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      Biden’s State of the Union guests include mother whose IVF was canceled and Kate Cox

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      An Alabama mother who saw a second round of IVF canceled after the state supreme court ruled that embryos were children and a Texas mother forced to travel outside her state for a doctor-recommended abortion were due to attend Joe Biden’s State of the Union address on Thursday, as guests of the first lady, Jill Biden.The White House said the cases of LaTorya Beasley of Birmingham, Alabama, and Kate Cox, from Dallas, Texas, showed “how the overturning of Roe v Wade has disrupted access to reproductive healthcare for women and families across the country”.Roe v Wade, the US supreme court ruling that guaranteed federal abortion rights, was overturned by the rightwing-dominated court in June 2022.Last month, the Alabama IVF decision caused national uproar. As Democrats seized on a rightwing threat to reproductive rights of the kind that has fueled a string of successful election campaigns, Republicans scrambled to say they supported IVF. On Wednesday the Republican Alabama governor, Kay Ivey, signed a law protecting IVF providers.In a statement, the White House said: “Stories like Kate’s and LaTorya’s should never happen in America. But Republican elected officials want to impose this reality on women nationwide.”Amanda Zurawski, a Texas woman who nearly died of septic shock when she was denied a medically necessary abortion, is also due to attend.Republicans are on the defensive. At an event hosted by Axios in Washington on Thursday, Byron Donalds, a far-right Florida congressman touted as a vice-presidential pick for Donald Trump, parried repeated questions about whether federal protection was needed but said: “IVF is a procedure many couples use throughout our country.” Donalds also said he supported six-week abortion bans.The head of Donalds’ caucus, Mike Johnson, the US House speaker, also used his State of the Union guest list to highlight reproductive rights as an political issue, inviting Janet Durig, executive director of the Capitol Hill Pregnancy Center in Washington DC, described as “one of the hundreds of pro-life centers or churches targeted and vandalised” after the fall of Roe v Wade.State of the Union guest lists are political by definition. Johnson’s list reflected the Republican agenda, highlighting crime (which is down nationwide), the fallout from the withdrawal from Afghanistan, and support for Israel in its war with Hamas.Among Johnson’s guests were two parents of US service members killed in the evacuation of Kabul in 2021; the mother and son of a US-Israeli soldier held hostage by Hamas; and a French-Israeli hostage released by Hamas.Johnson also invited the parents of Evan Gershkovich, a Wall Street Journal reporter held in Russia; two New York police officers “attacked in January by a mob of illegal immigrants in Times Square”; parents of people killed by a person who is undocumented and by fentanyl poisoning; the widow of Mike Gill, a former Trump administration official killed by a carjacker in Washington; campaigners against trans participation in women’s sports; the Turkish basketball star and campaigner Enes Freedom; and the pastor of Johnson’s Louisiana church.Announcing its own list, the White House said guests were picked “because they personify issues or themes to be addressed by the president in his speech, or they embody the Biden-Harris administration’s policies at work for the American people”.Other guests set to sit with Jill Biden and Doug Emhoff, husband of the vice-president, Kamala Harris, included an oncology nurse and a cancer patient; a gun control advocate from Uvalde, Texas, the scene of an elementary school massacre; the president of the United Auto Workers and a member of that union; and a veteran of Bloody Sunday, the historic civil rights march in Selma, Alabama, in 1965.The governor of the Gilar River Indian Community in Arizona, a naval commander back from protecting Red Sea shipping against attacks by Houthi rebels in Yemen, the women’s health advocate Maria Shriver, and a military spouse were also set to attend.Ulf Kristersson, the prime minister of Sweden, a new Nato ally, accepted an invitation. But two other high-profile international figures turned the Bidens down: Yulia Navalnya, widow of the deceased Russian opposition leader Alexei Navalny, and Olena Zelenska, first lady of Ukraine.Thanks to opposition from Johnson (and Trump), Congress is gridlocked on new aid for Ukraine in its war with Russia. The Washington Post also reported that Zelenska did not want to be associated with Navalnya because her husband once said Crimea was part of Russia, which annexed it from Ukraine in 2014. More

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      Johnson pleads for decorum from Republicans at Biden State of the Union

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      Mike Johnson, the Republican speaker of the US House, reportedly pleaded with his party to show “decorum” on Thursday, when Joe Biden comes to the chamber to deliver his State of the Union address.“Decorum is the order of the day,” Johnson said, according to an unnamed Republican who attended a closed-door event on Capitol Hill on Wednesday and was quoted by the Hill.The same site said another unnamed member of Congress said Johnson asked his party to “carry ourselves with good decorum”.A third Republican was quoted as saying, “He said, ‘Let’s have the appropriate decorum. We don’t need to be shrill, you know, we got to avoid that. We need to base things upon policy, upon facts, upon reality of situations.”Last year’s State of the Union saw outbursts from Republicans and responses from Biden that made headlines, most awarding the president the win.Kevin McCarthy, then speaker, also asked his Republican members not to breach decorum. But in a sign of his limited authority, months before he became the first speaker ejected by his own party, such pleas fell on deaf ears.When Biden said Republicans wanted to cut social security and Medicare, many Republicans shouted: “No!”Marjorie Taylor Greene of Georgia – apparently dressed as a Chinese spy balloon – yelled: “You lie! You lie! Liar!”Responding to widespread applause, Biden said: “As we all apparently agree, social security and Medicare are apparently off the books now … We’ve got unanimity!”Greene has form. In March 2022, she and Lauren Boebert, a fellow extremist from Colorado, repeatedly interrupted Biden’s first State of the Union.The two congresswomen tried to start a chant of “Build the wall”, referring to the southern border. Boebert shouted about the deaths of 13 US service members in Afghanistan. She was booed in return.Biden will give his third State of the Union at a key point in an election year, his rematch with Donald Trump all but confirmed, polling showing Trump in the lead.The third Republican who spoke to the Hill said Republicans attending Biden’s speech should let Democrats “do the gaslighting, let them do the blaming. I think the American people know who is responsible for the many worldwide crises that we have.”But a named Republican, Tim Burchett of Tennessee, said decorum would most likely not be maintained.“Will they do it?” Burchett said, of likely boos and catcalls at Biden. “Somebody asked me that earlier and I said, ‘Does the Baptist church got a bus?’ Of course they will because he’s gonna say some very offensive things, he’s gonna attack us.“I think we just need to try to be a little classy. Consider where we’re at, let the other side do that. You know, they did it to Trump, and nobody said boo, but when we do it we’re gonna get made an example of it.”Democrats did boo Trump. The most memorable State of the Union moment from his presidency, though, came in 2020, another election year, and was expressed in actions rather than words.After Trump finished speaking, Nancy Pelosi, then speaker of the House, stood behind him and theatrically ripped up his speech. More

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      It’s Trump v Biden again. Why were there no better options for voters? | Moira Donegan

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      You would hardly know from the 2024 cycle that primaries are supposed to be political contests. Each party’s primaries, if they can be called that, were long exercises in foregone conclusions. And so the primary process, which for nearly 60 years has been a popular contest in which each party’s internal factions jockeyed for position, worked to shape the party identity, and ultimately made their case to voters did not come to pass this year. Functionally, there were two incumbents. And functionally, neither party’s primary offered a meaningful opportunity for the expression of internal dissent.This did not change on Super Tuesday. Biden and Trump racked up delegates; the votes that were cast in the presidential contest were cast mostly in full awareness of their futility, the result already decided. There is one option labeled “R”, and one option labeled “D”. More than once throughout the campaign, I’ve imagined America’s political party leaders as cruel lunch ladies, slopping greyish gruel on to trays for an unappetized America. “You’ll eat it and you’ll like it.”Except nobody does like it. Poll after poll showed that voters did not want a rematch between Donald Trump and Joe Biden. In a healthier political system, this discontent with the two incumbents would be an opportunity for other ideas to emerge, for other candidates to make a case to the public. In ours, this dissatisfaction did nothing to affect the slow march to the inevitable. In leaks to the press, representatives from both campaigns have long been speaking of a pivot to the general, and of waiting for voters to let it sink in that the general election would in fact be between Trump and Biden. Like doctors giving a patient a bad prognosis, they seemed eager to skip over the formality of having to deal with how little they had satisfied their constituents, ready to get back to the part where they accrued more power for themselves.But the fact that both parties are sclerotic, slow-moving, captured by cynical necessity and immune from dissent should not suggest that there is any symmetry between them. Functionally, ours is now a unipolar national politics: Trump is the sole author of its controversies and the sole definer of its terms. The Republican party has remade itself in his image, and the Democratic party has struggled to represent all of those who reject him. Neither party was especially strong before Trump’s emergence, and perhaps in another world, the primary system would have collapsed this way even in his absence. But in this world, the force of Trump is what broke the primaries, making every contest, on each side, little more than a referendum on him.On the Republican side, the farcical and juvenile little primary contest, which was never a real competition anyway, dwindled steadily and inevitably down to just two candidates: Donald Trump and the person whose futile candidacy was meant to stand in for all the aspirations of a non-Trump alternative, Nikki Haley. Once the other alternatives were gone, Haley garnered perhaps more support than was expected –showing that a small but sizable contingent of Republican voters are dissatisfied with Trump. But on Tuesday, she lost consistently by wide margins; her unhappy minority was always a small minority; there was not one day when the Republican primary was a real contest. It seems almost ridiculous now, remembering how at the beginning of 2023, some people thought that Ron DeSantis might actually have a chance. The ensuing months proved what we now know: there will never be another meaningfully competitive Republican primary for as long as Trump is alive. So long as he cares to run, it will always be his.The whole Republican party is his. It’s not just that Trump has no real Republican challengers for the presidency: it is that he seems to wield more or less sole authority over policy for all Republican federal elected officials. It was a nod from Trump that killed the draconian border and immigration bill that Democrats had assented to earlier this year – not because Trump did not like the policies, which were a litany of violent Republican priorities, but because he wanted to be able to continue to use immigration as a cudgel in an election year. And so the Republican party dropped one of its most longstanding goals – increasing cruelty to migrants – for the sake of Donald Trump’s personal political convenience. The Democrats, of course, took this as a win: they wanted to be able to say to the American people that they tried to hand all power and policy over to the Republicans, but that the Republicans are too incompetent and internally corrupt to let them.This incident, and the Democrats’ response to it, serves as a decent metaphor for the status of the party: a frantic and committed compliance. Since Donald Trump’s rise, and particularly since the cruelty, disfunction and anti-democratic potential of his tenure became clear during his first term, the Democratic party has become the receptacle for all the hopes of a resurgent left, from the Women’s March to Black Lives Matter. It was these voters, and their anger at Trump, that allowed Democrats to retake the House in 2018; it was these voters, and their anger at Dobbs, that allowed the party an unprecedented victory in the 2022 midterms. But the party has responded to these newly energized liberal voters with all the enthusiasm of someone finding something writhing and slimy under a rock. The party would rather chase centrist and conservative voters who are permanently in thrall to Trump than service this base. They remain a center-right party, contrasting themselves to a far-right opposition. This, they say, is the only way they can win.And this is more or less the only option that their voters have. For all the rancor of the 2020 Democratic primary, that contest was never very competitive, either: Joe Biden was always the presumed frontrunner, and he solidified the nomination when he handily won South Carolina, a victory that showed support from Black voters, particularly older ones.But in 2024, that support seems to be dwindling. In part, it is dwindling because Biden has been so condescending and hostile to the resurgent left. He has repeatedly voiced his distaste for abortion, the issue that his campaign will hinge on; his administration has severely bungled its response to Arab American and pro-Palestinian voters who are angry at Biden’s support for Israel’s genocidal war on Gaza.Ordinarily, this would be a moment for a leftwing challenger to emerge, to raise the salience of progressive issues and exert influence over the party, even if such a challenge could not capture the ticket. But the necessity of defeating Donald Trump has made such a contest seem unacceptably risky: aside from Dean Phillips, a centrist footnote of a presidential candidate, Biden has had no primary challenge. Concerns about his candidacy have taken on a pretext of being about his age, his energy. But what is really at stake is the fragility of the anti-Trump coalition. Real political struggle, both within the Democratic party and in the nation as a whole, has been largely suspended for the sake of defeating Donald Trump and his threat to constitutional democracy. But Donald Trump keeps on not being defeated.
      Moira Donegan is a Guardian US columnist More

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      Trump claims he will debate Biden ‘anytime, anywhere’ as US election rivals chase Haley voters after her exit – as it happened

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      As Nikki Haley announced the end to her presidential campaign and effectively ceded the 2024 Republican nomination to Donald Trump, the fight to win over her supporters began.The former South Carolina governor and Trump’s UN ambassador did not endorse her former boss during her speech on Wednesday, instead saying that it was up to him to “earn” the support of her voters. Whether Haley will endorse him is now a central campaign question for Trump.Both Joe Biden and Trump quickly released statements calling on Haley voters to join their team – although using very different language. While Biden praised Haley for “speaking the truth” about Trump, Trump said he had “trounced” her in the Super Tuesday contests. Following her speech announcing her exit from the race, Trump’s campaign in a fundraising email falsely claimed that Haley had endorsed his candidacy.Despite enduring a long string of losses, exit polls showed Haley’s strength among suburban women and independents – key constituencies in a general election that she warned Trump was continuing to alienate. A sizable share of her supporters – and Republican voters more broadly – say they would not vote for a candidate convicted of a crime.Nearly 570,000 voters in the key battleground states of Nevada, North Carolina and Michigan voted for Haley, Reuters reported, a small but potentially significant group in races that have been decided by tiny margins in recent elections.A group that had targeted independents and Democrats to vote for Haley over Trump in Republican primaries is now pushing those voters to back Biden in November.
      Donald Trump and Joe Biden are set for a rematch in the November election, after Nikki Haley announced the end of her presidential campaign after being soundly defeated in coast-to-coast Super Tuesday contests. Haley declined to immediately endorse the former president as nearly all of his other Republican rivals did, instead challenging Trump to earn the support of her voters.
      Joe Biden praised the “courage” he said Haley displayed in seeking the Republican nomination despite knowing it was likely to provoke the wrath of Trump and his most loyal supporters. By contrast, Donald Trump attacked her in a social media post, accusing his rival of drawing support from “Radical Left Democrats” and downplaying her sole win in Vermont.
      Mitch McConnell, the Republican leader in the US Senate, endorsed Donald Trump for president despite years of acrimony between the pair including Trump calling McConnell a “piece of shit” and using racist invective in attacks against his wife.
      Dean Phillips, the Minnesota congressman running against Biden in the Democratic primary dropped out of the race, ending a long-shot bid to stop the US president from winning the nomination.
      Joe Biden and Donald Trump largely cruised to easy victories on Super Tuesday. Biden won every contest except American Samoa, while Trump won everything except Vermont, where Haley scored a close surprise victory.
      Biden faced his biggest challenge so far from an ongoing protest vote against his stance on the Israel-Gaza war. The “uncommitted” campaign is moving nationally to push Biden on the issue, calling for a permanent ceasefire in Gaza.
      Elon Musk, one of the world’s richest people, said he will not donate money to either Biden or Trump. His statement came after reports that Musk met with Trump in Florida over the weekend.
      TheUS supreme court has scheduled argument hearings surrounding Trump’s claim of immunity from prosecution in his involvement in the 2020 presidential overturn efforts.
      Senate Republican leader Mitch McConnell has defended his decision to endorse Donald Trump for president despite years of acrimony, including Trump calling McConnell a “piece of shit” and attacking his wife in racist terms.Asked by a reporter how he reconciles his endorsement with the fact that he said Trump was “practically and morally responsible” for the January 6 insurrection, McConnell replied:
      February 25th, 2021, shortly after the attack on the Capitol, I was asked a similar question, and I said I would support the nominee for president even if it were the former president.
      Donald Trump has called for debates with Joe Biden on issues that are “vital to America, and the American people”.In a post on his TruthSocial platform, Trump said:
      It is important, for the Good of our Country, that Joe Biden and I Debate Issues that are so vital to America, and the American People. Therefore, I am calling for Debates, ANYTIME, ANYWHERE, ANYPLACE!
      As Nikki Haley announced the end to her presidential campaign and effectively ceded the 2024 Republican nomination to Donald Trump, the fight to win over her supporters began.The former South Carolina governor and Trump’s UN ambassador did not endorse her former boss during her speech on Wednesday, instead saying that it was up to him to “earn” the support of her voters. Whether Haley will endorse him is now a central campaign question for Trump.Both Joe Biden and Trump quickly released statements calling on Haley voters to join their team – although using very different language. While Biden praised Haley for “speaking the truth” about Trump, Trump said he had “trounced” her in the Super Tuesday contests. Following her speech announcing her exit from the race, Trump’s campaign in a fundraising email falsely claimed that Haley had endorsed his candidacy.Despite enduring a long string of losses, exit polls showed Haley’s strength among suburban women and independents – key constituencies in a general election that she warned Trump was continuing to alienate. A sizable share of her supporters – and Republican voters more broadly – say they would not vote for a candidate convicted of a crime.Nearly 570,000 voters in the key battleground states of Nevada, North Carolina and Michigan voted for Haley, Reuters reported, a small but potentially significant group in races that have been decided by tiny margins in recent elections.A group that had targeted independents and Democrats to vote for Haley over Trump in Republican primaries is now pushing those voters to back Biden in November.A group of House Democrats have warned Joe Biden that an anticipated Israeli invasion of Rafah could violate the US’s conditions on sending military aid to Israel.More than three dozen House Democrats have sent a letter to the White House writing that a Rafah invasion “would likely contravene” principles outlined in a memo Biden signed last month that US military aid be used in accordance with international law, Axios reported. The letter reads:
      While we continue to urge Israel to avoid an expanded operation in Rafah, we share your obvious concern about the absence of a credible plan for the safety and support of the more than one million civilians sheltering in Rafah.
      The Biden administration has faced growing calls from Democrats to push Israel to ease the devastating humanitarian crisis in Gaza, with some saying they may try to stop military assistance if conditions for civilians do not improve, Reuters reported.The supreme court has scheduled argument hearings surrounding Donald Trump’s claim of immunity from prosecution in his involvement in the 2020 presidential overturn efforts.The supreme court has scheduled the hearing for 25 April, the last day of hearings for this court term.Last Wednesday, the supreme court agreed to hear the former president’s claims that he cannot be prosecuted for his efforts in attempting to overturn the 2020 presidential election. The supreme court’s decision to hear his claims comes after a federal appeals court in February categorically rejected Trump’s claim that he is immune from criminal prosecution.The supreme court’s decision to hear Trump’s claims marks the court’s direct entry into the 2024 presidential election, and will potentially determine whether Trump will go to trial prior to election day on 5 November.CodePink, a feminist and anti-war advocacy organization, is urging voters to plan a “sit in” in Nancy Pelosi’s office on the eve of International Women’s Day to “expose her faux feminism”.In a statement released on Wednesday, the group, along with Mothers and Daughters Against Genocide, said that they are targeting the former House speaker because “she has the power and position to lead on women’s rights and be a true champion for reproductive justice; however, she instead chooses to support and fund the genocide in Gaza.”They went on to add:
      The group will be there to point out her blatant feminist hypocrisy and her silence and complicity regarding the US-supported genocide in Gaza. The group’s demands for the women of Congress to call for an immediate and permanent ceasefire, an end to US funding and military assistance to Israel, and to restore funding the UNRWA for the continuation of humanitarian aid to Gaza.
      Earlier this year, Pelosi, who has repeatedly expressed support for Israel, faced backlash after she condemned pro-ceasefire supporters by accusing them of having ties to Russia and spreading “Mr Putin’s message”.Since 7 October, Israel has killed over 30,000 Palestinians, the majority being women and children. Numerous UN agencies have warned of the increasing dangers faced by Palestinian women amid the humanitarian crisis, including malnutrition, lack of food security, and gender-based violence, among other risks.Grassroots organizations’ attempts to push for an “uncommitted” vote in Minnesota have manifested in the allocation of 11 national delegates to the Democratic National Convention.In a statement released on Wednesday, Minnesota’s Democratic Farmer Labor Party (DFL) announced that Joe Biden won 64 of the 75 delegates that were at stake in the DFL presidential primary while uncommitted won 11 delegates.Since last October, grassroots organizations across the country have been urging voters to vote “uncommitted” in protest against Biden’s support for Israel.Last month, over 100,000 voters in Michigan voted “uncommitted”, marking 13.2% of the state’s Democratic primary.The increasing pushes for “uncommitted” votes come amid a horrifying humanitarian crisis in Gaza where Israeli forces have killed over 30,000 Palestinians since last October while forcibly displacing approximately 2 million survivors.Moreover, with the Biden administration repeatedly bypassing Congress to approve the sale of weapons to Israel, many young, Arab American and Muslim voters across the country have become disenchanted with the Democratic president and his “inept” outreach.Liz Cheney, former Republican congresswoman and fierce Donald Trump critic, is urging supporters to join The Great Task, a Super Pac she is sponsoring which is “focused on reverence for the rule of law [and] respect for our constitution”.In a tweet on Wednesday following Nikki Haley’s announcement of her 2024 presidential race dropout, Cheney wrote:
      The GOP has chosen. They will nominate a man who attempted to overturn an election and seize power. We have eight months to save our republic and ensure Donald Trump is never anywhere near the Oval Office again. Join me in the fight for our nation’s freedom.
      With Haley’s dropout and Trump’s numerous victories on Super Tuesday, the rematch between Trump and Joe Biden in the upcoming general election is now set.In California, several key races remain undecided.Prop 1, a statewide ballot measure that California’s governor Gavin Newsom pushed as a way to tackle the mental health and homelessness crises, has a very slight lead with about 50% of votes counted. The measure, which would reallocate some of the state’s mental health funds toward housing and treatment centers for severe mental illness and substance abuse disorders, has been slammed by disability advocates because it could facilitate involuntary institutionalization. Local governments have also opposed the measure because it would effectively defund community-based preventive treatment programs.In Los Angeles county, a highly contested district attorney race remains up in the air. The current progressive DA, George Gascón, was leading – followed closely by a slew of opponents looking to undo his reforms. They including Nathan Hochman, a former federal prosecutor and deputy district attorney Jonathan Hatami. The top two vote getters will advance to the November election.LA’s city council races will also be interesting to watch. Kevin De León, an incumbent who along with two other council members was secretly recorded making racist and disparaging remarks about constituents and colleagues, was leading ahead of seven opponents. After the scandal broke in 2022, even Joe Biden had called for León and two others to step down from the city council.Several key House races remain unclear. In California’s 22nd district, in the state’s Central Valley, incumbent Republican David Valdado has the lead followed by Democrat Rudy Salas. But Republican Chris Mathys is in third place. The top two vote-getters will advance – and Democrats are worried that state senator Melissa Hurtado, a Democrat trailing in fourth, would split voters, leading to two Republicans advancing to the general.In southern California’s 47th district, Republican Scott Baugh and Democratic state senator Dave Min were leading in early returns to fill the seat being vacated by Katie Porter (who lost her bid for the US senate).And in the coastal 49th district, incumbent Democrat Mike Levin has advanced to the November ballot, but it’s unclear who he’ll face. This is a district that Republicans are hoping to flip, and Republican Matt Gunderson, an auto dealer, appeared to be leading among the challengers.Dean Phillips has suspended his campaign for the 2024 Democratic presidential nomination, ending his long-shot primary challenge against Joe Biden.Phillips, in a radio interview on Wednesday, said:
      I’m going to suspend my campaign and I will be, right now, endorsing President Biden because the choices are so clear.
      In a social media post, the Minnesota congressman said it was “clear that Joe Biden is OUR candidate”, adding:
      I ask you join me in mobilizing, energizing, and doing everything you can to help keep a man of decency and integrity in the White House. That’s Joe Biden.
      Here’s a recap of the latest developments:
      Nikki Haley ended her presidential campaign after being soundly defeated in coast-to-coast Super Tuesday contests, in effect ceding the 2024 Republican nomination to Donald Trump. Haley declined to immediately endorse the former president as nearly all of his other Republican rivals did, instead she challenged Trump to earn the support of her voters.
      Joe Biden praised the “courage” he said Haley displayed in seeking the Republican nomination despite knowing it was likely to provoke the wrath of Trump and his most loyal supporters. By contrast, Donald Trump attacked her in a social media post, accusing his rival of drawing support from “Radical Left Democrats” and downplaying her sole win in Vermont.
      Mitch McConnell, the Republican leader in the US Senate, endorsed Donald Trump for president despite years of acrimony between the pair including Trump calling McConnell a “piece of shit” and using racist invective in attacks against his wife.
      Joe Biden and Donald Trump largely cruised to easy victories on Super Tuesday. Biden won every contest except American Samoa, while Trump won everything except Vermont, where Haley scored a close surprise victory.
      Biden faced his biggest challenge so far from an ongoing protest vote against his stance on the Israel-Gaza war. The uncommitted campaign is moving nationally to push Biden on the issue, calling for a permanent ceasefire in Gaza.
      Elon Musk, one of the world’s richest people, said he will not donate money to either Biden or Trump. His statement came after reports that Musk met with Trump in Florida over the weekend. Musk’s announcement does not rule out his support for either Trump or Biden in ways other than a direct donation, as he could donate to a Super Pac or group that benefits either candidate.
      Adam Schiff, the centrist Democratic congressman and longtime Trump antagonist, was declared the first-place winner to fill the California seat held by the late US senator Dianne Feinstein. He will face off with Republican Steve Garvey, a former professional baseball player, in November. It means that for the first time in more than three decades, California won’t have a woman in the Senate.
      Marjorie Taylor Greene, a far-right Republican congresswoman, Trump ally and potential vice-presidential pick told a British interviewer to “Fuck off”, when asked about her frequent repetition of conspiracy theories. More

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      Who is running for president in 2024? Biden, Trump and the full list of candidates

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      The 2024 election season is under way, with Donald Trump the lone Republican candidate left seeking to unseat the sitting president, Joe Biden. After the pandemic changed the way Americans campaigned and voted four years ago, and three years after thousands of rioters waged violent protest at the nation’s Capitol to upend the last election’s results, the US will face new obstacles in carrying out the democratic process.Here is the list of candidates in the primary elections as of Super Tuesday.@font-face{font-family:”Guardian Headline Full”;src:url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Light.woff2) format(“woff2”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Light.woff) format(“woff”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Light.ttf) format(“truetype”);font-weight:300;font-style:normal}@font-face{font-family:”Guardian Headline 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      Donald Trump
      Former president of the United States

      Former president Donald Trump is the top contender for the Republican party nomination, even as he faces several legal hurdles, including federal charges over obstructing justice and violating the Espionage Act. Trump, a longtime businessman, unsuccessfully ran for re-election as president in 2020, and refused to accept the outcome of the results. Trump most recently said he is pro-life, and would continue his hardline immigration stance in a second term if elected. He has also renewed attacks on trans people, especially athletes, and his anti-China agenda.
      Trump won big in Iowa, with 51% of votes – full Republican results
      In New Hampshire, Trump beat Haley by 10 points – full New Hampshire primary results
      Trump wins Nevada caucuses in effective one-horse race – Nevada primary results in full
      Trump beat Haley in her home state – full South Carolina primary results
      Trump defeats Haley in Michigan – full Michigan primary results
      Trump swept to victory in states across the US on Super Tuesday – full primary results
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      Joe Biden
      President of the United States

      Joe Biden is the likely Democratic nominee for the 2024 presidential election. He announced his campaign for re-election on 25 April 2023, exactly four years after he announced his previous, successful presidential campaign. While approval for Biden remains low, hovering just above 40%, political experts say he is the most likely candidate to defeat Donald Trump, the frontrunner for the Republican nomination. Biden has served in politics for over five decades and is running on a platform that includes abortion rights, gun reform and healthcare. At 81, he is the oldest president in US history.
      Biden took 96.2% of the vote in a write-in campaign in New Hampshire – full primary results
      Biden easily won first Democratic contest in South Carolina – full primary results
      Biden won the Democratic vote – full Nevada primary results
      Biden won but sheds support over Gaza – full Michigan primary results
      Biden swept to victory in states across the US on Super Tuesday – full primary results
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      Cenk Uygur
      Political commentator and media host

      Cenk Uygur announced the longest of long-shot campaigns in October. Now 53, the outspoken host of the progressive Young Turks TV show has no experience in elected office – though he did run for Congress in California in 2020 – but perhaps more importantly he was born in Istanbul, Turkey. Most legal scholars would say that makes him ineligible to be president, under article II, section I, clause 5 of the US constitution, which says only “natural born citizens” can hold the office. Uygur says otherwise, and promises to prove it in court. 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      Biden challenger Dean Phillips drops out of US presidential race

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      The Minnesota congressman running against Joe Biden in the Democratic primary dropped out of the race on Wednesday, ending a long-shot bid to stop the US president from winning the nomination. He endorsed the president.Dean Phillips, who represents a wealthier suburban area outside Minneapolis, entered the Democratic race seemingly against his will and against the advice of most of his Democratic colleagues. The congressman, who first took office in 2019, first tried to recruit more prominent Democrats to challenge Biden, publicly saying Biden needed to let the next generation lead the party.The announcement comes after he lost his home state of Minnesota, where he gave up a seat he flipped from Republicans in order to enter the presidential race.“I ran for Congress in 2018 to resist Donald Trump, I was trapped in the Capitol in 2021 because of Donald Trump, and I ran for President in 2024 to resist Donald Trump again – because Americans were demanding an alternative, and democracy demands options. But it is clear that alternative is not me,” he said on Twitter/X.“And it is clear that Joe Biden is OUR candidate and OUR opportunity to demonstrate what type of country America is and intends to be.”In his first election test, Phillips nabbed about 20% of the vote in New Hampshire, losing to Biden, whose name was not actually on the ballot.His campaign in New Hampshire was not without controversy: a former political consultant affiliated with Phillips’s campaign claimed responsibility for a now-infamous robocall in New Hampshire that urged voters not to show up to the polls; Phillips has denounced the robocall.Since then, Phillips’s momentum has fallen off, but he has stayed in the race – despite having no listed events and little, if any, campaigning happening in the field in any state. Even in his home state of Minnesota, there was no semblance of a campaign – no stops at local diners, no field office, no ground work.In Michigan, he lost to both an “uncommitted” vote that sought to protest against Biden’s inaction on a ceasefire in Gaza and to Marianne Williamson, the self-help author who had previously suspended her campaign. Williamson, buoyed by the results, made the unusual move to “un-suspend” her campaign.In mid-February, Phillips announced he had to lay off “a lot” of his staff because he had found it so hard to fundraise with an incumbent in the race. Phillips, the heir to a liquor empire, had previously given his campaign several million dollars to get up and running.“We can do it,” he said in a video announcing the layoffs. “We can do better. I love you all and thank you for keeping the faith. And join me, the Dean team, we can do it.”Phillips managed to strike both a self-deprecating earnestness about his own campaign while continually sounding an alarm that Biden cannot win and someone should do something about it – but maybe not him.skip past newsletter promotionafter newsletter promotion“If you resent me for the audacity to challenge Joe Biden, at least you’ll appreciate how relatively strong I’m making him look among primary voters!” Phillips wrote on X, adding a biceps emoji.He shared an opinion piece endorsing him the headline of which said: Vote for whatshisname. He made a meme of a Dean shoe, a Technicolor joke poking at Trump’s new sneaker. He played the guitar.He floated the idea of a “unity ticket” with the Republican candidate Nikki Haley, who has stuck in the GOP race despite repeated losses to Trump. He is still trying to goad other Democrats into the race, specifically calling on Democratic governors such as Gavin Newsom, Gretchen Whitmer and JB Pritzker to run.And he has complimented Biden, in a strange way: when a New York Times poll showed Biden trailing Trump and losing support from people who previously voted for him, Phillips cast doubt on the poll.“When the NYT/Siena poll shows me at 12%, you better believe it is flawed,” he wrote on X. “Only 5% even know who I am.” More

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      The not-so-Super Tuesday is over. America has two clear choices ahead | Cas Mudde

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      Not-so-Super Tuesday has made an end to two faux primaries, confirming what everyone has known for month: the presidential elections will be a repetition of those four years ago. Despite thousands of columns and hundreds of millions of campaign money, Donald Trump was unapproachable in the Republican primaries, while Joe Biden faced no real opponent and won without ever really campaigning. So, where does that leave the US?In many ways, the upcoming elections will be the same as most of the US presidential elections this century. The race will be between two unpopular candidates, who are mostly mobilizing an “anti-vote” based on a broadly shared narrative that this could be the last election to “save America”. But the situation is even worse than four years ago, because both the electoral context and political climate have worsened.US presidential elections have always been fundamentally undemocratic, because of the electoral college, an elitist safety-valve the Founding Fathers put in between the popular vote and the actual election of the president. Moreover, the voting process is extremely decentralized, which has facilitated voter intimidation and suppression, particularly targeting African Americans – but also, increasingly, Hispanics and college students.Ironically, given that one-third of Americans who believe Biden’s election was illegitimate, the 2020 presidential elections were the most “free and fair” in US history. While offering extensive new opportunities for absentee/mail voting, partly a consequence of the Covid-19 pandemic, experts declared the elections “the most secure in history”. Still, Republicans have weaponized their unfounded “stolen election” claim to limit the possibility to vote, mostly by passing restrictive voter ID and absentee/mail voting laws at the state level, and retake control of the election process.Today, more than 80% of Americans are worried about democracy in the US and about political violence in the future. In fact, this is one of the few things Democrats and Republicans (as well as independents) agree upon! Of course, they sharply disagree what is at stake and who is the main threat. Ironically, both are mostly right, largely because they stand for fundamentally contradictory Americas.The Republican claim that Democrats want to “destroy America” is based on Christian nationalism, which considers the US to be a “Christian nation”, based on the foundations of biblical values and the “traditional” (implicitly white) family. And it is true that most Democrats want to destroy this America, which might have been the reality of the country’s history, but is in clear opposition to its own (revered) constitution.In sharp contrast, most Democrats worry that another Trump presidency would mean the end of US liberal democracy, that is, the system enshrined in the constitution. And they are right too. Decades of radicalization have made the Republican party one of the most extreme far-right parties in the world, catering to an illiberal popular and media base that is largely in line with its paranoid and unhinged leader.It is too early to say which America will win in November. For now, ignore the polls, at least until October, as the key factor will be turnout, which will be largely determined by circumstances very close to election day. Like all but one presidential elections in the 21st century, the Democratic candidate will win the popular vote. But in an undemocratic regime like the US, this is no guarantee to also win the election. Given how close the results will probably be in several key states, we are in for a protracted legal battle should Trump lose, in which the increasingly partisan supreme court might have the final say.To prevent such an outcome, and ensure that US democracy prevails, at least for another four years, Democrats face a lot of challenges in the coming six months. While the Republican base is fired up, many (potential) Democrats are either “uncommitted” or weakly committed to Biden. At the same time, some liberal media, the New York Times in particular, seem determined to make the same mistake as with the “Clinton emails” in 2016, obsessing over Biden’s age and health.Let’s be clear, the age and health of both Biden and Trump are problematic for such a demanding and powerful position, but this is the choice the parties and primaries have given the US voter. Suggestions that the Democrats can still replace Biden and win against Trump are completely delusional. Not only are the Democratic electorate and politicians much more diverse and divided than the Republicans, but there is also no clear candidate who can unite them better than Biden or who has a name recognition that comes even close to that of Biden and Trump. Moreover, this new candidate would have to build their campaign and name in the shadow of a Democratic president, who has already won a significant number of delegates in the primaries.So, whether we like it or not, American voters have a choice between two very clear and different Americas, represented by two old and unpopular candidates. If Biden wins, not too much will change – except for an even more brazen insurgence from Republican-led states against the federal government. But should Trump return to the White House, the US will change fundamentally, and not for the better. Whatever (legitimate) issues potential Democratic voters have with Biden, let’s hope that they can get over them by 5 November. The fate of both the US and the world depends on it.
      Cas Mudde is the Stanley Wade Shelton UGAF professor of international affairs at the University of Georgia, and author of The Far Right Today More

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      Biden and the Democrats are sleepwalking into a potential Trump win | Osita Nwanevu

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      Barring an act from a God, who has seemingly forsaken the American electorate, Donald Trump and Joe Biden will, again, be the Republican and Democratic candidates for president. Tuesday’s results all but assure that, and they can’t really have been a surprise to anyone who has paid close attention to the campaign thus far.In fairness, most Americans still haven’t tuned in, nor many Democrats, who have spent much of the last year hoping against hope that one or more verdicts against Trump in the courts might hand them the election ⁠– and perhaps even put Trump behind bars before November. That was always a risky bet, but now the supreme court has put the trial over his attempted coup in 2020 on hold, while the other cases against him have uncertain timelines.Meanwhile, Biden’s team and Democratic officials have been telling the press that Biden’s replacement on the ticket isn’t any likelier. The race, they insist, is already on.Who’s ahead? All but a handful of high-quality national polls taken since January say it’s Trump. A New York Times poll fairly representative of the rest that drew a significant amount of media attention over the weekend put Trump ahead by five points, 48-43%, among registered voters. That’s the largest lead Trump has held in a Times poll since he launched his first presidential campaign in 2015.Meanwhile, Biden, more unpopular than ever, sits at an approval rating of 38%. Ten per cent of those who voted for him in 2020 now say they will vote for Trump. And the demographic picture the poll paints is dire ⁠– not only for Biden but perhaps for the Democratic party as a whole.Biden led strongly with women in 2020 and is now evidently tied with Trump among them; Biden won an estimated 72% of minorities without college degrees last time around and now leads by a mere six points, 47-41%. And while making broad demographic pronouncements on the basis of one poll is unwise, these results are roughly in keeping with some other data.In Michigan for instance, where much of the focus last week was on the uncommitted vote against Biden in that state’s primary, Biden has generally been polling under 70% with that state’s crucial Black electorate, which he won with over 90% of the vote, according to exit polls, in 2020. Deficits like that with previously strong Democratic constituencies go some way towards explaining why Biden, at present, seems to be losing in every swing state given current polling.The Biden campaign’s response to these numbers has been simple: all of the polls are wrong. “Polling continues to be at odds with how Americans vote, and consistently overestimates Donald Trump while underestimating President Biden,” Biden’s communications director, Michael Tyler, said over the weekend in a statement. “Whether it’s in special elections or in the presidential primaries, actual voter behavior tells us a lot more than any poll does and it tells a very clear story: Joe Biden and Democrats continue to outperform while Donald Trump and the party he leads are weak, cash-strapped and deeply divided.”As Tyler and his colleagues surely know, though, the point about “actual voter behavior” is wrong. Primary election results are not very indicative of how strong candidates will be in a general election; if they were, Trump, who didn’t even win a majority of the Republican primary vote in 2016, never would have been president. And there’s basically zero relationship between results in special elections like the one Democrats just won in New York ⁠– which involve small, unrepresentative electorates in small, unrepresentative places ⁠– and presidential election results.As flawed as they might be, general election polls are our surest guide to how the general electorate is feeling about the general election. In fact, as the political scientist David Faris noted recently, the leader at this point of the year in Real Clear Politics’ average of polls has gone on to win the election in every race since 2004 other than 2004 itself, with only a few points worth of difference between the margin and the final result.In 2004, the exception, Kerry and Bush were virtually tied in early March, around 44-44%, while Bush went on to win the popular vote by just over two points. And even that exception is reflective of a trend that can’t be of much comfort to Democrats ⁠– in every race since 2004 save 2008’s post-crash election, the Democratic candidate has performed slightly worse in November than polls at this point in the year have suggested.All told, we have every reason to believe that the hole Biden is in is real, as unfair as it might seem to his supporters. As rosily as they might evaluate his record in office so far, it looks substantially more mixed now than it did six months ago. It’s true that the economy is roaring by all available macroeconomic metrics and that Democrats under Biden have managed to pass the most expansive domestic policy agenda of any president since at least Lyndon Johnson.But it’s also true that voters have been stung by high prices and interest rates, as well as the expiration of pandemic relief programs. Biden’s withdrawal from Afghanistan was brave and laudable ⁠– both morally and strategically overdue. But he was hammered for it in the press and now faces a progressive insurrection over the US’s support for Israel’s inhumane offensive in Gaza so severe that the campaign is reportedly reducing large in-person events to avoid protesters.And on immigration, still at the front of mind for many voters, Biden has functionally conceded that Trump has been right about the state of the border; while immigrants are less prone to crime than the native-born population and substantially responsible for the economic boom we’re experiencing, Democrats are trying their best to outflank the right on border security and asylum, to little effect thus far, rather than countering the racist myths Trump has propagated directly and focusing on a positive immigration reform agenda.Most voters haven’t plugged into these policy debates; Biden wears his greatest liability to them on his face. According to the New York Times’ poll, 73% of registered voters, including 61% of voters who backed Biden in 2020, say he’s too old to effectively serve as president.And as much as Democrats might want to blame the media for that perception in the wake of the Robert Hur report, this is a problem many of them foresaw themselves during the last campaign. “If Biden is elected he’s going to be 82 years old in four years and he won’t be running for reelection,” one campaign adviser told Politico’s Ryan Lizza flatly in 2019; according to Lizza, four sources close to Biden at the time told him that it was “virtually inconceivable” that he would mount another campaign.Yet here we are ⁠– sitting between a Super Tuesday that Biden swept and what could be the most consequential State of the Union address in some time, given the opportunity it presents for the president both to demonstrate his lucidity and to outline, at long last, an actual plan for his next term. Previews of the speech suggest it will feature now familiar language about protecting democracy and “making the wealthy and corporations pay their fair share”, along with some proposals on the opioid epidemic and veteran care.But Biden will have to do substantially better than that to get his campaign right side up. Plainly, he’s become a symbol of our political system’s decrepitude ⁠– a stand-in for all the old men in Washington who voters believe, rightfully, can’t or won’t do much to dramatically improve their lives. He’ll have to prove to voters that he’s capable of both dreaming and doing ⁠– to sell an ambitious vision of further material progress over the next four years, not woolly rhetoric about ending polarization and bringing serenity back to politics that will leave him looking dishonest and even more ineffectual when the tenor of political life remains the same, as it surely will.Whether or not Democrats control Congress will naturally constrain whether Biden makes good on that policy agenda; but having a compelling agenda in the offing to begin with might lift the candidates he’ll depend upon in his next term to victory. All that aside, faith in Biden’s capacity to lead and accomplish will rest in some part on whether and when the situation in Gaza comes to a peaceable resolution ⁠– getting a handle on the situation and pressuring Netanyahu into ending the war would be a significant turning point in his presidency.There and elsewhere, Biden needs to find a new course. Otherwise, the election may be over before he realizes it.
      Osita Nwanevu is a Guardian US columnist More