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    Inside Politics: Boris Johnson pleads with public to help avoid second lockdown

    Cheer up everyone! The Bank of England’s chief economist has told us the sky is not falling down – railing against “Chicken Licken” pessimists and predicting a spectacular bounce-back. Boris Johnson, who has been fond of attacking the “doomsters and gloomsters”, has promised it’s still possible to avoid a second lockdown if we all do the right thing. Over in the US, Donald Trump has told everyone to lighten up about the dire TV debate. Far from fear and loathing, the president said it was “fun”.
    Inside the bubbleOur political commentator Andrew Grice on what to look out for today: More

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    Why are cars and fishing so essential to post-Brexit trade?

    To a fair degree, the now five-year long Brexit debate comprises as a series of reruns of arguments rehearsed and settled many decades ago.   So it is now with the two present hot Brexit topics – fish and cars. Or, rather, fish versus cars, on one reading of the situation. The idea – putting it crudely – that Britain’s fishing communities were cynically sacrificed to continental competitors when Ted Heath (a Conservative premier of a different stripe) took Britain into Europe in 1972 has long held sway. According to some accounts, one casualty of this exercise in realpolitik was a wholesale wet fish business in Aberdeen owned by Michael Gove’s father. At any rate, the Common Fisheries Policy has long been held to have inflicted cruel damage on places such as Hull and Grimsby, once thriving communities built on the success and hard dangerous work of their trawlermen and trawlerwomen.The argument runs that Heath took the view that fishing, despite its ancient heritage, was far less important to the British economy than manufacturing, including the motor industry. So it was “given away”. In Heath’s world view, at long last French, German and Italian motorists would soon have unimpeded access to the Triumph Stag, Austin Allegro, Jaguar XJ-S and other fruits of our national champion, the British Leyland Motor Corporation. Millions of jobs and the health of the balance of payments depended on expanding trade in such manufactures, and not on cod. You might think that a rational if tough choice was made in the national interest; or a straight betrayal. The emotional tug of the fishing fields remains, and the bitterness, witnessed by that referendum stunt when Nigel Farage was water cannoned by Bob Geldof on the Thames at Westminster. More

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    Inside Politics: No 10 wants ‘compromise’ with Tory MPs on Covid rules

    Who says there are no good right-wing comedians? Boris Johnson made sure there was little difference between the real prime minister and the parody version Matt Lucas does so well when he blundered his way through another press conference and forgot his own coronavirus rules. Is Johnson’s bumbling, stumbling act wearing thin for Tory MPs? Backbenchers are hoping they can strip some power from No 10 and shape the Covid restrictions themselves. Maybe MPs will at least remember the latest rules and regulations.
    Inside the bubbleOur political commentator Andrew Grice on what to look out for today: More

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    What can Boris Johnson do about his blundering ministers?

    Given everything, it is probably just as well for Gavin Williamson’s career that he chose to let the students go home for Christmas. The beleaguered education secretary has thus managed to transform himself from the “invisible man” into Santa. Whatever else, he will not this Christmas be faced with trying to suppress Colditz-style escapes from student halls of residence. In the House of Commons it was all Williamson could do to prevent himself from breaking into a cover version of Chris Rea’s jolly 1986 hit, “Driving Home for Christmas”. Yo ho Ho!But where will Gavin’s political base be, come Christmastide?
    Ominously for Williamson and the many other underperforming ministers sitting around the cabinet table there will probably be a reshuffle after the party conference. Apparently, “competence and control” will be the criteria the prime minister will apply to his colleagues’s track record (to which they might respond that he might try judging himself and his chief adviser in the same way). In Williamson’s case the fiasco over exam results and the rather chaotic return of university students do not obviously suggest an abundance of competence and control in the department of education, though some senior officials have left the department and the exam quango, arguable scapegoats. More

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    Daniel Ellsberg: The nuclear war planner who knew too much

    Suppose a grave-looking man, after approaching you on the sidewalk, announced that the government had contingency plans to annihilate the bulk of humanity and most large non-human species to boot. Odds are you would offer a nervous grin or grimace and pick up your pace. Imagine this same man kept track and informed you he had once served in the highest reaches of the national-security bureaucracy as a nuclear war expert when such plans were being hatched, and not much has changed since then. At this point you might search for a convenient storefront or cafe to make your prompt escape. But what if your unwelcome interlocutor then grabbed you by your cuff and warned of “a catastrophe waiting to happen!” What then?It is an uncomfortable hypothetical, although not as uncomfortable as the fact that someone like this man does exist, and everything he has to say is credible. His name is Daniel Ellsberg. In the introduction to The Doomsday Machine: Confessions of a Nuclear War Planner, the historic whistleblower of Pentagon Papers fame cuts to the chase: “The hidden reality I aim to expose is that for over 50 years, all-out thermonuclear war — an irreversible, unprecedented, and almost unimaginable calamity for civilisation and most life on Earth — has been, like the disasters of Chernobyl, Katrina, the Gulf oil spill, Fukushima Daiichi, and before these, World War One, a catastrophe waiting to happen, on a scale infinitely greater than any of these. And this is still true today.” More

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    Johnson and Sunak are the latest combatants in the long history of tension between PMs and chancellors

    William Gladstone solved the problem by taking the office of chancellor of the exchequer as well as that of prime minister. Stanley Baldwin also briefly served in both offices for three months in 1923. Since then, the tension between Nos 10 and 11 Downing Street has been a permanent feature of the British constitution.Peter Thorneycroft, who was chancellor for the first year of Harold Macmillan’s government, resigned in 1958 along with his junior ministers Enoch Powell and Nigel Birch, because Macmillan insisted on increasing public spending.  That conflict, between a prime minister wanting to spend public money in pursuit of votes and a chancellor wanting to save it in an attempt to balance the books, has run like a crack in the wall between the nextdoor houses. It happened again in 1962 when Thorneycroft’s successor, Selwyn Lloyd, resisted Macmillan’s attempt to bribe Tory voters to stop them defecting to the Liberals, and he was replaced by Reginald Maudling.   More

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    Sunak’s plaster is no cure. It can’t hide the bigger problems

    Whenever I think of Mrs Thatcher I come back to that picture, the one of her wandering across an industrial wasteland. It must be the northerner in me, but I can’t forget how the iconic photo was accompanied by not much at all. The emptiness of the landscape was matched by her sheer absence of a shared understanding and compassion, call it empathy.She had many qualities but Thatcher failed to see beyond the demon she held responsible for the desolation: the trade unions. Defeat them, the prime minister reasoned, and all would be well: Britain would go on to prosper, its economy would flourish, hidden entrepreneurs would come to the fore and shine.Hammer them, she certainly did. And while in many respects her crusade was brave and correct – the country really was being shackled – once victory had been secured, it was accompanied by nothing. Unforgivably it was followed by neglect. More

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    Has the Tory press given up on Boris Johnson?

    Busy as he is, the prime minister, even as a former journalist, probably doesn’t have much time personally to check out his media coverage. This is probably just as well, because lately the right-wing, traditionally Tory, press in Britain, which is to say almost all of it, has turned a bit nasty.  Take yesterday’s early splash on MailOnline: “EXCLUSIVE: In the week Boris told a battered Britain it was in for another six months of Covid winter misery, his partner Carrie Symonds enjoys five-star Italian holiday at £600-a-night Lake Como hotel with son Wilfred and three friends”. Shades of “crisis what crisis?” there and the coming winter of discontent for the premier as a no-deal Brexit and Covid adds to the general sense of a complacent government – prime minister especially – that has lost control of events. Not what you’d expect, maybe, from that quarter.In fact the Daily Mail has been after Boris Johnson for some time. Back in May, during the Cummings affair, the paper asked of Johnson and Cummings “what planet are they on?”, adding: “Neither man has displayed a scintilla of contrition for this breach of trust. Do they think we are fools?”. The Daily Mail also revealed the location of Johnson’s Scottish holiday hideaway, which cant have helped relations. The Mail on Sunday, it is fair to say, is more supportive towards the prime minister, though that may be scant consolation for the scorn of old friends – and colleagues. More