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      Harris rallies North Carolina crowd to ‘fight to realize the promise of America’ as Trump hits Arizona – live

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      At a campaign stop in Greenville, North Carolina, the Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris attacked her rival Donald Trump for spreading misinformation related to hurricanes Helene and Milton.“We can already see the harm he’s up to as a candidate,” Harris said. “Most recently, spreading disinformation in the wake of natural disasters.”“Donald Trump cares more about scaring people, creating fear, running on a problem instead of what real leaders do, which is to participate in fixing problems,” Harris added.Donald Trump invited National Border Council President, Paul Perez, to the stage. He quickly attacked Trump’s rival, Kamala Harris, and condemned her stance on immigration and her handling of the US-Mexico border.“[Trump] has always stood with the men and women who protect this border, who put their minds on the line for the country, a man who knows about putting his life on the line for what is right,” said Perez.“On behalf of the 16,000 men and women represented by the National Board of Patrol Council, we strongly support Donald J. Trump for President of the United States,” Perez said.Donald Trump expressed his support for Kari Lake, the Republican candidate in the Arizona Senate race, calling her a “tough one”.Lake is running against the US Representative Ruben Gallego, with whom she debated on Wednesday.“You destroyed that poor guy,” Trump said about her performance. “That was a destruction.”Donald Trump called the mayor of Aurora, Colorado, Mike Coffman, a “radical left Democrat”.During his rally, Trump repeated his comments about Venezuelan gang activity at an apartment complex in the city.Coffman previously said these remarks were “grossly exaggerated”, adding they “have unfairly hurt the city’s identity and sense of safety”.Donald Trump bragged about his list of endorsements, including SpaceX founder Elon Musk, former US representative Tulsi Gabbard, former third-party candidate Robert F Kennedy Jr, and former Trump national security adviser Robert O’Brien.He also boasted about the harsh immigration policy undertaken during his presidency. Trump displayed a chart he usually presents during his rallies, showing a decline in people entering the US through the southern border while he was president.He started his remarks by encouraging the crowd to vote “to take back our country”.“With your help, 23 days from now – can you believe it? – we’re going to win Arizona and we’re going to defeat Kamala,” he said. “She shouldn’t even be running.”He proceeded to use degrading language toward immigrants.“We are here together this Sunday afternoon because we love our country,” Kamala Harris said during her rally in North Carolina. The crowd cheered “USA, USA, USA!”“I do believe it is one of the highest forms of patriotism to then fight for the ideals of our country and to fight to realize the promise of America,” Harris said before concluding her speech.Kamala Harris said Donald Trump’s presidency resulted in more than one in three women living in states with abortion bans, including North Carolina.“General Milley, former chairman of the joint chiefs under Donald Trump, said: ‘No one has ever been as dangerous to this country.’ Think about that,” the vice-president said during her rally.At a campaign stop in Greenville, North Carolina, the Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris attacked her rival Donald Trump for spreading misinformation related to hurricanes Helene and Milton.“We can already see the harm he’s up to as a candidate,” Harris said. “Most recently, spreading disinformation in the wake of natural disasters.”“Donald Trump cares more about scaring people, creating fear, running on a problem instead of what real leaders do, which is to participate in fixing problems,” Harris added.JD Vance, the Republican vice-presidential pick, attended Nascar’s Bank of America Roval 400 on Sunday at Charlotte Motor Speedway in Concord, North Carolina.Vance attended the playoff race with his family and did not deliver any remarks during the event.Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver his remarks soon at a rally in Prescott Valley, Arizona.Before his speech, Trump’s former adviser Stephen Miller took the stage, attacking the Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris.“She not only annihilated our border, but she began using your tax dollars by the billions to smuggle, fly, bus, transport and, in every way possible, relocate illegal aliens en masse inside the United States,” Miller said.He continued to make anti-immigrant comments and condemn the Biden administration’s border policy. More

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      Harris and Trump, locked in tight race, seek edge among undecided voters

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      Kamala Harris and Donald Trump spent Sunday trying to shore up political support among what they perceived to be must-have voting blocs with polls showing them locked in a tight 5 November presidential race.With election day less than a month away, the Democratic vice-president attended a Black church in Greenville, North Carolina, as part of her campaign’s “souls to the polls” push. She later exalted the way communities – especially in the western part of the state – were coming together after damage from Hurricane Helene in late September, especially the way “people who have the least give the most”.Her Republican opponent, meanwhile, was in Arizona – looking for Black and Latino support as he seeks a second presidency, after a rally in California a day earlier.Both candidates are attempting to get a decisive edge among votes who have not yet decided who to support. Surveys show that early voting, which tends to favor Democrats, is down 45% from previous election years – a sign that there may be millions of undecided voters.Trump has now switched from condemning early voting as a Democrat plot to engineer his defeat to Joe Biden in 2020 to urging people to vote early and by mail.A recent ABC News-Ipsos poll showed that support was split down gender lines, with women voting 60-40 to Harris and men breaking for Trump by a similar margin.Trump needs white women, who supported him in a greater numbers in 2020 than in 2016 – but also Black men. On Sunday, he argued that his fellow former president Barack Obama’s call last week for Black men to support Harris based “solely on her skin color, rather than her policies” as “deeply insulting”.View image in fullscreenDemocratic Georgia senator Ralph Warnock on Sunday told CNN, “Black men are not going to vote for Donald Trump in any significant numbers.” But his fellow Black Democrat Jim Clyburn, a South Carolina congressman, told CNN, “Yes, I am concerned,” about Black men voting for Trump. Separately, former president Bill Clinton was urging voters in rural Georgia to get behind the Democratic ticket.A New York Times poll published Sunday found that Harris is underperforming the last three Democratic candidates for the White House among Latino voters.The election may come down to fractional increases in support for each. An NBC News poll released Sunday showed the candidates in a “dead heat” nationally at 48% support. The poll found that voters are reassessing Trump’s first term more favorably – but also that voters view reproductive rights as a top motivating issue, which could hurt the former president after three of his US supreme court appointees eliminated the federal right to abortion.A CBS News poll, also released Sunday, found that the presidential race is more than just two conflicting ideologies – but about a fundamental disconnection.For instance, most Trump supporters said relief for victims of Hurricanes Helene and Milton wasn’t reaching affected people – while Harris supporters indicated it was. Trump supporters said the economy was bad; Harris supporters said it was good. Trump’s voters said US-Mexico border crossings were increasing; Harris’s voters said they were down.Trump’s voters, especially the men, said gender equality efforts had gone too far; Harris voters said not far enough. But both agreed that social media was untrustworthy and had made it harder to find things to agree on and to tell fact from fiction.Each poll contained positive signs for Harris, including a five-point advantage on “looking out for middle class” (ABC); abortion being “#1 motivating issue” (NBC), with Democrat up 19 points on the issue over Trump (New York Times); Trump’s Latino support at the same level from 2020 (CBS), and also Harris matching Biden in 2020 with Black voters.But the response to the two hurricanes that the south-eastern US recently continued to dominate Democrats’ campaign. On Sunday, Biden was scheduled to survey damage inflicted on Florida’s Gulf coast by Milton, where he would announce $600m in funding for damaged electrical grids.Response to hurricanes remains Democrats’ political preoccupation. Harris’s rally Sunday came amid the intense politicization of the speed of federal disaster response to Helene.In North Carolina, Harris appeared to be looking to defuse hurricane politics while also calling out false information that spread after Helene.skip past newsletter promotionafter newsletter promotionCrises, she said, “have a way of revealing the heroes among us, the angels among us, and of showing us all the best of who we are … heroes who do not ask the injured or stranded whether they are a Republican or a Democrat, but who simply ask: ‘Are you OK?’”And yet, Harris said: “There are some who are not acting in the spirit of community, and I am speaking of these who have been literally not telling the truth, lying about people who are working hard to help the folks in need, spreading disinformation when the truth and facts are required.”That came as the Wall Street Journal reported that some of the earlier response to Helene had come in the form of Patriot Front, an organization that the Anti-Defamation League has concluded is a white-supremacist group – and that was using misinformation as a recruiting tool.With Arizona, Nevada and Georgia potentially leaning for Trump, and Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin potentially leaning for Harris, the loss of North Carolina would cost Trump 16 electoral college votes needed to reach the winning threshold of 270. The state narrowly voted for Trump in 2020.The Republican House speaker, Mike Johnson, told CBS’s Face the Nation on Sunday that he would deny Harris and Biden’s call to bring Congress back to Washington to approve more disaster relief funding after the hurricane.“It can wait,” Johnson said, pointing to $20bn in additional disaster funding that had recently been approved. He claimed only 2% of that funding had been distributed. As soon as states have assessed and calculate their “actual needs”, and submitted them, “Congress will meet and in bipartisan fashion, we will address those needs.”Johnson accused the Federal Emergency Management Agency (Fema) of being “slow to respond”. He said: “They did not do the job that we all expect and hope that they will do, and there’s going to be a lot of assessment about that as well in the days ahead.”But with Harris’s support appearing to slip in recent weeks, including after a series of TV appearances, there are reports of growing tensions between her campaign and Biden’s White House. The president cancelled a trip to Germany to concentrate on the hurricane response. But he is now reported to have rescheduled the trip for Friday.According to Axios, Biden aides remain wounded by the president being pushed out of his re-election bid amid questions about his age. He is 81 – only three years older than Trump.Harris’s team believed Biden upstaged her by holding an impromptu press briefing while she held a rally in Michigan.Biden on Sunday was expected to meet with Florida governor Ron DeSantis, with whom Harris was feuding earlier in the week. An aide to Harris, 59, told the outlet that the president’s team are “too much in their feelings”. More

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      Media blitz to VP duties: on the campaign trail with Kamala Harris

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      The View, America’s most popular daytime talkshow, was on commercial break. Kamala Harris sat writing absence notes for students who were missing class to attend the live broadcast. “Is it just today, right?” the vice-president laughed.She handed over the letters written on notepaper headed “The Vice President”. One said: “Dear teacher, please excuse Dani from class today. She was hanging out with us. Best and thank you for being an educator. Kamala.”It was an unscripted moment that the studio audience loved but TV viewers wouldn’t see. Harris, running the shortest presidential campaign in modern US history after being unexpectedly plunged into the fight when Joe Biden dropped out, is exploring ways to reveal herself to a wary nation.Still a relatively unknown quantity, the former California attorney general and US senator is trying to make the electorate feel comfortable about the prospect of President Kamala Harris.In less than three months the vice-president has raised a record-breaking billion dollars. She has tried to put daylight between herself and the unpopular incumbent figure of Biden, and turn the election into a referendum on her opponent, former US president Donald Trump. She has sought to bring positive vibes to a country that seems to have anxiety in its bones. She has set out to persuade America to do something that it has never done before in its 248-year existence: elect a woman to the White House – and a woman of colour to boot.View image in fullscreenHarris has done it while carrying the burden of the hopes of millions in America and beyond who fear the return of Trump to the White House would herald a new dark age for American democracy and the planet. Opinion polls suggest the race is currently a dead heat.Last week the Guardian joined her for three days on the campaign trail, flying hundreds of miles across country on Air Force Two, trailing her motorcade as it halted traffic in Manhattan and putting questions to her in two off-the-record gatherings with reporters. The Democratic nominee was lawyerly on some topics and disarmingly open on others. She could display righteous anger, for example about Trump’s affinity with dictators, but also a light touch and homespun wit. She was comfortable in her skin.No presidential candidate has enjoyed the use of Air Force Two since Democrat Al Gore in 2000. At first glance it resembles the presidential plane, Air Force One, painted blue and white with the typeface for the legend “United States of America” similar to the one used in the Declaration of Independence.But inside it is a less glamorous affair: dated decor of dark brown chairs, white cabin walls, a blank TV screen. Inside a seat pocket was a tatty, dog-eared leaflet entitled: “C-32A. Boeing 757-22 safety”. There is no wifi or inflight entertainment. The main clues as to its special status is a vice-presidential seal on a wall and on phone handsets beside windows.Another clue: the frequent appearance of Harris, after boarding but before takeoff, to ask reporters “what you got?” on an off-the-record basis with aides keeping watch. The 59-year-old stands at 5ft 4in and a quarter, her makeup and clothing immaculate, her gaze fixed on each reporter as they ask and she answers. The mood is convivial. The charisma factor is high. The responses are enlightening rather than revelatory.Harris’s willingness to hold such interactions might explain a mismatch between her perceived media shyness and a more generous attitude among some journalists. She was long criticised for dodging interviews, a topic the Guardian raised with her in person. But a candidate’s willingness to engage with reporters behind the scenes can add a frisson of exclusivity; doing so off the record can give the impression of authenticity.Notably, in the days before she was a candidate, Harris would often struggle to attract media interest in her travels, sometimes flying with a solitary reporter. Some allies believe this explains why she was underreported and underappreciated for so long.This week, however, she launched an intense media blitz. Having told her story at the Democratic national convention in Chicago, and prosecuted the case against Trump at their only debate in Philadelphia, she was now on a kaleidoscopic interview tour designed, as CNN put it, to project “in four words, ‘I’m a normal person.’ (And that Trump is not.)”View image in fullscreenFrank Luntz, a political consultant and pollster, said: “The secret of this campaign is that Donald Trump needs to say less and Kamala Harris needs to say more. The more that Trump says, the worse he gets; the less that Harris says, the worse she gets. Just as their politics are exactly the opposite, so are their strategies.”Harris appeared on 60 Minutes, a heavyweight current affairs programme on the CBS network that has interviewed every major presidential candidate for more than half a century (Trump agreed but then backed out). She went on the podcast Call Her Daddy in an appeal to young women who follow host Alex Cooper’s frank conversations about sex and relationships (a recent episode was entitled “Heather McMahan: Blow jobs, hall passes, & frat daddies”).During the interview, Cooper asked about the Arkansas governor Sarah Huckabee Sanders’s comments that the vice-president “doesn’t have anything keeping her humble” because she does not have biological children of her own. Harris responded pointedly: “I don’t think she understands that there are a whole lot of women out here who, one, are not aspiring to be humble.”On Tuesday, as Harris’s motorcade wended its way, streets in midtown Manhattan were temporarily closed down. Hundreds of bustling New Yorkers stopped and stared, learning the art of patience or taking pictures or videos on their phones.The View is based in new studios in New York’s Hudson Square, with a fast-talking, microphone-wielding warm-up artist keeping the audience amped up. Harris entered to the strains of Beyoncé’s anthem Freedom (a striking contrast to Trump’s lineup of ageing white rockers) and was cheered to the rafters as she embraced Whoopi Goldberg and other co-hosts. She unveiled a policy plan to help the “sandwich generation” caught between caring for ageing parents and children.But history has shown that so-called softball interviews often lay the biggest traps. Harris, whose campaign is an awkward dance of trying to bask in Biden’s legislative accomplishments while shrugging off his perceived failures, was asked if she would have done anything differently from him over the past four years.“There is not a thing that comes to mind in terms of – and I’ve been a part of most of the decisions that have had impact,” she replied. Trump scented blood. With characteristic misogyny, he called it Harris’s “dumbest answer so far” and complained: “The Lamestream Media doesn’t want to pick up the story, the dumb women on the show wish they never asked her the question that led to that Election Defying answer, but the Internet is going WILD.”A chorus of Trump allies joined in but they were not alone in detecting a gaffe. Steve Schmidt, a Trump critic who worked on Senator John McCain’s 2008 campaign and first floated the idea of Sarah Palin as his running mate, invoked misstatements by past presidential candidates who went on to lose.View image in fullscreenSchmidt wrote on Substack: “The question is whether this quote joins John Kerry’s ‘I voted for it before I voted against it.’ Or John McCain’s ‘the fundamentals of the economy are strong.’ Or Mitt Romney’s 47% quote: ‘There are 47% of the people who will vote for the president no matter what.’”He called it the Harris campaign’s worst day by far since her entry into the race. “It follows a trend line of creeping incoherence and contradiction within the core message that could be politically fatal if not arrested – immediately.”Still, as Harris left the View studios, a group of students let out a noise that was half-cheer, half-shriek. She proceeded to an office block containing the satellite radio station SiriusXM and sat with Howard Stern, whose show has an audience that is 73% male and 85% white. It was her most personal interview of the campaign yet.Among the snippets: she ate a family-sized bag of Doritos after Trump beat Hillary Clinton in 2016. She works out on an elliptical every day and liked Special K cereal. Her first job was cleaning test tubes at her mother’s laboratory and she got fired. Her favourite Formula One driver is Lewis Hamilton. She went to see the band U2 at the Sphere in Las Vegas and recommends going with a “clear head” – meaning not high on drugs – because “there’s a lot of visual stimulation”.There was also a rare insight into the weight on her shoulders. Harris said: “I literally lose sleep, and have been, over what is at stake in this election. I mean, honestly, I end the day pretty much every day, these days, asking myself, what can I do more? Because the stakes are so high.”skip past newsletter promotionafter newsletter promotionHarris has been reluctant to indulge identity politics and embrace her status as the first Black woman and first woman of south Asian heritage to be a major party nominee. Stern asked if there were people who will not vote for a woman because she is a woman. Harris replied: “Listen, I have been the first woman in almost every position I’ve had, so I believe that men and women support women in leadership and that’s been my life experience and that’s why I’m running for president.”It was a far cry from Hillary Clinton describing her own nomination as “a milestone in our nation’s march toward a more perfect union” and issuing a clarion call for women to break “the highest, hardest glass ceiling”. Kate Cohen, a columnist for the Washington Post newspaper, wrote: “This time, we’re quiet – from superstition, maybe, or from knowing how hope can plant a land mine in your heart. Kamala Harris is keeping it quiet, too, campaigning in unisex Converse sneakers rather than in heels.”View image in fullscreenThe past two elections have been dominated by class and race. This one might be determined by gender A recent NBC poll found that men favour Trump over Harris by 12 points, 52% to 40%. Among women, Harris led Trump by 21 points: 58% to 37%. That adds up to a historic gap of 33 points.The day finished at The Late Show With Stephen Colbert, a comedian whose brand of political satire has had medicinal value in the toxic era of Trump. The late-night show with live band takes place before an audience in Broadway’s Ed Sullivan Theater, which opened in 1927 with a young Cary Grant and hosted the Beatles on The Ed Sullivan Show in 1964.In an amusing 40-minute interview, Colbert gave Harris two implicit auditions. One was the perennial commander-in-chief test. She proved fiercely authoritative, reminiscent of her finest moments at the debate, in eviscerating Trump as a threat to democracy and national security.“He openly admires dictators and authoritarians,” she said, her voice rising in indignation. “He has said he wants to be a dictator on day one if he were elected again as president. He gets played by these guys. He admires so-called strongmen and he gets played because they flatter him or offer him favour.”Reacting to an account by the journalist Bob Woodward that Trump sent Covid testing kits to Russia’s Vladimir Putin even as US citizens were in need, Harris urged the audience: “Think about what this means on top of him sending love letters to Kim Jong-un. He thinks, well, that’s his friend. What about the American people? They should be your first friend.”Colbert’s other test recalled a longtime staple of election campaigns: which candidate would you rather grab a beer with? The host made it literal by pulling out two cans of Miller High Life (chosen by Harris in advance). She took a sip of “the champagne of beers” and said the last time she drank beer was at a baseball game with husband Doug Emhoff.Soon after, Harris delivered a sharp jab at Trump’s expense: “When you lost millions of jobs, you lost manufacturing, you lost automotive plants, you lost the election, what does that make you? A loser. This is what somebody at my rallies said. I thought it was funny.”Colbert remarked: “It’s accurate. It’s accurate.”Harris confessed: “This is what happens when I drink beer!”View image in fullscreenGore’s defeat in 2000 is often attributed to the notion that, stiff and cerebral, he would have been less fun over a beer than his Republican rival George W Bush. Bill Galston, who worked on the Gore campaign, said: “Likability counts in politics everywhere but particularly when you’re dealing with someone who’s going to be a major presence in your life, for good or ill, for the next four years.“A fair number of people are asking themselves, do I want to spend the next four years with this person in my living room or on my computer? Will I dread or worry about each encounter? Or will it be relatively pleasant even if not always agreeable in substance? That does matter.”As a candidate, Harris has projected happy warrior, placing a bet that the politics of joy will elevate rather than clash with the national mood. As vice-president, she must still discharge solemn duties. On Wednesday, hunkered down at a New York hotel, she joined Biden on a call with the Israeli prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, (according to Woodward’s book, Biden has previously described Netanyahu as a “son of a bitch” and “bad fucking guy”). She remains under pressure from progressives to distance herself from Biden’s Gaza policy.Harris also took part in a briefing on preparations for Hurricane Milton and gave phone interviews to CNN and The Weather Channel. Part of her mission was to counter disinformation spread by Trump and his acolytes.View image in fullscreenIn the afternoon the vice-president flew on Air Force Two from New York to Las Vegas, disembarking in desert heat and beholding the kitsch delights of Sin City including replicas of the Eiffel Tower, Statue of Liberty and Great Pyramid and Great Sphinx of Giza. Earlier that day the Tropicana hotel and casino, a relic of the mob era, had been reduced to rubble in a controlled implosion. Elsewhere, gamblers were still trying their luck at blackjack or in vast arcades of slot machines. It was a metaphor-rich environment for a candidate seeking to prove her authenticity, avoid campaign mishaps and counter accusations that she is risk averse.She is doing it all in competition with a man about whom little mystery remains. While some Americans are still asking, who is Kamala Harris?, no one, it seems, is asking who is Donald Trump? As the Atlantic magazine noted in an endorsement of Harris this week: “No voter could be ignorant by now of who he is. Opinions about Trump aren’t just hardened – they’re dried out and exhausted.”Kamala Harris, however, still has a story to tell in her quest to become the 47th president of the United States – even though it cuts against her instincts.“It feels immodest to me to talk about myself, which currently I’m doing right now,” she admitted to Stern on Tuesday. “A friend of mine actually said, look, this is not a time to worry about modesty because, obviously, you gotta let people know who you are.” More

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      Democrats on edge in critical Michigan amid fears of waning enthusiasm

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      Donald Trump’s supporters do not pitch up at his rallies expecting to hear policy speeches or even the truth. Mostly they go for the comfort of distractions from hard realities and the allure of false promises to revive the past.But some of the loudest cheers at Trump’s recent rally in Saginaw, Michigan, came in response to a claim the former US president’s supporters could believe, when he said election polls were swinging his way in the battleground state and that Kamala Harris’s “honeymoon period” was over.“We’re up in all of the polls. We’re up in every swing state. They had a honeymoon period,” he said before he was drowned out by the cheering crowd.With just three weeks left until the election, Democrats fear that Trump is right. Some complain that Harris has squandered an initial burst of enthusiasm after Joe Biden dropped out of the race in July, which sparked a surge in fundraising and volunteering for her campaign.View image in fullscreenMichigan is one of the handful of key swing states that will decide the result of this most momentous of elections. While Harris has a slight lead in national polls, she is struggling in Michigan, a state she must win or face a more challenging path through the US’s electoral college to take the White House. Trump won the state by just 10,704 in 2016 and lost it by a narrow margin to Biden four years later.The stakes are enormous. Trump has campaigned in 2024 on an ever more extreme platform, threatening mass deportations of immigrants and promising to seek revenge on his political enemies if he returns to the White House. Last week, Trump even demanded one of America’s big television networks lose its licence because he sees its political coverage as unfair to him. In a country that prides itself on free speech, freedom of the press could ail quickly under a second Trump term. For many, US democracy itself feels on the line.The Harris campaign has long considered its easiest path to victory is by winning the Rust belt battleground states of Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. If the vice-president were to lose in Michigan, she would almost certainly need to win one of the other closely contested states of Georgia, Arizona or North Carolina.A Quinnipiac University poll released last Wednesday put the vice-president three points behind Trump in Michigan, while poll trackers offer a mixed picture.For those desperate to know which way Michigan might go, it is Saginaw that is the bellwether county of the state. Barack Obama won it twice before Trump beat Hillary Clinton in the county by a little more than 1,000 votes, just over 1% of the ballot, in 2016. Four years later, Biden took Saginaw county from Trump by an even narrower margin of just 303 votes.Both campaigns are piling resources into Michigan including a deluge of frantic television advertising, and a merry-go-round of candidates and prominent supporters wheeling through the state.Harris’s running mate, Tim Walz, was in Detroit on Friday looking to win over blue-collar union voters. The vice-president is expected in Detroit on Tuesday in a bid to turn out Black voters who are key to a Democratic victory in Michigan.The Harris campaign has wheeled out Barack Obama in recent days and sent Bernie Sanders, the darling of the left of the Democratic party, to rally student support in Saginaw a week ago.Meanwhile Trump and his running mate, JD Vance, traversed Michigan promising to bring back the old and attacking the new. Vance joked to an audience in Detroit on Tuesday about the importance of the state: “I’m going to be in Michigan like 30 times” before the election.The pair have repeatedly pledged to make the American car industry great again, after so many jobs were lost to globalisation and automation, while attacking its future by scorning electric vehicles. Trump’s rally in Saginaw leaned heavily on promises to bring back the dozen or so auto factories in the county that have closed in recent years.Alongside the fantasy promises is a darker campaign aimed at those who do not fit the view of what many Trump supporters think an American should look like. Some of it is dressed up as opposition to illegal immigration but groups supporting Trump are running television ads with sinister overtones in Michigan, including one paid for by Duty to America that shows a series of photographs of white people who are said to have been “left behind”.“Even if we do everything right, Harris and the Democrats find new ways to make us pay. For what? No matter what we do, Democrats are against us. So this November, we’re against them,” it said.Across the key Rust belt states, Trump has a clear lead on two of the most important issues for many voters, the economy and immigration. He is even ahead by one point on which candidate would better preserve democracy, despite his efforts to overturn the 2020 election, according to the Quinnipiac poll.Behind the scenes, Democratic strategists are increasingly alarmed by the numbers. The party’s US Senate candidate in Michigan, Elissa Slotkin, warned last month that Harris was not polling as well as expected.View image in fullscreen“I’m not feeling my best right now about where we are on Kamala Harris in a place like Michigan,” she told a fundraiser. “We have her underwater in our polling.”Some Democratic campaigners blame the campaign.Carly Hammond is an organiser for the US’s largest trade union confederation, the AFL-CIO, for the Saginaw region who is running for city council while also canvassing for Harris.“This is the most expensive election in American politics so far. There’s more money around, more ads, more signs, the volunteers are there. I really haven’t seen anything like this in terms of the mobilisation efforts,” she said.“What is missing is Harris’s policies. People ask: ‘What is she going to do?’ I’ve heard about 200 Harris ads in the past few weeks just because they’re inescapable. But I couldn’t tell you what her concrete plan is to tackle anything.”Some of the Democratic messaging in Michigan plays to Trump’s agenda, with repeated promises to “secure the border” even though Saginaw is 1,500 miles from the Mexican frontier and undocumented immigrants make up only about 1% of the state’s population. But it does not appear to be doing Harris much good while alienating some Democrats.Hammond said she feared that Harris had retreated into defensive messaging and a reliance on scaring voters over Trump’s ties to Project 2025, the authoritarian plan to impose rightwing control across the entire US government, that is costing her momentum.“When it switched over from Biden to Harris, there was an expectation that Harris would put out her own aggressive policy proposals and that hasn’t happened. There’s been a kind of walking back. Harris’s campaign said she’s going to take on the billionaires and corporate interest rates. A lot of that language fell off and now it’s just kind of ‘Project 2025, it really sucks’,” she said.Trump, on the other hand, has been hitting the state with hard promises even if they’re unlikely to be fulfilled. He told his audience in Saginaw he would make Michigan the “car capital of the world again” after General Motors closed a dozen factories in the county and moved some production to Mexico.skip past newsletter promotionafter newsletter promotion“Under my plan American workers will no longer be worried about losing their jobs to foreign nations. Instead, foreign nations will be worried about losing their jobs to America. We’re bringing them all back,” he said.View image in fullscreenLarge numbers of Trump voters don’t believe it will happen, not least because he made the same promise in 2016 and the factories didn’t return. But they apparently don’t care.Gary Ell, chair of Saginaw’s Republican party and a fervent Trump backer, said his supporters take the promise alone as evidence that the former president cares about them while the Democrats care about other people.“They don’t look at him as being a politician. They still look at him as being an experienced former president who still stands on the same policies that he stood for before with the exception that the economy has gotten so much worse and the migration of mass illegal aliens has gotten so much worse. Those are two things that he had in check when he was president before,” he said.Biden boasts of a booming economy, including record job growth, but statistics mean little to large numbers of Americans who feel much worse off after years of surging inflation. Saginaw’s largest food bank has just received a $1m grant to expand because so many families are buckling under high grocery prices.Still, the Harris campaign has been encouraged by data showing the vice-president gaining ground with white voters without college degrees in Michigan, a key part of Trump’s base.In a move to shore that up, Democratic heavyweights from out of state, including the former US senator from Indiana Joe Donnelly, descended on Saginaw last Wednesday to tell trade union members that Biden had been good for blue collar workers and Harris would be too.The area’s member of Congress, Dan Kildee, warned the workers that Trump’s false promises could cost them their jobs.“This is a union hall where everybody’s working because the Biden-Harris administration has invested in American manufacturing. When Donald Trump was president, we were losing these jobs. Sixty per cent of these people were unemployed. Under Biden-Harris, they’re back to work. So, the question is, are we going to continue on this path or are we going to go back to those days?” he said.The Harris camp also brought Sanders to Saginaw to get out the student vote with a rally at the local university. He said that Trump’s denial of the climate crisis threatened the future of the planet and warned that another Trump presidency could be a decisive blow to a democracy already undermined by a growing oligarchy.View image in fullscreenSanders also mocked Trump for losing the support of his own vice-president, Mike Pence.“Mike Pence is a very conservative guy. His views are nothing like mine. I disagree with him on every issue. But he worked with Trump every single day and he said Trump is not fit to be president of the United States,” Sanders told a standing-room-only crowd.Some Michigan Republicans are pushing a similar message. A former member of Congress from Detroit, Dave Trott, and other anti-Trump conservatives launched Michigan Republicans for Harris-Walz earlier this month, aimed at the more than 350,000 Republicans in Michigan who voted against the former president in their party’s primary in February. Trott accused Trump of “gutting Michigan’s economy” and called him “more dangerous than ever”.It’s not clear if any of this is changing anyone’s vote. Both camps are focused on turnout, knowing that it is likely to decide the election. Trump’s support in Michigan went up in 2020 but he was beaten because many of those Democrats who stayed home when Clinton was the candidate four years earlier came out to remove him from the White House.Trump has been restating his false claim that the 2020 election was stolen in urging supporters to vote in order to make the election “too big to rig”. Harris is counting on the enthusiasm initially generated by her campaign, particularly among young female voters.Ultimately, the election in Michigan may be decided by events half a world away.More than 100,000 people voted uncommitted in the state’s Democratic primaries in February in a protest against Biden’s support for Israel’s war in Gaza, as the Palestinian civilian death toll climbed into the tens of thousands. But the Uncommitted movement is now alarmed at the prospect of those supporters boycotting Harris if it delivers Michigan to Trump.On Tuesday, the group’s co-founder Lexi Zeidan pleaded in a video on social media to not let that happen.“As a Palestinian American, the current administration’s handling of this genocide has been beyond enraging and demoralising, but the reality is that it can get worse. Nobody wants a Trump presidency more than [the Israeli prime minister Benjamin] Netanyahu because that is his ticket to wiping Palestine off the map,” she said.Zeidan’s warning fell well short of an endorsement of Harris but across Michigan, the vice-president’s campaign is counting on fear of Trump as much as enthusiasm for the vice-president to get her over the line. More

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      US election briefing: Trump visits Coachella while Harris packs diapers in North Carolina

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      Donald Trump visited California on Saturday, a state he is almost certain to lose, in a bid to link Kamala Harris to her home state’s recent struggles with homelessness, water shortages and a lack of affordability.“We’re not going to let Kamala Harris do to America what she did to California,” the former president said in the city of Coachella, best known for its music festival of the same name, referring to the state as “Paradise Lost”.Vice-president Kamala Harris meanwhile helped pack diapers, bandages and pain relief pills among other items into care packages for victims of Hurricane Helene as she visited the swing state of North Carolina, which narrowly backed Trump in 2020.“You’re exactly right,” she said to Greg Hatem, owner of The Pit Authentic Barbecue restaurant where the aid event was taking place, as he commented that “it takes a village”. Harris also met with Black leaders at the restaurant. It was her second trip to North Carolina since Helene tore through the state last month.Here’s what else happened on Saturday:

      Kamala Harris on Saturday released a report on her health and medical history, which found that “she possesses the physical and mental resiliency required to successfully execute the duties of the presidency” if voters elect her in November. A senior aide to Harris, 59, said the vice-president’s advisers viewed the publication of the health report and medical history as an opportunity to call attention to questions about Donald Trump’s physical fitness and mental acuity.

      Tightening poll figures triggered nervousness and anxiety in Kamala Harris’s presidential campaign, with Donald Trump making gains in the states where it matters most as the election race enters its climactic final phase. Amid a dramatic news cycle that has seen the US hit by two destructive hurricanes and rising fears of all-out war in the Middle East, the Guardian’s 10-day polling average tracker showed the vice-president and Democratic nominee with a two-point nationwide lead, 48% to 46%, over her Republican opponent as of 10 October – tellingly, down from a 4% advantage she registered two weeks ago.

      The far-right website the Gateway Pundit acknowledged for the first time on Saturday that there had not been any fraud during ballot counting in Atlanta in 2020 when Donald Trump lost the presidency. It was a significant concession from one of the most influential conservative sites that plays a key role in spreading election misinformation.

      Tens of thousands of Christians poured on to the National Mall on Saturday in a pre-election event aimed at rescuing America from secularism. The rally was a collaboration organized by multiple far-right Christian leaders affiliated with the New Apostolic Reformation, a movement on the political far right that seeks to establish long-term Christian dominion over government and society as well as get Trump a second presidency in November. More

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      Trump addresses Latino voters at Las Vegas event as Harris releases medical report – live

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      Speaking at a Pennsylvania rally earlier today, JD Vance again refused to say Donald Trump lost the 2020 election. The news came the same day The New York Times released an hourlong interview with Vance, wherein Vance refused five times to say the former president lost the election.“As I said in that interview, and I’m gonna say to you right now, I think the election of 2020 had serious problems,” Vance said.Trump’s roundtable in Las Vegas has concluded and he’s en route to a second event this evening in Coachella, California. Attendees waiting in near 100F temperatures are telling the Associated Press that they don’t expect Trump to win their state but were excited to see him all the same.The AP notes that while Trump may not win California, he’ll likely be able to drum up significant financial support in the state. Photos with the former president in Coachella were priced at $25,000, which comes with special seating for two. A “VIP Experience” was priced at $5,000.Kamala Harris is en route to North Carolina, where she’ll speak with Black churchgoers and aid in disaster relief efforts. Before her departure, she told reporters a bit about her decision to release her medical report this morning, saying it was in part to pressure Trump to do the same.“I think that it’s obvious that his team, at least, does not want the American people to see everything about who he is,” Harris told reporters before boarding a plane to North Carolina, says Reuters.The Hill reports much of the same:Speaking in Las Vegas this afternoon, Trump focused his remarks on immigration and inflation, arguing that the economic policies of the Biden-Harris administration have disadvantaged Latino families. The former president attempted to strike a tone of respect with members of the Latino roundtable, emphasizing their contributions to the US economy, as compared with the non-citizens he’s denounced at length in recent speeches.“I’ve had such great support from the Hispanic community, and from the Black community. The highest level ever. And there are those that say, we’ll end up breaking the 50% mark,” Trump said.According to a September Pew Research Center report, a majority of Latino-registered voters (57%) say they would vote for Kamala Harris and 39% would vote for Trump. Meanwhile, a recent New York Times/Siena Poll and an August Pew Research Center survey showed that more than three-fourths of Black voters have said they would vote for Harris.The roundtable is ongoing, with Trump about to hear from local Latino business-owners.Trump’s roundtable in Las Vegas has begun, with what appears to be a fairly small crowd. His campaign is more widely touting its event in Coachella this evening with a series of music festival-inspired ads on social media.Former Texas representative Mayra Flores has begun the Las Vegas event by introducing the other guests in attendance, which include Bob Unanue, CEO of Goya Foods, and Sam Brown, a military officer currently running for one of Nevada’s senate seats. Trump has yet to begin speaking.Ex-president Barack Obama will campaign in Detroit later this month for Kamala Harris. The Detroit News reports that Obama will visit the state on 22 October. The announcement of his visit comes just days after Donald Trump insulted the manufacturing hub while campaining there.Obama has begun campaigning for Harris in the final weeks before the 2024 election, hoping to drum up support in swing states. He made his first appearance on behalf of the nominee in Pittsburgh this week.Donald Trump will appear at a roundtable with Latino voters in Las Vegas shortly. We’ll be following along and will share any major takeaways with you – according to his campaign, Trump is expected to focus on inflation and his ”no tax on tips” policy.Meanwhile, JD Vance has been campaigning in Pennsylvania, where Trump’s running mate answered questions from reporters in front of a crowd of supporters.The New York Times published an hour-long interview with JD Vance this morning, covering the vice-presidential nominee’s stance on abortion rights, immigration, the economy and the 2020 election. Vance spoke at length about his Catholic faith and views on reproductive rights, refused to say Joe Biden won the 2020 election, and committed to a peaceful transfer of power – were Donald Trump to win the 2024 election. He also walked back his criticism of “childless cat ladies” before saying he thought it was “bizarre” and “sociopathic” not to have children because of fears around climate change.Our latest polling shows Harris and Trump are neck-and-neck, with Trump gaining ground on Harris in crucial swing states.Robert Tait reports: “the Guardian’s 10-day polling average tracker showed the vice-president and Democratic nominee with a two-point nationwide lead, 48% to 46%, over her Republican opponent as of 10 October – tellingly, down from a 4% advantage she registered two weeks ago.”Harris enjoys just three, fractional leads in Nevada and Michigan, and a slim one-point advantage in Pennsylvania. Trump has wafer-thin leads in the five remaining swing states – Wisconsin, North Carolina, Georgia and Arizona.Despite Donald Trump’s claims that immigrants are taking “Black jobs” and “Hispanic jobs”, government data shows that immigrant labor has grown the economy and promoted new opportunities for native-born workers, the Associated Press reports. Mass deportations like those Trump has advocated for could cost taxpayers up to a trillion dollars, economists say.Giovanni Peri, a labor economist at the University of California, Davis, told the AP that, because native-born workers and non-citizens often have different language and skill sets, immigrant workers take jobs that citizens are often unwilling to fill, like agriculture and food-production roles. He also added that “we have many more vacancies than workers in this type of manual labor. In fact, we need many more of them to fill these roles.”Ethan Lewis, an economist at Dartmouth College, added: “There is a vast amount of research on the labor market impact of immigration in the US, most of which concludes the impact on less-skilled workers is fairly small and, if anything, jobs for US-born workers might by created rather than ‘taken’ by immigrants.”Since the non-citizen labor force makes up roughly 4% of US GDP annually, Peri estimates that mass deportation would result in a roughly $1tn loss.At a private dinner with several billionaire donors in September, Donald Trump expressed frustration that Republicans had not raised more money for his campaign, the New York Times reports.The likes of hedge fund manager Paul Singer, investment banker Warren Stephens, businessman Joe Ricketts and former education secretary Betsy DeVos were all in attendance at the Trump Tower soiree, where Trump conveyed his annoyance that his campaign had not drawn larger donations – despite tax policies he said were favorable to the wealthy.In the less than three months that she’s been in the presidential race, Kamala Harris has raised $1bn. That’s allowed her to focus on campaigning in the final weeks of the race, while Trump continues attending fundraisers. In July, August and September, the vice-president raised twice as much as Trump.Back in Washington, Christian nationalists are gathering on the National Mall today to fast and pray, and denounce gender-affirming healthcare for trans youth.The Guardian’s Alice Herman has the story:Less than a month before the presidential election, multilevel marketing professional-turned-Christian “apostle” Jenny Donnelly is summoning women to the National Mall to fast, pray and uphold “the Lord’s authority over the election process and our nation’s leadership”.It’s the first of a series of Christian nationalist gatherings in DC to rally believers to the Capitol ahead of the 2024 election.The pro-Trump influencer has billed the event as a rallying call for mothers concerned about changing gender norms in modern America, gathering women under pink and blue banners emblazoned with the anti-trans hashtag #DontMessWithOurKids. In her promotional materials, Donnelly casts the event at the Capitol as an opportunity for women to stand their ground and play a pivotal role in changing the cultural and political trajectory of the US.In the wake of recent reporting that Donald Trump sent Covid-19 tests to Russia at the height of the pandemic – and Kamala Harris’s criticism of that move – the Kremlin said today that Harris’s description of Vladimir Putin as a “murderous dictator” shows how politicians in Washington are seeking to impose their views on the world, Reuters reports.“The lofty political establishment of the United States of America, to all appearances, is infused with such a political culture,” Russian news agencies have quoted Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov telling a television interviewer.“This is probably the quintessence of the very model of international relations that they are trying to foist on the entire world, a model that most in the world are beginning to like less and less.”Tensions with Russia have been high in recent years, between the war in Ukraine and Russian election interference in 2016.Kamala Harris will travel to North Carolina for campaign events in Raleigh and Greenville today and tomorrow, according to her campaign.This evening, she will visit with local Black elected faith and community leaders in Raleigh, while also participating in a volunteer hurricane relief supply drive. Tomorrow, she’ll attend a church service in Greenville, just days after launching her campaign’s “Souls to the Polls” effort to turn out Black churchgoers.After campaigning in Las Vegas this afternoon, Trump will make a stop in Coachella, California. An agricultural town in southern California, Coachella is best known for hosting an internationally acclaimed arts and music festival.It’s not the first place many people expected Trump to campaign, but the Coachella Valley’s large community of migrant farm workers make it ripe for the former president to continue the anti-immigrant message he ramped up in Aurora, Colorado yesterday. Although Trump is unlikely to flip long-blue California, the rally will present an opportunity for him to rail against the state’s Democratic leadership – as he did in Aurora, Colorado, yesterday.Tim Walz is trading the campaign trail for the prairies of Sleepy Eye, Minnesota, this morning as he kicks off pheasant-hunting season there.The vice-presidential nominee and Minnesota governor has dramatically shifted his stance on gun rights over the years – going from garnering an A rating from the NRA to straight F’s as his children asked him to back gun-violence protections in the wake of several campus mass shootings.The Harris-Walz campaign has called for an assault weapons ban, while walking a fine line among gun owners in the United States. Both Harris and Walz have emphasized that they themselves are gun owners, with Harris saying on 60 Minutes this week that she owns a Glock.The biggest headline circulating this morning is Kamala Harris’s medical report, which declares her fit for the presidency. For a closer look, here’s the Guardian’s Ramon Antonio Vargas:A senior aide to Harris, 59, said the vice-president’s advisers viewed the publication of the health report and medical history as an opportunity to call attention to questions about the Republican White House nominee Donald Trump’s physical fitness and mental acuity. The 78-year-old Trump has also not released any information about his health, though he would be the oldest president elected if Americans give him a second term in the Oval Office.The report – in the form of a two-page letter from the vice-president’s physician, Joshua Simmons – described Harris as being in “excellent health” and asserted that her medical history was notable for seasonal allergies and hives. Harris manages those conditions with over-the-counter medications such as Allegra, Atrovent nasal spray and Pataday eye drops, and she has also been on allergen immunotherapy for three years, the letter said.Otherwise, Harris is mildly nearsighted and wears corrective contact lenses as a result, had abdominal surgery when she was three years old and has a maternal history of colon cancer. “She has no personal history of diabetes, high blood pressure, high cholesterol, cardiac disease, pulmonary disease, neurological disorders, cancer or osteoporosis,” said the letter from Simmons, who added that the vice-president’s most recent physical examination in April was “unremarkable”.The statement on Harris’s health came on Saturday as Trump has become increasingly incoherent at campaign rallies, something the Guardian US reported on earlier in October. He has been slurring, stumbling over his words, hurling expletives – and showing signs of cognitive decline consistent with someone approaching his 80s, according to medical experts.Good morning and thanks for joining us this Saturday. With election day just over three weeks away, we’ll be covering the latest developments as they happen.Here’s a quick summary of the latest news from yesterday and where things stand today:

      At a rally in Aurora, Colorado, yesterday, former president Donald Trump announced “Operation Aurora”, a plan to invoke the 1798 Alien Enemies Act if he is re-elected. The law allows the president to detain and deport non‑citizens in times of a declared war or presidentially proclaimed “invasion”.

      Meanwhile, speaking in Scottsdale, Arizona, Kamala Harris said she would create “a bipartisan council of advisers” if elected president. She’s drawn remarkable support over the past two and a half months from establishment Republicans, most notably Liz and Dick Cheney.

      Also yesterday, Vogue magazine released its newest issue, featuring Harris on the cover. The photograph of the vice-president stood in stark contrast to Harris’s first appearance on the magazine’s cover three years ago – an image that was widely criticized as unserious and disrespectful.

      This morning, Harris released a report on her medical history – in contrast to her opponent who has repeatedly promised and then refused to do the same. The report concludes that Harris “possesses the physical and mental resiliency required to successfully execute the duties of the Presidency”.

      And Trump is scheduled to speak this afternoon at a Hispanic roundtable in Las Vegas. He’s expected to return to the anti-immigrant message that has defined his campaign.

      In a change of scenery, Tim Walz is taking a break from the campaign trail today to kick of Minnesota’s pheasant hunting season. He’s spending the day at the Governor’s Pheasant Opener – reiterating the Minnesota governor’s reputation as a hunter despite his firm stance on gun violence regulations.
      Let’s watch what happens. More

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      Gen Z and Kamala Harris: is the meet-cute enough to bring her to the White House?

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      It was the height of “brat summer”. Kamala Harris was a “femininomenon”, electrifying a high-stakes presidential race that many of the country’s youngest voters had been dreading: a rematch between the two oldest candidates in American history.Chartreuse-blocked memes and coconut emojis filled social media feeds. The tidal wave of young “Kamalove” sparked a rush of small-dollar donations and volunteer sign-ups for her days-old campaign. For an extremely online generation of young Democrats, the vibes were so good.On the ground in St Louis, a cadre of young progressives were gathering for an entirely different election – one with virtually no bearing on the balance of power in Washington, but one they believed mattered deeply. There in Missouri’s first congressional district, representative Cori Bush was fighting for her political survival.Many of the twentysomethings had traveled from out of state, sacrificing summer jobs and sleeping on yoga mats to campaign for Bush in the sticky August heat. “We just stopped our lives and went to St Louis,” said John Paul Mejia, a 22-year-old student and climate activist.Mejia was there as part of Protect Our Power (Pop), a youth coalition that came together earlier this year for what he described as a “David-and-Goliath” mission to defend leftwing members of Congress against a well-funded effort to unseat them.To them, Bush, the nurse turned racial justice activist, was one of the few elected leaders who shared their sense of urgency about everything from the country’s affordability crisis to safeguarding abortion access.As a newly elected member of Congress, Bush had slept on the steps of the US Capitol to protest against the expiration of a federal eviction moratorium. The action paid off: the Biden administration extended the pause. In warning about the threat to reproductive rights, Bush testified before a House panel that she had had an abortion at 18 after becoming pregnant by rape. In 2023, she emerged as one of the strongest critics of Israel’s war in Gaza, a stance that reflected a groundswell of youth dissent but ultimately imperiled her congressional career.“There’s pretty much nobody else, even members of Congress who are closer to our age, in some instances, who actually represent what our generation cares about,” Vincent Vertuccio, a 21-year-old college student and an activist with Pop, said of the progressive Squad members. “If we lose these people, even one or two, it’s a direct diminishment of our power.”On the morning of the election, as the group made a final push to get out the vote, news broke that Harris, to their delight, had chosen the progressive midwestern governor Tim Walz as her running mate. From the trenches of a hard-fought campaign, they spared a moment to celebrate what felt like a win.That night, Bush lost her re-election bid in a primary contest decided by fewer than 7,000 votes.The defeat stung. Pop had run a scrappy campaign: its volunteers collectively placed 120,000 phone calls and knocked on more than 20,000 doors. But they were up against a torrent of outside spending, primarily by pro-Israel groups, that transformed the race into one of the most expensive House primaries in US history.“People are feeling the issues really hard, but I don’t think that they’re feeling people fighting for them equally as hard,” Mejia reflected afterward. “That worries me, especially at a time when we’re also facing a crisis of democracy.”Gen Z poised to play decisive role?In interviews with dozens of activists, organizers and candidates working to build youth political power on the left, a portrait emerged of a generation fed up with the status quo in Washington but eager to flex its electoral might this cycle. Many are genuinely enthusiastic about the prospect of a Harris presidency. Others hope she will be a bulwark against Republican extremism, if not the transformational figure they crave.View image in fullscreenWith the presidential candidates offering sharply contrasting visions for the economy, abortion, climate change, foreign policy and democracy itself, there is an understanding among young liberals that the outcome could have profound, generational implications for the country – and the planet.“We are going to be the margin of victory,” said Marianna Pecora, the 20-year-old communications director of Voters of Tomorrow, a gen Z-led group working to mobilize first-time voters and students. As the race moves into its final stretch, her closing pitch is direct: “Don’t let this election happen to you.”Approximately 41 million members of gen Z will be eligible to vote in November, including millions who were too young to vote in the 2020 election. Their participation could be decisive: the presidential contest is deadlocked, probably hinging on tens of thousands of votes in a handful of swing states, and the battle for control of Congress is as close as ever.Yet no generation is a political monolith, and gen Z – the left-leaning, racially diverse cohort born between the late 1990s and early 2010s – is no exception. Millions of young adults identify as conservative, and a widening youth gender gap has emerged as a central political fault line.Still, experts say this generation face an unprecedented set of challenges – from the economic to the existential – that have eroded their faith in American institutions and fueled a deepening sense of “fatalism” about their own futures and the fate of the country. “We weren’t part of the structures and the systems that created this massive situation but now it’s really on us to fix it,” said Vertuccio, who has a tattoo that reads, “organizing works”.Gen Z has lived through tumultuous times, from the worst recession since the Great Depression, which saw millions of American families lose their homes, jobs and savings with almost no consequence for those who caused it, to a pandemic that closed their schools and their polarized communities.They’ve experienced political whiplash when the country that twice elected Barack Obama chose Trump as his successor. In 2020, they turned out in force to defeat Donald Trump, only to witness the 45th president refuse to concede and his far-right allies attempt to overturn Joe Biden’s victory by force.A growing body of research suggests that rising economic inequality, climate change and technological advancements are taking a toll on young people’s mental health, leading to high levels of anxiety and loneliness. A recent NBC News poll of gen Z adults found that nearly half expect life for their generation to be “worse than previous generations”.“There’s a feeling of vulnerability and isolation – that there’s no one really representing their interests, particularly politically,” said Daniel Cox, director of the Survey Center on American Life at the American Enterprise Institute (AEI). “Where you have a lot of young women becoming more active in politics because of that, particularly progressive women, a lot of men are just withdrawing completely, whether it’s dating, politics or work.”Surveys indicate that both young men and young women favor Harris over Trump. But the youth gender gap is striking. In a youth poll released by Harvard Kennedy School’s Institute of Politics, Harris led Trump by 47 percentage points among young women, compared with 17 percentage points among young men.The gulf-wide – and growing – divide reflects a dynamic that is shaping the 2024 election and could have lasting implications for both political parties: young women have become more liberal, as young men drift away from the Democratic party.There is virtually no doubt that Harris will win more young voters than Trump in November, but the margin will matter greatly.For decades, Democrats have dominated the youth vote, with voters aged 18 to 29 favoring Biden by 24 percentage points in 2020, according to Tufts University’s Center for Information and Research on Civic Learning and Engagement (Circle). While young people have historically voted at lower rates than older adults, that trend may be starting to change.Youth voter turnout rose to 50% in 2020, probably a modern record and a remarkable 11-point increase from the 2016 presidential election, according to a Circle analysis. Young voters of color, it found, played a particularly “instrumental” role in Biden’s victories in closely contested battlegrounds such as Georgia, Pennsylvania and Arizona.Two years later, young people again voted at high levels during the congressional midterms. Their fury over the supreme court’s decision to overturn Roe v Wade was credited with helping Democrats defy historical expectations.Young voters are once again poised to play a potentially decisive role this election, said Melissa Deckman, CEO of Public Religion Research Institute (PRRI) and author of the forthcoming book The Politics of Gen Z: How the Youngest Voters Will Shape Our Democracy.“When there’s an issue that gen Z is passionate about,” she said, “they’re willing to engage, despite – or maybe because of – the fact that institutions aren’t necessarily addressing their concerns.”From youth activism to youth votesFor a segment of gen Z, youth activism has practically become a rite of passage.Rather than despair, many young people mobilized in response to the election of Trump, to school shootings that killed classmates, to the climate crisis, which they believe too many of their leaders still ignore, episodes of police brutality captured on video, the rising tide of post-pandemic book bans and anti-LGBTQ+ laws, a bloody Middle East war playing out in real time on their phones, and the loss of federal abortion protections that has left young women with fewer rights than their grandmothers.“Perhaps the most important, consistent finding over 25 years of analyzing young voters – the most significant predictor of youth participation – is that young people participate when they can see a tangible difference in the process,” said John Della Volpe, director of polling at Harvard’s Institute of Politics and the author of Fight: How Gen Z Is Channeling Their Fear and Passion to Save America.This generation of activists, the first born after the release of the smartphone, blends traditional methods of activism – like old-school marches and campus protests – with modern digital strategies such as TikTok trolls and internet memes. But even more, what makes their activism unique, researchers say, is the way they have translated youth protest into youth voter participation.“When the oldest members of gen Z turned voting age, they carried those values forward and voted at rates that previous generations have not even touched,” Della Volpe said.Despite their low confidence in American institutions, Della Volpe said gen Z, including young men, tend to be pro-government. As a cohort, they are more likely than older Americans to say that the federal government should – and must – do more to address the country’s problems.Some young people, like Ben Braver, a 22-year-old public school teacher near Tampa, Florida, aren’t waiting for their elected elders to act.Braver, who shares earnest explainer videos on TikTok making the case for progressive policies, is running for a seat in the Florida state senate. He decided to challenge his Republican opponent, the incumbent state senator, after he voted for Florida’s six-week abortion ban that took effect earlier this year.“We can’t afford to wait until 2040, when we’re already the majority. We have to start now,” Braver said. “We need people writing policy that they’ll have to live under.”Building power in a right-leaning structureSantiago Mayer emigrated from Mexico to the US as a teenager in 2017, arriving in the heady months after Trump took office.At his new high school in southern California, he was shocked to learn that many of his classmates were mostly tuned out. Trump, who ran for president on a fiercely anti-immigrant platform, had just implemented a travel ban targeting predominantly Muslim countries and was pushing Republicans to repeal the Affordable Care Act.“If young people had voted in 2016, we might have been able to avoid the Trump administration,” Mayer, now 22, observed.At the time, the teen turned to “pre-Elon” Twitter. His unfiltered anti-Trump musings gathered a following and in 2019, his handle, Voters of Tomorrow, graduated from a Twitter account to an official political engagement organization “for gen Z, by gen Z” – just in time to help drive Trump from office. “They pissed off the wrong generation,” emerged as a rallying cry.Mayer’s team became enthusiastic boosters of the Biden administration. They worked to translate the president’s sprawling, sometimes wonky, achievements on climate, gun control and student loan debt for a generation increasingly turns to social media for its news.But over the course of Biden’s term, many young people grew disenchanted with the 81-year-old president, harboring reservations about his foreign policy and age.“Young people want to vote for someone who’s going to shake the system,” Link Lauren, a young, right-leaning TikTok influencer who worked on Robert F Kennedy’s independent presidential campaign, said in an interview this summer. “They want disruption.”Early polls showed Trump performing far better with this voting bloc than he had in 2020 and, in some cases, drawing even with – or doing better than – Biden. The numbers sent shockwaves through the Democratic party. Was gen Z turning Maga?Analysts and organizers, Mayer included, were skeptical. Gen Z, after all, was more socially liberal, less religious, more educated and more likely to identify as LGBTQ+ than previous generations. Rather, they saw the numbers as a pulse check: young people were frustrated by the state of the post-pandemic economy, by the slow pace of change in Washington and, yes, by the prospect of a contest between the same (very) old candidates who had dominated much of gen Z’s political memory.Mayer identified a deeper tension: a left-leaning generation was trying to build power within a political system that seemed to structurally bend rightward.With Biden as president, there had been an expectation that he would guard against Republican threats to the environment, abortion access, voting rights and gun control. But then the most conservative supreme court in history stepped in and eroded those protections while raising the possibility that other rights could be next.Gerrymandering has made the US House less competitive, harder to govern and more polarized while an arcane Senate rule known as the filibuster stands in the way of most major legislation. Beyond Washington, the country is increasingly cracked into red states and blue states with dramatically different laws governing abortion access, LGBTQ+ protections and union membership.“When you see kids gunned down in schools, then the supreme court says domestic abusers can have guns and your abortion rights are gone, it creates a sense of hopelessness,” Mayer said. “It feels like the government is working against you.”The coconut armyThe mood among young Democrats changed entirely on 21 July, when the octogenarian president exited the race and threw his support behind Harris, who, at 59, seemed positively youthful by comparison.Marion Smart, a 21-year-old student organizer with Voters of Tomorrow’s Georgia chapter, was preparing to welcome hundreds of liberal students and activists to the group’s Year of Youth summit in Atlanta when it happened.Summit-goers descended on Atlanta’s Loudermilk center days later, chugging boxes of coconut water as they dashed between a panel on running for office as a member of gen Z and a training led by a panda head-wearing digital organizer.Harris’s nascent campaign sent an envoy, Eve Levenson, the national youth engagement director, and the vice-president herself took time in the whirlwind of her elevation to record a pre-taped message, in which she vowed to work for their vote.In response, they pledged to turn out the youth vote. “We’re all part of the coconut army and we’re gonna take this election by storm,” Smart said.Ashleigh Ewald, the group’s Georgia state director, felt the political ground shift immediately. She had toiled for months on college campuses around the state, trying to convince her discontented peers to get involved in the November election. Now they were seeking her out, asking how they could help.“Because of Kamala Harris, that pessimism turned into enthusiasm,” the 22-year-old said.Gen z voters have flocked to the vice-president, helping to drive up her popularity.But Harris’s ground-breaking candidacy – she would be the first woman to serve as president of the United States – has particularly energized young women. After she entered the race, youth voter registration among young women rose sharply – a trend one Democratic data analyst dubbed the “Harris effect.”Nearly six in 10 women under age 30 view her potential presidency as a “very important” milestone in American political history, according to a national survey by AEI’s Survey Center on American Life. The sentiment is notably more pronounced for younger women than it is for older women and significantly more than for younger men.Leaving a “contingency planning” workshop for a potential Trump victory, Amini Bonane said the session had been a sobering reminder of the stakes this election. It was part of the reason Bonane, a 29-year-old community organizer who came to the US as a refugee from the Democratic Republic of Congo, decided to run for a seat on the city council in her home town of Fairfax, Virginia. With Harris as the nominee, she has felt a surge of energy in her own race.“I’m just so excited and – hello! – I’ll be on the same ballot as,” she paused, shaking her hands in excitement, “possibly the first Black woman Potus. That is just so motivating for me.”Courting gen ZThe online hype that followed Harris’s sudden emergence was not only good for the vibes. It helped reset the entire political narrative around her, propelling the once-unpopular vice president into what her campaign playfully coined its “Kamala era”.Conservative media outlets had long amplified Harris’s quirky turns of phrase –derided as “word salads” – and her laugh to portray her as unserious. Young supporters reinterpreted those same clips as charming and authentic – a powerful currency in contemporary politics.Harris’s campaign has nodded back, embracing the viral trends on her gen Z-run TikTok, @kamalahq. It eclipses Trump’s personal account, @realdonaldtrump, in engagement, though he has substantially more followers. During a youth voter drive last month, Harris said young voters were part of the reason she was so optimistic about the future.“Your generation is killing it,” she said on a call with gen Z organizers. “You’re brilliant. You care. You’re impatient in every incredible, good way.”To offset Harris’s steep advantage with young women, Trump has been heavily courting gen Z’s “bro” vote with amped up displays of masculinity. He has turned up at Ultimate Fighting Championship bouts and a college fraternity house. Wrestler Hulk Hogan tore off his shirt during a speech at the Republican convention in which he praised Trump as a “gladiator”.The former president has appeared on shows with the controversial YouTuber Logan Paul and video game streamer Adin Ross, both of whom attract sizable followings of gen Z men. The Nelk Boys, a group of online content creators and pranksters, are helping too, by spearheading a voter registration initiative on Trump’s behalf. His team is also relying on Turning Point Action, the political advocacy wing of the far-right youth organization Turning Point USA, to drive out young conservatives.The Harris campaign and allied youth groups, meanwhile, are aggressively targeting college students – nearly two-thirds of whom voted in 2020. As part of the push, Harris and Walz launched a homecoming tour of historically Black colleges and universities, aiming to reach young Black students across the battleground states.Democratic organizers say Harris has made concerted policy appeals to young people, particularly on housing and abortion, which she highlighted in a recent appearance on the Call Her Daddy podcast that is popular with gen Z women.Harris has also staked out support for eliminating the filibuster to codify abortion rightsas well as legalizing recreational marijuana.Still, her pivot to the ideological center since becoming the Democratic nominee has left some young progressives disappointed. On the campaign trail, Harris frequently promotes her support for fracking – a reversal from her 2019 presidential run when she embraced a ban. She has also adopted an increasingly hardline approach to illegal immigration and resisted calls to endorse an arms embargo on Israel, whose devastating campaign in Gaza has killed more than 41,000 Palestinians.“Young people right now, our generation in general, are very, very clear-eyed on the fact that Donald Trump cannot return to the White House in November,” said Mejia, the progressive activist with Pop. “The question presented to the Democratic party is: how much does it want to invite young people into its coalition in order to defeat Donald Trump?”‘Something our generation hasn’t seen yet’In the weeks since Harris entered the presidential race, she has steadily recaptured lost ground, multiplying Biden’s lead among young voters.The Harvard Youth Poll showed Harris with a commanding 32-point lead over Trump among likely voters aged 18 to 29. Young Democrats expressed a heightened commitment to voting this November, with significantly more “definitely” planning to cast a ballot compared with their Republican counterparts. Yet the overall share of young Americans who said they definitely planned to cast a ballot this year was 56%, down slightly from 63% at this point in 2020.“Young people are right to be cynical and I don’t expect one candidate to change that,” said Cristina Tzintzún Ramirez, the president of NextGen America, one of the largest youth-voting groups in the country. “That happens over time by government responding.”But the first step is electing leaders who listen to young people, Tzintzún Ramirez said, arguing that Harris was the only presidential candidate offering solutions to their concerns on the economy and abortion rights. There are signs young people increasingly agree. A recent New York Times and Siena College poll found that voters under age 30 were significantly more likely than older voters to believe that Harris “cares about people like you” and to see her as a representative of “change”. They were also more inclined to view Harris as a “strong leader” and to describe her as “fun”.Though the glow of “brat summer” has faded with the season, organizers say they have been able to convert that energy into lasting on-the-ground efforts to help turn out the vote. Over the next few weeks, youth voter engagement groups will be out in force, knocking on doors, registering students, and making pledges – and plans – to vote. In true gen Z fashion, youth organizers are also using memes and friendship bracelets to drive young people to the polls.In the days ahead, Pecora of Voters of Tomorrow will cast her first vote for president, a mail-in ballot for Harris. It will be counted in California, hardly a presidential battleground but, poignantly, the vice-president’s home state.Pecora was just 13 in 2016, when Hillary Clinton conceded the election to Trump. She was in high school, taking classes by Zoom, during the depths of the coronavirus pandemic when Biden won four years later. Then came the nightmarish Capitol riot on January 6, when Trump’s supporters tried to stop the peaceful transfer of power. “There has yet to be a presidential cycle in my lifetime when democracy wasn’t on the line,” she said.Yet the 20-year-old is allowing herself to be hopeful, even as her team pours over numbers that tell the same story – that the race will be nail-bitingly close. Voters of Tomorrow says its on track to reach its ambitious goal of 15 million direct contacts in hopes, Pecora said, of electing a leader who recognizes the “power and agency” of young people.“We see an option that tells us that politics can be something different,” she said. “It can be more hopeful, more productive, more caring and empathetic and loving. And that’s something that our generation hasn’t really seen yet.” More

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      Kamala Harris to release health report saying she is fit for presidency – aide

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      Kamala Harris on Saturday planned to release a report on her health and medical history which finds that “she possesses the physical and mental resiliency required to successfully execute the duties of the presidency” if voters elect her in November, according to a senior aide on her campaign.The aide said the vice-president’s advisers viewed the release of the health report and medical history as an opportunity to call attention to questions about the Republican White House nominee Donald Trump’s physical fitness as well as mental acuity. The 78-year-old Trump has also not released any information about his health, though he would be the oldest president elected if Americans give him a second term in the Oval Office.As Guardian US reported earlier in October, Trump has been becoming increasingly incoherent at campaign rallies. He has been slurring, stumbling over his words, hurling expletives – and showing signs of cognitive decline consistent with someone approaching his 80s, according to medical experts.Recent speeches have seen him rant about topics ranging from his purportedly “beautiful” body to “a million Rambos” in Afghanistan. Meanwhile, Harris campaign aides pointed to Trump’s backing out of an interview with CBS’s 60 Minutes that the vice-president granted and his refusal to debate her again after their 10 September faceoff. They argue that the former president is “avoiding public scrutiny” and giving voters “the impression … that he has something to hide and may not be up for the job”.“Contrast her age and vitality with his,” the senior aide to Harris, 59, said early on Saturday.Questions over whether he was too enfeebled forced Joe Biden to halt his bid for re-election to the presidency during the summer. The 81-year-old Democrat dropped out of a rematch with Trump on 21 July and endorsed Harris to succeed him.Recent national polling averages show Harris with a nearly four-point edge over Trump in the 5 November race for the presidency. But key swing states remain too close to call, and most experts expect a competitive election.The Republican party chose Trump as their nominee despite his being convicted in May of criminally falsifying business records to cover up hush-money payments to an adult film actor who claimed an extramarital sexual encounter with him about a decade before his successful run for the presidency in 2016. Among other legal problems, he is grappling with criminal charges that he tried to illicitly overturn his defeat to Biden in the 2020 election.Trump, for his part, has maintained that Biden “became mentally impaired”. He also said that Harris “was born that way” while struggling to pronounce the vice-president’s name.At a town hall in Las Vegas for a group of undecided voters on Thursday, Harris said “using language that’s belittling … [is not] healthy for our nation”.“I don’t admire that,” Harris said. “And in fact, I’m quite critical of it coming from someone who wants to be president of the United States.” More