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US midterm elections 2022: focus on Nevada after Democrat Mark Kelly wins key Senate seat – as it happened
by Evelyn Reynolds 12 November 2022, 20:36
Adam Laxalt, who must win his Senate challenge to Catherine Cortez Masto in Nevada if Republicans are to have any chance of retaking control of the chamber, is acknowledging that the race could be slipping away.In a Saturday tweet, Laxalt says early ballots dropped off on election day, and currently being tallied, and which have narrowed his lead to 862 votes, are breaking for his Democratic opponent at a greater rate than he expected.“This has narrowed our victory window,” he wrote on Twitter.In the 2020 presidential election, ballots counted after election day largely favored Democrats.Laxalt said the result depended on where the outstanding votes are coming from. “If they are GOP precincts or slightly DEM leaning then we can still win. If they continue to trend heavy DEM then she will overtake us,” he wrote.Here is where we are — we are up only 862 votes. Multiple days in a row, the mostly mail in ballots counted continue to break in higher DEM margins than we calculated. This has narrowed our victory window. The race will come down to 20-30K Election Day Clark drop off ballots.— Adam Paul Laxalt (@AdamLaxalt) November 12, 2022
Earlier, the Republican candidate appeared more confident, stating in a Friday night tweet that he expected “her percentages to continue to remain under what she needs”.There is no indication yet when the race might be called, but today is the last day for Nevada mail-in ballots to arrive and be counted, as long as they were postmarked by the 8 November election day.A Cortez Masto victory would retain Democratic control of the Senate for another two years, and lessen the importance of 6 December runoff between Democrat Raphael Warnock and Republican Herschel Walker in Georgia.We’re closing our live midterm elections blog now, but look out for our news reports later for developments in Senate, House and governor’s races in which winners have yet to be projected.Democrats need to win only one of the two remaining Senate races, in Nevada and Georgia, to retain control of the chamber for two more years. Each party currently has 49 seats.Republicans are narrowing in on victory in the House of Representatives, having won 211 of the 218 seats they need for a majority.Here’s what we followed today:
The Republican who must win his Senate challenge in Nevada if his party is to have a chance of controlling the chamber said his path to victory was “narrowing”. Adam Laxalt, ahead by just 862 votes, conceded drop-off ballots still being tallied favored Democratic incumbent Catherine Cortez Masto at a greater rate than he expected.
Mark Kelly, whose win over Donald Trump-endorsed Blake Masters in Arizona put Democrats on the brink of retaining Senate control, criticized election deniers and praised Republican predecessor John McCain in a victory speech in Phoenix.
The atmosphere grew tense outside the Maricopa county elections office in Phoenix, where several dozen rightwing protestors hurled abuse at sheriff’s deputies. Extremist Republican Kari Lake, an election denier, narrowly trails Democrat Katie Hobbs in the race for Arizona governor.
Police say no powder was found in “suspicious” envelopes sent to Lake’s campaign headquarters last week. The candidate had closed her office and claimed what it described as an attack was politically motivated.
The race for Georgia’s Senate seat, which will be decided in a 6 December runoff between Democratic incumbent Raphael Warnock and challenger Herschel Walker, will see Pac-funded negative attack ads questioning the Republican’s character, CNN reports.
The Associated Press, whose projections the Guardian uses to call election results, is explaining why it declared Mark Kelly the winner in the Senate race on Friday, but has not yet done so in the contest for governor.“At around 10pm ET on Friday, officials in Maricopa released another batch of 75,000 votes, a tranche that provided enough information for AP to determine that Democratic Senator Kelly had won reelection against Republican Blake Masters,” the agency says.“But there still was not enough for AP to call a winner in the governor’s race. The batch favored Hobbs over Lake by less than 10 percentage points.“After Friday’s vote release, the margin in the governor’s race [between Republican Kari Lake and Democrat Katie Hobbs] sat at just over 31,000 votes, with Lake about a point and a half behind.”In all of Arizona, the AP says, officials report some 400,000 ballots left to count, including up to 275,000 in Maricopa county, meaning there are simply too many left untallied to be sure which way the race will go.The picture could become clearer around 10pm ET Saturday, when officials in Maricopa county say they will release another batch of votes.Protestors have been gathering outside the Maricopa county elections office in Phoenix, Arizona, and hurling abuse at sheriff’s deputies, according to reports.CNN’s Kyung Lah says “a few dozen” demonstrators waving stars and stripes flags are calling the officers “evil traitors”.Workers at the office, where Donald Trump supporters protested non-existent election fraud after his 2020 defeat, are still counting ballots from Tuesday’s midterm vote. The winner is still unclear in a highly contentious governor’s race between the extremist rightwing Republican Kari Lake and her Democratic opponent, Katie Hobbs, who holds a narrow lead.Lake, an election denier, has been accused of potentially stoking violence by leaning into debunked conspiracy theories of election malfeasance.County officials have thanked law enforcement for keeping the elections office secure. Workers “have families and roommates and pets to go home to at the end of the night”, they said in a tweet.Thank you @mcsoaz deputies. We respect protesters’ 1st Amendment rights & hope they demonstrate peacefully and with consideration for the people involved in administering @maricopavote elections who have families and roommates and pets to go home to at the end of the night. https://t.co/IV2pKmy6c4— Maricopa County (@maricopacounty) November 12, 2022
Earlier today, the Democrat Mark Kelly, who is projected to retain his Senate seat, berated election deniers in a victory speech in Phoenix.“We’ve seen the consequences that come when leaders refuse to accept the truth and focus more on conspiracies of the past than solving the challenges that we face today,” he said.Kelly’s beaten Republican challenger, Blake Masters, has not yet conceded the race.He posted a tweet saying: “If, at the end, Senator Kelly has more [votes] than I do, then I will congratulate him on a hard-fought victory.”pic.twitter.com/XVbq4WU4nj— Blake Masters (@bgmasters) November 12, 2022
Republicans are emboldened by a string of electoral victories in Montana and are turning their attention to seizing the Senate seat held by three-term Democrat Jon Tester in 2024, the Associated Press reports.A potentially bruising primary battle is possible between two Republicans who won US House seats Tuesday, former interior secretary Ryan Zinke and representative Matt Rosendale, the agency says.Zinke, 61, said he considers Tester vulnerable, and he will make a decision on whether to seek the Senate seat next year. Rosendale, 62, said Tester doesn’t represent Montana’s interests and should be replaced, but he declined to answer when asked if he will run.Tester is expected to be among the most vulnerable Democrats in the Senate in the next election cycle, along with fellow moderates Joe Manchin of West Virginia and Kyrsten Sinema of Arizona. Voters in Montana and West Virginia have increasingly trended Republican, while Arizona has become a key swing state targeted by both parties.Tester, 66, said it is not certain he will seek a fourth term. “I’m going to make this decision based on my effectiveness and my family,” he said Friday.Joe Biden called three Democratic midterm winners on Saturday to offer congratulations, CNN reports.The president phoned Maryland congressman David Trone, representative Pat Ryan from New York, and the newly re-elected Arizona senator Mark Kelly, the network said.Biden “made a congratulatory call to congressman David Trone from Phnom Penh, Cambodia at 11.39pm local time”, the White House said.Biden is in Cambodia at the Association of South-east Asian Nations summit, after attending the Cop27 climate conference in Egypt on Friday.Here’s where things stand midway through a potentially decisive day for control of the Senate, as counting continues in the midterm elections:
The Republican who must win his Senate challenge in Nevada if his party is to seize control of the chamber is admitting his path to victory is “narrowing”. Adam Laxalt, who leads by just 862 votes, says mail-in ballots are favoring Democratic incumbent Catherine Cortez Masto at a greater rate than he expected.
Mark Kelly, whose win over Donald Trump-endorsed Blake Masters in Arizona put Democrats on the brink of retaining Senate control, criticized election deniers and praised Republican predecessor John McCain in a morning victory speech in Phoenix.
The race for Georgia’s Senate seat, which will be decided in a 6 December runoff between Democratic incumbent Raphael Warnock and challenger Herschel Walker, will see Pac-funded negative attack ads questioning the Republican’s character, CNN reports.
Police in Phoenix say no powder was found in “suspicious” envelopes sent to the headquarters of extremist Republican governor candidate Kari Lake’s campaign last week. Lake continues to trail Democrat Katie Hobbs by a narrow margin.
Adam Laxalt, who must win his Senate challenge to Catherine Cortez Masto in Nevada if Republicans are to have any chance of retaking control of the chamber, is acknowledging that the race could be slipping away.In a Saturday tweet, Laxalt says early ballots dropped off on election day, and currently being tallied, and which have narrowed his lead to 862 votes, are breaking for his Democratic opponent at a greater rate than he expected.“This has narrowed our victory window,” he wrote on Twitter.In the 2020 presidential election, ballots counted after election day largely favored Democrats.Laxalt said the result depended on where the outstanding votes are coming from. “If they are GOP precincts or slightly DEM leaning then we can still win. If they continue to trend heavy DEM then she will overtake us,” he wrote.Here is where we are — we are up only 862 votes. Multiple days in a row, the mostly mail in ballots counted continue to break in higher DEM margins than we calculated. This has narrowed our victory window. The race will come down to 20-30K Election Day Clark drop off ballots.— Adam Paul Laxalt (@AdamLaxalt) November 12, 2022
Earlier, the Republican candidate appeared more confident, stating in a Friday night tweet that he expected “her percentages to continue to remain under what she needs”.There is no indication yet when the race might be called, but today is the last day for Nevada mail-in ballots to arrive and be counted, as long as they were postmarked by the 8 November election day.A Cortez Masto victory would retain Democratic control of the Senate for another two years, and lessen the importance of 6 December runoff between Democrat Raphael Warnock and Republican Herschel Walker in Georgia.Mark Kelly, whose win in his Senate race in Arizona moved Democrats to within one seat of retaining control of the chamber, has slammed election deniers and praised his late predecessor, Republican John McCain, in a victory speech in Phoenix.Kelly was speaking to jubilant supporters on Saturday morning, with his wife Gabby Giffords, a former Democratic congresswoman who was shot and badly injured in an attempted assassination 11 years ago, at his side.Kelly also praised election workers, Republican and Democrat, who he said had done the “important work of making sure Arizonans’ voices are heard”:.css-knbk2a{height:1em;width:1.5em;margin-right:3px;vertical-align:baseline;fill:#C70000;}After a long election it can be tempting to remain focused on the things that divide us, but we’ve seen the consequences that come when leaders refuse to accept the truth and focus more on conspiracies of the past than solving the challenges that we face today.
And for the past two years, as we face these challenges, not a day has gone by where I have not remembered that I am sitting in the Senate seat [of] Senator John McCain.
Senator McCain embodied everything that was to be a leader at a time when our state and our country remain divided. His legacy of building bridges and focusing on Arizona is an example of what we all should do and what we should look to.The run-off for Georgia’s Senate seat between incumbent Democrat Raphael Warnock and his Republican challenger Herschel Walker is about turn nasty, CNN reports.Attack advertising against the Walker campaign is set to launch Saturday, the network says, funded by a Democratic super political action committee (super Pac) that seeks to secure a victory for Warnock in the 6 December election.The ad, titled Shown Us and made by Georgia Honor, a group tied to the Senate Majority Pac, questions the character of Walker, a former football player. Walker’s troubled general election campaign saw him fending off domestic violence accusations and reports he had paid for abortions.Walker is, the ad claims, according to CNN, “a liar who has a ‘long record of violence toward women’”.A narrator says: “Herschel Walker has shown us who he is. Herschel Walker is unfit for office.”Meanwhile, a video of Walker calling America “the greatest country in the US” at a rally on Thursday has gone viral, Newsweek reports.The gaffe has amassed half a million views on Twitter, the outlet says.Warnock, a Black pastor who unseated the Republican Kelly Loeffler last year in a run-off following the 2020 election, leads his challenger in this year’s race. But with neither candidate achieving 50% of the vote, a runoff is necessary under Georgia law.Depending on the result in the only other outstanding Senate race in Nevada, the December result could determine who controls the chamber for the next two years.We’re still waiting for updates on Nevada’s pivotal senate race, but we do know that Republican Joe Lombardo, a Trump-backed sheriff, will occupy the governor’s mansion.Lombardo’s contest with incumbent Steve Sisolak was called by the Associated Press late on Friday, restoring his party to state governorship after a single term of office for the beaten Democrat.“It appears we will fall a percentage point or so short of winning,” Sisolak said in a statement conceding the race to Lombardo shortly after a batch of vote results was reported in Clark county on Friday night.“That is why I reached out to the sheriff to wish him success.”The count of ballots in Nevada took several days partly due to a provision of a broad mail voting law passed by the state legislature in 2020. It requires counties to accept ballots postmarked by election day if they arrive up to four days later.Counting in the close Senate race between Democrat Catherine Cortez Masto and her Republican challenger Adam Laxalt continues.Read more:Joe Lombardo, Trump-backed Republican sheriff, wins Nevada governor race Read moreFrom deep dives into voter demographics and algorithms predicting results, to analysis of mail-in versus in-person balloting, there is no disputing the rise of the importance of data in any modern election cycle.In an impressive study of critical information for the Washington Post, reporter María Luisa Paúl has found that 10% of the new US Senate from January will be men named John or Jon.Democrat John Fetterman, senator-elect for Pennsylvania, will be among the most prominent after flipping the previously Republican-held seat with his victory over Mehmet Oz.There will be 10 of them in the chamber for the 118th Congress, with or without the “h”, Paúl says.Johns and Jons are about to make up 10 percent of the U.S. Senate https://t.co/hWAhRYvIlQ— The Washington Post (@washingtonpost) November 12, 2022
Four are Democrats: Fetterman, John Hickenlooper (Colorado), Jon Ossoff (Georgia) and Jon Tester (Montana).The other six are Republicans: John Barrasso (Wyoming), John Boozman (Arkansas), John Cornyn (Texas), John Hoeven (North Dakota), John Kennedy (Louisiana) and John Thune (South Dakota).The name’s popularity in politics doesn’t extend just to the Senate, the Post notes. Four of the 46 US presidents to date were named John: John Adams, John Quincy Adams, John Tyler, and John Fitzgerald Kennedy.The day before your daughter’s wedding would usually be a time to check on last minute arrangements. Have the flowers arrived? Is my suit pressed? Is my father of the bride speech ready?Donald Trump, however, was mostly busy elsewhere on Friday, the eve of Saturday’s wedding of his youngest daughter Tiffany Trump to Michael Boulos at the family’s Mar-a-Lago resort in Florida.As the Guardian’s Hugo Lowell reports, as well as continuing to fire off furious social media messages following the Republicans’ disappointing performance in the midterms, Trump filed a lawsuit seeking to block the House January 6 select committee’s subpoena demanding testimony in the investigation into Capitol attack.The suit appears to reflect an attempt by the former president to delay compliance with the sprawling subpoena, in an effort that could culminate in a constitutional showdown with the House of Representatives before the US supreme court.“Former President Trump turns to the courts to preserve his rights and Executive Branch independence consistently upheld by the courts and endorsed by the Department of Justice,” Trump’s attorneys wrote in a 41-page submission filed in federal court in West Palm Beach, Florida.Read the full story:Trump files lawsuit to block House Capitol attack panel’s subpoenaRead morePolice say there was no powder in a “suspicious” envelope opened earlier this week at the campaign headquarters of Kari Lake, the Republican candidate for governor of Arizona.Phoenix police spokesperson Donna Rossi said that “the state lab tested the items turned over to them,” the Arizona Republic reported. The lab “determined there was no substance inside.”Phoenix police and fire officials said they were called to the building around 2am Sunday, on a report of an envelope containing suspicious white powder. Lake closed the office temporarily.Police said at the time there were no reports of injuries or illness, though Lake’s campaign had said the staff member who opened the envelope was under medical supervision, the Associated Press reported.Democrat Katie Hobbs held a narrow lead over Lake, a Donald Trump acolyte and election denier, as counting continued in the key battleground state on Saturday morning.The supreme court’s June decision to strip federal abortion rights was a key election issue for many midterm voters. My colleague Lauren Gambino looks at how it held back a Republican “red wave”:This summer, after a tectonic decision by the supreme court to overturn Roe v Wade eliminated the nearly 50-year constitutional right to abortion, Joe Biden predicted American women would revolt. Republicans, however, saw a “red wave” brewing, fueled by widespread economic discontent.On Thursday, after Democrats defied historical expectations in the first major election of the post-Roe era, Biden effectively declared: “I told ya so.”“Women in America made their voices heard, man,” the president told a crowd of supporters at the Howard Theater in Washington on Thursday. “Y’all showed up and beat the hell out of them.”The 2022 midterm elections were expected to usher in staggering losses for Democrats. The party in power typically fares poorly, and with Biden’s approval ratings mired in the low 40s, Republicans were expected to make significant gains.That is not how the results unfolded. As the vote count continues in several key races, Republicans appear on track to win a far narrower House majority than they hoped, while Democrats may retain control of the Senate.As a fuller portrait of the results emerges, advocates, Democrats and even some Republicans say one thing is clear: abortion proved a defining issue. Fury over the loss of federal abortion protections galvanized women and young people and delivered a string of unexpected victories for Democrats and new protections for reproductive rights.“You cannot have half of the population have their body autonomy put under threat and not expect it to be mobilizing,” said Heidi Sieck, the CEO and co-founder of #VoteProChoice. “And that’s what we saw across the board with young people showing up, women showing up, newly registered women being more than two-thirds of the newly registered voters.”Exit polls conducted for news networks by Edison Research showed that abortion was the top issue for many Americans, especially young people under the age of 30. And about 60% of voters said they were dissatisfied or angry with the supreme court’s decision to overturn Roe, according to exit polls conducted by AP Votecast.Read the full story:How the fall of Roe shattered Republicans’ midterm dreamsRead moreEver heard a tale about a reality television star deciding to change career, mounting an unexpected run for political office, then winning?It’s happened again in Kentucky, where Republican Nick Wilson, a former champion of the Survivor game show, will sit in the state’s House of Representatives after being elected unopposed in his district.In parallels (kind of) to Donald Trump’s political career, Wilson, 32, banked $1m as the champion of Survivor’s David v Goliath edition in 2018, outlasting a large field of fellow contestants, but wasn’t so successful in his second attempt on a reunion show in 2020, when he was unceremoniously voted out by his tribe.Wilson, a former assistant commonwealth attorney for Whitley county, replaces retiring Republican Regina Huff, who endorsed him.The tribe has spoken and past “Survivor” winner Nick Wilson is in the house … Kentucky’s House of Representatives, that is!!! https://t.co/n1TnkDNyZw— TMZ (@TMZ) November 11, 2022
While we were largely focused on the US Senate race in Arizona, other contests in the state have also been closely watched. As my colleague Ed Pilkington writes, the victory of Adrian Fontes, the Democratic candidate for secretary of state, may come to be seen as one of the most significant results of the 2022 elections in terms of the future of American democracy.Fontes beat Mark Finchem, a rabid election denier and member of the far-right Oath Keepers militia who was present at the US Capitol on the day of the 6 January 2021 insurrection.Finchem has made repeated efforts to overturn Joe Biden’s win in Arizona in the 2020 election, in favor of his idol Donald Trump.By frustrating Finchem’s efforts to secure the secretary of state position, Fontes, a former Marine, has prevented both local and federal election administration in Arizona falling into the hands of an avid opponent of democratic norms. pic.twitter.com/VjYqFb7NVV— Adrian Fontes (@Adrian_Fontes) November 12, 2022
Had Finchem come out on top, as some polls suggested he might in the final stretch of the campaign, he would have been placed to radically alter Arizona’s handling of elections and could even have subverted the outcome of the 2024 presidential battle.“I promise always to honor and defend the ideal of fair and honest elections with the voters of Arizona and I will help reignite the flame of unity in our Republic,” Fontes tweeted after his victory was confirmed last night. Read the full story:Adrian Fontes wins highly contested secretary of state in ArizonaRead moreGood morning US politics blog readers, and welcome to a rare weekend edition covering the ongoing midterm election!It could be a decisive day for control of the US Senate, where the results in only two states – Nevada and Georgia – are still outstanding, and the balance of power in the chamber remains delicately poised at 49-49.With the race in Georgia heading to a 6 December runoff, and Democrat Mark Kelly having been declared the victor in Arizona late on Friday, that leaves all eyes on the pivotal Nevada nailbiter between the incumbent Democrat, Catherine Cortez Masto, and her Republican challenger, Adam Laxalt.Even if we don’t get a result today, we are expecting to see more votes tallied in a race Laxalt led by a mere 862 at breakfast time from almost a million counted.A Cortez Masto victory would keep the Senate in Democrat hands for the next two years, as the party would have the tie-breaking vote of vice-president Kamala Harris. Republicans must win both Nevada and Georgia to wrest control.Counting also continues in various races for the House of Representatives, where Republicans are closing on a narrower victory than expected.We’ll bring you all the developments as they come in through the day. While we wait, here’s a primer on the state of play in Nevada and elsewhere:All eyes on Nevada as Senate control hangs in balanceRead more More
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Yellen Urges Congress to Raise Debt Limit Beyond 2024 Election
by Aurelia Butler 12 November 2022, 13:52
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US midterm elections results 2022: live
by Evelyn Reynolds 12 November 2022, 10:05
US midterm elections results 2022: liveFull live results of the Congressional midterms, seat by seat, as electors across the US vote to decide whether the Republicans or Democrats will control the House of Representatives and Senate
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Headline Full”,Georgia,serif;font-weight:400;font-weight:700!important;margin-bottom:24px!important;font-size:28px!important;line-height:28px;padding-top:16px!important}.android .article-kicker,.android .article__body,.android .article__header,.android .headline.selectable,.android .meta.keyline-4,.android .standfirst.selectable,.android .standfirst__inner,.ios .article-kicker,.ios .article__body,.ios .article__header,.ios .headline.selectable,.ios .meta.keyline-4,.ios .standfirst.selectable,.ios .standfirst__inner{background:#fff!important;color:#121212!important}.android .keyline-4:before,.ios .keyline-4:before{background-image:repeating-linear-gradient(#dcdcdc,#dcdcdc 1px,transparent 1px,transparent 3px)!important}.android .mt-ticker__wrapper,.ios .mt-ticker__wrapper{margin-left:-12px;margin-right:-12px}.android .article,.android article,.ios .article,.ios article{overflow:visible}.android .gv-section:after,.ios .gv-section:after{width:calc(100% + 8px)}.android .gv-section:last-of-type:after,.ios .gv-section:last-of-type:after{width:calc(100% + 8px)}.android .headline.selectable,.ios .headline.selectable{color:#fff!important;display:inline;background:#121212!important;box-shadow:10px 0 0 #121212,0 0 0 #121212;font-size:36px;line-height:40px;font-weight:700;-webkit-box-decoration-break:clone;-ms-box-decoration-break:clone;-o-box-decoration-break:clone;box-decoration-break:clone;padding-left:10px;padding-right:0;margin-top:60px;padding-bottom:0;margin-left:10px}.android .standfirst.selectable,.ios .standfirst.selectable{margin-top:10px}.android .mt-how,.ios .mt-how{margin-top:-16px!important;margin-bottom:24px!important}.android .mt-how a,.ios .mt-how a{font-size:14px!important}Updating …Latest resultsHouse 18 hours agoDemocrats win Arizona 4thSenate 18 hours agoDemocrats hold ArizonaHouse 19 hours agoDemocrats win California 38thGovernors 20 hours agoRepublicans flip NevadaHouse 21 hours agoDemocrats win Nevada 3rdHouse 21 hours agoDemocrats win Nevada 4thHouse 21 hours agoDemocrats win Nevada 1stHouse a day agoDemocrats win Maryland 6thHouse a day agoDemocrats win New York 18thHouse 2 days agoRepublicans win Arizona 2ndHouse 2 days agoRepublicans win California 40thHouse 2 days agoDemocrats win California 46thHouse 2 days agoDemocrats win Washington 8thGovernors 2 days agoDemocrats hold OregonHouse 2 days agoDemocrats win Oregon 4thHouse 2 days agoDemocrats win California 37thHouse 2 days agoDemocrats win California 29thHouse 2 days agoDemocrats win California 16thHouse 2 days agoDemocrats win Illinois 17thHouse 2 days agoRepublicans win California 23rdHouse 2 days agoDemocrats win New Mexico 2ndHouse 2 days agoRepublicans win Montana 1stHouse 3 days agoDemocrats win Connecticut 5thHouse 3 days agoRepublicans win New Jersey 7thHouse 3 days agoDemocrats win Washington 10thHouse 3 days agoDemocrats win California 31stHouse 3 days agoDemocrats win California 39thHouse 3 days agoDemocrats win California 33rdHouse 3 days agoDemocrats win California 28thHouse 3 days agoDemocrats win California 25thOverviewHow does the election work?SenateDemocrats* 49+1Republicans-14951 to win***includes independents**vice-president (Dem) has casting vote***Alaska not called but winner will be Republicanno electionno election33 of 35 races called ***HouseDemocrats 199-9Republicans+7211218 to win410 of 435 races called BattlegroundsDemocratRepublicanIndependent/OtherSeat changed handsMany seats in United States elections always go to the same party. So control of the Senate and House of Representatives depends on a relatively small number of competitive seats, or “battlegrounds”. Election experts rank the competitive seats as more or less likely to return a Republican or Democrat. This gives a clue to how the election is evolving overall; if Democrats are winning seats that were thought likely to go Republican, it may be an indication they will do well overall. Simplistically, blue shapes on the right of the following charts signal a good night for Biden and the Democrats, and red shapes on the left signal the opposite.DemocratRepublicanIndependent/OtherSeat changed handsSenateAfter flipping a Senate seat in Pennsylvania, the Democrats hampered Republican hopes of controlling the upper house. This could depend on the December election in Georgia after the Senate race there advanced to a run-off.Full results mapLikely DemocratCOWALean DemocratNHToss-upAZGANVPAWILean RepublicanNCOHLikely RepublicanFLIAUTno resultHouseThe House looks set to flip to the Republicans but a
‘red wave’ has failed to materialise. Key seats include Iowa’s 3rd
district and Colorado’s 8th.Full results mapLikely DemocratLean DemocratToss-upLean RepublicanLikely Republicanno resultDemocracy is under threat. Support independent journalism.From voting rights to climate collapse to reproductive freedom, the stakes couldn’t be higher in these midterm elections. Help us shine a light on the most pressing issues facing America.Show your supportHow do the elections work?All 435 seats in the lower chamber of the federal congress, the House of Representatives, are re-elected every two years. (There are no term limits, and incumbents are often returned, so there is substantial continuity in the membership). House seats are broadly proportional to population, so California has lots of seats but Montana only a few.The upper chamber, the Senate, has 100 seats; two for each state, however populous. In every even-numbered year, roughly one-third of senators are elected for a six-year term. Legislation has to pass both chambers to become law. Senators have some additional responsibilities compared with their colleagues in the House; chiefly these have to do with confirming (or not) presidential appointments.Governors are not part of Congress. Their impact is mostly local to their own state, but because they can affect electoral law or practice, they can affect future federal elections.Going into the election the Democratic party of the president, Joe Biden, controlled both chambers of Congress, but by very narrow margins. In the Senate, a 50-50 split would mean a casting vote went to the vice-president, Kamala Harris. (In practice the casting vote more often went to Joe Manchin, a Democratic senator representing a largely Republican state).These elections are called midterms because they happen in the middle of a four-year presidential term. They are difficult for sitting presidents because the presidential party often does badly in them, and because losing control of Congress makes it more difficult for the president to pursue his or her agenda.About these resultsThe results are provided by the Associated Press, or AP, who have rigorous criteria for “calling” election races; that is, for reporting a winner. Redrawing of House districts this year following the 2020 census mean AP is not reporting “flips”, or seats where the sitting party changes. The redistricting means that in a few seats there are two incumbent representatives competing for a new district. It may also impact the change figures seen on the House results summary bar. It is possible that some seats will count 100% of votes without a winner becoming apparent because of laws that trigger an automatic recount in races that are very close. More
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US midterm elections 2022: Trump backlash grows as top Virginia Republican says ‘I could not support him’ – live
by Evelyn Reynolds 10 November 2022, 20:19
Virginia’s Republican lieutenant-governor Winsome Sears said she could not support Donald Trump if he again ran for the White House, telling Fox Business Network in an interview that the former president has become a “liability” for the GOP:“A true leader understands when they have become a liability. A true leader understands that it’s time to step off the stage, and the voters have given us that very clear message… I could not support him.”—VA Lt. Gov. Winsome Sears (R) comes out against Trump’s 2024 candidacy pic.twitter.com/0g1plfHJmu— The Recount (@therecount) November 10, 2022
The comments are significant considering Sears did something last year that Trump hasn’t done in more than six: win an election. Voters in the Democratic-leaning state elected Sears as the running mate of Glenn Youngkin in his gubernatorial campaign, and she made history as the first woman and first person of color to serve as Virginia’s lieutenant governor.Her comments also underscore the tension among Republicans over Trump’s influence on the party, particularly since many candidates he backed did not fair well in Tuesday’s midterm elections. Voter turnout this year was the second highest of any midterm since 1940, according to the Washington Post, which analyzed AP and US Elections Project data. About 112.5m people – or about 47% of eligible voters – cast ballots in the midterms. In 2018, about 50% of eligible voters cast ballots, according to the Post.And according to researchers at Tufts University, about 27% of eligible voters 18-29 turned out:.css-knbk2a{height:1em;width:1.5em;margin-right:3px;vertical-align:baseline;fill:#C70000;}This 2022 youth turnout is likely the second-highest youth turnout rate for a midterm election in the past 30 years, behind only the historic 31% turnout in 2018. Votes cast by young people made up 12% of all votes in this election, nearly matching the 13% youth share of the vote from the 2014 and 2018 midterms, according to National Election Pool surveys.Joe Biden just spoke in Washington to thank Democratic volunteers for their work in securing the party a better-than-expected night in Tuesday’s midterm elections.He noted that several Republicans who embraced baseless fraud claims about his own election win in 2020 ended up conceding their races without much drama:President Biden says none of the 2020 election deniers contested the results of the 2022 midterm elections when they lost:“Tuesday was a good day … for democracy, and it was a strong night for Democrats.” pic.twitter.com/NZlZwNsyIL— The Recount (@therecount) November 10, 2022
He also linked the surprising support many Democrats received to the party’s pledge to preserve abortion access:President Biden touts the overwhelming support for abortion rights during the 2022 midterms:“Women in America made their voices heard, man … Y’all showed up and beat the hell out of them.” pic.twitter.com/Kc2qZUAwu1— The Recount (@therecount) November 10, 2022
He closed by touting his own legislative accomplishments, including moves intended to lower the country’s fiscal deficit:President Biden: “I don’t wanna hear from Republicans calling Democrats big spenders. We’re the ones bringing down the deficit. They’re the ones that blew it up over four years.” pic.twitter.com/5N7j0ExfT0— The Recount (@therecount) November 10, 2022
The Guardian’s Maanvi Singh is now taking over the blog, and will cover the rest of today’s elections and politics news.The Senate’s Democratic leader Chuck Schumer isn’t banking on his party continuing to hold the chamber for another two years.Bloomberg Government reports that Schumer intends to prioritize confirming Joe Biden’s judges and other nominees before the year ends and the new Congress begins:🚨Scoop: Senate leader is preparing to pull the defense authorization bill off the floor and instead focus on federal nominees and judges and majority next year is still in limbo. Instead annual defense bill will materialize as an informal conference bill @business @BGOV #NDAA— Roxana Tiron (@rtiron) November 10, 2022
Democrats still have a path to keeping the Senate majority, particularly if Mark Kelly in Arizona and Catherine Cortez Masto in Nevada win their races. Counting is ongoing in both.Even as some Republicans blame him for their party’s struggles in Tuesday’s election, Morning Consult has new data out that confirms he remains the most-liked man in the GOP, though perhaps not as popular as he once was:2024 National Republican Primary:Trump 48% (+22)DeSantis 26%.@MorningConsult, 1,691 RV, 11/2-7https://t.co/AdYWBaSMK0 pic.twitter.com/PZ1AJdcudQ— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) November 10, 2022
Trump’s most recent popularity peak came in August, after his actions had received scrutiny from the January 6 committee and his resort searched by the FBI as part of its investigation into potentially unlawful retention of government secrets.It may not be until Saturday that the outcomes of Nevada’s razor-thin Senate and governor races are known, The Nevada Independent reports.That’s based on comments made at a press conference by Joe Gloria, registrar of Nevada’s most-populous county Clark, where Las Vegas is located. The outcome of the two races is expected to hinge on votes from its residents, who tend to lean Democratic:Gloria on today’s numbers:He notes that Clark reported results from about 14k mail ballots last night.He says there are still more than 50k ballots that must be counted in Clark.”Majority of mail should be counted in Clark County by Saturday.”— Sean Golonka (@s_golonka) November 10, 2022
Yesterday, Gloria said Clark received 12.7k in mail on Wednesday, and in the afternoon, the county announced it received 56.9 from Election Day drop boxes.The 14k reported yesterday was apparently Monday drop off and Tues mail. But Gloria now says there are 50k uncounted.— Sean Golonka (@s_golonka) November 10, 2022
Meanwhile, NBC News reports a Trump adviser says the former president still plans to announce another run for the White House on Tuesday:A senior Trump adviser just confirmed Tues announcement & said “The media, the corporate elites, and political establishment has all moved in unison against Donald Trump at their own peril. It’s like they want to recreate 2015-2016. Let them. We are doing it again. Buckle up”— Marc Caputo (@MarcACaputo) November 10, 2022
Invites for Trump’s announcement should go out today.— Marc Caputo (@MarcACaputo) November 10, 2022
Virginia’s Republican lieutenant-governor Winsome Sears said she could not support Donald Trump if he again ran for the White House, telling Fox Business Network in an interview that the former president has become a “liability” for the GOP:“A true leader understands when they have become a liability. A true leader understands that it’s time to step off the stage, and the voters have given us that very clear message… I could not support him.”—VA Lt. Gov. Winsome Sears (R) comes out against Trump’s 2024 candidacy pic.twitter.com/0g1plfHJmu— The Recount (@therecount) November 10, 2022
The comments are significant considering Sears did something last year that Trump hasn’t done in more than six: win an election. Voters in the Democratic-leaning state elected Sears as the running mate of Glenn Youngkin in his gubernatorial campaign, and she made history as the first woman and first person of color to serve as Virginia’s lieutenant governor.Her comments also underscore the tension among Republicans over Trump’s influence on the party, particularly since many candidates he backed did not fair well in Tuesday’s midterm elections. Montana has become the latest state where voters said no to further abortion restrictions by rejecting a law that was meant to stop the killing outside the womb of babies who survive a failed abortion – which is already illegal.The so-called “born alive” law would have allowed medical providers to face criminal charges if they don’t take “all medically appropriate and reasonable actions to preserve the life” of infants, according to the AP.The defeat puts Montana among the ranks of Republican-leaning states where voters have rejected attempts to further tighten down on abortion access following the supreme court’s overturning of Roe v Wade in June.Here’s more on the failed law from the AP:.css-knbk2a{height:1em;width:1.5em;margin-right:3px;vertical-align:baseline;fill:#C70000;}Health care professionals and other opponents argued the proposal could rob parents of precious time with infants born with incurable medical issues if doctors are forced to attempt treatment.
“Today’s win sends a clear message to state leadership: Montanans demand our right to make private health care decisions for ourselves and our families with the help of our trusted medical teams — and without interference from politicians,” said a statement from Hillary-Anne Crosby, a spokesperson for an organization called Compassion for Montana Families that opposed the measure.
The outcome comes after a series of wins for abortion rights supporters in states around the country where abortion was directly on the ballot during the midterm elections. Voters enshrined abortion protections into state constitutions in Michigan, California and Vermont. They also voted down an anti-abortion constitutional amendment in conservative Kentucky, just as voters did in Kansas in August.
Supporters said the proposed Montana law was meant to prevent the killing of infants outside the womb in rare occurrence of a failed abortion, something that is already is illegal. Penalties for violating the proposed law would have included up to $50,000 in fines and up to 20 years in prison.
At least half of U.S. states have similar post-abortion born-alive laws in place, according to Americans United for Life, a Washington, D.C.-based organization that opposes abortion, aid in dying and infant stem cell research.
“This initiative would have criminalized doctors, nurses and other health care workers for providing compassionate care for infants, and, in doing so, overridden the decision-making of Montana parents,” said a statement from Lauren Wilson of the Montana Chapter of the American Academy of Pediatrics.Adam Gabbatt has taken a look at the latest round in the long-running American political parlor game, ‘Has Rupert Murdoch Finally Dumped Trump?’:On election day, Donald Trump was clear about how his efforts to support Republican candidates should be seen.“Well, I think if they win, I should get all the credit,” Trump told NewsNation. “If they lose, I should not be blamed at all.”Unfortunately for Trump, he did not get what he hoped for. Instead the former president has seen conservative news outlets, the Rupert Murdoch-owned ones in particular, turn on him, in some cases with gleeful abandon.“Trumpty Dumpty” blared the front page of Thursday’s New York Post, the tabloid Murdoch has owned since 1976. Editors went so far as to mock up Trump as Humpty Dumpty, his enlarged orange head stuffed into a white shirt and a signature red tie.Next to the picture of Trump as an egg perching precariously on a brick wall, the text goaded: “Don (who couldn’t build a wall) had a great fall – can all the GOP’s men put the party back together again?”The Post cover offered the most visceral insight into Murdoch’s thinking, and its contempt was far from an outlier in the mogul’s news empire.“Trump Is the Republican Party’s Biggest Loser” was the verdict of the Wall Street Journal editorial board. A subheading added: “He has now flopped in 2018, 2020, 2021 and 2022.”The piece was just as scathing as the headline, running through nine races this November the paper said Trump had effectively tanked through his continued election denial, his various wars with more moderate Republican candidates and his general unpopularity nationwide.“Since his unlikely victory in 2016 against the widely disliked Hillary Clinton, Mr Trump has a perfect record of electoral defeat,” the editorial said.“The GOP was pounded in the 2018 midterms owing to his low approval rating. Mr Trump himself lost in 2020. He then sabotaged Georgia’s 2021 runoffs by blaming party leaders for not somehow overturning his defeat.”It added: “Now Mr Trump has botched the 2022 elections, and it could hand Democrats the Senate for two more years.”Has ‘Trumpty Dumpty’ taken a great fall from Rupert Murdoch’s grace?Read moreAlexandria Ocasio-Cortez is not happy about how Democrats performed in her state, New York, in the midterms – a series of House losses helping (probably) hand the chamber to Republicans, though Kathy Hochul, the governor, did fend off an unexpectedly strong challenge from her Trumpist opponent, Lee Zeldin.The New York City congresswoman popularly known as AOC told the Intercept: “New York, I think, is the glaring aberration in what we see in this map … what happened in New York really bucks a lot of the trends in what we saw nationwide.“… I think, in New York, the way that those campaigns were run were different than the way a lot of winning campaigns across the country were run. And I think the role of the state party had very strong national implications. If Democrats do not hang on to the House, I think that responsibility falls squarely in New York state.”Identifying key election themes in New York, Ocasio-Cortez said: “I think policing was a big one, I think the choice among certain Democrats to … amplify Republican narratives on crime and policing, running ads on it … validating these narratives actually ended up hurting them much more than a different approach. I think that what we saw in other races was that they were able to really effectively center either their narratives and the narratives that they wanted to run with, whether it was abortion rights, whether it was democracy, whether it was … other key and top priorities.“I think Democrats in New York, they did a couple of things. They ran ads around that were explicitly very anti-defund [the police], which only served to reinvoke the frame and only served to really reinforce what Republicans were saying. If we’re going to talk about public safety, you don’t talk about it in the frame of invoking defund or anti-defund, you really talk about it in the frame of what we’ve done on gun violence, what we’ve done to pass the first gun reform bill in 30 years. Our alternatives are actually effective, electorally, without having to lean into Republican narratives.“… And I think another prime mistake is that in New York state, [ex-governor Andrew] Cuomo may be gone, but … much of his infrastructure and much of the political machinery that he put in place is still there. And this is a machinery that is disorganised, it is sycophantic. It relies on lobbyists and big money. And it really undercuts the ability for there to be affirming grassroots and state-level organising across the state.“And so … you’re leaving a void for Republicans to walk into … it’s a testament to the corruption that has been allowed to continue in the New York state Democratic party.”Josh Hawley, the senator from Missouri who may or may not run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2024 but definitely did run from Capitol rioters on 6 January 2021, even after raising a fist to the mob, thinks Republicans did not do as well as they might’ve done on Tuesday night because they didn’t run on his populist, not to say Trumpist, principles.He tweets, in a message at least partially counter to the emerging consensus that Republicans suffered (if probably winning the House and maybe winning the Senate can be called suffering) because voters wanted to rebuke their Trumpist drift:Washington Republicanism lost big Tuesday night. When your “agenda” is cave to Big Pharma on insulin, cave to Schumer on gun control & Green New Deal (“infrastructure”), and tease changes to Social Security and Medicare, you lose— Josh Hawley (@HawleyMO) November 10, 2022
A refresher on how Hawley ran, as shown by the House January 6 committee, is here.Video of Josh Hawley running, meanwhile, is here:01:08 More

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