Subterms
When he ran for the Senate four years ago, Democrat Beto O’Rourke won just 61 percent in the primary. In Hidalgo County, on the border with Mexico, he won just 50 percent. But today, with two-thirds of the Hidalgo vote in, Mr. O’Rourke was at 81 percent, suggesting he would do far better in the […] More
When he ran for the Senate four years ago, Democrat Beto O’Rourke won just 61 percent in the primary. In Hidalgo County, on the border with Mexico, he won just 50 percent. But today, with two-thirds of the Hidalgo vote in, Mr. O’Rourke was at 81 percent, suggesting he would do far better in the […] More
When he ran for the Senate four years ago, Democrat Beto O’Rourke won just 61 percent in the primary. In Hidalgo County, on the border with Mexico, he won just 50 percent. But today, with two-thirds of the Hidalgo vote in, Mr. O’Rourke was at 81 percent, suggesting he would do far better in the […] More
When he ran for the Senate four years ago, Democrat Beto O’Rourke won just 61 percent in the primary. In Hidalgo County, on the border with Mexico, he won just 50 percent. But today, with two-thirds of the Hidalgo vote in, Mr. O’Rourke was at 81 percent, suggesting he would do far better in the […] More
When he ran for the Senate four years ago, Democrat Beto O’Rourke won just 61 percent in the primary. In Hidalgo County, on the border with Mexico, he won just 50 percent. But today, with two-thirds of the Hidalgo vote in, Mr. O’Rourke was at 81 percent, suggesting he would do far better in the […] More
When he ran for the Senate four years ago, Democrat Beto O’Rourke won just 61 percent in the primary. In Hidalgo County, on the border with Mexico, he won just 50 percent. But today, with two-thirds of the Hidalgo vote in, Mr. O’Rourke was at 81 percent, suggesting he would do far better in the […] More
As President Biden delivers his first formal State of the Union address, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine escalates and the midterms begin in earnest in Texas.An entrance to a voting site in Laredo, Texas, today.Jason Garza for The New York TimesThe first votes of 2022 Russian missiles are terrorizing Ukraine. President Biden hopes to rally the nation in his first formal State of the Union address. And the first votes of the 2022 midterm elections will be counted tonight.This is an extraordinary political moment, both at home and abroad.Those first votes of the midterms are being cast and counted today in Texas, in Republican and Democratic primaries, providing the first morsels of data on what voters are prioritizing amid multiple national and international crises.Our colleagues have been tracking the turnout, major themes and top races as part of our live Texas election coverage tonight. Keep up with the results as they come in.Here are some of the highlights:How will new voting laws affect turnout?Republican legislators throughout the country responded to former President Donald Trump’s baseless claims of election fraud by passing legislation restricting voting access. In Texas, voters have already seen higher rates of rejection for absentee ballot applications. Now, the ballots themselves have been rejected at a higher rate than usual. Nick Corasaniti reports.Most voters will need to vote in person, or have already done so, since Texas’ criteria for qualifying for mail-in voting are unusually narrow. Maggie Astor writes.Do Democrats need to keep to the political center?The highest-profile progressive challenger of the night, Jessica Cisneros, isn’t focusing her early messaging on progressive causes. Instead, she’s going after the new vulnerabilities of the incumbent Democrat, Henry Cuellar, who has become ensnared in an F.B.I. investigation, though its target isn’t totally clear. Jonathan Weisman reports from Laredo.Dozens of Hispanic voters and candidates in South Texas explained why the Republican Party has been making inroads in the region. Trump-style grievance politics has been resonating with Hispanic residents in the Rio Grande Valley. Jennifer Medina reports from Brownsville.Abortion specifically seems to be moving Hispanic voters in South Texas toward Republicans. Edgar Sandoval writes from Laredo.Beto O’Rourke, a Democrat, made headlines in 2019 in the crowded presidential primary when he declared, “Hell yes, we’re going to take your AR-15.” Now, he’s running for governor in a state where Republicans have the advantage. J. David Goodman reports from Tyler.One candidate for the State Board of Education is taking a unique approach to rising above partisan politics — he’s running in both major party’s primaries. Maggie Astor writes.Will appeasing Trump’s base in the primary cost Republicans in November?Representative Dan Crenshaw, a Republican, is more likely to face a threat from a far-right challenger in his redrawn district in the Houston suburbs.Annie Mulligan for The New York TimesRedistricting has created fewer competitive districts, and therefore more races where winning the primary is the most important contest. For Democrats and Republicans, that elevates the importance of campaigning to the most ideologically focused voters. Still, Representative Dan Crenshaw, a Republican, says he refuses to “toe the line,” and has been feuding with Trump allies like Representative Marjorie Taylor Greene of Georgia. Shane Goldmacher reports from The Woodlands, Texas.Gov. Greg Abbott has been pushing Texas even farther to the right, and it helped him pick up Trump’s endorsement for re-election. Tonight’s results will reveal how those efforts have resonated with actual Republican voters. J. David Goodman reports from Austin.For the Texas attorney general, Ken Paxton, his allegiance to Trump may or may not be enough to win the Republican primary outright. J. David Goodman reports from Midland.What to read tonightOur colleagues are tracking developments in Ukraine as part of our live coverage. Thousands of civilians are fleeing Kyiv as Moscow intensifies its military attack and appears “to target civilian areas with increasingly powerful weapons.”The New York Times is also providing live updates and analysis on Biden’s State of the Union address tonight. Peter Baker writes that no president has delivered a State of the Union address “with such a large-scale and consequential land war underway in Europe since 1945.”Michael D. Shear reports that Biden will use the State of the Union address to “claim credit for a robust economy and a unified global response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, even as he acknowledges the pain of inflation.”A report commissioned by the Republican speaker of the Wisconsin Assembly “endorsed a host of debunked claims of fraud and false assertions about lawmakers’ power to decertify” Biden’s victory, Reid J. Epstein reports.Thanks for reading. We’ll see you tomorrow.— Blake & LeahWere you forwarded this newsletter? Sign up here to get it delivered to your inbox.Is there anything you think we’re missing? Anything you want to see more of? We’d love to hear from you. Email us at onpolitics@nytimes.com. More
Texas
GovernorTX-15TX-28
Gov. Greg Abbott has vocal primary opponents, including Allen West, the former chairman of the state’s Republican Party. Beto O’Rourke, the former El Paso congressman and a former presidential candidate, is expected to win the Democratic nomination. For attorney general, three Republicans are challenging the scandal-plagued and Trump-endorsed incumbent, Ken Paxton. The congressional races to watch include an open seat in the 15th District — where the parties are pretty evenly matched — and a Democratic primary between Representative Henry Cuellar and a progressive challenger, Jessica Cisneros, who narrowly lost to him in 2020.
Ohio
GovernorSenate
The Senate race features several state politicians looking to out-Trump one another against Tim Ryan, the likely Democratic nominee and a former presidential candidate from Youngstown. Republicans are favored in a state that has trended red in recent election cycles. At the House level, former President Donald J. Trump is backing Max Miller for the seat being vacated by Anthony Gonzalez, a Republican who voted for his impeachment.
Indiana
Senate
Nebraska
Governor
Representative Don Bacon, a Republican, is running for re-election in the Second Congressional District, where he narrowly defeated a Democratic challenger in 2018 and 2020. The Democratic primary is likely to come down to Tony Vargas, a state senator, and Alisha Shelton, a mental health practitioner. Nebraskans will also elect a successor to Gov. Pete Ricketts, a Republican who has reached his term limit.
West Virginia
North Carolina
SenateNC-13
With the Republican senator Richard Burr retiring, the race to fill his open seat will be one of the key statewide races that help determine control of the Senate. In the Republican primary, former Gov. Pat McCrory is running against former Representative Mark Walker and Representative Ted Budd, who has former President Donald J. Trump’s endorsement. Cheri Beasley is favored to win the Democratic primary. She would be the first Black woman to serve in the Senate from North Carolina.
Oregon
GovernorSenateOR-05
Kentucky
Senate
Pennsylvania
GovernorSenatePA-17PA-07PA-08
Open seats for Senate and governor have set off a land rush. The Senate Republican primary includes the celebrity physician Dr. Mehmet Oz and a former hedge fund executive, David McCormick. On the Democratic side, Lt. Gov. John Fetterman is the early front-runner in a field that also includes Representative Conor Lamb. For governor, Democrats coalesced early around Attorney General Josh Shapiro; the Republican primary has more than a dozen hopefuls and no clear front-runner.
Idaho
GovernorSenate
Gov. Brad Little is expected to seek re-election, and he is likely to face a primary challenge from his own lieutenant governor, Janice McGeachin. Ms. McGeachin, one of several Republicans in the race, is running as a close ally of former President Donald J. Trump.
Alabama
GovernorSenate
Senator Richard Shelby is retiring after more than 30 years in office. The state’s Republican establishment backs Katie Britt, Mr. Shelby’s former chief of staff. But former President Donald J. Trump has endorsed Representative Mo Brooks.
Georgia
GovernorSenate
Nowhere are there more elections to watch than in Georgia. Senator Raphael Warnock and Stacey Abrams lead a strong Democratic field in marquee races. Senator Warnock’s re-election bid for a full term in the seat he won last year is critical to Democrats’ hope of maintaining Senate control; former President Donald J. Trump endorsed his challenger, Herschel Walker. Ms. Abrams is seeking to defeat Gov. Brian Kemp, the Republican who beat her by a small margin in 2018 — but first, Gov. Kemp will have to best David Perdue, the Trump-backed former senator, in the primary. At the House level, redistricting is expected to pit two Democrats against one other. The secretary of state race is notable: Mr. Trump endorsed Representative Jody Hice to challenge Brad Raffensperger, the Republican incumbent who rejected the former president’s efforts to overturn the election.
Arkansas
GovernorSenate
The races in this deep-red state will essentially be decided in Republican primaries, and the results could help clarify the strength of former President Donald J. Trump’s hold on the party. He has endorsed his former press secretary Sarah Huckabee Sanders for governor and the Lt. Gov. Tim Griffin for attorney general. He also supports the re-election of Senator John Boozman.
California
GovernorSenateCA-13CA-22CA-27CA-45CA-47
Gov. Gavin Newsom is on the ballot, but Californians essentially re-elected him in last year’s failed recall effort. This year, we’re watching the Los Angeles mayor’s race and the June 7 recall vote against San Francisco’s district attorney. In the fall, the state controller and attorney general races could show whether Californians would consider a Republican of any kind for statewide office. The U.S. House majority could hinge on a few congressional seats in California. And sports betting is likely to be on the ballot.
Iowa
GovernorSenateIA-03
In the Senate race, Democrats are hoping that Abby Finkenauer, a former representative, can beat Charles E. Grassley, the longtime Republican senator. The incumbent Republican governor, Kim Reynolds, is strongly favored to win re-election. And in the newly redrawn Third District, Republicans hope to unseat Representative Cindy Axne, a two-term Democrat.
Mississippi
Montana
Montana gained a new congressional district after the census, doubling its delegation. Representative Matt Rosendale, a Republican who currently represents the whole state, is expected to win re-election in the Second Congressional District. The First District is more competitive but leans red: Ryan Zinke, the former secretary of the interior, is the most prominent Republican candidate, and Democrats include Cora Neumann, a rural health care leader; Monica Tranel, a lawyer; and Tom Winter, a former state representative.
New Jersey
NJ-07
Democrats flipped several House seats in New Jersey during the Trump era. But after making headway in a closer-than-expected governor’s race last year, energized Republicans see fresh opportunities in the state. All eyes will be on how many House seats become truly competitive.
New Mexico
GovernorNM-02
Republicans think they have a chance to unseat Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham, a Democrat. Their crowded primary includes Rebecca Dow, a state legislator, and Mark Ronchetti, a former television meteorologist. The state also has two competitive House seats: Yvette Herrell, a freshman Republican, will defend the seat she took from a Democrat in 2020, and Republicans are planning to focus on Teresa Leger Fernández, a Democrat.
South Dakota
GovernorSenate
Maine
GovernorME-02
Representative Jared Golden is up for re-election in Trump-friendly territory in northern Maine. Mr. Golden is the only Democrat left in Congress who voted against impeaching former President Donald J. Trump. He is likely to face a rematch against Bruce Poliquin, the Republican he ousted in 2018. Paul R. LePage, a Republican former governor, is running for his old job, hoping to oust Gov. Janet Mills, a Democrat.
Nevada
GovernorSenateNV-01NV-03NV-04
Senator Catherine Cortez Masto, a Democrat, is likely to face Adam Laxalt, the Republican former state attorney general who has the backing of both former President Donald J. Trump and Senator Mitch McConnell. Jim Marchant, a Trump-backed Republican who has sowed doubts about the 2020 election, is running for secretary of state. And in a state that President Biden won narrowly in 2020, Republicans are looking to beat incumbent Gov. Steve Sisolak, a Democrat.
North Dakota
Senate
South Carolina
GovernorSenate
Gov. Henry McMaster is seeking re-election with former President Donald J. Trump’s endorsement, and none of his primary challengers seem to have built traction against him. Joe Cunningham, a Democrat, is vying for the governor’s seat instead of running for his old House district, which is no longer competitive after redistricting. He faces State Senator Mia McLeod in the primary. Senator Tim Scott, a Republican, is up for re-election.
Virginia
VA-02VA-07
Glenn Youngkin’s successful bid for governor in 2021 jolted Virginia politics after years of Democratic dominance, energizing Republicans. This year, at least two House Democrats face tough re-election campaigns: Abigail Spanberger and Elaine Luria. Republicans are also hoping to unseat Representative Jennifer Wexton in a suburban district outside Washington, D.C.
New York
GovernorSenateNY-11NY-18NY-01
Prominent Democratic officials including Gov. Kathy Hochul and the Senate majority leader, Chuck Schumer, will face voters. Ms. Hochul is running for her first full term, after the resignation of Andrew M. Cuomo, and has the advantage in the primary. Republicans are also engaged in a contested primary for governor and see opportunities to make inroads in general election races up and down the ballot.
Illinois
GovernorSenateIL-13IL-14IL-17IL-06
Gov. J.B. Pritzker, a Democrat, is the favorite to win re-election, but there’s a competitive primary on the right, and wealthy megadonors are backing two of the Republicans, Richard Irvin and Darren Bailey. The state’s marquee race pits two congressional Democrats against each other in the new Sixth District: Representatives Marie Newman and Sean Casten. Ms. Newman is the subject of an ethics investigation. There is a member-on-member primary on the right, too: Representatives Mary Miller and Rodney Davis will face off in the 15th District.
Colorado
GovernorSenateCO-08
This blue-trending state will feature two statewide races. One is for the U.S. Senate, where Michael Bennet, a Democrat, is seeking re-election to his third full term. The other is for governor: Jared Polis, a popular Democrat, is running for re-election. Redistricting has created a new, competitive district just north of Denver.
Maryland
GovernorSenateMD-01
With the Republican governor, Larry Hogan, reaching his term limit, Democrats are clamoring to take back the office. Republicans wanted Mr. Hogan to run for Senate against Chris Van Hollen, but he declined. Democrats also hope to oust Representative Andy Harris in the First District, while Republican sights are on David Trone in the Sixth District.
Oklahoma
GovernorSenate
Utah
Senate
Kansas
GovernorSenateKS-03
Gov. Laura Kelly, a Democrat who won an upset victory in 2018, is running for re-election in a more challenging environment, most likely against Derek Schmidt, the state attorney general endorsed by former President Donald J. Trump. Representative Sharice Davids, the only Democrat in Kansas’ congressional delegation, could be at risk, too. Kansans will also vote in August on a constitutional amendment that would enable the state to ban abortion if the U.S. Supreme Court were to overturn Roe v. Wade.
Arizona
GovernorSenateAZ-01AZ-06
In one of the nation’s most competitive governor races, the candidates include Kari Lake, a Trump-endorsed Republican, and Katie Hobbs, the Democratic secretary of state who gained national attention after the 2020 election. Senator Mark Kelly, a Democrat, is in a fierce contest to retain the seat he just won in 2020, and several Republican candidates are challenging him. Mark Finchem, a state legislator who promotes election conspiracy theories, is one of several candidates for secretary of state.
Washington
SenateWA-08
Two of the 10 House Republicans who voted to impeach former President Donald J. Trump are seeking re-election in Washington: Dan Newhouse and Jaime Herrera Beutler. Now, they both face primary challenges. Mr. Trump endorsed Joe Kent, a U.S. Special Forces veteran, in the primary against Ms. Herrera Beutler. Republicans are also hoping to flip the seat of Representative Kim Schrier, a Democrat.
Michigan
GovernorMI-10MI-03MI-07MI-08
Few candidates draw the ire of the Republican base like Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, a Democrat, who is running for re-election in what will likely be a close race. At least five of Michigan’s 13 House races should be competitive in November. And the Democratic secretary of state, Jocelyn Benson, who has faced violent threats for standing up to efforts to subvert the election, could face a well-funded Republican challenger, such as Kristina Karamo, a Trump-backed conservative.
Missouri
Senate
Republicans are lining up to replace the retiring Senator Roy Blunt, including: Eric Schmitt, the state’s attorney general; Eric Greitens, a scandal-plagued former governor; and Representative Vicky Hartzler, who was endorsed by Senator Josh Hawley. On the Democratic side, Lucas Kunce, a Marine veteran, and State Senator Scott Sifton are the top contenders.
Tennessee
Governor
Connecticut
GovernorSenate
Vermont
GovernorSenate
Minnesota
GovernorMN-02
Five Republicans are vying to challenge Gov. Tim Walz, a Democrat seeking his second term. Scott Jensen, a physician and a former state senator who has cast doubt on coronavirus mitigation efforts and vaccines, faces Paul Gazelka, a former majority leader of the Minnesota State Senate, and three lesser-known candidates. The state G.O.P. will formally back a candidate at a May convention; each of the Republican candidates has pledged to drop out of the race if denied the party’s endorsement.
Wisconsin
GovernorSenate
Both parties have difficult and expensive primaries: Democrats for the chance to challenge Senator Ron Johnson and Republicans for the office of Gov. Tony Evers. The leading Democrat in the Senate race is Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes. In the Republican primary for governor, the former Lt. Gov. Rebecca Kleefisch is the favorite against Kevin Nicholson, an ex-Marine who lost a 2018 Senate primary but has the backing of the billionaire megadonor Richard Uihlein.
Hawaii
GovernorSenate
Alaska
GovernorSenate
Senator Lisa Murkowski faces a stout challenge from fellow Republican Kelly Tshibaka, whom former President Donald J. Trump endorsed. Both Ms. Murkowski and Ms. Tshibaka are expected to advance to the general election because of the state’s new open-primary rules, in which the top four finishers will appear on the November ballot.
Wyoming
Governor
In the country’s highest-profile House primary, Representative Liz Cheney is trying to hold back a Trump-inspired challenge from Harriet Hageman, a longtime activist in the state Republican Party. Ms. Cheney has framed the race as a referendum on democracy, while Ms. Hageman has stressed her loyalty to the former president.
Florida
GovernorSenate
Gov. Ron DeSantis, a Republican, is widely considered to be harboring White House ambitions. But, first, he is seeking re-election in a state that has been shifting away from Democrats. Representative Charlie Crist, a former governor, and Nikki Fried, the state agriculture commissioner, are among those competing for the Democratic nomination. The other big-name Republican on the ballot: Senator Marco Rubio, who won his second term in 2016 after bowing out of the G.O.P. presidential primary. Representative Val Demings is the Democratic favorite to take him on.
Massachusetts
Governor
With Gov. Charlie Baker, a moderate Republican, declining to run for re-election, the office is a prime pickup opportunity for Democrats in one of the nation’s most liberal states. The Democratic primary includes the state attorney general, Maura Healey, and at least two candidates running to her left. The Republican nomination is likely to go to Geoff Diehl, a former state lawmaker endorsed by former President Donald J. Trump.
New Hampshire
GovernorSenate
In a key Senate race, Maggie Hassan, a Democrat, is up for re-election after narrowly winning the seat in 2016. Whoever emerges from the Republican primary — current contenders include the state Senate president, Chuck Morse — might still benefit in November from President Biden’s low approval in the state.
Rhode Island
GovernorRI-02
Louisiana
Senate
General Election More
