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in US Politics
US election 2020 guide: what time results are expected – and what to watch for
by Evelyn Reynolds 3 November 2020, 20:28
A record-shattering 100 million people have already voted ahead of election day, meaning the 2020 presidential election pitting Joe Biden against Donald Trump will be the first in history in which more people vote in advance of election day than on it.
That could make for some election night irregularities: results may come in more quickly than usual in some places while being egregiously delayed in others.
A terrible new coronavirus wave could also slow voting, and counting. And Trump has spent weeks riling up supporters with false accusations of voter fraud and ballot burglary. Unforeseeable actions on election day by Trump or his surrogates could disrupt the process.
US elections officials and media organizations that usually call races on election night say there is a good chance that the winner of the election will not be clear by midnight on Tuesday. That would not be unusual – the count has gone past midnight in three of the last five elections, in 2000, 2004 and 2016.
On the other hand, we might have a result in the presidential race by the end of the night if either candidate achieves decisive wins in key states. And the data from the huge early voter turnout could provide important insights on how the election is unfolding.
Here’s a rough guide to how the night could play out:
6pm ET (3pm PT, 11pm GMT, 10am AEDT) More
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in US Politics
'Hope over fear': Joe Biden pledges to bring unity to US in campaign speech – video
by Evelyn Reynolds 3 November 2020, 20:09
Joe Biden has vowed to unite the US, as the Democratic hopeful outlined how he would be different to Donald Trump if he were to win the presidential election. Biden was speaking at a campaign event in Philadelphia hours before voting closes
US election live: California ‘undeniably’ on track for record number of votes – live More
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in US Politics
Joe Biden returns to childhood home in Scranton: 'From this house to the White House'
by Evelyn Reynolds 3 November 2020, 19:14
Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden came to his home town of Scranton on election day in the crucial swing state of Pennsylvania, talking of “restoring decency to the White House” if he wins.
He pledged to unite a riven country and rebuild a middle class hollowed out by economic inequality.
Biden was cheered by 200 or so supporters as he visited his modest childhood home in Green Ridge, a leafy suburb just outside the city centre.
There, he signed a living room wall with “From this house to the White House with the grace of God. Joe Biden 11-3-2020”, before coming outside – wearing a black face mask to prevent the spread of coronavirus – to greet neighbours and bump elbows with voters.
Janet Evans, a retired teacher who lives opposite, said she was confident that the former vice-president would win Pennsylvania and the White House. “He truly cares about average people. And as he often says, he’s not from Park Avenue. He’s from Scranton, North Washington Avenue, and we the people love him and trust him.”
“He’s the only one that can lead us out of this pandemic safely and save hundreds of thousands of lives. It’s certainly going to be a fight, but at the end of the day, I believe Joe will pull it off,” said Evans, 64.
Sarah Mucha
(@sarahmucha)
Photo of the signature Joe Biden left on the wall of his childhood on Election Day. https://t.co/QyVAvryTtc pic.twitter.com/Lb2TJNy2q6
November 3, 2020
Katherine Hose, 25, a student, added: “I’m voting for Biden because of the education system and because he cares about women. But I think it’s going to be a close election.”
The importance of prevailing in Pennsylvania cannot be overstated.
Trump’s path to the White House was guaranteed in 2016 after collecting Pennsylvania’s 20 precious electoral college votes by beating Hillary Clinton by just 44,292 votes in the state, out of more than 6 million cast.
Both candidates have made multiple campaign stops across Pennsylvania over the past week, culminating in a star-studded election eve for the Democrats when Lady Gaga, an anti-fracking activist, performed in Pittsburgh with Biden, and singer John Legend joined Biden’s running mate, Kamala Harris, in Philadelphia.
Meanwhile, Trump issued a thinly veiled threat to the state’s Democratic governor, claiming that he and his supporters would be “watching him” while making baseless claims that Tom Wolf was implicated in cheating in Pennsylvania.
Trump has made fracking a campaign issue in Pennsylvania by falsely claiming Biden will destroy hundreds of thousands of jobs by banning fracking. In 2016, Trump carried 57 of the state’s 67 rural and suburban counties where the Democrats have been accused of abandoning white, blue-collar voters.
But in Green Ridge, Karen Zuton, 76, a retired factory worker, said: “The Democrats didn’t abandon anybody, the Republicans are liars. If Trump wins again he’ll make it a dictatorship. I hope it goes for Joe, but it’s a wait-and-see.”
Despite rapidly rising Covid-19 cases in Pennsylvania and across the midwest, Zuton voted in person to ensure her vote was counted in tonight’s tallies. Statewide, more than 2.4 million out of 9.1 million eligible voters cast their ballots early, but the full count may not be completed until Friday.
As polling booths opened on Tuesday, an average of national polls showed Biden leading Trump by 8.4 percentage points, but only 4.7 points in Pennsylvania, according to the website FiveThirtyEight.
Earlier on Tuesday, Biden visited the Carpenters and Joiners Union on Scranton’s industrial south side, where a small group of supporters chanted “Let’s go Joe” and “we love Joe”.
Bill Rafalko, 68, a retired technician who voted by mail, said: “I’m convinced that Scranton and Pennsylvania will vote for Biden because we cannot tolerate four more years of the current administration, it’s chaotic, at least he has a plan for the pandemic. And he’s a good, honourable, decent man.”
Maureen Lyons, 70, a former teacher, added: “This election is the most important in my lifetime. We need to bring normalcy back to the country. We need a human being in the White House, bottom line.” More
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in Elections
Build your own US election result: plot a Biden or Trump win
by Eliana Willis 3 November 2020, 15:41
The electoral map has shifted in 2020, amid new challenges from misinformation to mail-in ballots. Previously reliable states on both sides are now looking more competitive.
In the interactive graphic below, you decide which way these closer states will vote, and try to pave Joe Biden or Donald Trump’s path to victory.
Some states remain very likely to go to Biden or Trump because they were won by large margins in 2016, or they have voted the same way in several recent elections. Such states – ranked either a “solid” or “likely” win for either party, according to the Cook Political Report – have already been coloured in for Biden and Trump in the graphic below.
A majority of 270 electoral votes out of a total of 538 is needed to win, and the remaining states are up to you. Can you take Biden to victory? Or will Trump stay in the White House?
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Choose which way the key swing states will vote and trace Biden or Trump’s potential path to victory.
JOE BIDEN
BIDEN
electoral college votes
DONALD TRUMP
TRUMP
electoral college votes
Under your scenario,
would win the election!
Under your scenario,
Nobody would win the election. It’s a tie! More
125 Shares199 Views
in US Politics
Joe Biden jokes about symbolic Dixville Notch victory – video
by Evelyn Reynolds 3 November 2020, 14:55
Joe Biden rallied supporters in his his home town of Scranton before moving on to Philadelphia on Tuesday morning.
Biden celebrated his symbolic early victory this morning in the tiny New Hampshire village of Dixville Notch, where voters backed him by five to zero over Donald Trump.
He said he felt good about the elections, but added: ‘You have to run through the tape’
Biden sweeps board in tiny New Hampshire village Dixville Notch
US election day – live updates More
175 Shares169 Views
in US Politics
'It's real fear': clash of two Americas could get worse before it gets better
by Evelyn Reynolds 3 November 2020, 14:00
“There’s not a liberal America and a conservative America; there’s the United States of America,” Barack Obama said in 2004. “While I will be a Democratic candidate, I will be an American president. I will work as hard for those who didn’t support me as I will for those who did,” Joe Biden said this year.
Both Democrats preached one nation, but the 2020 presidential election has exacerbated fractures of American society: a profound polarisation that veteran journalist Carl Bernstein referred to as a cold civil war. Some fear that another victory for Donald Trump could tear the nation apart.
And few are under any illusions that a Biden win on Tuesday would drain the poison overnight. Trump and Trumpism would persist, perhaps in an even more raw and angry form, its sense of racial grievance and injustice festering in opposition. Economic, social and racial fault lines predated the 45th president and will survive him.
“That division and hatred and fear and frustration and anger are not just going to disappear the day after the election,” said Leon Panetta, a former defence secretary and CIA director. “The difference [if Biden wins] is that you have a president who wants to do what he can not to split the country apart but to bring it together.”
“But it’s going to take time. It isn’t something that is going to be resolved by one election or one speech or even one bill passed through the Congress. It’s going to have to become a pattern that people ultimately agree is a better way to live in our country.”
Since he rode down an escalator in June 2015 and fulminated about Mexico sending “criminals and rapists”, division and divisiveness have been defining hallmarks of the Trump era: female v male, Black v white, young v old, liberal v conservative, urban v rural, Hollywood v heartland, college-educated v blue collar, pro-choice v anti-abortion, “elite” v “deplorable”, instinct v science, hipster v hunter.
The split that Mike Huckabee, the former governor of Arkansas, once characterised as “Bubble-ville” against “Bubba-ville”, is intensified through the echo chambers of social media and finds myriad cultural expressions. Polls show that Democrats are more willing to wear masks to combat the coronavirus pandemic, whereas Republicans are more likely to heed Trump’s insistence that it is overhyped and fading fast. More
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Biden joined by Lady Gaga as Trump hails crowd at final election rallies – video
by Eliana Willis 3 November 2020, 10:51
As the presidential election campaign drew to a close, Biden and Trump conducted their final rallies. In Pennsylvania Joe Biden welcomed Lady Gaga to the stage to perform as well as have her say on the current president. ‘Now is your chance to vote against Donald Trump, a man who believes his fame gives him the right to grab one of your daughters, or sisters, or mothers or wives by any part of their bodies.’ Elsewhere, the singer-songwriter John Legend performed and spoke passionately about his vote for Biden. In Michigan, Trump wrapped up proceedings with further digs at Biden, adding: ‘This is not the crowd of somebody who is going to lose the state of Michigan’
Lady Gaga attacks Trump’s ‘grab’ remarks at Biden rally
US election day 2020: Trump and Biden supporters vote – live updates More
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I’m a working-class teenage Latino, and I can’t vote this year. But I hope you do | Isaac Lozano
by Evelyn Reynolds 3 November 2020, 10:24
Chills ran down my neck when I watched Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez’s recent Instagram story. “Turn your fear into fuel,” her words reverberated off my phone’s screen. “Let this moment radicalize you.”I knew then that she was right: “November is about survival.” And if young Latinos like me – a key voter base in swing states – make the right choice on Tuesday, I can go to sleep knowing my president isn’t a fascist.But hearing Ocasio-Cortez’s words of wisdom and courage, I felt a sinking sadness. As a working-class 17-year-old Mexican-American, I can’t vote – not until next year. And throughout this election cycle, I’ve felt a deep sense of powerlessness, a reminder of my position in society.Since the onset of the pandemic, I’ve been cramped in a two-bedroom apartment with two brothers and my parents, who are essential workers in one of San Diego’s coronavirus hotspots – where Hispanics comprise 45% of Covid-19 deaths. And earlier this summer, I was horrified to find my uncle died from the virus.Passing the cracked sidewalks of my apartment complex, I’m disheartened by the disparate impact of the pandemic, which disproportionately victimizes Latinos. Parents clad in yellow vests or fast-food aprons leave their doors every morning to work as essential employees, risking their lives, their families, and our community to coronavirus. In each glance we exchange, I sense silent despair. It’s hard not to surrender to the material challenges we face.Our current administration is chipping away at our democracy, and another four years of it would prove devastating for people like meAnd starting my seventh month in remote learning, I’ve felt the consequences. I attend a Title 1 school in a district where 60% of students – including myself – are socioeconomically disadvantaged. My unreliable internet connectivity has made remote learning challenging, and I’ve found myself struggling to balance my schoolwork, extracurriculars and college applications. I think I’ve formed permanent eye bags and my mental health has suffered like never before in the last few months. With support from teachers, however, I’ve kept up my grades and sanity – but I can’t say it’s been easy.My struggles mirror those of millions of Latinos like me, which makes our solidarity so important. No matter our differences, our communities share a devotion to our families and to each other.I still remember the month in elementary school I spent living in a motel. My father had just lost his job and we were buying groceries at the 99-cent store. But it was my grandfather who helped us secure stable housing. It was my grandmother who drove me and my siblings to school when my parents were working. It was the Uruguayan lunch lady who smiled at us at school, making our days a tad sweeter. Only in recognizing our solidarity can we overcome the obstacles of the pandemic – a path made more viable with Biden’s plans to address disparities in vulnerable communities.Fortunately, many of us have rightfully changed our minds since 2016. An aunt of mine, finally fed up with Trump’s racism, has decided to vote for Biden. And speaking with Latino voters, I’ve noticed many have compromised on key issues like abortion to vote Democrat in the upcoming election. Trump’s separation of families and proto-fascist rhetoric have simply harmed Latino communities for far too long. We may not agree on every issue, but electing Biden now is a matter of survival.And let me be clear: a successful Biden presidency is no reason to quell our current political spirit. It is a call to action. Though Biden hasn’t committed to Medicare for All and continues to swallow corporate cash, his presidency, if victorious, should galvanize us to demand for needed reform.Our current administration is chipping away at our democracy, and another four years of it would prove devastating for people like me. Voting for Biden this Tuesday is a decision of moral clarity – and we need young Latinos’ support now more than ever.With Biden, I could return to school faster with his campaign’s legitimate plans to curtail the pandemic. With Biden, I could step out of my apartment knowing my government isn’t fanning the flames of white supremacy. With Biden, I have hope for my future and the fate of millions of Latinos like me.Por favor, fulfill your civic duties this Tuesday. I won’t be able to vote, but you can – and together, we can restore the soul of our nation. More

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I’m a working-class teenage Latino, and I can’t vote this year. But I hope you do | Isaac Lozano

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