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The Races That Haven’t Been Called

A week after Election Day, ballots are still being counted in many states.

This isn’t unusual. But because of how many people voted by mail, the process isn’t as far along as it would normally be at this point, and that means the outcomes of quite a few races remain unclear.

Here’s an overview of the results we were waiting for as of Monday evening. (This article does not include races that are going to runoffs: Louisiana’s Fifth Congressional District on Dec. 5, and Georgia’s two Senate contests on Jan. 5.) This article will be updated as races are called, and you can find full results here for the House and here for the Senate.

What’s uncalled: Presidential race, Senate race, one House seat (at-large)

Alaska didn’t start counting mail ballots until this week, making it impossible to call its Senate race and at-large House race. Its three electoral votes are also uncalled, though the national outcome is clear: Joseph R. Biden Jr. is the president-elect.

Republican incumbents are ahead in both congressional contests in Alaska with 61 percent of the estimated vote counted: Senator Dan Sullivan over Al Gross, and Representative Don Young over Alyse Galvin. Many Democrats voted by mail, and while it’s unlikely that the results will flip, it is mathematically possible.

It’s not clear how long it will take to count everything, but the state’s target date for formally certifying the results is Nov. 25.

What’s uncalled: Presidential race, one House seat (First District)

Representative Tom O’Halleran, a Democrat, is ahead of his Republican challenger, Tiffany Shedd, by about 12,000 votes, but there are still outstanding mail and provisional ballots. The count is ongoing, and the race could be called in the next few days.

The same is true for the presidential race. Mr. Biden leads President Trump in Arizona by a little over 15,000 votes with 98 percent of estimated ballots counted, though the race is over nationally and Arizona’s 11 electoral votes won’t change the result.

What’s uncalled: Eight House races (Fourth, Eighth, 21st, 25th, 34th, 39th, 42nd and 48th Districts)

California is known for counting mail ballots slowly. Some of these races will probably be called in the next few days, but the closest ones could drag out for weeks; in 2018, the last House race in California wasn’t called until early December.

  • District 4: Representative Tom McClintock, a Republican, is leading Brynne Kennedy by just under 10 percentage points with 96 percent of estimated ballots counted. The outcome is pretty clear — Ms. Kennedy even conceded on Friday — but The Associated Press hasn’t called it.

  • District 8: Jay Obernolte, a Republican, is ahead of Christine Bubser, a Democrat, by 11 points. Only 85 percent of estimated ballots have been counted.

  • District 21: Representative T.J. Cox, a Democrat, is trailing David Valadao, the Republican former representative he narrowly defeated in 2018, by about 4,500 votes with 83 percent of estimated ballots counted.

  • District 25: This is an extremely close race between Representative Mike Garcia, a Republican, and Christy Smith, a Democrat. Mr. Garcia is ahead by a little over 1,000 votes with 98 percent of estimated ballots counted.

  • District 34: This Los Angeles-based district is solidly Democratic; the question is which Democrat will win it. Representative Jimmy Gomez is about 12,000 votes ahead of David Kim with 98 percent of estimated ballots counted.

  • District 39: Young Kim, a Republican who lost in 2018, is leading Representative Gil Cisneros, a Democrat, by almost 3,500 votes in a rematch with more than 98 percent of estimated ballots counted.

  • District 42: Representative Ken Calvert, a Republican, is leading his Democratic opponent, Liam O’Mara, by more than 11 percentage points, but the race hasn’t been called because only 68 percent of estimated votes have been counted.

  • District 48: Representative Harley Rouda, a freshman Democrat, trails his Republican opponent, Michelle Steel, by just under 7,000 votes with more than 98 percent of estimated votes counted.

What’s uncalled: Presidential race

Mr. Biden is ahead in Georgia by about 11,000 votes with more than 98 percent of estimated ballots counted. State officials have said they expect the results to be close enough for a recount. Nationally, though, Mr. Biden already has more than 270 electoral votes, and the outcome in Georgia will have no bearing on the race.

What’s uncalled: One House race (14th District)

After trailing in early results, Representative Lauren Underwood, a first-term Democrat, has pulled narrowly ahead of her Republican challenger, Jim Oberweis, in Illinois’s 14th Congressional District with more than 98 percent of estimated ballots counted. The race is likely to be called in the next few days.

What’s uncalled: One House race (Second District)

Iowa’s Second Congressional District is home to one of the closest House races in the country. Just 150 votes separate Rita Hart, a Democrat, from Mariannette Miller-Meeks, a Republican, with 89 percent of estimated votes counted.

What’s uncalled: Eight House races (First, Second, Third, 11th, 18th, 19th, 22nd and 24th Districts)

New York has been slow to even start counting mail ballots. As a result, even a couple of races that might not be close remain uncalled simply because there are so many unreported votes.

  • District 1: Representative Lee Zeldin, a Republican, is very likely to beat his Democratic challenger, Nancy Goroff, whom he is leading by more than 20 points. But the race hasn’t been called because only 77 percent of estimated ballots have been counted.

  • District 2: The Republican candidate, Andrew Garbarino, is more than 16 points ahead of Jackie Gordon, a Democrat, but only 78 percent of estimated ballots have been counted.

  • District 3: Representative Thomas Suozzi, a Democrat, is expected to be re-elected once the remaining 28 percent of estimated ballots are counted, but at the moment he is narrowly behind his Republican challenger, George Santos.

  • District 11: Nicole Malliotakis, a Republican, is ahead of Representative Max Rose, a first-term Democrat, by double digits with 85 percent of estimated votes reported.

  • District 18: With 78 percent of estimated votes reported, Representative Sean Patrick Maloney, a Democrat, leads his Republican challenger, Chele Farley, by just under three points.

  • District 19: Representative Antonio Delgado, a first-term Democrat, is narrowly ahead of his Republican challenger, Kyle Van De Water, with 80 percent of estimated ballots counted.

  • District 22: Former Representative Claudia Tenney, a Republican who was unseated by Anthony Brindisi in 2018, is now leading him in a rematch with 80 percent of estimated ballots counted.

  • District 24: Representative John Katko, a Republican, is very likely to win re-election over his Democratic challenger, Dana Balter. Mr. Katko is ahead by more than 20 points with 78 percent of estimated votes reported.

What’s uncalled: Presidential race, Senate race

Senator Thom Tillis, a Republican, is narrowly ahead of his Democratic challenger, Cal Cunningham, with 98 percent of estimated votes counted. Final results are delayed because North Carolina will accept absentee ballots that arrive through Nov. 12 as long as they were postmarked by Election Day.

Mr. Trump is also narrowly ahead of Mr. Biden in the race for North Carolina’s 15 electoral votes, but they can’t change the outcome of the presidential election.

What’s uncalled: One House race (24th District)

The 24th Congressional District is the last opportunity for Democrats to flip a district in Texas after losing every other race for a competitive Republican seat there. With 95 percent of estimated votes counted, Beth Van Duyne, a Republican, is narrowly leading Candace Valenzuela, a Democrat who would be the first Afro-Latina in Congress if elected.

What’s uncalled: One House race (Fourth District)

Representative Ben McAdams, a Democrat whose victory in 2018 was one of the biggest upsets of the midterm elections, is narrowly leading his Republican challenger, Burgess Owens. Mr. McAdams is ahead by half a percentage point in Utah’s Fourth Congressional District with 97 percent of estimated votes counted.

What’s uncalled: One House race (Eighth District)

Representative Kim Schrier, a first-term Democrat, is leading her Republican challenger, Jesse Jensen, by a little over three percentage points with more than 98 percent of estimated ballots counted in Washington’s Eighth Congressional District.


Source: Elections - nytimes.com

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