Labour are on course to surpass Tony Blair’s landslide majority in 1997, according to YouGov’s first major poll of the general election campaign.
The pollsters’ MRP forecast, based on data from more than 58,000 people, suggests Sir Keir Starmer’s party will win a huge majority of 194, with some 422 seats, while the Conservatives could suffer their biggest loss since 1906, winning just 140 seats.
The poll – which came after Nigel Farage announced his intention to stand as an MP, in a blow to the Tories – also followed Redfield and Wilton’s second nationwide poll, of 10,000 people – which put the Tories on just 20 per cent, 26 points behind Labour.
Another mega-poll published over the weekend had earlier suggested that the Tories could win just 66 seats in parliament.
The result would be a Labour landslide, with Sir Keir Starmer’s party securing 476 MPs – a majority of 302 – once tactical voting has been taken into account.
This blog will keep track of every major poll released between now and the general election, and what it means for the parties.
ICYMI: YouGov: Labour on track for historic 422-seat win as Tories predicted to lose key seats
Labour is projected to win 422 seats across the UK in a historic landslide victory, according to a new MRP prediction from YouGov released on Monday.
Under this prediction, today, Labour would enjoy a 194-seat majority, larger than the one achieved by Tony Blair at the 1997 general election.
The forecast predicted the Conservatives would lose 223 seats and be left with just 140. That would be the worst loss for the Tories in well over 100 years, since then-prime minister Arthur Balfour lost 246 seats in 1906.
Alicja Hagopian reports.
Burley tells Cleverly the Tories will get “battered” according to YouGov poll
Sky’s Kay Burley listed the twelve cabinet members who are predicted to lose their seats in the YouGov poll that has Labour are on course to surpass Tony Blair’s landslide majority in 1997.
She told home secretary James Cleverly the party is “going to get battered according to this”.
He responded: “The whole point of an election campaign is you make your case to the British people and when I speak to people they want to hear what our plan for the future.”
Labour will win more southern seats than Tories, YouGov poll suggests
In a blow to Rishi Sunak, YouGov’s new poll suggests Labour could be on course to win more seats in the south of England than the Conservatives, even when excluding London.
YouGov poll suggests biggest Labour majority since 1924
YouGov’s MRP poll predicts Labour would win a 194-seat majority – which would mark the highest number since Stanley Baldwin won a majority of 208 in 1924.
The Lib Dems are on course to win 44 seats, according to YouGov’s new poll – which would be four times as many as in 2019.
