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    Sunak’s plaster is no cure. It can’t hide the bigger problems

    Whenever I think of Mrs Thatcher I come back to that picture, the one of her wandering across an industrial wasteland. It must be the northerner in me, but I can’t forget how the iconic photo was accompanied by not much at all. The emptiness of the landscape was matched by her sheer absence of a shared understanding and compassion, call it empathy.She had many qualities but Thatcher failed to see beyond the demon she held responsible for the desolation: the trade unions. Defeat them, the prime minister reasoned, and all would be well: Britain would go on to prosper, its economy would flourish, hidden entrepreneurs would come to the fore and shine.Hammer them, she certainly did. And while in many respects her crusade was brave and correct – the country really was being shackled – once victory had been secured, it was accompanied by nothing. Unforgivably it was followed by neglect. More

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    Has the Tory press given up on Boris Johnson?

    Busy as he is, the prime minister, even as a former journalist, probably doesn’t have much time personally to check out his media coverage. This is probably just as well, because lately the right-wing, traditionally Tory, press in Britain, which is to say almost all of it, has turned a bit nasty.  Take yesterday’s early splash on MailOnline: “EXCLUSIVE: In the week Boris told a battered Britain it was in for another six months of Covid winter misery, his partner Carrie Symonds enjoys five-star Italian holiday at £600-a-night Lake Como hotel with son Wilfred and three friends”. Shades of “crisis what crisis?” there and the coming winter of discontent for the premier as a no-deal Brexit and Covid adds to the general sense of a complacent government – prime minister especially – that has lost control of events. Not what you’d expect, maybe, from that quarter.In fact the Daily Mail has been after Boris Johnson for some time. Back in May, during the Cummings affair, the paper asked of Johnson and Cummings “what planet are they on?”, adding: “Neither man has displayed a scintilla of contrition for this breach of trust. Do they think we are fools?”. The Daily Mail also revealed the location of Johnson’s Scottish holiday hideaway, which cant have helped relations. The Mail on Sunday, it is fair to say, is more supportive towards the prime minister, though that may be scant consolation for the scorn of old friends – and colleagues. More

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    Is Boris Johnson still following the science?

    The phrase “guided by the science”, or some close variation, was the constant refrain of ministers at the start of the coronavirus crisis. The parroting of the line was reflexive, almost comical.  Even though there was never any such monolithic thing as “the science”, the idea was to reassure the public that lives and health (and not money) were being put first – hence the original Covid campaign slogan, “Stay at Home, Protect the NHS, Save Lives”. The daily Downing Street press conferences would normally find a politician flanked by a couple of public health experts. Boris Johnson would usually appear in the distinguished company of Sir Patrick Vallance, chief scientific adviser to the government, and Chris Whitty, chief medical officer for England. Parallel arrangements were made in the devolved administrations. The idea was to stress how closely political leaders were being guided by scientific expert advice.Not so much now, however. There is some suggestion that neither the “rule of six” nor the new 10pm lockdown for pubs and restaurants has been modelled by the experts, including behavioural experts, to see whether the various measures now in place will actually reduce the R infection rate sufficiently to bring the spread of the virus under control.  More

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    The winners and losers of the virtual party conferences

    If we didn’t have the annual political party conferences, would it be necessary to invent them? So far as the public is concerned, the answer has always been in the negative, but for the parties themselves, or at least the activists, they’re one of the highlights of the year. Meeting old friends, and enemies, gossiping in the bars, plotting in the break-out areas, rallying at packed fringe meetings in airless meeting rooms, the chance encounter with a junior minister in the lunch queue… such things make life worthwhile, a small reward for the hard, thankless task of campaigning, often in unwinnable constituencies. Covid has put a stop to all that, and instead the conference season is “virtual”. For Labour supporters “meeting” this week it also means they’ve effectively lost the opportunity to vote on policy and make much of a contribution to debate. That, given the continuing affection for former leader Jeremy Corbyn, might be a bit of a bonus for Sir Keir Starmer.Even if a more normal conference was possible this year, Sir Keir would find it hard to punch through a public health crisis. He has therefore that much less of a chance to introduce himself to the public, which for him must be a bit of a shame because the early signs are that the public like what they see, and he has usually performed well against the prime minister. The voters are more sceptical about the Labour Party, however. A week of arguments about the mistakes made in the 2019 election and the future of socialism is probably something Sir Keir can happily live without. This far away from a general election, Sir Keir has little in the way of solid policy to try and sell. His leader’s speech was all about Labour values and the future of Britain in the 2030s.   More

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    Why Boris Johnson risks losing his secret weapon

    As a sort of shop steward for backbench Conservative MPs, Sir Graham Brady, chair of the 1922 Committee, is a man worth listening to – especially so if you happen to be the current leader of the Conservative Party. More than one of Boris Johnson’s predecessors has had their career prematurely ended when they have lost the confidence of the ’22, but Johnson seems too arrogant to care. That could be his biggest error so far.In normal times, the 1922 committee conveys the worries of Tory MPs to ministers discreetly, and they are usually taken seriously. So it is a sign of how badly relations between Johnson and his parliamentary party have become that Sir Graham has taken to speaking out publicly. He has not held back; the government is “ruling by decree” over the Covid crisis, he claims, which is another way of saying that the MPs are being ignored. and they are angry about it. There will be a Commons vote next week on the “rule of six” and other Covid-related restrictions to normal life, and a Conservative rebellion is threatened. The government may only get its way with Labour support, something of a humiliation for a party with a supposed working majority of 87The Tory MPs are also dissatisfied with the way Brexit is being handled, up to and including the recent open declaration that the UK is ready to break international law. The leadership then had to offer some hasty concessions to avert defeat on the internal market bill, which proposed to override the UK-EU withdrawal agreement, and may well have to offer more as the bill makes its way to the House of Lords (where Johnson is even less beloved). More

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    The rise and rise of Angela Rayner

    When Angela Rayner stood in for the self-isolating Keir Starmer at prime minister’s questions last week, her staff were braced for a backlash that never happened. In her five years as one of Jeremy Corbyn’s most visible shadow ministers, and in her more recent six months as the Labour Party’s deputy leader, whenever Rayner has appeared on television, it has been met with a depressingly inevitable reaction on social media.“The Vicky Pollard stuff” is how one member of her team jovially describes it, though it is not a jovial matter. It is foul and abusive, and not worth repeating in detail, other than to say that it is hardly shocking that there should be a large corner of the internet that seems unable to cope with the idea that a working-class woman who left school at 16 with no qualifications while pregnant might be doing rather more with her life than they are.But it is surprising that, on Wednesday lunchtime, they were conspicuously quiet. Rayner, by common consent, gave an outstanding performance. Silencing Boris Johnson on these occasions has, in the past few months, come to look rather easy. Silencing the worst of social media is a challenge of a different order of magnitude. More

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    What does Europe think of Boris Johnson’s plan to break international law?

    The government’s plan to break international law in a “specific and limited way” around the Brexit agreement has caused an outcry in the UK, but what about across the Channel?  As it happens, Brussels isn’t really sure what to make of the whole thing. Michel Barnier is said to have laid out two scenarios to diplomats this week: either there are domestic reasons behind Boris Johnson’s plan, or he’s doing it as part of a feint in trade negotiations.If domestic, Mr Barnier’s argument goes, the UK government is worried about coming under fire for its handling of Covid-19 and wants to put a bonfire under Brexit again. With one eye on the polls, Downing Street realises it’s about to be blamed for a second wave and wants to get people talking about something else.   More