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    Why is fishing so important to Brexit?

    The UK is poised to crash out of the EU’s single market and customs union at the end of December 2020, unless a free trade deal agreement can be forged in the next couple of days.  The Brexit negotiating teams have been telling us for months that fishing rights remain one of the biggest sticking points. So what’s at stake for both sides? And could a trade deal really break down because of fish?What do both sides want when it comes to fish?The UK is widely regarded to have been given a raw deal under the previously EU common fisheries policy, and Boris Johnson’s government has been agitating for a new settlement to rectify this and symbolise post-Brexit new “sovereignty”.No 10 negotiator David Frost is thought to have been pushing for up to 80 per cent of the stock EU fleets have been entitled to catch in British waters to be handed over to British fleets – but is said to have lowered its demand to between 50 to 60 per cent in recent days.
    But Brussels negotiator Michel Barnier reportedly offered the UK only 15 to 18 of the bloc’s fishing rights in British waters at the end of November. Downing Street sources described the proposed figures as “derisory”, dealing a blow to those who hoped the issue could be sorted out in early December.What about a transition period for fishing rights, so everyone can adjust?Inside Politics newsletterThe latest news on Brexit, politics and beyond direct to your inbox every weekdayInside Politics newsletterThe latest news on Brexit, politics and beyond direct to your inbox every weekdayThe UK is believed to have offered a three-year “phase-in” to give EU fishing fleets more time to adjust to some level of reduction in their catch in British waters.
    The EU has been keen to see a much longer period of adjustment for European vessels, with Brussels said to have demanded 10 years of “total access” to British waters last week.
    There have been reports in recent days that the UK is prepared to allow a phase-in period of up to five years access – but Brussels would have to hand back at least 50 per cent of its current access (much more than the 15 to 18 per cent said to have been offered). More

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    Brexit: UK ‘needs substantial shift’ from EU to save trade deal

    Britain has warned talks on a post-Brexit trade deal will fail unless there is a “substantial shift” by the EU in the remaining days of the negotiations.
    Talks are continuing in Brussels over the weekend, but UK sources said it was looking increasingly likely the Brexit transition period will end on 31 December without an agreement.The European Parliament has set a deadline of Sunday evening if it is to ratify any deal before the transition ends.
    However EU leaders could provisionally sign off on an agreement — leaving ratification to 2021 — and the British side expects the talks to continue a few days longer in the week leading up to Christmas.There was little optimism, however, that they would come to a positive result, with UK sources accusing the EU of making “unreasonable” demands on issues such as fisheries and fair competition rules.
    A government source said: “We need to get any deal right and based on terms which respect what the British people voted for.”Unfortunately, the EU are still struggling to get the flexibility needed from member states and are continuing to make demands that are incompatible with our independence.
    Inside Politics newsletterThe latest news on Brexit, politics and beyond direct to your inbox every weekdayInside Politics newsletterThe latest news on Brexit, politics and beyond direct to your inbox every weekday“We cannot accept a deal that doesn’t leave us in control of our own laws or waters.
    “We’re continuing to try every possible path to an agreement, but without a substantial shift from the commission we will be leaving on World Trade Organisation (WTO) terms on December 31.”Resolving the differences over fisheries appears to have become particularly acute in recent days.
    While the fishing industry accounts for only a tiny proportion of the EU and UK economies, it carries huge political resonance on both sides of the Channel.
    While the UK says that it is entitled as an independent sovereign nation to take control of its waters, countries like France are determined to defend their fishermen who stand to lose their livelihoods if they can no longer fish in British waters.
    If there is no deal by 31 December, the UK will leave the single market and customs union and begin trading with the EU on WTO terms – with the imposition of tariffs potentially leading to higher prices in the shops.Press Association More

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    Brexit news – live: EU must bring something to the table, says Boris Johnson as talks reach ‘moment of truth’

    Michel Barnier warns UK and EU have just hours to reach Brexit dealBoris Johnson said EU negotiators must “bring something to the table” in Brexit talks to avoid the UK crashing out the single market without a deal and forced to trade on WTO terms from 1 January. The prime minister’s warning came after the EU’s chief negotiator Michel Barnier told MEPs talks had reached the “moment of truth” ahead of the final hours of negotiations with Britain.Earlier, Mr Johnson said a no-deal Brexit was “very likely” unless the EU position changed “substantially” following a phone call with EU Commission president Ursula von der Leyen on Thursday evening.Meanwhile, the chief executive of the Port of Dover called for urgent government support to prevent “hold-ups” as Brexit approaches. The government had turned down a request for an additional £33m in funding earlier in the week – allocating just £33,000 instead.Inside Politics newsletterThe latest news on Brexit, politics and beyond direct to your inbox every weekdayInside Politics newsletterThe latest news on Brexit, politics and beyond direct to your inbox every weekdayShow latest update
    1608302138Ministerial aide sacked after warning against leaking was leakedA ministerial aide has been sacked after Boris Johnson’s chief whip conducted a sting designed to catch out leakers, our political editor Andrew Woodcock reports.Andrew Lewer was sacked from his junior government role as parliamentary private secretary in the Home Office after a letter calling for an end of leaks to the press was itself leaked to the Guido Fawkes website of Westminster scandal and gossip.It is understood that chief whip Mark Spencer used slightly different wording in each copy of the letter, in order to allow officials to identify the source of any information which found its way into the media.Liam James18 December 2020 14:351608301572Conspiracy theories and self-immolation are flavour of the Tory party today, says MPJim Pickard, chief political correspondent of the Financial Times, shared a short insider’s account of how the Conservative party is holding up during the Brexit negotiation end times. Not so well it seems.Liam James18 December 2020 14:261608300025Brexit deal ratification would be ‘unique’ say MEPThe influential German MEP David McAllister has said the European Parliament is ready to look at (and presumably ratify) any Brexit deal that emerges in the coming days.The chair of the parliament’s foreign affairs committee points out that “this would be a unique scenario and will not serve as precedent for future agreements” – a hint that the Brussels parliament is prepared to move past the Sunday deadline it imposed earlier this week? Would MEPs really refuse to get ratification done in time if a deal emerges on Monday or Tuesday?Adam Forrest18 December 2020 14:001608299241I do my brush my hair, says PMSpeaking during his visit to Greater Manchester today, whether the weather is looking blustery, Boris Johnson insisted he does try to keep his blonde mop in order. “I do brush it – I have brush in my office … apologises for my hair, but I do my best with it.”Adam Forrest18 December 2020 13:471608298829Parts of ‘bonkers’ Liz Truss speech pulled from websiteSwitching our attention away from Brexit for a moment, it’s emerged that parts of a controversial speech given by equalities minister Liz Truss have been pulled from the government’s website.The speech was branded “bonkers” by critics after the Tory claimed children in her class at school were left unable to read or write because too much time was taken up learning about racism and sexism.
    The minister, who went to school in Leeds under Margaret Thatcher’s government, said children had been deprived of a proper education – and included a bizarre rant about French philosopher Michel Foucault.But after appearing in full yesterday on gov.uk, by Friday lunchtime large swathes of the speech had been cut and replaced with a note saying that “political content” had been redacted. Oh well.Adam Forrest18 December 2020 13:401608297913No 10 pessimism ‘tactical’, says Brexit expertThe respected Brexit analyst Mujtaba Rahman isn’t putting much stock in the downbeat rhetoric coming from Boris Johnson and No 10 today. The Eurasia Group expert says the pessimism is “tactical” in a final bid to get more out of EU on fishing rights – and to limit the time people have to scrutinise and find problems in the detail of any agreement.Adam Forrest18 December 2020 13:251608297469Best deal? Stay part of EU, says German MEPGreen MEP Terry Reintke has offered a farewell speech to the UK, saying “Our friendship will always be stronger than Brexit”.
    The German politician told the European Parliament: “The best deal the UK could get was to stay part of the European Union. No matter what happens … our interdependence will always be stronger than Brexit.”
    Adam Forrest18 December 2020 13:171608296002JPMorgan ups odds of a Brexit dealAnalysts at JPMorgan, the US investment bank, have raised their estimation of the likeihood of a trade deal being reached to 70 per cent, up from 60 per cent.“Our sense is that the likelihood of a deal has moved up from the 60-40 we had as the week began, and we now mark that up to 70-30,” JPMorgan analyst Malcolm Barr told clients.“In our view, solutions to all of the issues listed above which both sides would be able to live can be designed, even if the process of getting to them is difficult.”Liam James18 December 2020 12:531608293847Johnson says EU must bring something to the tableBoris Johnson has said the EU must bring something to the table in Brexit trade negotiations, threatening that the UK will leave without a deal if Brussels does not move negotiations forward.“Our door is open, we’ll keep talking but I have to say things are looking difficult, there’s a gap that needs to be bridged,” the prime minister told the BBC moments ago.“We hope that our EU friends will see sense and come to the table with something themselves.“And, if that doesn’t happen, then come 1 January we will be trading on WTO terms.” More

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    Retailers call on MPs to launch inquiry into ports chaos

    Retailers and food manufacturers have called on MPs to launch an inquiry into congestion at container ports.Disruption first started in October and has been blamed on a number of factors such as a rise in imports due to the Covid-19 pandemic, large stocks of PPE being brought into the country and Brexit stock-piling.If Boris Johnson is unable to secure a free trade agreement with the EU then border congestion is expected to be more severe after the Brexit transition period ends according to experts, leading to possible shortages of fresh food.The British Retail Consortium (BRC) and the Food and Drink Federation (FDF) warn they face “major challenges” in building up stock for Christmas and the end of the transition period on December 31.In a joint letter to the chairs of the Commons Transport Select Committee and the Commons International Trade Committee, they wrote that some shipping costs have more than doubled compared with last year.One food manufacturer has suffered lost sales worth more than £1 million due to a shortage during the crucial festive period, the letter stated.The BRC and FDF want the committees to hold an inquiry into the chaos at ports and the functioning of the shipping market.Inside Politics newsletterThe latest news on Brexit, politics and beyond direct to your inbox every weekdayInside Politics newsletterThe latest news on Brexit, politics and beyond direct to your inbox every weekdayBRC chief executive Helen Dickinson said: “The lead up to Christmas is the most important time of year for retailers, ordinarily accounting for up to a fifth of the entire year’s sales and generating a large part of annual revenues.”After a tremendously challenging 2020, many firms’ cashflows are under severe pressure, and so businesses are in no position to absorb these additional shipping costs.”As a result, consumers will pay the final price. Christmas orders could be delayed, and retailers might be left with no option but to increase product prices.”These issues must be addressed urgently. An inquiry would provide the scrutiny needed to help get our ports flowing freely again.”FDF chief operating officer Tim Rycroft added: “Food and drink manufacturers are extremely concerned about the delays we are witnessing at the ports.”Our members are incurring costs totalling tens of thousands of pounds, and in some cases hundreds of thousands.”It is directly impacting on the ability of businesses to build up stockpiles of products and ingredients ahead of the end of the transition period.”Dixons Carphone revealed on Wednesday it has been affected by the congestion, with delays of up to two days for some of its goods.But the firm said it “can handle” the delays and has been preparing for Brexit disruption for a long time. More

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    Brexit news – live: Deal possible if EU ‘sees sense’, says Johnson as Von der Leyen heralds ‘good news’

    -Boris Johnson has said there is “every chance and every hope” of a post-Brexit trade deal, if “our friends across the Channel see sense”. Speaking at this week’s PMQs, Mr Johnson said: “All it takes is for them [the EU] to realise that – like every other country – the UK has a right to control its own land and waters.”It comes after Ursula von der Leyen gave assurances earlier on Wednesday that the EU does “not question the UK’s sovereignty on its own waters”. Addressing the European Parliament, Ms Von der Leyen said she had “good news” and that there was now a “path to an agreement” in Brexit talks, thanks to a “way forward” being found on most issues.The EU Commission president said there was no guarantee of a deal “but I can tell you there is a path to an agreement now”. Issues remain, Ms Von der Leyen admitted, but “the good news is that we have found a way forward on most issues,” she told MEPs in Brussels. Inside Politics newsletterThe latest news on Brexit, politics and beyond direct to your inbox every weekdayInside Politics newsletterThe latest news on Brexit, politics and beyond direct to your inbox every weekdayShow latest update
    1608130523‘We have made some progress’ in talks, says Downing StreetDowning Street has said that leaving the Brexit transition period without a trade deal remains the most likely outcome but noted that “we have made some progress”.Boris Johnson’s official spokesman said: “We have made some progress in some areas but it still remains that there are some significant gaps.“Our position is still that we want to reach an FTA (free trade agreement) but it is still the case that the most likely outcome is still leaving on Australia terms.”Sam Hancock16 December 2020 14:551608130061London mayor candidate sent formal complaint over campaignFollowing reports earlier today, the campaign team behind Tory London mayoral candidate Shaun Bailey has been sent a “formal complaint”. It comes from an election rival, who accused Mr Bailey of distributing campaign flyers disguised as official warnings from City Hall about council tax rises.In a complaint addressed to MP Greg Hands, who serves as Mr Bailey’s campaign manager, Liberal Democrat mayoral candidate Luisa Porritt condemns the flyer campaign as a “heartless and cheap trick” aimed at misleading Londoners already struggling to make ends meet.My colleague Chantal da Silva has all the details:Sam Hancock16 December 2020 14:471608129060No 10: Cummings ‘deserved’ pay rise as he was ‘most important’Boris Johnson’s press secretary has reportedly said Dominic Cummings deserved his 40 per cent pay rise before leaving Downing Street because he was one of the government’s “most important” advisers.According to the Daily Mirror, Allegra Stratton said she did not know whether the PM was aware of Mr Cummings’ pay hike but argued it reflected the former adviser’s “correct salary”. “It’s the case that Dominic Cummings’ revised salary reflected the fact that he was one of, if not the, most important special advisers,” she is believed to have said. Ms Stratton added that the wage of at least £140,000 a year was the “correct level of salary” for his role.It comes after Sir Keir Starmer berated the move to give Mr Cummings such a large pay rise in Wednesday’s PMQs. “Why, when policemen and other public service workers are being paid less” would you give Mr Cummings such a large pay hike, Sir Keir asked the PM – to which Mr Johnson did not give a clear answer. Sam Hancock16 December 2020 14:311608127785Boris Johnson to hold press conference this afternoonDowning Street has confirmed that Boris Johnson will hold a press conference with Chris Whitty in No 10 at 3.30pm today.It follows four-nation discussions over Christmas, and speculation over whether England will follow Scotland and Wales in *advising* that just two households take advantage of the festive amnesty, rather than the three permitted by law.Andy Gregory16 December 2020 14:091608127533Channel ports ‘left bitterly disappointed’ by post-Brexit fundingThe government has reportedly allocated its Port Infrastructure Fund, devised to help English ports avoid delays post-Brexit.But the FT’s Peter Foster reports that following bids totalling £450m, the amount actually awarded reaches just over £194m, leaving some ports “bitterly disappointed” – not least Dover, which applied for £33m to help alleviate post-Brexit strains and have allegedly been allocated £33,000.Andy Gregory16 December 2020 14:051608126695BoE to ‘hold off on end-of-year review’ amid hopes for UK economyThe Bank of England is expected to keep interest rates unchanged today amid hopes of an eleventh-hour Brexit deal and signs the economy is holding up in the face of a second wave of the pandemic.Economists predict the Bank will sit tight at its final meeting of the year, holding rates at 0.1 per cent and keeping its quantitative easing programme at £895bn after unleashing another £150bn last month.Andy Gregory16 December 2020 13:511608126273Northern Ireland Protocol agreement ‘just pushes some major issues down the road’The agreement on the operation of post-Brexit Irish Sea trade arrangements struck by Michael Gove has only pushed some of the main problems down the road, Stormont’s economy minister has warned.The agreement provides three and six-month grace periods to allow retailers to adjust in some areas, but Diane Dodds said there remained a need to find long-term solutions to issues around export health certification and the potential of certain chilled meats being prohibited from entering Northern Ireland from Great Britain.Ms Dodds said the outstanding issues around the protocol emphasised the need for the UK and EU to strike a comprehensive trade deal before the transition period runs out.Andy Gregory16 December 2020 13:441608125221Downing Street hiring new official spokespersonThe FT’s eagle-eyed Whitehall correspondent reports that Downing Street is advertising for the prime minister’s official spokesperson role, after an internal shuffle last month following the noisy departures of Lee Cain and Dominic Cummings.Andy Gregory16 December 2020 13:271608124697Starmer accuses Boris Johnson of ‘ignoring medical advice’ Here’s the footage of Keir Starmer accusing Boris Johnson of “ignoring medical advice” over Christmas plans at PMQs.The PM retorted that he wished the Labour leader “had the guts just to say what he really wants to do – which is to cancel the plans people have made and to cancel Christmas”.Keir Starmer accuses Boris Johnson of ‘ignoring medical advice’ over Christmas plansOur political editor Andrew Woodcock has the details here.Andy Gregory16 December 2020 13:181608121853Johnson: ‘Every chance and hope’ EU will ‘see sense’ on trade dealThe SNP’s Westminster leader has said it is “disgraceful” that two weeks before the end of the Brexit transition period, a deal has still not been reached.Ian Blackford told MPs during PMQs that Boris Johnson was putting businesses at risk, and specifically warned that Scotland had already lost a huge amount of money over ongoing Brexit blunders. The PM responded by saying: “There is every chance and every hope that our friends across the channel will see sense and do a deal.”Mr Johnson said “all it takes is for them to realise that – like every other country – the UK has a right to control its own land and waters”. It comes after EU Commission president Ursula von der Leyen announced on Wednesday morning that the EU does not dispute “UK sovereignty on its own waters”. Sam Hancock16 December 2020 12:30 More

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    Brexit news – latest: MPs may not get vote on agreement as senior Tory says Boris Johnson must go if no deal

    -It is unclear if MPs will get a vote on the outcome of Brexit trade talks, after No 10 refused on Monday to confirm that the result would be put before the House of Commons.Boris Johnson has previously indicated he expects MPs to vote on a deal, but his official spokesman repeatedly refused at a Westminster media briefing today to say whether this would happen before the results of the negotiation come into effect.Asked 11 times whether any vote or other parliamentary process would take place to ratify a deal, the spokesman said only that Leader of the Commons Jacob Rees-Mogg would set out the position “in due course”. Meanwhile, a senior Tory MP has called on Mr Johnson to step down as prime minister if he fails to secure a trade deal with the EU. Sir Roger Gale said that if no free trade agreement is secured by the end of the transition to Brexit, just 17 days away, Mr Johnson would have “failed the people of the United Kingdom” and his position as PM would no longer be tenable.Inside Politics newsletterThe latest news on Brexit, politics and beyond direct to your inbox every weekdayInside Politics newsletterThe latest news on Brexit, politics and beyond direct to your inbox every weekdayShow latest update
    1607956386Talks should conclude this week, says France’s Europe ministerClément Beaune, France’s Europe minister, has said “it will be difficult” for Brexit talks “to go beyond the end of the week”.Mr Beaune said: “Not just because of ratification, but because we need two weeks to organise. Companies are getting anxious. We cannot get to 5pm on 31 December without companies knowing what will happen the next day.”He added that no country outside the single market has “a zero-tariff, zero trade agreement with the EU. This is a very generous offer, so we are entitled to ask for commitments in return.”Sam Hancock14 December 2020 14:331607954154What are the main points the EU and UK cannot agree on?Brexit trade deal: What are the main sticking points?Sam Hancock14 December 2020 13:551607953737EU ‘fully dedicated’ to securing post-Brexit trade dealThe European Union is “fully dedicated” to clinching a post-Brexit trade deal before the UK’s transition out of the bloc ends on 31 December, the European Commission said on Monday.“We’re of course aware that time is short. The more time that goes by the less likely it is that we will have a deal in place on the first of January, that’s just a statement of fact,” Commission spokesman Daniel Ferrie told a news briefing.“I cannot say what may or may not happen over these days. But what I can say, though, is that we are fully dedicated to trying to reach a deal with the UK.”It comes as No 10 downgraded its prediction of a no-deal outcome from “most likely” to “possible” on Monday, and after Brussels’ chief negotiator Michel Barnier said earlier today that a deal was “still possible”. Sam Hancock14 December 2020 13:481607952710No 10 refuses to confirm if MPs will vote on potential trade dealAt a press conference on Monday, Boris Johnson’s spokesman repeatedly refused to confirm whether MPs would be given a vote on any post-Brexit trade deal that is agreed with the European Union.The spokesman said it was for Commons Leader Jacob Rees-Mogg to set out the business of the House and refused to commit to the principle of MPs having a vote.“I’m obviously not going to pre-empt the business of the House which obviously gets set out in the usual way. We are confident that there is time to do whatever we need to do in Parliament,” he told reporters.After repeatedly refusing to confirm whether MPs will get a say, the spokesman was asked whether Downing Street was not guaranteeing a vote.“I didn’t say that, I just made the clear point that it’s for the Leader of the House to set out the business of the House in the usual way.”Sam Hancock14 December 2020 13:311607950691Government in talks to build new £20bn nuclear plantOne of the other big developments of the morning: the government has confirmed that it has begun talks with French energy giant EDF to build a new £20bn nuclear power plant in Suffolk.Some experts have expressed scepticism that the government will be able to keep costs of any stake it takes in the new Sizewell C plant under control.“While it is likely that some new nuclear will be needed to reach net zero, putting billpayers on the hook for delays and cost overruns is a very risky move,” said Dr Jonathan Marshall head of analysis at the Energy and Climate Intelligence Unit (ECIU).
    Adam Forrest14 December 2020 12:581607950445We want outcome by end of 2020, says No 10Could Brexit trade deal negotiations go beyond the 2020? Asked about the possibility, Boris Johnson’s official spokesman said: “We have been clear on many occasions that we want the outcome to be reached, whether that’s a free trade agreement or leaving on WTO terms, by the end of the year.”
    The No 10 spokesman said a no-deal Brexit was “possible”, adding: “No-deal is a potential outcome but we are still committed to trying to reach an FTA.”
    The spokesman declined to say whether legislation or a vote of the Commons would be required to ratify any deal. Asked repeatedly what say MPs would have on the outcome of talks and what timetable might be for any vote, the spokesman said only: “We are confident that there is time to do whatever we need to do in parliament.”
    While the EU and UK are thought to have made preparations to apply a trade deal on a “provisional” basis – but it is understood that this process might still not be fast enough to avoid a no-deal if talks go up to Christmas and beyond.
    Adam Forrest14 December 2020 12:541607949601‘Cautiously encouraging’ noises from FranceThe Economist’s Paris bureau chief Sophie Pedder is hearing “cautiously encouraging” things from French officials on Monday. “There’s now ‘some hope’ of reaching a deal,” one told her.It comes as respected Brexit analyst Mujtaba Rahman says level-playing issues are now “more likely to come together” after movement from the EU on remedial measures and arbitration, should the UK diverge from EU standards in future.Adam Forrest14 December 2020 12:401607948533Architecture in place – but details unresolved, says Von der LeyenEU and British negotiators are on the “very last mile” in negotiations for a trade accord and the architecture in place is “fine” but details remain, the EU Commission president Ursula von der Leyen said on Monday.
    “We are on the very last mile,” she told an OECD event via video link.
    “We want a level playing field, not only at the start but also over time … this is the architecture that we are building,” she said. “We’re fine about the architecture itself but the details, do they really fit?” More

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    ‘We’re going to be absolutely fine’: Government tells public not to panic buy ahead of possible no-deal Brexit

    One of Boris Johnson’s senior cabinet ministers has warned the public not to stockpile food ahead of Brexit – but admitted prices will rise at the supermarket if talks with the EU fail to reach a trade deal.Business secretary Alok Sharma said people should stick to their “normal shopping” in the days ahead and claimed: “We are going to be absolutely fine.”Supermarkets have already warned that average food prices could rise by up to 5 per cent if tariffs hit imports from 1 January – while some luxury items could see price hikes of up to 40 per cent.“I wouldn’t advise people to stockpile … I think if you look overall I think we are talking less than 2 per cent [price rise] in terms of potential impact. Obviously there will be certain products where it may be a little bit more,” Mr Sharma told the BBC.“I’m very confident that actually the supply chains will still be in place. I would say to everyone just do your normal shopping as you would do, and I think we will find we are going to be absolutely fine,” he told Sky News.The British Retail Consortium (BRC) has also warned against panic buying, and said the major retailers were increasing stocks to ensure a “sufficient supply of essential products”. However, the trade body did warn of potential disruption to fresh produce “which cannot be stored for long periods by either retailers or consumers”.Inside Politics newsletterThe latest news on Brexit, politics and beyond direct to your inbox every weekdayInside Politics newsletterThe latest news on Brexit, politics and beyond direct to your inbox every weekdayThe BRC’s chief executive Helen Dickinson also said a no-deal outcome would mean supermarkets passing on more than £3bn in food tariffs to their customers. “Retailers would have no choice but to pass on some of these additional costs to their customers, who would see higher prices filter through during 2021,” said Ms Dickinson.Ministers have claimed government modelling suggests the impact of no-deal tariffs on consumer food prices could be less than 2 per cent, but Tesco has said the average food bill could rise by 5 per cent.The London School of Economics has estimated that a trade agreement would see an average price rise of 4.7 per cent for food products imported from the EU, and under a no-deal Brexit they would rise by 12.5 per cent.Mr Sharma insisted the government was confident that supplies of the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine would not be disrupted if there was a no-deal Brexit, although he refused to set out what contingency plans were in place.He told the BBC that was partly due to security concerns around the supply of the vaccine, which is made in Belgium. “We have put in place arrangements to make sure that the distribution of vaccines is not in any way disrupted,” he told the BBC, but added: “I’m not going to go into the detail of that.”
    Mr Sharma acknowledged that supplies could be flown in and added: “I’m confident that as things stand these vaccines will continue to flow into the UK.”
    Reports suggest the RAF could be used to airlift supplies if there is chaos at ports following the end of the Brexit transition period. More