Presidential Elections (US)

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      To Beat Donald Trump, Kamala Harris Needs to Answer One Question

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      Kamala Harris is at the halfway point between when she officially became the Democratic presidential nominee and Election Day. Her ascent has been remarkable. She is beating Donald Trump in most national polls and is in statistical dead heats in every battleground state.But she has more work to do. According to a recent New York Times poll, 31 percent of voters expressed the desire to know more about her. To win in 37 days, there is one question she needs to answer: Why? Why do you want to be the president, why are you the right leader for this moment and why does it matter to voters? She has proved her credentials, prosecuted the case against Mr. Trump and clarified some policy views, but not her why. That’s what the American people want to know about her.It’s a fundamental question — and one that stumps too many political candidates.How she answers will determine whether she can convince those undecided voters and drive record turnout among Democratic base voters. My suggestion for the vice president: Go big and take more calculated risks.First, cut back on the incessant focus on Mr. Trump. By now, almost everyone who could be persuaded by the case against him has heard it.Second, trade the massive rallies for smaller, town-hall-style events in battleground states. While rallies are meant to entertain, town halls create the conditions for Ms. Harris to dig into her why and directly address voters, without the pressure for applause lines.The town hall format plays to Ms. Harris’s strengths. I served as Ms. Harris’s communications director in her early days in the White House, and the leader I witnessed in those late-night meetings in the West Wing was compassionate, funny and warm. She sees people and has a heart for their circumstances, hopes and dreams. Those qualities are what make her the right leader for this moment and are her greatest contrast points with Mr. Trump. The intimate setting of a town hall will expose voters to those qualities and add more dimensions to what already excites them about her.We are having trouble retrieving the article content.Please enable JavaScript in your browser settings.Thank you for your patience while we verify access. If you are in Reader mode please exit and log into your Times account, or subscribe for all of The Times.Thank you for your patience while we verify access.Already a subscriber? Log in.Want all of The Times? Subscribe. More

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      Harris vs. Trump: el juego de las encuestas

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      Los sondeos más recientes, la saga de Kamala Harris y Kimberly Guilfoyle, el caso contra Sean Diddy Combs y más para estar al día.Quedan seis semanas, es decir 42 días, para las elecciones en Estados Unidos y, según las encuestas más recientes, la contienda sigue muy ajustada entre la vicepresidenta Kamala Harris y el expresidente Donald Trump.Aquí tenemos una selección de notas enfocada sobre todo en los sondeos más recientes, así como algunas sugerencias más de lo que hay que saber para estar al día con la política estadounidense.En cifras. Nuestro especial interactivo de encuestas muestra el desempeño de ambos candidatos en los promedios de una gran variedad de sondeos; la página se actualiza con frecuencia e incluye también comentarios e interpretaciones de nuestros periodistas. Y también tenemos cifras detalladas para estados seleccionados, entre ellas las de Florida.Trump repunta. Los sondeos más recientes muestran una tendencia inesperada respecto a resultados anteriores: Trump ha ganado ventaja en Arizona, Carolina del Norte y Georgia, estados del llamado Cinturón del Sol. Estas son las observaciones de Nate Cohn, analista político jefe del Times.Cuestión de precisión. En las siguientes semanas veremos una abundancia de resultados de sondeos electorales. Algunas encuestan votantes registrados, otras a votantes posibles. Cada casa encuestadora aborda el asunto de manera distinta. Esta guía explica las implicaciones de cada enfoque.Respaldo estelar. Cuando Taylor Swift expresó recientemente su apoyo a Harris se despejó una duda que carcomía a muchos analistas. Pero ¿qué impacto tendrá su respaldo en la contienda? The New York Times no había llevado a cabo encuestas sobre Swift. Hasta ahora. Esto es lo que mostró un sondeo reciente sobre la popularidad de la cantante en materia partidista.Tercera vía. Liz Cheney, destacada republicana y crítica franca del expresidente Trump, ha sugerido que, en caso de que pierda las elecciones, el Partido Republicano debería ser reemplazado por otra opción. “El propio partido ha rechazado la Constitución en nombre del apoyo a Trump”, dijo. (Trump, por su parte, ha dicho que, si pierde, “el pueblo judío tendrá mucho que ver con esa derrota”).Memorando político. JD Vance, el senador republicano y compañero de fórmula de Trump, ha ido ganando notoriedad en las últimas semanas, al plantear algunas de las ideas y afirmaciones que podrían configurar el “trumpismo 2.0” y posicionarse como heredero del movimiento MAGA (Make America Great Again). “Vance oscila entre la agresividad y el deseo de aparecer como un guerrero feliz”, observó Michael C. Bender, reportero del Times que ha estado viajando con Vance en campaña.Adversarias. Kimberly Guilfoyle, partidaria de Trump y prometida de Donald Trump Jr., ha estado haciendo campaña contra Harris, a quien acusa de intentar bloquearla de un trabajo hace más de 20 años, algo que la candidata demócrata a la presidencia ha negado en varias ocasiones. Esta es la historia de dos jóvenes abogadas que ascendían en la fiscalía de San Francisco.Si alguien te reenvió este correo, puedes hacer clic aquí para recibirlo directo en tu buzón, gratis.We are having trouble retrieving the article content.Please enable JavaScript in your browser settings.Thank you for your patience while we verify access. If you are in Reader mode please exit and log into your Times account, or subscribe for all of The Times.Thank you for your patience while we verify access.Already a subscriber? Log in.Want all of The Times? Subscribe. More

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      Nancy Pelosi Endorsed ‘Open’ Nomination Process if Biden Drops Out

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      Representative Nancy Pelosi of California, the former speaker, recently told her colleagues in the California delegation that if President Biden were to end his campaign she would favor the “competitive” process of an open primary rather than an anointment of Vice President Kamala Harris as the new Democratic presidential nominee.In one of the delegation’s weekly closed-door meetings earlier this month, a small group of members were discussing the party’s stressful state of affairs, in which Mr. Biden appears defiant in the face of concerns from lawmakers and leaders in his own party who want him to step aside.Ms. Pelosi, who arrived late to the meeting, spoke up in response to questions from members. When asked about Mr. Biden, she said she did not think he could win, citing polling data, an assessment that she has shared privately with the president himself. Ms. Pelosi said that if he stayed on the ticket, Democrats would lose any shot they might have of winning back control of the House, according to three people familiar with the confidential conversation who insisted on anonymity to describe it. Lawmakers in attendance then pressed her on what the landscape would look like if Mr. Biden ultimately decided to step aside under pressure. Ms Pelosi told them she favored a competitive process. Ms. Pelosi, according to a source familiar with her thinking, is a friend and fan of Ms. Harris, a former senator from California. But she believes even Ms. Harris would be strengthened to win the general election by going through a competitive process at the convention.A second person briefed on Ms. Pelosi’s views, who also declined to be named discussing private conversations, said her desire for an open primary process is driven by polling data about who can win the election, and that she believes the Democratic Party has a deep bench of talent to draw from, including governors and senators in competitive states. Ms. Pelosi’s comments at the meeting regarding her preference for an open primary were first reported by Politico.We are having trouble retrieving the article content.Please enable JavaScript in your browser settings.Thank you for your patience while we verify access. If you are in Reader mode please exit and log into your Times account, or subscribe for all of The Times.Thank you for your patience while we verify access.Already a subscriber? Log in.Want all of The Times? Subscribe. More

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      New Jersey Primary Election Results 2024

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      Source: Election results and race calls are from The Associated Press.Produced by Michael Andre, Camille Baker, Neil Berg, Michael Beswetherick, Matthew Bloch, Irineo Cabreros, Nate Cohn, Alastair Coote, Annie Daniel, Saurabh Datar, Leo Dominguez, Andrew Fischer, Martín González Gómez, Will Houp, Junghye Kim, K.K. Rebecca Lai, Jasmine C. Lee, Alex Lemonides, Ilana Marcus, Alicia Parlapiano, Elena Shao, Charlie Smart, Jonah Smith, Urvashi Uberoy, Isaac White and Christine Zhang. Additional reporting by Felice Belman, Kellen Browning and Patrick Hays; production by Amanda Cordero and Jessica White.
      Editing by Wilson Andrews, Lindsey Rogers Cook, William P. Davis, Amy Hughes, Ben Koski and Allison McCartney. Source: Election results and race calls are from The Associated Press. More

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      Wyoming Democratic Caucus Results 2024

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      Source: Election results are from The Associated Press.Produced by Michael Andre, Camille Baker, Neil Berg, Michael Beswetherick, Matthew Bloch, Irineo Cabreros, Nate Cohn, Alastair Coote, Annie Daniel, Saurabh Datar, Leo Dominguez, Andrew Fischer, Martín González Gómez, K.K. Rebecca Lai, Jasmine C. Lee, Alex Lemonides, Ilana Marcus, Alicia Parlapiano, Elena Shao, Charlie Smart, Urvashi Uberoy, Isaac White and Christine Zhang. Additional reporting by Patrick Hays; production by Amanda Cordero and Jessica White.
      Editing by Wilson Andrews, Lindsey Rogers Cook, William P. Davis, Amy Hughes, Ben Koski and Allison McCartney. More

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      Louisiana Democratic Presidential Primary Election Results 2024

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      Source: Election results are from The Associated Press.Produced by Michael Andre, Camille Baker, Neil Berg, Michael Beswetherick, Matthew Bloch, Irineo Cabreros, Nate Cohn, Alastair Coote, Annie Daniel, Saurabh Datar, Leo Dominguez, Andrew Fischer, Martín González Gómez, K.K. Rebecca Lai, Jasmine C. Lee, Alex Lemonides, Ilana Marcus, Alicia Parlapiano, Elena Shao, Charlie Smart, Urvashi Uberoy, Isaac White and Christine Zhang. Additional reporting by Patrick Hays; production by Amanda Cordero and Jessica White.
      Editing by Wilson Andrews, Lindsey Rogers Cook, William P. Davis, Amy Hughes, Ben Koski and Allison McCartney. More

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      Missouri Democratic Presidential Primary Election Results 2024

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      Source: Election results are from The Associated Press.Produced by Michael Andre, Camille Baker, Neil Berg, Michael Beswetherick, Matthew Bloch, Irineo Cabreros, Nate Cohn, Alastair Coote, Annie Daniel, Saurabh Datar, Leo Dominguez, Andrew Fischer, Martín González Gómez, K.K. Rebecca Lai, Jasmine C. Lee, Alex Lemonides, Ilana Marcus, Alicia Parlapiano, Elena Shao, Charlie Smart, Urvashi Uberoy, Isaac White and Christine Zhang. Additional reporting by Patrick Hays; production by Amanda Cordero and Jessica White.
      Editing by Wilson Andrews, Lindsey Rogers Cook, William P. Davis, Amy Hughes, Ben Koski and Allison McCartney. More

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      Louisiana Republican Presidential Primary Election Results 2024

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      Source: Election results are from The Associated Press.Produced by Michael Andre, Camille Baker, Neil Berg, Michael Beswetherick, Matthew Bloch, Irineo Cabreros, Nate Cohn, Alastair Coote, Annie Daniel, Saurabh Datar, Leo Dominguez, Andrew Fischer, Martín González Gómez, K.K. Rebecca Lai, Jasmine C. Lee, Alex Lemonides, Ilana Marcus, Alicia Parlapiano, Elena Shao, Charlie Smart, Urvashi Uberoy, Isaac White and Christine Zhang. Additional reporting by Patrick Hays; production by Amanda Cordero and Jessica White.
      Editing by Wilson Andrews, Lindsey Rogers Cook, William P. Davis, Amy Hughes, Ben Koski and Allison McCartney. More