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    Officials outside bureau made decision to speed US census, report finds

    Officials outside of the US Census Bureau made the decision to speed up efforts to complete the 2020 census, a move likely to decrease the accuracy of the decennial survey, according to a report released on Monday.The report from the commerce department’s office of inspector general (OIG), the agency’s official watchdog, offers some of the clearest evidence yet of how a decision to accelerate the census could lead to problems with the quality of the data it produces. Inaccurate data would be deeply consequential because it is used to draw electoral districts, allocate $1.5tn in federal funds, and make decisions about where to build schools, roads and other necessities.The constitutionally mandated survey is conducted just once every 10 years. The bureau, part of the commerce department, is planning to end counting on 30 September and produce processed data used to determine how many seats each state gets in the US House by 31 December. That timeline could be complicated by a slew of federal court cases seeking to force the bureau to extend counting.Monday’s report notes that the period for the bureau to follow up with people who failed to respond to the census on their own was shortened from 80 days to 56. That shortened window gives the bureau much less time to respond to contingencies, such as natural disasters, or do recounts if it discovers errors. Bureau officials told investigators they were confident they could reach their goal of gathering data for 99% of housing units in every state, but they said they were unsure of what would happen if they were unable to meet that target.The commerce department requested a four-month extension on the census in April, including an extra month for counting people, citing difficulties caused by the pandemic, but it reversed course in August and said it would try to complete counting by the end of September, its original timeline.Internal emails released as part of ongoing litigation show career bureau employees opposing speeding up the timeline.“It is ludicrous to think we can complete 100% of the nation’s data coverage earlier than 10/31 and any thinking person who would believe we can deliver apportionment by 12/31 has either a mental deficiency or political motivation,” Timothy Olson, a top bureau employee, wrote in a July email.The OIG report does not offer insight into the decision, but it says it came from outside the Census Bureau, and potentially from the commerce department or White House. Census Bureau officials did tell the OIG, however, they believed the Trump administration’s effort to exclude undocumented immigrants from census data played a role in the decision to accelerate the survey.“We found that when that schedule was subsequently accelerated in August 2020, the decision came from outside the Bureau and further increased the risks to the accuracy and completeness of the 2020 Census,” Peggy Gustafson, the agency’s Inspector General, wrote in the report.Once counting is completed on 30 September, there still are severe risks the Bureau may not have enough time to correct any errors it finds in the data when it is processing it. Researchers typically discover errors in census data during processing after counting is complete. Under the current timeline, researchers may simply not have time to correct errors they find in the data, bureau officials said.“It is particularly damning, and reassuring, that the Department of Commerce’s own inspector general was able to review the facts and shine light on the truth about the 2020 census,” said Arturo Vargas, CEO of the Naleo educational fund, which works closely on census issues.This summer, bureau officials scrambled to put together talking points showing that rushing the count could lead to decreased confidence in census data, including the appearance it was politically manipulated, according to NPR. More

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    Global report: Trump wrongly claims Covid affects 'virtually' no young people

    As the United States’ coronavirus death toll edged closer to 200,000, US president Donald Trump claimed falsely at a rally in Ohio that the country’s fatality rate was “among the lowest in the world” and that the virus has “virtually” no effect on young people.Speaking in the town of Swanton, Trump said: “It affects elderly people. Elderly people with heart problems and other problems. If they have other problems that’s what it really affects, that’s it,” he claimed. “You know in some states, thousands of people – nobody young.”“Take your hat off to the young, because they have a hell of an immune system. But it affects virtually nobody. It’s an amazing thing. By the way, open your schools.”Trump also claimed that the United States had “among the lowest case-fatality rates of any country in the world.” The US ranks 53rd highest out of 195 countries in the world with a case-fatality rate of 2.9%, according to Johns Hopkins University. It is the 11th worst on deaths per 100,000 people, at 60.98.At least 199,815 Americans are known to have died since the start of the pandemic, according to Johns Hopkins, which relies on official government data. With the worst death toll in the world, the US accounts for one in five coronavirus-related fatalities worldwide. Just under one in every 1,600 Americans has died in the pandemic.In August, the World Health Organization warned that young people were becoming the primary drivers of the spread of coronavirus in many countries.Meanwhile, in Europe, stocks posted their worst fall in three months on Monday as fears of a second wave hit travel and leisure shares, while banks tumbled on reports of about $2tn-worth of potentially suspect transfers by leading lenders. Pubs, bars and restaurants in England will have to shut by 10pm from Thursday under new nationwide restrictions to halt an “exponential” rise in coronavirus cases.Boris Johnson is expected to make an address to the nation on Tuesday setting out the new measures. With cases doubling every week across the UK and a second wave expected to last up to six months, health officials are said to have advised the government over the weekend to “move hard and fast”. There could be up to 50,000 new coronavirus cases a day in Britain by the middle of October if the pandemic continues at its current pace, the country’s chief scientific adviser warned. Scotland is also expected to announce new restrictions on Tuesday.The Czech Republic prime minister, Andrej Babis, admitted on Monday that his government had made a mistake when it eased restrictions over the summer. “Even I got carried away by the coming summer and the general mood. That was a mistake I don’t want to make again,” the billionaire populist said in a televised speech.After fending off much of the pandemic earlier in the year with timely steps, including mandatory face masks outdoors, the government lifted most measures before the summer holidays.The Czech Republic registered a record high of 3,130 coronavirus cases on Thursday last week, almost matching the total for the whole of March, although testing capacity was low at the start of the pandemic.In other developments:There are 31.2m coronavirus cases worldwide, according to Johns Hopkins, and 963,068 people have died over the course of the pandemic so far.
    New Zealand recorded no new cases of Covid-19 on Tuesday, as restrictions on much of the country were entirely removed, and measures imposed on Auckland, the largest city, were due to ease further. There was no recorded community spread of the virus in the rest of New Zealand, where the government has now lifted all physical distancing restrictions and limits on gatherings.
    Mexico surpassed 700,000 confirmed cases on Monday after the health ministry reported 2,917 new confirmed cases in the Latin American country, bringing the total to 700,580 as well as a cumulative death toll of 73,697. More

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    'Follow your conscience,' Biden urges Republicans as Trump pushes for supreme court nominee – video

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    Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden makes a plea to Senate Republicans, asking them to ‘follow their conscience’ and defy president Donald Trump’s push to name his nominee for the supreme court ahead of November’s election. Trump says he plans to nominate a women for the seat as soon as possible, after Ruth Bader Ginsburg died aged 87 six weeks out from the US election. ‘I appeal to those few Senate Republicans, that handful who really will decide what happens. Please follow your conscience,’ Biden says. ‘Don’t vote to confirm anyone nominated under the circumstances President Trump and Senator McConnell have created. Don’t go there. Uphold your constitutional duty, your conscience’
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