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Latinos offer lukewarm enthusiasm for Biden after Democrat fails to woo voters
by Evelyn Reynolds 4 November 2020, 08:02
[embedded content]
In battleground states such as Florida and Texas, key communities with large Latino populations showed comparatively lukewarm enthusiasm for the Democratic presidential nominee, Joe Biden, after overwhelmingly supporting Hillary Clinton four years ago.
Ahead of election day, activists, legislators and political operatives had warned the Biden campaign that it wasn’t doing enough to woo Latino voters, a diverse and fundamental constituency for the Democratic party.
The apparent failure prompted some stern immediate criticism from some of the party’s leading figures.
“I won’t comment much on tonight’s results as they are evolving and ongoing, but I will say we’ve been sounding the alarm about Dem vulnerabilities w/ Latinos for a long, long time,” tweeted the US congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. “There is a strategy and a path, but the necessary effort simply hasn’t been put in.”
As Latinos went to the polls this year, they had three clear priorities: the coronavirus pandemic, healthcare costs, and jobs and the economy, according to the 2020 American election eve poll.
On Tuesday night, the news wasn’t all bad for Democrats. Biden won Arizona, where Latinos represented a key voter demographic. Overall, around seven in 10 Latinos voted for the former vice-president, polling showed.
“In some ways, about Latinos, the story of the night is that they made a difference for both candidates,” said Clarissa Martinez, the deputy vice-president of the Latino civil rights and advocacy organization UnidosUS.
Both presidential nominees had been polling neck-and-neck in Florida. But when Clinton’s nearly 30-point margin of victory in Miami-Dade county slipped to just over seven points for Biden, the coveted swing state threw its 29 electoral college votes behind Donald Trump.
Trump won a majority of the state’s sizable Cuban-American vote, according to NBC News exit polls, after targeted campaigns painting Biden as a socialist.
Biden also lost Texas, a reliably red stronghold that Democrats had hoped to turn blue through high voter participation. South Texas’ Nueces county went to Trump by a wider margin than four years ago, after O’Rourke had flipped Corpus Christi and its surroundings in 2018. Whether Republicans regained the south Texas territory because of Latinos voting for Trump or higher turnout by other demographics is unclear at this point, said Juan Carlos Huerta, a professor of political science at Texas A&M University, Corpus Christi.
In the nearby Rio Grande valley, where Clinton dominated in 2016, Biden also lost ground. He’s leading only by a five-point margin in Starr county, which is 96.4% Hispanic or Latino, and which Clinton claimed by a whopping 60 points.
Meanwhile, he’s up 17 points in neighboring Hidalgo county, which is also majority Latino. That’s still a generous margin, but nothing like Clinton’s 40-point victory in 2016.
Victoria M DeFrancesco Soto, an assistant dean at the University of Texas’ LBJ school of public affairs, hypothesized that Biden’s underperformance in the border region compared to 2016 could be attributed to two factors: the Clintons’ popularity among Texas Latinos and the fact that grassroots, old school campaigning couldn’t happen amid the pandemic.
In the valley, it became clear that “the enthusiasm for Biden isn’t what the enthusiasm for Clinton was,” said Manuel Grajeda, the Texas strategist for UnidosUS.
Both Republicans and Democrats haven’t focused on Latinos there as much as in other major counties, Grajeda said. That was “a missed opportunity” that showed up in the election results, he added.
The relatively narrow margins for Democrats along the border came even as Latino voters flocked to the polls in Texas. During the incredible turnout in the state for early voting, an estimated 1.9 million Latinos voted, Grajeda said, including around 500,000 first-time voters.
“The key to success with the Hispanic community in Texas is engagement, and very early on,” said congressman Joaquin Castro, who won re-election Tuesday night. “And making sure that we get to folks who have not participated in the political process before.
“That continues to be a challenge that we’ve gotta make sure that we meet.” More
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'We're on track to win': Biden expresses optimism as vote count continues
by Eliana Willis 4 November 2020, 07:14
Joe Biden expressed confidence and optimism in an address to supporters on election night, as millions of votes continued to be counted and results tightened in his race for the White House against Donald Trump.
Democratic hopes of an early landslide over Trump were dashed as the president won Florida, one of the biggest prizes of the night, raising the spectre of a drawn-out contest, legal challenges and potentially civil unrest.
“I’m here to tell you tonight we believe we’re on track to win this election,” Biden said early on Wednesday morning, appearing relaxed in front of a packed parking lot of supporters in Wilmington, Delaware.
“We feel good about where we are, we really do,” Biden told a cheering crowd, honking from their cars as they observed social distancing measures amid the coronavirus pandemic. “I’m here to tell you tonight we believe we’re on track to win this election.
“We knew because of the unprecedented early vote, the mail-in vote, that it’s going to take a while, we’re going to have to be patient until the hard work of counting votes is finished. And it ain’t over till every vote is counted, every ballot is counted.” More
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AOC and her fellow 'Squad' members all win re-election to Congress
by Eliana Willis 4 November 2020, 05:55
[embedded content]
All four members of the progressive “squad” of Democratic congresswomen have handily won re-election.
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez of New York, Ilhan Omar of Minnesota, Ayanna Pressley of Massachusetts and Rashida Tlaib of Michigan will return to their seats in the US Congress. The four women of color, who championed ambitious climate action, healthcare for all Americans and other progressive causes while enduring frequent racism and derision from Donald Trump, will no longer be newcomers to Capitol Hill.
“Our sisterhood is resilient,” Omar tweeted.
Ilhan Omar
(@IlhanMN)
Our sisterhood is resilient. pic.twitter.com/IfLtsvLEdx
November 4, 2020
“Serving New York-14 and fighting for working-class families in Congress has been the greatest honor, privilege and responsibility of my life,” Ocasio-Cortez said. “Thank you to the Bronx and Queens for re-electing me to the House despite the millions spent against us, and trusting me to represent you once more.”
Ocasio-Cortez had been expected to easily win re-election, but like other congressional Democrats was watching hopes that the party would expand their majority wane. After Republicans flipped two House seats in Miami-Dade county – where a majority of the voters are Latino – she lamented that Democrats and Joe Biden had not done more to galvanize Latino voters.
“Tonight’s results … are evolving and ongoing,” the New Yorker wrote, “but I will say we’ve been sounding the alarm about Democratic vulnerabilities with Latinos for a long, long time. There is a strategy and a path, but the necessary effort simply hasn’t been put in.
“We have work to do.”
In a message to supporters, Pressley said: “Together, we have fought for our shared humanity. We have organized. We have mobilized. We have legislated our values. I am so proud to be your congresswoman and your partner in the work. I believe in the power of us. And we’re just getting started.”
Tlaib, who with Omar was one of the first two Muslim women to be elected to Congress two years ago, tweeted congratulations to Pressley.
“The Squad is big,” she said.
Trump has frequently vilified all four congresswomen, and in the lead up to election day lobbed frequent xenophobic attacks at Omar – accusing her at a recent rally of telling “us” – his overwhelmingly white audience – “how to run our country”. Omar came to the US at the age of 12, after fleeing civil war in Somalia. When she was first elected in 2018, she became the first woman of color to represent Minnesota in Congress.
The president has also often singled out Ocasio-Cortez as a radical, socialist voice in the Democratic party. Although her seat in New York’s Bronx and Queens was never competitive, she raised more than $17m for her re-election campaign. Her challenger, Republican John Cummings, raised about $9.5m – and a group called the “Stop AOC Pac” spent more than half a million dollars on ads opposing the congresswoman.
Other progressive representatives who have won re-election include Pramila Jayapal of Washington and Mark Pocan of Wisconsin. And the progressives Jamaal Bowman of New York and Cori Bush of Missouri are headed to Congress for the first time, after winning their respective elections. More
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Nancy Pelosi: 'We're able to say that we have held the House' – video
by Evelyn Reynolds 4 November 2020, 04:16
House Speaker Nancy Pelosi says the Democrats have held the majority in the House of Representatives as counting continues in the US election. Pelosi says campaigning on healthcare helped the Democrats retain their majority, with their message amplified during the coronavirus pandemic. ‘Our purpose in this race was to win so that we could protect the Affordable Care Act and that we could crush the virus,’ she says
US election 2020 live updates: Biden takes early lead over Trump as millions of votes still being counted More
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US election 2020 live: Trump and Biden pick up wins as votes counted in Florida
by Eliana Willis 4 November 2020, 02:17
Key events
Show
10.23pm EST22:23
Republicans pick up Senate seat in Alabama
10.17pm EST22:17
Biden underperforming in Florida and Georgia compared to polls
10.09pm EST22:09
Cornyn wins Senate race in Texas
10.06pm EST22:06
Trump wins Kansas
10.02pm EST22:02
Lindsey Graham wins re-election
10.00pm EST22:00
Polls close in four more states
9.49pm EST21:49
Democrats pick up first Senate seat with Hickenlooper win
Live feed
Show
10.23pm EST22:23
Republicans pick up Senate seat in Alabama
Republican Tommy Tuberville has been declared the winner of the Alabama Senate race, defeating Democratic incumbent Doug Jones.
AP Politics
(@AP_Politics)
BREAKING: Republican Tommy Tuberville wins election to U.S. Senate from Alabama, beating incumbent Sen. Doug Jones. #APracecall at 9:10 p.m. CST. #Election2020 #ALelection https://t.co/lGfinjTqT4
November 4, 2020
Jones had been widely expected to lose his race, after narrowly winning the seat in a 2017 special election.
Combined with Democrats flipping Cory Gardner’s seat in Colorado, the two parties have canceled out their Senate gains so far tonight.
10.17pm EST22:17
Biden underperforming in Florida and Georgia compared to polls
We still have a long night ahead of us, but the results so far indicate Joe Biden has underperformed in Florida and Georgia in comparison to his polling there.
With about 91% of the Florida vote in, Donald Trump leads Biden by about 3 points, 51%-48%.
In Georgia, where 54% of the vote is in, Trump leads by 13 points, 56%-43%.
Florida was seen as a toss-up, although a recent poll showed Biden ahead there by 5 points. The Democratic nominee was also seen as slightly favored to win Georgia. More
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Trump and Biden begin to claim states with tense vote count under way
by Eliana Willis 4 November 2020, 02:05
A tense vote count in the US presidential election got under way on Tuesday night as Donald Trump and Joe Biden started to notch expected state wins.
The president won Kentucky, which carried eight votes in the electoral college, and several other southern states, while Biden captured the safely Democratic state of Vermont and several others on the east coast. Results in the crucial battleground states were not expected for several hours at least.
From New York to Phoenix, from Detroit to Los Angeles, even as coronavirus cases surged in swing states, citizens waited patiently to determine whether Trump will serve a second term in the White House or make way for his Democratic challenger.
A record of more than 100 million people had voted early, with Democrats thought to have the edge, so Trump, a Republican, was relying on what he called a “red wave” on election day itself. Experts predicted the final total could be around 160 million, a turnout rate of more than two-thirds of the eligible voting population – the highest in more than a century.
Both candidates signaled confidence before polls closed on Tuesday night. Trump, the first impeached president to run for re-election, expressed faith that the size of his campaign rallies will prove a more reliable measure of support than conventional national polling, which has consistently shown Biden leading.
“We’re feeling very good,” Trump told the conservative Fox News channel, his voice sounding scratchy after holding 14 rallies in three days in a last-ditch campaign blitz. “We have crowds like nobody has ever had before. I think that translates into a lot of votes, and we’re going to see very soon.”
But the president sounded more downbeat during a visit to his campaign headquarters in Virginia. “I’m not thinking about concession speech or acceptance speech yet. Hopefully we’ll be doing only one of those two. And you know, winning is easy. Losing is never easy. Not for me, it’s not.”
Biden, who at 77 would be the oldest US president ever elected if he wins, visited his childhood home in Scranton, Pennsylvania. He wrote in ink on the living room wall: “From this house to the White House with the Grace of God. Joe Biden 11.3.2020.”
He then made a last-ditch appeal to voters in the battleground state of Pennsylvania, grabbing a microphone and addressing an impromptu street gathering in Philadelphia.
“Trump’s got a lot of things backwards,” he said through a face mask. “If you elect me, I’m going to be an American president. There’s going to be no red states or blue states, just the United States of America.”
Later, back home in Wilmington, Delaware, Biden was asked about the destabilizing potential of Trump claiming victory prematurely. More
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US election 2020 live results: Donald Trump takes on Joe Biden in race for White House
by Eliana Willis 4 November 2020, 01:08
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JOE
BIDEN
131
electoral college votes
36,902,456 votes
DONALD
TRUMP
electoral college votes
38,431,036 votes
98
36,902,456 votes
38,431,036 votes
How does the election work?
Live coverage / Trump and Biden pick up wins as votes counted in Florida
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Key states to watch
The race for the presidency is usually decided in a small number of key battleground states that switch party allegiance between elections.
Democrats
Republicans
Florida
29 electoral college votes
Est. vote count
91%
Polls closed 2 hours ago
Est. vote count
91%
Candidate
Votes
Percent

Donald Trump
5,617,645
51.3%

Joe Biden
5,235,443
47.8%

Jo Jorgensen
68,626
0.6%

Why does it matter?
Florida has voted with the eventual winner in all but one presidential election since 1964. It is also the swing state with the largest population and the most electoral college votes.
Pennsylvania
20 electoral college votes
Est. vote count
31%
Polls closed 2 hours ago
Est. vote count
31%
Candidate
Votes
Percent

Donald Trump
1,075,787
51.8%

Joe Biden
941,763
45.4%

Jo Jorgensen
58,210
2.8%

Why does it matter?
Pennsylvania was one of the largest states to swing to Trump in the 2016 election. He won the state by a margin of just 0.7 percentage points, turning it Republican for the first time since 1992.
Ohio
18 electoral college votes
Est. vote count
80%
Polls closed 3 hours ago
Est. vote count
80%
Candidate
Votes
Percent

Donald Trump
2,469,381
52.1%

Joe Biden
2,207,916
46.6%

Jo Jorgensen
50,398
1.1%

Why does it matter?
Ohio is one of the largest swing states in the midwest, and it has sided with the eventual election winner for decades. Trump won the state by a margin of over eight points in 2016.
Georgia
16 electoral college votes
Est. vote count
56%
Polls closed 3 hours ago
Est. vote count
56%
Candidate
Votes
Percent

Donald Trump
1,546,826
55.4%

Joe Biden
1,213,435
43.4%

Jo Jorgensen
32,776
1.2%

Why does it matter?
Long a Republican stronghold, southern Georgia has recently become more of a battleground state due to its growing black electorate. In the 2018 governor’s election, Republican Brian Kemp defeated Democrat Stacey Abrams by just 1.4 percentage points.
Michigan
16 electoral college votes
Est. vote count
34%
Polls closed an hour ago
Est. vote count
34%
Candidate
Votes
Percent

Donald Trump
1,042,125
55.4%

Joe Biden
805,733
42.9%

Jo Jorgensen
23,969
1.3%

Why does it matter?
Trump won Michigan by just 0.2 percentage points in 2016 – the narrowest margin of any state. In the six elections prior, the state consistently voted Democratic.
Arizona
11 electoral college votes
Est. vote count
71%
Polls closed an hour ago
Est. vote count
71%
Candidate
Votes
Percent

Joe Biden
1,254,478
53.9%

Donald Trump
1,042,791
44.8%

Jo Jorgensen
29,385
1.3%

Why does it matter?
Arizona last voted Democratic for President in 1996, but the state has become increasingly competitive as the Hispanic share of the electorate has grown. The Democrats managed to gain a number of seats in the 2018 midterms here.
Wisconsin
10 electoral college votes
Est. vote count
39%
Polls closed an hour ago
Est. vote count
39%
Candidate
Votes
Percent

Donald Trump
638,334
51.6%

Joe Biden
580,660
46.9%

Jo Jorgensen
14,808
1.2%

Why does it matter?
Wisconsin sided with the Democratic candidate in all presidential elections from 1988 through 2012, although sometimes by very narrow margins. In 2016, Trump managed to flip the state despite his underdog status in the polls.
More key states
Who is controlling Congress?
Americans are also electing members to the two chambers of Congress, the main law-making body of the US. Those chambers are the Senate and the House of Representatives.
Without support in the Senate and the House, the president’s ability to enact key policies is severely limited.
SENATE
Democrats*
43
+0
Republicans
+0
41
19 of 35 races called
* Includes 2 independents
HOUSE
Democrats
74
+0
Republicans
+0
95
169 of 435 races called
Full Senate and House results
How does the election work?
The winner of the election is determined through a system called the electoral college. Each of the 50 states, plus Washington DC, is given a number of electoral college votes, adding up to a total of 538 votes. More populous states get more electoral college votes than smaller ones.
A candidate needs to win 270 electoral college votes (50% plus one) to win the election.
In every state except two – Maine and Nebraska – the candidate that gets the most votes wins all of the state’s electoral college votes.
Due to these rules, a candidate can win the election without getting the most votes at the national level. This happened at the last election, in which Donald Trump won a majority of electoral college votes although more people voted for Hillary Clinton across the US.
How are the results reported?
The election results on this page are reported by the Associated Press (AP). AP “call” the winner in a state when they determine that the trailing candidate has no path to victory. This can happen before 100% of votes in a state have been counted.
Estimates for the total vote in each state are also provided by AP. The numbers update throughout election night, as more data on voter turnout becomes available.
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Joe Biden returns to childhood home in Scranton: 'From this house to the White House'
by Evelyn Reynolds 3 November 2020, 19:14
Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden came to his home town of Scranton on election day in the crucial swing state of Pennsylvania, talking of “restoring decency to the White House” if he wins.
He pledged to unite a riven country and rebuild a middle class hollowed out by economic inequality.
Biden was cheered by 200 or so supporters as he visited his modest childhood home in Green Ridge, a leafy suburb just outside the city centre.
There, he signed a living room wall with “From this house to the White House with the grace of God. Joe Biden 11-3-2020”, before coming outside – wearing a black face mask to prevent the spread of coronavirus – to greet neighbours and bump elbows with voters.
Janet Evans, a retired teacher who lives opposite, said she was confident that the former vice-president would win Pennsylvania and the White House. “He truly cares about average people. And as he often says, he’s not from Park Avenue. He’s from Scranton, North Washington Avenue, and we the people love him and trust him.”
“He’s the only one that can lead us out of this pandemic safely and save hundreds of thousands of lives. It’s certainly going to be a fight, but at the end of the day, I believe Joe will pull it off,” said Evans, 64.
Sarah Mucha
(@sarahmucha)
Photo of the signature Joe Biden left on the wall of his childhood on Election Day. https://t.co/QyVAvryTtc pic.twitter.com/Lb2TJNy2q6
November 3, 2020
Katherine Hose, 25, a student, added: “I’m voting for Biden because of the education system and because he cares about women. But I think it’s going to be a close election.”
The importance of prevailing in Pennsylvania cannot be overstated.
Trump’s path to the White House was guaranteed in 2016 after collecting Pennsylvania’s 20 precious electoral college votes by beating Hillary Clinton by just 44,292 votes in the state, out of more than 6 million cast.
Both candidates have made multiple campaign stops across Pennsylvania over the past week, culminating in a star-studded election eve for the Democrats when Lady Gaga, an anti-fracking activist, performed in Pittsburgh with Biden, and singer John Legend joined Biden’s running mate, Kamala Harris, in Philadelphia.
Meanwhile, Trump issued a thinly veiled threat to the state’s Democratic governor, claiming that he and his supporters would be “watching him” while making baseless claims that Tom Wolf was implicated in cheating in Pennsylvania.
Trump has made fracking a campaign issue in Pennsylvania by falsely claiming Biden will destroy hundreds of thousands of jobs by banning fracking. In 2016, Trump carried 57 of the state’s 67 rural and suburban counties where the Democrats have been accused of abandoning white, blue-collar voters.
But in Green Ridge, Karen Zuton, 76, a retired factory worker, said: “The Democrats didn’t abandon anybody, the Republicans are liars. If Trump wins again he’ll make it a dictatorship. I hope it goes for Joe, but it’s a wait-and-see.”
Despite rapidly rising Covid-19 cases in Pennsylvania and across the midwest, Zuton voted in person to ensure her vote was counted in tonight’s tallies. Statewide, more than 2.4 million out of 9.1 million eligible voters cast their ballots early, but the full count may not be completed until Friday.
As polling booths opened on Tuesday, an average of national polls showed Biden leading Trump by 8.4 percentage points, but only 4.7 points in Pennsylvania, according to the website FiveThirtyEight.
Earlier on Tuesday, Biden visited the Carpenters and Joiners Union on Scranton’s industrial south side, where a small group of supporters chanted “Let’s go Joe” and “we love Joe”.
Bill Rafalko, 68, a retired technician who voted by mail, said: “I’m convinced that Scranton and Pennsylvania will vote for Biden because we cannot tolerate four more years of the current administration, it’s chaotic, at least he has a plan for the pandemic. And he’s a good, honourable, decent man.”
Maureen Lyons, 70, a former teacher, added: “This election is the most important in my lifetime. We need to bring normalcy back to the country. We need a human being in the White House, bottom line.” More

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US election 2020 live results: Donald Trump takes on Joe Biden in race for White House

Joe Biden returns to childhood home in Scranton: 'From this house to the White House'

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