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Mark Kelly on Senate win in Arizona: 'Tonight is about getting to work' – video
by Eliana Willis 4 November 2020, 10:15
Mark Kelly, the Democrat and former astronaut, focused on bipartisanship in a speech shortly before he was declared the winner of the Senate race in Arizona. ‘I’m confident that when all the votes are counted, we’re going to be successful in this mission,’ Kelly told supporters. ‘The work starts now.’
The retired US navy captain, who ran his campaign by playing up his outsider status in politics, said: ‘Our state doesn’t need a Democrat senator or a Republican senator. We need an Arizona senator. There is nothing we can’t achieve if we work together’
Results come in after polls close – as it happened More
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OK, America, so what the hell happens now? | Marina Hyde
by Evelyn Reynolds 4 November 2020, 08:31
With the future and democratic reputation of the American republic hanging in the balance, this is not an occasion for bombast. Rather it is time to reach humbly in the darkness, seeking only to summon such measured words as convey the intense dignity of this moment. In short, I think we all feel the hand of history on our pussies.Donald Trump, America’s howling id, has not lost this election. Then again, Joe Biden has not won it. Shortly before 6am UK time, Biden addressed a rally – never a better time for one, mate – and told the Delaware crowd he was “optimistic”. In split-screen Trump addressed his Twitter retinue, and told them of “a big WIN”, adding “they are trying to STEAL the election … votes cannot be cast after the Poles are closed.” Expect him to invade Pole-land in the coming days.Still, whatever happens now, no one can argue that a result this close was a repudiation of his way of doing business, so anyone expecting the gibberingly loyal Republican party to tack away from its current psychiatric space for the next couple of decades ought probably to get used to disappointment.Shortly after 7am UK time, Trump addressed the nation with quasi-dictatorial fanfare, falsely claiming victory as well as electoral fraud, and seeking to disenfranchise voters in undeclared states. This was at least predicted. There have long been signs that Trump would not be able to handle even potentially unfavourable election results. After all, just look how he handled male pattern baldness. Contrary to what a lot of people said over the past four years, Trump did eventually manage to build something described as an “unscalable” fence. Unfortunately, he only did it this week, and it now surrounds the White House.Militia fears, a barricaded presidential compound, open calls to disenfranchise voters – it’s a mood very much borrowed from what Trump would call “shithole countries”. As the weeks unfold, please don’t rule out Donald’s two large adult sons – Uday and Schmuday – downing a Black Hawk within the White House autonomous zone. Already, expectations have been so profoundly commuted that if gun-toting convoys of Klansmen aren’t firing celebratory rounds into the sky from vehicle convoys by the time this article is published, it’ll be regarded as a positive.So what in the name of terminal insanity does happen now? I’m encouraged to learn that pathways from here include everything from victory for the orange dopamine-pusher to the most illegitimate or disputed victory in history, with Biden’s likely best-case scenario a narrow win with a Republican senate which would allow him to accomplish even less than he achieved during this campaign. Either way, lockdowns around the globe are sure to be enlivened by rolling coverage of the fallout, possibly in the country’s sarcastically admired court system. Were US lawyers part of the original breakout from Pandora’s box? If not, expect swarms of them to breach its defences in the coming days.Should Biden edge a victory, thanks to the way the self-styled greatest democracy in the world works, we will have months of grimly incendiary Trump claims that it was stolen. Or to put it in terms the rest of the planet would understand: this is like winning the World Cup in November, then having the losing captain use it as a toilet for three months before finally handing the brimming trophy over to you in late January.Elsewhere, what a great night for pollsters and their polls, which seem to have been about as accurate as any Trump statements. Bazillions of dollars have been spent on polling this cycle. Definitely the business to get into when journalism – which did about as badly – goes tits-up.According to the exit poll Trump outperformed his 2016 results with every race and gender – except for white men. In counties with high Covid death rates, Trump performed better this year than he did in 2016. I suppose we have to believe the arc of history bends towards justice, but it certainly takes some incredible hairpin detours.Other assorted lowlights thus far include Lindsey Graham winning again, while some QAnon gorgon is now an actual Georgia congresswoman. The 25-year-old Republican Madison Cawthorn, whose bucket list included a visit to Hitler’s holiday home, is also going to Congress, and announced his victory just as Abraham Lincoln once did – in a tweet reading: “Cry more, lib”. Louisiana voters approved an amendment declaring abortion was not protected by the state’s constitution.Still, let no one suggest a democracy contested by two men in their mid- to late-70s is in some ways beginning to look a little necrotic. Yes, it would have been nice to have at least one candidate who no one had accused of sexual assault – but you had to be deeply comforted that one of the candidates had been accused of literally dozens more sexual assaults than the other one.Of course, the 2020 US presidential election situation is still very much developing, and by the time you read this, there could be a lot of hostages to fortune. Or even just hostages. Rule nothing out. Nothing, perhaps, except moral optimism. People used to say that irony died when Henry Kissinger won the Nobel peace prize – but the real victim was actually the Nobel peace prize. It’s hard not to think something of an order of magnitude is now true of the US presidency, which for ever ever this time will be seen as a job that a man of the character of Donald Trump was able to get. Maybe even twice – or as near as dammit.• Marina Hyde is a Guardian columnist More
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US House races: Democrats retain control while facing upsets in key states
by Evelyn Reynolds 4 November 2020, 08:04
Democrats, who are still expected to retain control of the House of Representatives, have suffered several stinging losses that have knocked down their hopes of significantly expanding their majority in the House of Representatives.In Florida’s Miami-Dade county, Republicans flipped two Democratic seats in an upset, while Democrats took two Republican seats in North Carolina. But chances that Democrats would gain some of the long-shot seats they were vying for in Texas and Arkansas are on track to remain in Republican hands as early results trickle in.In New Mexico, the Republican Yvette Herrell on Tuesday beat incumbent Democrat Xochitl Torres Small – who had won her red district two years ago by just 3,700 votes. And in South Carolina, the Republican Nancy Mace defeated the incumbent Democrat Joe Cunningham.House leader Nancy Pelosi, who handily won re-election in California, was confident ahead of election night. “Tonight, House Democrats are poised to further strengthen our majority – the biggest, most diverse, most dynamic, women-led House majority in history,” she said.And the Cook Political Report, which provides non-partisan election and political analysis, predicted on Monday that Democrats will gain between 10 and 15 seats in the House, which has 435 members. “A combination of President Trump’s unpopularity in the suburbs, a fundraising disadvantage, and 32 open seats for the GOP to defend (to Democrats’ dozen) has weighed down Republicans’ prospects,” said David Wasserman, of Cook Political Report.Democrats now hold 232 seats, while Republicans have 197. There are five vacancies in the House, and one Libertarian-held seat . The GOP would need 218 seats to gain control. Such an upset is exceedingly unlikely.However, Republicans have chipped away at predictions of Democratic sweeps – having unseated Democrats in red or swing districts.Across the country, Republican candidates have been going after freshman Democrats who won in the 2018 midterms. Meanwhile, Democrats were hoping to land key GOP districts, USA Today explained. Texas, which is an overwhelmingly red state, is key to this battle. Congressman Michael McCaul, whose district spans from Houston’s suburbs to Austin, was thought to be dealing with “real risk of defeat” against Democrat Mike Siegel. But the Associated Press declared victory for McCaul on Tuesday night.In Ohio, Democrats believed that a long-held Republican seat representing Cincinnati-area suburbs has become more competitive. But GOP representative Steve Chabot claimed his 13th term, with an almost 8% lead over Democrat Kate Schroder, a healthcare executive. A congressional race near Atlanta, Georgia, however, may test Democrats’ success in courting suburban voters. The district’s Republican representative, Rob Woodall, is retiring. Democrat Carolyn Bourdeaux, who lost to Woodall in 2018, is the 2020 candidate against Republican nominee Rich McCormick. As the district remains conservative, the result will give insight into Democrats’ get-out-the-vote efforts in the state, the Washington Post reported. Bourdeaux was leading by the end of election night by a 1.4% margin. In Florida’s Miami-Dade county, incumbent Debbie Mucarsel-Powell was defeated by Republican Carlos Giménez in the 27th district, and incumbent Donna Shalala of the state’s 26th district lost to Republican Maria Elvira Salazar. Cook Political Report had predicted both seats would remain with Democrats.Giménez, who is the mayor of Miami-Dade, performed a balancing act – welcoming an endorsement from Trump, while gently veering away from the president on public health issues as he led the majority-Black and Latino community he through the coronavirus pandemic. Salazar, formerly a broadcast journalist for Univision, Telemundo and CNN Español, won this year after losing to Shalala in 2018. As a daughter of Cuban refugees, Salazar painted her opponents and Democrats as socialists.Another key congressional race was in South Carolina, where Joe Cunningham, who two years ago was the first Democrat to take a House seat from the GOP in the state since 1986, lost his bid for re-election after acontest that became the most expensive US House race in state history. Cunningham’s fundraising totaled $6m, while his Republican opponent, the state representative Nancy Mace, raised more than $4m between the primary and general elections.In a heated race in the New York district covering Staten Island and southern Brooklyn, Max Rose, the Democratic incumbent, lost to Republican state assembly member Nicole Malliotakis.The bitter race has featured weeks of negative attack ads, with Malliotakis insisting she is the law-and-order candidate. This position, of course, is also touted by Trump – who won Staten Island in 2016. Trump is supporting Malliotakis in the race.Results from Indiana’s fifth district, an open-seat race that speaks to both parties’ fight for the suburbs seemed to remain in Republican control. This district, which covers suburban Indianapolis, marked a major victory for Trump in 2016 – with him beating Hillary Clinton by almost 12 points. Virginia’s fifth district had also attracted attention as a potentially watershed toss-up – in the end wasn’t. Democrat Cameron Webb, a Black physician who served in the Obama administration, was defeated by Bob Good. More
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Trump throws baseless doubt on vote and falsely claims victory – video
by Evelyn Reynolds 4 November 2020, 07:27
Donald Trump has made baseless claims of voter ‘fraud’ in the presidential election and declared victory, even as important battleground states remain too close to call. Speaking at the White House the president said: ‘This is a fraud on the American public. This is an embarrassment to our country.’ He also threatened to challenge the election results in the supreme court.
Trump has won the battleground state of Florida, but others including North Carolina, Georgia and Pennsylvania remain too close to call. Election officials are counting ballots in many key states and the process could continue for days
US elections 2020 – live updates
Donald Trump: could the president refuse to accept defeat?
Trump v Biden – full results More
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US election 2020 live: Trump and Biden pick up wins as votes counted in Florida
by Eliana Willis 4 November 2020, 02:17
Key events
Show
10.23pm EST22:23
Republicans pick up Senate seat in Alabama
10.17pm EST22:17
Biden underperforming in Florida and Georgia compared to polls
10.09pm EST22:09
Cornyn wins Senate race in Texas
10.06pm EST22:06
Trump wins Kansas
10.02pm EST22:02
Lindsey Graham wins re-election
10.00pm EST22:00
Polls close in four more states
9.49pm EST21:49
Democrats pick up first Senate seat with Hickenlooper win
Live feed
Show
10.23pm EST22:23
Republicans pick up Senate seat in Alabama
Republican Tommy Tuberville has been declared the winner of the Alabama Senate race, defeating Democratic incumbent Doug Jones.
AP Politics
(@AP_Politics)
BREAKING: Republican Tommy Tuberville wins election to U.S. Senate from Alabama, beating incumbent Sen. Doug Jones. #APracecall at 9:10 p.m. CST. #Election2020 #ALelection https://t.co/lGfinjTqT4
November 4, 2020
Jones had been widely expected to lose his race, after narrowly winning the seat in a 2017 special election.
Combined with Democrats flipping Cory Gardner’s seat in Colorado, the two parties have canceled out their Senate gains so far tonight.
10.17pm EST22:17
Biden underperforming in Florida and Georgia compared to polls
We still have a long night ahead of us, but the results so far indicate Joe Biden has underperformed in Florida and Georgia in comparison to his polling there.
With about 91% of the Florida vote in, Donald Trump leads Biden by about 3 points, 51%-48%.
In Georgia, where 54% of the vote is in, Trump leads by 13 points, 56%-43%.
Florida was seen as a toss-up, although a recent poll showed Biden ahead there by 5 points. The Democratic nominee was also seen as slightly favored to win Georgia. More
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Trump and Biden begin to claim states with tense vote count under way
by Eliana Willis 4 November 2020, 02:05
A tense vote count in the US presidential election got under way on Tuesday night as Donald Trump and Joe Biden started to notch expected state wins.
The president won Kentucky, which carried eight votes in the electoral college, and several other southern states, while Biden captured the safely Democratic state of Vermont and several others on the east coast. Results in the crucial battleground states were not expected for several hours at least.
From New York to Phoenix, from Detroit to Los Angeles, even as coronavirus cases surged in swing states, citizens waited patiently to determine whether Trump will serve a second term in the White House or make way for his Democratic challenger.
A record of more than 100 million people had voted early, with Democrats thought to have the edge, so Trump, a Republican, was relying on what he called a “red wave” on election day itself. Experts predicted the final total could be around 160 million, a turnout rate of more than two-thirds of the eligible voting population – the highest in more than a century.
Both candidates signaled confidence before polls closed on Tuesday night. Trump, the first impeached president to run for re-election, expressed faith that the size of his campaign rallies will prove a more reliable measure of support than conventional national polling, which has consistently shown Biden leading.
“We’re feeling very good,” Trump told the conservative Fox News channel, his voice sounding scratchy after holding 14 rallies in three days in a last-ditch campaign blitz. “We have crowds like nobody has ever had before. I think that translates into a lot of votes, and we’re going to see very soon.”
But the president sounded more downbeat during a visit to his campaign headquarters in Virginia. “I’m not thinking about concession speech or acceptance speech yet. Hopefully we’ll be doing only one of those two. And you know, winning is easy. Losing is never easy. Not for me, it’s not.”
Biden, who at 77 would be the oldest US president ever elected if he wins, visited his childhood home in Scranton, Pennsylvania. He wrote in ink on the living room wall: “From this house to the White House with the Grace of God. Joe Biden 11.3.2020.”
He then made a last-ditch appeal to voters in the battleground state of Pennsylvania, grabbing a microphone and addressing an impromptu street gathering in Philadelphia.
“Trump’s got a lot of things backwards,” he said through a face mask. “If you elect me, I’m going to be an American president. There’s going to be no red states or blue states, just the United States of America.”
Later, back home in Wilmington, Delaware, Biden was asked about the destabilizing potential of Trump claiming victory prematurely. More
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US election 2020 live results: Donald Trump takes on Joe Biden in race for White House
by Eliana Willis 4 November 2020, 01:08
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JOE
BIDEN
131
electoral college votes
36,902,456 votes
DONALD
TRUMP
electoral college votes
38,431,036 votes
98
36,902,456 votes
38,431,036 votes
How does the election work?
Live coverage / Trump and Biden pick up wins as votes counted in Florida
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Latest results
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Key states to watch
The race for the presidency is usually decided in a small number of key battleground states that switch party allegiance between elections.
Democrats
Republicans
Florida
29 electoral college votes
Est. vote count
91%
Polls closed 2 hours ago
Est. vote count
91%
Candidate
Votes
Percent

Donald Trump
5,617,645
51.3%

Joe Biden
5,235,443
47.8%

Jo Jorgensen
68,626
0.6%

Why does it matter?
Florida has voted with the eventual winner in all but one presidential election since 1964. It is also the swing state with the largest population and the most electoral college votes.
Pennsylvania
20 electoral college votes
Est. vote count
31%
Polls closed 2 hours ago
Est. vote count
31%
Candidate
Votes
Percent

Donald Trump
1,075,787
51.8%

Joe Biden
941,763
45.4%

Jo Jorgensen
58,210
2.8%

Why does it matter?
Pennsylvania was one of the largest states to swing to Trump in the 2016 election. He won the state by a margin of just 0.7 percentage points, turning it Republican for the first time since 1992.
Ohio
18 electoral college votes
Est. vote count
80%
Polls closed 3 hours ago
Est. vote count
80%
Candidate
Votes
Percent

Donald Trump
2,469,381
52.1%

Joe Biden
2,207,916
46.6%

Jo Jorgensen
50,398
1.1%

Why does it matter?
Ohio is one of the largest swing states in the midwest, and it has sided with the eventual election winner for decades. Trump won the state by a margin of over eight points in 2016.
Georgia
16 electoral college votes
Est. vote count
56%
Polls closed 3 hours ago
Est. vote count
56%
Candidate
Votes
Percent

Donald Trump
1,546,826
55.4%

Joe Biden
1,213,435
43.4%

Jo Jorgensen
32,776
1.2%

Why does it matter?
Long a Republican stronghold, southern Georgia has recently become more of a battleground state due to its growing black electorate. In the 2018 governor’s election, Republican Brian Kemp defeated Democrat Stacey Abrams by just 1.4 percentage points.
Michigan
16 electoral college votes
Est. vote count
34%
Polls closed an hour ago
Est. vote count
34%
Candidate
Votes
Percent

Donald Trump
1,042,125
55.4%

Joe Biden
805,733
42.9%

Jo Jorgensen
23,969
1.3%

Why does it matter?
Trump won Michigan by just 0.2 percentage points in 2016 – the narrowest margin of any state. In the six elections prior, the state consistently voted Democratic.
Arizona
11 electoral college votes
Est. vote count
71%
Polls closed an hour ago
Est. vote count
71%
Candidate
Votes
Percent

Joe Biden
1,254,478
53.9%

Donald Trump
1,042,791
44.8%

Jo Jorgensen
29,385
1.3%

Why does it matter?
Arizona last voted Democratic for President in 1996, but the state has become increasingly competitive as the Hispanic share of the electorate has grown. The Democrats managed to gain a number of seats in the 2018 midterms here.
Wisconsin
10 electoral college votes
Est. vote count
39%
Polls closed an hour ago
Est. vote count
39%
Candidate
Votes
Percent

Donald Trump
638,334
51.6%

Joe Biden
580,660
46.9%

Jo Jorgensen
14,808
1.2%

Why does it matter?
Wisconsin sided with the Democratic candidate in all presidential elections from 1988 through 2012, although sometimes by very narrow margins. In 2016, Trump managed to flip the state despite his underdog status in the polls.
More key states
Who is controlling Congress?
Americans are also electing members to the two chambers of Congress, the main law-making body of the US. Those chambers are the Senate and the House of Representatives.
Without support in the Senate and the House, the president’s ability to enact key policies is severely limited.
SENATE
Democrats*
43
+0
Republicans
+0
41
19 of 35 races called
* Includes 2 independents
HOUSE
Democrats
74
+0
Republicans
+0
95
169 of 435 races called
Full Senate and House results
How does the election work?
The winner of the election is determined through a system called the electoral college. Each of the 50 states, plus Washington DC, is given a number of electoral college votes, adding up to a total of 538 votes. More populous states get more electoral college votes than smaller ones.
A candidate needs to win 270 electoral college votes (50% plus one) to win the election.
In every state except two – Maine and Nebraska – the candidate that gets the most votes wins all of the state’s electoral college votes.
Due to these rules, a candidate can win the election without getting the most votes at the national level. This happened at the last election, in which Donald Trump won a majority of electoral college votes although more people voted for Hillary Clinton across the US.
How are the results reported?
The election results on this page are reported by the Associated Press (AP). AP “call” the winner in a state when they determine that the trailing candidate has no path to victory. This can happen before 100% of votes in a state have been counted.
Estimates for the total vote in each state are also provided by AP. The numbers update throughout election night, as more data on voter turnout becomes available.
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‘It’s not up to him’: how media outlets plan to sidestep any Trump ‘victory’ news
by Eliana Willis 3 November 2020, 14:22
Newsrooms across the United States are bracing for a potentially volatile election night, after reports suggested that Donald Trump is planning to declare “victory” on Tuesday even before results from critical battleground states have been determined.
The president’s reported intention to make a premature – and potentially false – victory speech by the end of Tuesday night, with large numbers of mail-in ballots yet to be counted, has provoked intense journalistic debate. TV channels would be under pressure to air such an event on grounds that it is “news”, while aware that it amounted to dangerous misinformation that could stir violence across the nation and undermine the democratic process.
Such a clash of responsibilities would amount to a heady climax in the American media’s extremely vexed relationship with Trump over the past four years.
Were Trump to try to stage such a “victory” stunt it would chime with the relentless doubt that he has sown for months around the election, with repeated false claims that mail-in voting is riddled with fraud. His comments suggest that his aim is to create the illusion that the election is being stolen from him in states such as Pennsylvania where early results from in-person voting might favor Trump in a so-called “red mirage”, only for the balance to swing to Biden as absentee ballots are counted beyond election day.
As Jake Tapper, chief Washington correspondent for CNN, pointed out, any premature claim of victory would be electorally meaningless, the equivalent of a football coach bragging about having won at half-time. “That’s not how it works and it’s not up to him,” Tapper said in a tweet.
But it would still present media outlets with a classic Trump conundrum. How do you cover a presidential “victory” speech that is founded upon hot air yet has the potential to cause serious public discord?
Vivian Schiller, a former president and CEO of National Public Radio who was also NBC News’s chief digital officer, said that news organizations have no excuse for being unprepared for such an eventuality. Headlines such as “Trump declares victory”, especially on social media, could “shape public opinion and become a weapon against truth and trust in the democratic process,” she told the Guardian.
Schiller, who in her current role as executive director of Aspen Digital has co-written a 10-point plan for news rooms on how to cover a historically toxic election, proposed that TV channels should actively counter any Trump gambit. One technique would be to display a fixed on-screen banner reminding viewers that the votes are still being counted with no winner yet declared.
“If Trump goes on for more than a minute or two with falsehoods, cut away from the live feed and have your reporters explain that elections are not ‘called’ by their contestants,” she said. “Explain why such a premature declaration of victory is both wrong and dangerous.”
Jay Rosen, journalism professor at New York University, responded to the Axios story by calling on newsrooms to step up and meet the challenge. A premature Trump “victory” declaration would be the most important test yet of what he called the “fading maxim” that whatever the US president says is news.
That maxim, Rosen said on Twitter, was “corroded beyond repair by its abuser”.
Election night is also likely to present the social media giants with challenges, after they struggled to counter misinformation throughout the presidential election cycle.
Late on Monday, Twitter and Facebook announced that they would flag posts from candidates who claim to have won the election before the votes have been counted.
In Twitter’s case, a warning label on the tweet will say “Official sources called this election differently”, or that “Official sources may not have called the race when this was tweeted”. Users would still be able to quote tweet the post, but not to like or retweet it.
The company says it will consider a result official after it has been declared by a state election official, or confirmed by two or more of a list of news outlets including Fox, CNN and the Associated Press.
Facebook’s warning labels, applied on both Facebook and Instagram, will state that “votes are being counted. The winner of the 2020 US presidential election has not been projected.” The company has also updated its “voting information centre”, which was that “Some election results may not be available for days or weeks. This means things are happening as expected.”
“Election officials will get the vote count right, and slower results reporting does not mean wrong or fraudulent results,” Facebook advises its users. “All Americans need to give election officials the time to do their jobs right.” More

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