General election – latest: Tories set for worse defeat than 1997 Labour landslide, new poll predicts
Sunak on FarageSupport trulyindependent journalismFind out moreCloseOur mission is to deliver unbiased, fact-based reporting that holds power to account and exposes the truth.Whether $5 or $50, every contribution counts.Support us to deliver journalism without an agenda.Louise ThomasEditorRishi Sunak has suffered a fresh blow on the eve of the general election as yet another poll put the Conservatives on course for a worse defeat than in 1997.With just hours until polls open, a survey for More in Common predicted the party will win just 126 seats, compared with Labour on a total of 430.That would be down from the 365 seats won by the Tories in 2019, with chancellor Jeremy Hunt and defence secretary Grant Shapps set to be ousted.Earlier, Reform UK leader Nigel Farage claimed Boris Johnson’s intervention for the Tories “won’t have done them any good at all”.Mr Johnson warned a Labour super-majority would be “pregnant with horrors”. Meanwhile, Sir Keir Starmer said Tory warnings on Labour being likely to win “the largest majority any party has ever achieved” amounted to “voter suppression”.Work and pensions secretary Mel Stride said Labour was likely to win “the largest majority any party has ever achieved”.And a second Tory minister, Andrew Griffith, said Labour would win a majority “unprecedented in modern history”.Show latest update 1720015342Second major poll in 24 hours forecasts bigger labour landslide than 1997Another pollster has forecast the Tories’ worst ever loss in Thursday’s general election, with Labour set to outperform its 1997 landslide victory.Chancellor Jeremy Hunt, defence secretary Grant Shapps and veterans minister Johnny Mercer are set to lose their seats, according to More In Common’s MRP poll of 13,556 adults across Britain, for The News Agents podcast.Labour is set for an upset in Islington North, where the party’s former leader Jeremy Corbyn has a 91% chance of winning, but is on for around 430 seats in total, reducing the Conservatives Party’s House of Commons tally to 126.More in Common has also forecasted Reform UK winning two seats, likely Ashfield in Nottinghamshire which the party’s Lee Anderson won in 2019 as a Conservative and Clacton in Essex, where Nigel Farage is standing.The Green Party is tipped to win Brighton Pavilion where Caroline Lucas was the party’s only MP between 2010 and 2024, with its target constituency Bristol Central – where party co-leader Carla Denyer is a challenger to Labour shadow culture secretary Thangam Debbonaire – “too close to call”.It comes after Survation quizzed 34,558 respondents and found it is “99% certain” Labour would win more than 418 seats – the number which Labour took under Tony Blair’s leadership 27 years ago.Jane Dalton3 July 2024 15:021720017974Tories haven’t made as much progress as I’d have wanted, says SunakThe prime minister said: “I appreciate people have frustrations with our party, of course I do.“We haven’t got everything perfectly right, haven’t made as much progress in every area as we would have liked, but tomorrow’s vote is not a by-election on the past, it is a vote about the future.”Mr Sunak said criticism “comes with the territory” when asked about Tory recriminations over the party’s faltering election campaign.On a campaign visit to Hampshire, he said: “No one gets into politics without being ready for criticism. That comes with the territory.“But look, I am proud that this campaign has shone a spotlight on Labour’s plans to raise people’s taxes.”Mr Sunak also dodged a question about his plans for Friday, instead saying: “I’m working very hard until the last minute of this campaign for every vote.”He said he was not going to get drawn into “post-match analysis” before the election.Asked whether he was concerned that the result could effectively spell the death of the Tory party, he said: “You guys are focused on all the kind of post-match analysis. No one’s voted. There have been postal votes but… lots of people haven’t made up their minds.”Prime Minister Rishi Sunak talks to journalists on board his campaign battle bus during the election campaign (Aaron Chown/PA) More
