenges, not a day has gone by where I have not remembered that I am sitting in the Senate seat [of] Senator John McCain.
Senator McCain embodied everything that was to be a leader at a time when our state and our country remain divided. His legacy of building bridges and focusing on Arizona is an example of what we all should do and what we should look to.The run-off for Georgia’s Senate seat between incumbent Democrat Raphael Warnock and his Republican challenger Herschel Walker is about turn nasty, CNN reports.Attack advertising against the Walker campaign is set to launch Saturday, the network says, funded by a Democratic super political action committee (super Pac) that seeks to secure a victory for Warnock in the 6 December election.The ad, titled Shown Us and made by Georgia Honor, a group tied to the Senate Majority Pac, questions the character of Walker, a former football player. Walker’s troubled general election campaign saw him fending off domestic violence accusations and reports he had paid for abortions.Walker is, the ad claims, according to CNN, “a liar who has a ‘long record of violence toward women’”.A narrator says: “Herschel Walker has shown us who he is. Herschel Walker is unfit for office.”Meanwhile, a video of Walker calling America “the greatest country in the US” at a rally on Thursday has gone viral, Newsweek reports.The gaffe has amassed half a million views on Twitter, the outlet says.Warnock, a Black pastor who unseated the Republican Kelly Loeffler last year in a run-off following the 2020 election, leads his challenger in this year’s race. But with neither candidate achieving 50% of the vote, a runoff is necessary under Georgia law.Depending on the result in the only other outstanding Senate race in Nevada, the December result could determine who controls the chamber for the next two years.We’re still waiting for updates on Nevada’s pivotal senate race, but we do know that Republican Joe Lombardo, a Trump-backed sheriff, will occupy the governor’s mansion.Lombardo’s contest with incumbent Steve Sisolak was called by the Associated Press late on Friday, restoring his party to state governorship after a single term of office for the beaten Democrat.“It appears we will fall a percentage point or so short of winning,” Sisolak said in a statement conceding the race to Lombardo shortly after a batch of vote results was reported in Clark county on Friday night.“That is why I reached out to the sheriff to wish him success.”The count of ballots in Nevada took several days partly due to a provision of a broad mail voting law passed by the state legislature in 2020. It requires counties to accept ballots postmarked by election day if they arrive up to four days later.Counting in the close Senate race between Democrat Catherine Cortez Masto and her Republican challenger Adam Laxalt continues.Read more:Joe Lombardo, Trump-backed Republican sheriff, wins Nevada governor race Read moreFrom deep dives into voter demographics and algorithms predicting results, to analysis of mail-in versus in-person balloting, there is no disputing the rise of the importance of data in any modern election cycle.In an impressive study of critical information for the Washington Post, reporter María Luisa Paúl has found that 10% of the new US Senate from January will be men named John or Jon.Democrat John Fetterman, senator-elect for Pennsylvania, will be among the most prominent after flipping the previously Republican-held seat with his victory over Mehmet Oz.There will be 10 of them in the chamber for the 118th Congress, with or without the “h”, Paúl says.Johns and Jons are about to make up 10 percent of the U.S. Senate https://t.co/hWAhRYvIlQ— The Washington Post (@washingtonpost) November 12, 2022
Four are Democrats: Fetterman, John Hickenlooper (Colorado), Jon Ossoff (Georgia) and Jon Tester (Montana).The other six are Republicans: John Barrasso (Wyoming), John Boozman (Arkansas), John Cornyn (Texas), John Hoeven (North Dakota), John Kennedy (Louisiana) and John Thune (South Dakota).The name’s popularity in politics doesn’t extend just to the Senate, the Post notes. Four of the 46 US presidents to date were named John: John Adams, John Quincy Adams, John Tyler, and John Fitzgerald Kennedy.The day before your daughter’s wedding would usually be a time to check on last minute arrangements. Have the flowers arrived? Is my suit pressed? Is my father of the bride speech ready?Donald Trump, however, was mostly busy elsewhere on Friday, the eve of Saturday’s wedding of his youngest daughter Tiffany Trump to Michael Boulos at the family’s Mar-a-Lago resort in Florida.As the Guardian’s Hugo Lowell reports, as well as continuing to fire off furious social media messages following the Republicans’ disappointing performance in the midterms, Trump filed a lawsuit seeking to block the House January 6 select committee’s subpoena demanding testimony in the investigation into Capitol attack.The suit appears to reflect an attempt by the former president to delay compliance with the sprawling subpoena, in an effort that could culminate in a constitutional showdown with the House of Representatives before the US supreme court.“Former President Trump turns to the courts to preserve his rights and Executive Branch independence consistently upheld by the courts and endorsed by the Department of Justice,” Trump’s attorneys wrote in a 41-page submission filed in federal court in West Palm Beach, Florida.Read the full story:Trump files lawsuit to block House Capitol attack panel’s subpoenaRead morePolice say there was no powder in a “suspicious” envelope opened earlier this week at the campaign headquarters of Kari Lake, the Republican candidate for governor of Arizona.Phoenix police spokesperson Donna Rossi said that “the state lab tested the items turned over to them,” the Arizona Republic reported. The lab “determined there was no substance inside.”Phoenix police and fire officials said they were called to the building around 2am Sunday, on a report of an envelope containing suspicious white powder. Lake closed the office temporarily.Police said at the time there were no reports of injuries or illness, though Lake’s campaign had said the staff member who opened the envelope was under medical supervision, the Associated Press reported.Democrat Katie Hobbs held a narrow lead over Lake, a Donald Trump acolyte and election denier, as counting continued in the key battleground state on Saturday morning.The supreme court’s June decision to strip federal abortion rights was a key election issue for many midterm voters. My colleague Lauren Gambino looks at how it held back a Republican “red wave”:This summer, after a tectonic decision by the supreme court to overturn Roe v Wade eliminated the nearly 50-year constitutional right to abortion, Joe Biden predicted American women would revolt. Republicans, however, saw a “red wave” brewing, fueled by widespread economic discontent.On Thursday, after Democrats defied historical expectations in the first major election of the post-Roe era, Biden effectively declared: “I told ya so.”“Women in America made their voices heard, man,” the president told a crowd of supporters at the Howard Theater in Washington on Thursday. “Y’all showed up and beat the hell out of them.”The 2022 midterm elections were expected to usher in staggering losses for Democrats. The party in power typically fares poorly, and with Biden’s approval ratings mired in the low 40s, Republicans were expected to make significant gains.That is not how the results unfolded. As the vote count continues in several key races, Republicans appear on track to win a far narrower House majority than they hoped, while Democrats may retain control of the Senate.As a fuller portrait of the results emerges, advocates, Democrats and even some Republicans say one thing is clear: abortion proved a defining issue. Fury over the loss of federal abortion protections galvanized women and young people and delivered a string of unexpected victories for Democrats and new protections for reproductive rights.“You cannot have half of the population have their body autonomy put under threat and not expect it to be mobilizing,” said Heidi Sieck, the CEO and co-founder of #VoteProChoice. “And that’s what we saw across the board with young people showing up, women showing up, newly registered women being more than two-thirds of the newly registered voters.”Exit polls conducted for news networks by Edison Research showed that abortion was the top issue for many Americans, especially young people under the age of 30. And about 60% of voters said they were dissatisfied or angry with the supreme court’s decision to overturn Roe, according to exit polls conducted by AP Votecast.Read the full story:How the fall of Roe shattered Republicans’ midterm dreamsRead moreEver heard a tale about a reality television star deciding to change career, mounting an unexpected run for political office, then winning?It’s happened again in Kentucky, where Republican Nick Wilson, a former champion of the Survivor game show, will sit in the state’s House of Representatives after being elected unopposed in his district.In parallels (kind of) to Donald Trump’s political career, Wilson, 32, banked $1m as the champion of Survivor’s David v Goliath edition in 2018, outlasting a large field of fellow contestants, but wasn’t so successful in his second attempt on a reunion show in 2020, when he was unceremoniously voted out by his tribe.Wilson, a former assistant commonwealth attorney for Whitley county, replaces retiring Republican Regina Huff, who endorsed him.The tribe has spoken and past “Survivor” winner Nick Wilson is in the house … Kentucky’s House of Representatives, that is!!! https://t.co/n1TnkDNyZw— TMZ (@TMZ) November 11, 2022
While we were largely focused on the US Senate race in Arizona, other contests in the state have also been closely watched. As my colleague Ed Pilkington writes, the victory of Adrian Fontes, the Democratic candidate for secretary of state, may come to be seen as one of the most significant results of the 2022 elections in terms of the future of American democracy.Fontes beat Mark Finchem, a rabid election denier and member of the far-right Oath Keepers militia who was present at the US Capitol on the day of the 6 January 2021 insurrection.Finchem has made repeated efforts to overturn Joe Biden’s win in Arizona in the 2020 election, in favor of his idol Donald Trump.By frustrating Finchem’s efforts to secure the secretary of state position, Fontes, a former Marine, has prevented both local and federal election administration in Arizona falling into the hands of an avid opponent of democratic norms. pic.twitter.com/VjYqFb7NVV— Adrian Fontes (@Adrian_Fontes) November 12, 2022
Had Finchem come out on top, as some polls suggested he might in the final stretch of the campaign, he would have been placed to radically alter Arizona’s handling of elections and could even have subverted the outcome of the 2024 presidential battle.“I promise always to honor and defend the ideal of fair and honest elections with the voters of Arizona and I will help reignite the flame of unity in our Republic,” Fontes tweeted after his victory was confirmed last night. Read the full story:Adrian Fontes wins highly contested secretary of state in ArizonaRead moreGood morning US politics blog readers, and welcome to a rare weekend edition covering the ongoing midterm election!It could be a decisive day for control of the US Senate, where the results in only two states – Nevada and Georgia – are still outstanding, and the balance of power in the chamber remains delicately poised at 49-49.With the race in Georgia heading to a 6 December runoff, and Democrat Mark Kelly having been declared the victor in Arizona late on Friday, that leaves all eyes on the pivotal Nevada nailbiter between the incumbent Democrat, Catherine Cortez Masto, and her Republican challenger, Adam Laxalt.Even if we don’t get a result today, we are expecting to see more votes tallied in a race Laxalt led by a mere 862 at breakfast time from almost a million counted.A Cortez Masto victory would keep the Senate in Democrat hands for the next two years, as the party would have the tie-breaking vote of vice-president Kamala Harris. Republicans must win both Nevada and Georgia to wrest control.Counting also continues in various races for the House of Representatives, where Republicans are closing on a narrower victory than expected.We’ll bring you all the developments as they come in through the day. While we wait, here’s a primer on the state of play in Nevada and elsewhere:All eyes on Nevada as Senate control hangs in balanceRead more More
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US midterm elections results 2022: live
by Evelyn Reynolds 12 November 2022, 10:05
US midterm elections results 2022: liveFull live results of the Congressional midterms, seat by seat, as electors across the US vote to decide whether the Republicans or Democrats will control the House of Representatives and Senate
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.gv-section:last-of-type:after,.ios .gv-section:last-of-type:after{width:calc(100% + 8px)}.android .headline.selectable,.ios .headline.selectable{color:#fff!important;display:inline;background:#121212!important;box-shadow:10px 0 0 #121212,0 0 0 #121212;font-size:36px;line-height:40px;font-weight:700;-webkit-box-decoration-break:clone;-ms-box-decoration-break:clone;-o-box-decoration-break:clone;box-decoration-break:clone;padding-left:10px;padding-right:0;margin-top:60px;padding-bottom:0;margin-left:10px}.android .standfirst.selectable,.ios .standfirst.selectable{margin-top:10px}.android .mt-how,.ios .mt-how{margin-top:-16px!important;margin-bottom:24px!important}.android .mt-how a,.ios .mt-how a{font-size:14px!important}Updating …Latest resultsHouse 18 hours agoDemocrats win Arizona 4thSenate 18 hours agoDemocrats hold ArizonaHouse 19 hours agoDemocrats win California 38thGovernors 20 hours agoRepublicans flip NevadaHouse 21 hours agoDemocrats win Nevada 3rdHouse 21 hours agoDemocrats win Nevada 4thHouse 21 hours agoDemocrats win Nevada 1stHouse a day agoDemocrats win Maryland 6thHouse a day agoDemocrats win New York 18thHouse 2 days agoRepublicans win Arizona 2ndHouse 2 days agoRepublicans win California 40thHouse 2 days agoDemocrats win California 46thHouse 2 days agoDemocrats win Washington 8thGovernors 2 days agoDemocrats hold OregonHouse 2 days agoDemocrats win Oregon 4thHouse 2 days agoDemocrats win California 37thHouse 2 days agoDemocrats win California 29thHouse 2 days agoDemocrats win California 16thHouse 2 days agoDemocrats win Illinois 17thHouse 2 days agoRepublicans win California 23rdHouse 2 days agoDemocrats win New Mexico 2ndHouse 2 days agoRepublicans win Montana 1stHouse 3 days agoDemocrats win Connecticut 5thHouse 3 days agoRepublicans win New Jersey 7thHouse 3 days agoDemocrats win Washington 10thHouse 3 days agoDemocrats win California 31stHouse 3 days agoDemocrats win California 39thHouse 3 days agoDemocrats win California 33rdHouse 3 days agoDemocrats win California 28thHouse 3 days agoDemocrats win California 25thOverviewHow does the election work?SenateDemocrats* 49+1Republicans-14951 to win***includes independents**vice-president (Dem) has casting vote***Alaska not called but winner will be Republicanno electionno election33 of 35 races called ***HouseDemocrats 199-9Republicans+7211218 to win410 of 435 races called BattlegroundsDemocratRepublicanIndependent/OtherSeat changed handsMany seats in United States elections always go to the same party. So control of the Senate and House of Representatives depends on a relatively small number of competitive seats, or “battlegrounds”. Election experts rank the competitive seats as more or less likely to return a Republican or Democrat. This gives a clue to how the election is evolving overall; if Democrats are winning seats that were thought likely to go Republican, it may be an indication they will do well overall. Simplistically, blue shapes on the right of the following charts signal a good night for Biden and the Democrats, and red shapes on the left signal the opposite.DemocratRepublicanIndependent/OtherSeat changed handsSenateAfter flipping a Senate seat in Pennsylvania, the Democrats hampered Republican hopes of controlling the upper house. This could depend on the December election in Georgia after the Senate race there advanced to a run-off.Full results mapLikely DemocratCOWALean DemocratNHToss-upAZGANVPAWILean RepublicanNCOHLikely RepublicanFLIAUTno resultHouseThe House looks set to flip to the Republicans but a
‘red wave’ has failed to materialise. Key seats include Iowa’s 3rd
district and Colorado’s 8th.Full results mapLikely DemocratLean DemocratToss-upLean RepublicanLikely Republicanno resultDemocracy is under threat. Support independent journalism.From voting rights to climate collapse to reproductive freedom, the stakes couldn’t be higher in these midterm elections. Help us shine a light on the most pressing issues facing America.Show your supportHow do the elections work?All 435 seats in the lower chamber of the federal congress, the House of Representatives, are re-elected every two years. (There are no term limits, and incumbents are often returned, so there is substantial continuity in the membership). House seats are broadly proportional to population, so California has lots of seats but Montana only a few.The upper chamber, the Senate, has 100 seats; two for each state, however populous. In every even-numbered year, roughly one-third of senators are elected for a six-year term. Legislation has to pass both chambers to become law. Senators have some additional responsibilities compared with their colleagues in the House; chiefly these have to do with confirming (or not) presidential appointments.Governors are not part of Congress. Their impact is mostly local to their own state, but because they can affect electoral law or practice, they can affect future federal elections.Going into the election the Democratic party of the president, Joe Biden, controlled both chambers of Congress, but by very narrow margins. In the Senate, a 50-50 split would mean a casting vote went to the vice-president, Kamala Harris. (In practice the casting vote more often went to Joe Manchin, a Democratic senator representing a largely Republican state).These elections are called midterms because they happen in the middle of a four-year presidential term. They are difficult for sitting presidents because the presidential party often does badly in them, and because losing control of Congress makes it more difficult for the president to pursue his or her agenda.About these resultsThe results are provided by the Associated Press, or AP, who have rigorous criteria for “calling” election races; that is, for reporting a winner. Redrawing of House districts this year following the 2020 census mean AP is not reporting “flips”, or seats where the sitting party changes. The redistricting means that in a few seats there are two incumbent representatives competing for a new district. It may also impact the change figures seen on the House results summary bar. It is possible that some seats will count 100% of votes without a winner becoming apparent because of laws that trigger an automatic recount in races that are very close. More
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The Worrying Consequences of the January 6 Insurrection
by Philippa Kaur 12 November 2022, 09:56
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The Worrying Consequences of the January 6 Insurrection

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