More stories

  • in

    The climate solution both the right and the left can get behind | Bill McKibben

    body.ios .article,body.android .article{overflow:unset;overflow-y:unset;overflow-x:clip}body.android .progress-bar-wrapper{top:58px}.progress-bar-wrapper.svelte-6atxfw{position:sticky;top:-1px;width:100vw;margin:-24px -10px 14px;opacity:0;transition:opacity .5s ease;z-index:25}@media (min-width: 30em){.progress-bar-wrapper.svelte-6atxfw{margin:-24px -21px 14px}}@media (min-width: 41.25em){.progress-bar-wrapper.svelte-6atxfw{width:620px}}@media (min-width: 46.25em){.progress-bar-wrapper.svelte-6atxfw{width:740px}}@media (min-width: 61.25em){.progress-bar-wrapper.svelte-6atxfw{width:980px}}@media (min-width: 71.25em){.progress-bar-wrapper.svelte-6atxfw{width:1140px;margin:-24px -21px 14px -180px}}@media (min-width: 81.25em){.progress-bar-wrapper.svelte-6atxfw{width:1300px;margin:-24px -21px 14px -260px}}.progress-bar.svelte-6atxfw{height:6px;width:0px;background-color:var(–primary-pillar)}.progress-bar-wrapper.active{opacity:1}@font-face{font-family:Guardian Headline Full;src:url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Light.woff2) format(“woff2”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Light.woff) format(“woff”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Light.ttf) format(“truetype”);font-weight:300;font-style:normal}@font-face{font-family:Guardian Headline Full;src:url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-LightItalic.woff2) format(“woff2”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-LightItalic.woff) format(“woff”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-LightItalic.ttf) format(“truetype”);font-weight:300;font-style:italic}@font-face{font-family:Guardian Headline Full;src:url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Regular.woff2) format(“woff2”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Regular.woff) format(“woff”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Regular.ttf) format(“truetype”);font-weight:400;font-style:normal}@font-face{font-family:Guardian Headline Full;src:url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-RegularItalic.woff2) format(“woff2”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-RegularItalic.woff) format(“woff”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-RegularItalic.ttf) format(“truetype”);font-weight:400;font-style:italic}@font-face{font-family:Guardian Headline Full;src:url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Medium.woff2) format(“woff2”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Medium.woff) format(“woff”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Medium.ttf) format(“truetype”);font-weight:500;font-style:normal}@font-face{font-family:Guardian Headline Full;src:url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-MediumItalic.woff2) format(“woff2”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-MediumItalic.woff) format(“woff”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-MediumItalic.ttf) format(“truetype”);font-weight:500;font-style:italic}@font-face{font-family:Guardian Headline Full;src:url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Semibold.woff2) format(“woff2”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Semibold.woff) format(“woff”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Semibold.ttf) format(“truetype”);font-weight:600;font-style:normal}@font-face{font-family:Guardian Headline Full;src:url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-SemiboldItalic.woff2) format(“woff2”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-SemiboldItalic.woff) format(“woff”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-SemiboldItalic.ttf) format(“truetype”);font-weight:600;font-style:italic}@font-face{font-family:Guardian Headline Full;src:url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Bold.woff2) format(“woff2”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Bold.woff) format(“woff”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Bold.ttf) format(“truetype”);font-weight:700;font-style:normal}@font-face{font-family:Guardian Headline Full;src:url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-BoldItalic.woff2) format(“woff2”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-BoldItalic.woff) format(“woff”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-BoldItalic.ttf) format(“truetype”);font-weight:700;font-style:italic}@font-face{font-family:Guardian Headline Full;src:url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Black.woff2) format(“woff2”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Black.woff) format(“woff”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Black.ttf) format(“truetype”);font-weight:900;font-style:normal}@font-face{font-family:Guardian Headline Full;src:url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-BlackItalic.woff2) format(“woff2”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-BlackItalic.woff) format(“woff”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-BlackItalic.ttf) format(“truetype”);font-weight:900;font-style:italic}@font-face{font-family:Guardian Titlepiece;src:url(https://interactive.guim.co.uk/fonts/garnett/GTGuardianTitlepiece-Bold.woff2) format(“woff2”),url(https://interactive.guim.co.uk/fonts/garnett/GTGuardianTitlepiece-Bold.woff) format(“woff”),url(https://interactive.guim.co.uk/fonts/garnett/GTGuardianTitlepiece-Bold.ttf) format(“truetype”);font-weight:700;font-style:normal}@font-face{font-family:Guardian Headline Full;src:url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Light.woff2) format(“woff2”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Light.woff) format(“woff”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Light.ttf) format(“truetype”);font-weight:300;font-style:normal}@font-face{font-family:Guardian Headline Full;src:url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-LightItalic.woff2) format(“woff2”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-LightItalic.woff) format(“woff”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-LightItalic.ttf) format(“truetype”);font-weight:300;font-style:italic}@font-face{font-family:Guardian Headline Full;src:url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Regular.woff2) format(“woff2”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Regular.woff) format(“woff”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Regular.ttf) format(“truetype”);font-weight:400;font-style:normal}@font-face{font-family:Guardian Headline Full;src:url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-RegularItalic.woff2) format(“woff2”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-RegularItalic.woff) format(“woff”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-RegularItalic.ttf) format(“truetype”);font-weight:400;font-style:italic}@font-face{font-family:Guardian Headline Full;src:url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Medium.woff2) format(“woff2”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Medium.woff) format(“woff”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Medium.ttf) format(“truetype”);font-weight:500;font-style:normal}@font-face{font-family:Guardian Headline Full;src:url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-MediumItalic.woff2) format(“woff2”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-MediumItalic.woff) format(“woff”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-MediumItalic.ttf) format(“truetype”);font-weight:500;font-style:italic}@font-face{font-family:Guardian Headline Full;src:url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Semibold.woff2) format(“woff2”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Semibold.woff) format(“woff”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Semibold.ttf) format(“truetype”);font-weight:600;font-style:normal}@font-face{font-family:Guardian Headline Full;src:url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-SemiboldItalic.woff2) format(“woff2”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-SemiboldItalic.woff) format(“woff”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-SemiboldItalic.ttf) format(“truetype”);font-weight:600;font-style:italic}@font-face{font-family:Guardian Headline Full;src:url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Bold.woff2) format(“woff2”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Bold.woff) format(“woff”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Bold.ttf) format(“truetype”);font-weight:700;font-style:normal}@font-face{font-family:Guardian Headline Full;src:url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-BoldItalic.woff2) format(“woff2”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-BoldItalic.woff) format(“woff”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-BoldItalic.ttf) format(“truetype”);font-weight:700;font-style:italic}@font-face{font-family:Guardian Headline Full;src:url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Black.woff2) format(“woff2”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Black.woff) format(“woff”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Black.ttf) format(“truetype”);font-weight:900;font-style:normal}@font-face{font-family:Guardian Headline Full;src:url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-BlackItalic.woff2) format(“woff2”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-BlackItalic.woff) format(“woff”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-BlackItalic.ttf) format(“truetype”);font-weight:900;font-style:italic}@font-face{font-family:Guardian Titlepiece;src:url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-titlepiece/noalts-not-hinted/GTGuardianTitlepiece-Bold.woff2) format(“woff2”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-titlepiece/noalts-not-hinted/GTGuardianTitlepiece-Bold.woff) format(“woff”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-titlepiece/noalts-not-hinted/GTGuardianTitlepiece-Bold.ttf) format(“truetype”);font-weight:700;font-style:normal}#article-body >div .content–interactive-grid,.content–interactive >div .content–interactive-grid,#comment-body .content–interactive-grid,[data-gu-name=body] .content–interactive-grid,#feature-body .content–interactive-grid{grid-column-gap:0px;grid-template-columns:100%;grid-template-areas:”media” “title” “headline” “standfirst” “lines” “meta” “body”}@media (min-width: 30em){#article-body >div .content–interactive-grid figure.element–immersive figcaption,.content–interactive >div .content–interactive-grid figure.element–immersive figcaption,#comment-body .content–interactive-grid figure.element–immersive figcaption,[data-gu-name=body] .content–interactive-grid figure.element–immersive figcaption,#feature-body .content–interactive-grid figure.element–immersive figcaption{padding:0 20px;max-width:620px}}@media (min-width: 46.25em){#article-body >div .content–interactive-grid,.content–interactive >div .content–interactive-grid,#comment-body .content–interactive-grid,[data-gu-name=body] .content–interactive-grid,#feature-body .content–interactive-grid{grid-template-columns:100%;grid-column-gap:10px;grid-template-areas:”title” “headline” “standfirst” “media” “lines” “meta” “body”}#article-body >div .content–interactive-grid #maincontent,.content–interactive >div .content–interactive-grid #maincontent,#comment-body .content–interactive-grid #maincontent,[data-gu-name=body] .content–interactive-grid #maincontent,#feature-body .content–interactive-grid #maincontent{padding-right:80px}}@media (min-width: 61.25em){#article-body >div .content–interactive-grid,.content–interactive >div .content–interactive-grid,#comment-body .content–interactive-grid,[data-gu-name=body] .content–interactive-grid,#feature-body .content–interactive-grid{grid-template-columns:620px 300px;grid-template-areas:”title right-column” “headline right-column” “standfirst right-column” “media right-column” “lines right-column” “meta right-column” “body right-column” “. right-column”}#article-body >div .content–interactive-grid #maincontent,.content–interactive >div .content–interactive-grid #maincontent,#comment-body .content–interactive-grid #maincontent,[data-gu-name=body] .content–interactive-grid #maincontent,#feature-body .content–interactive-grid #maincontent{padding-right:unset}}@media (min-width: 71.25em){#article-body >div .content–interactive-grid,.content–interactive >div .content–interactive-grid,#comment-body .content–interactive-grid,[data-gu-name=body] .content–interactive-grid,#feature-body .content–interactive-grid{grid-template-columns:140px 1px 620px 300px;grid-template-areas:”title border headline right-column” “. border standfirst right-column” “. border media right-column” “. border body right-column” “. border . right-column”}#article-body >div .content–interactive-grid .content__standfirst,.content–interactive >div .content–interactive-grid .content__standfirst,#comment-body .content–interactive-grid .content__standfirst,[data-gu-name=body] .content–interactive-grid .content__standfirst,#feature-body .content–interactive-grid .content__standfirst{padding-bottom:0}#article-body >div .content–interactive-grid figure.element–immersive figcaption,.content–interactive >div .content–interactive-grid figure.element–immersive figcaption,#comment-body .content–interactive-grid figure.element–immersive figcaption,[data-gu-name=body] .content–interactive-grid figure.element–immersive figcaption,#feature-body .content–interactive-grid figure.element–immersive figcaption{padding:4px 0 0}#article-body >div .content–interactive-grid [data-gu-name=lines],#article-body >div .content–interactive-grid [data-gu-name=meta],.content–interactive >div .content–interactive-grid [data-gu-name=lines],.content–interactive >div .content–interactive-grid [data-gu-name=meta],#comment-body .content–interactive-grid [data-gu-name=lines],#comment-body .content–interactive-grid [data-gu-name=meta],[data-gu-name=body] .content–interactive-grid [data-gu-name=lines],[data-gu-name=body] .content–interactive-grid [data-gu-name=meta],#feature-body .content–interactive-grid [data-gu-name=lines],#feature-body .content–interactive-grid [data-gu-name=meta]{grid-area:2/1/5/2}#article-body >div .content–interactive-grid [data-gu-name=lines],.content–interactive >div .content–interactive-grid [data-gu-name=lines],#comment-body .content–interactive-grid [data-gu-name=lines],[data-gu-name=body] .content–interactive-grid [data-gu-name=lines],#feature-body .content–interactive-grid [data-gu-name=lines]{height:-moz-max-content;height:max-content;margin-top:5px}#article-body >div .content–interactive-grid [data-gu-name=meta],.content–interactive >div .content–interactive-grid [data-gu-name=meta],#comment-body .content–interactive-grid [data-gu-name=meta],[data-gu-name=body] .content–interactive-grid [data-gu-name=meta],#feature-body .content–interactive-grid [data-gu-name=meta]{margin-top:18px}}@media (min-width: 81.25em){#article-body >div .content–interactive-grid,.content–interactive >div .content–interactive-grid,#comment-body .content–interactive-grid,[data-gu-name=body] .content–interactive-grid,#feature-body .content–interactive-grid{grid-template-columns:219px 1px 620px 80px 300px}}body.ios .article__header .standfirst__inner p,body.android .article__header .standfirst__inner p{font-family:Guardian Headline,Guardian Egyptian Web,Guardian Headline Full,Georgia,serif;font-weight:500}body.ios .article__header .article-kicker__section,body.android .article__header .article-kicker__section{display:block}body.ios .article__header .article-kicker__section:first-letter,body.android .article__header .article-kicker__section:first-letter{text-transform:uppercase}body.ios .article__header .keyline-4,body.android .article__header .keyline-4{padding-top:12px!important}body.ios .article__header .meta__misc .byline__author,body.android .article__header .meta__misc .byline__author{font-family:Guardian Headline,Guardian Egyptian Web,Guardian Headline Full,Georgia,serif;font-weight:700}body.ios .article__header .meta__misc .byline__author a,body.android .article__header .meta__misc .byline__author a{font-weight:700}body.ios .article figure.element-image .figure__inner,body.android .article figure.element-image .figure__inner{height:auto!important}body.ios .article figure.element-atom+p,body.android .article figure.element-atom+p{margin-top:0}@media (scripting: enabled){:root .content–interactive,:root #article-header >div,:root #feature-header >div,:root #article-header >h1,:root #feature-header >h1{opacity:0}:root.interactive-loaded .content–interactive,:root.interactive-loaded #article-header >div,:root.interactive-loaded #feature-header >div,:root.interactive-loaded #article-header >h1,:root.interactive-loaded #feature-header >h1{opacity:1;transition:opacity .3s ease}}:root{–article-background: #fff;–series-title-text: var(–primary-pillar);–article-meta-lines: #b2b2b2;–article-border: #b2b2b2;–share-button-border: #b2b2b2;–straight-lines: #b2b2b2;–captionText: #999;–dateline: #999;–captionBackground: hsla(0, 0%, 7%, .72);–pullquote-border: var(–article-border)}.article-header,[data-gu-name=title]{border-bottom:1px solid var(–article-meta-lines);padding-bottom:10px;margin-bottom:5px;grid-area:title}@media (min-width: 71.25em){.article-header,[data-gu-name=title]{margin-bottom:0}}#headline,[data-gu-name=headline],.headline{margin-bottom:70px;grid-area:headline}@media (min-width: 71.25em){#headline,[data-gu-name=headline],.headline{margin-bottom:0;padding-left:10px}}#headline div,[data-gu-name=headline] div,.headline div{padding-bottom:0}#headline,[data-gu-name=headline],.headline,.meta__byline,[data-component=meta-byline]{text-wrap:balance}@media (min-width: 61.25em){#headline div,[data-gu-name=headline] div,.headline div,.meta__byline div,[data-component=meta-byline] div{max-width:100%}}@media (min-width: 71.25em){#headline div,[data-gu-name=headline] div,.headline div,.meta__byline div,[data-component=meta-byline] div{max-width:860px}}#headline h1,#headline a,#headline span,[data-gu-name=headline] h1,[data-gu-name=headline] a,[data-gu-name=headline] span,.headline h1,.headline a,.headline span,.meta__byline h1,.meta__byline a,.meta__byline span,[data-component=meta-byline] h1,[data-component=meta-byline] a,[data-component=meta-byline] span{font-size:40px;line-height:1.02;font-weight:700;font-style:normal}@media (min-width: 46.25em){#headline h1,#headline a,#headline span,[data-gu-name=headline] h1,[data-gu-name=headline] a,[data-gu-name=headline] span,.headline h1,.headline a,.headline span,.meta__byline h1,.meta__byline a,.meta__byline span,[data-component=meta-byline] h1,[data-component=meta-byline] a,[data-component=meta-byline] span{font-size:55px}}@media (min-width: 71.25em){#headline h1,#headline a,#headline span,[data-gu-name=headline] h1,[data-gu-name=headline] a,[data-gu-name=headline] span,.headline h1,.headline a,.headline span,.meta__byline h1,.meta__byline a,.meta__byline span,[data-component=meta-byline] h1,[data-component=meta-byline] a,[data-component=meta-byline] span{font-size:75px}}[data-gu-name=body] h2{font-weight:700;font-size:2rem}@media (min-width: 46.25em){[data-gu-name=body] h2{font-size:2.5rem}}.content__main-column–interactive >p:first-of-type:first-letter,#article-body-blocks >p:first-of-type:first-letter,#feature-body-blocks >p:first-of-type:first-letter{font-family:Guardian Headline,Guardian Egyptian Web,Guardian Headline Full,Georgia,serif;font-weight:700;font-size:111px;line-height:92px;float:left;text-transform:uppercase;box-sizing:border-box;margin-right:8px;vertical-align:text-top;color:var(–drop-cap, var(–primary-pillar))}#maincontent hr{background-color:var(–article-border)}.furniture-wrapper{display:grid;grid-template-columns:130px calc(100% – 130px);grid-template-areas:”title title” “headline headline” “mainMedia standfirst” “mainMedia meta” “lines lines”}@media (min-width: 61.25em){.furniture-wrapper{grid-template-columns:180px calc(100% – 180px);grid-template-areas:”title title” “headline headline” “mainMedia standfirst” “mainMedia meta” “lines lines”}}@media (min-width: 71.25em){.furniture-wrapper{grid-template-columns:150px calc(100% – 150px);grid-template-areas:”title title” “mainMedia headline” “lines lines” “. standfirst” “. meta”}}@media (min-width: 81.25em){.furniture-wrapper{grid-template-columns:229px calc(100% – 229px)}}.furniture-wrapper [data-gu-name=new-main-media]{display:flex;align-items:flex-end;justify-content:center;border-right:1px solid var(–article-meta-lines);padding-right:10px;padding-bottom:10px;margin:0;grid-area:mainMedia;position:relative;width:100%}@media (min-width: 71.25em){.furniture-wrapper [data-gu-name=new-main-media]{padding-bottom:0}.furniture-wrapper [data-gu-name=new-main-media] img{margin-bottom:5px}}.furniture-wrapper .standfirst,.furniture-wrapper #standfirst,.furniture-wrapper [data-gu-name=standfirst]{background-color:transparent;grid-area:standfirst;padding-top:0;padding-left:10px}.furniture-wrapper .standfirst >div,.furniture-wrapper #standfirst >div,.furniture-wrapper [data-gu-name=standfirst] >div{background-color:transparent}@media (min-width: 71.25em){.furniture-wrapper .standfirst,.furniture-wrapper #standfirst,.furniture-wrapper [data-gu-name=standfirst]{border-left:1px solid var(–article-meta-lines);padding-top:10px;max-width:620px}}.furniture-wrapper #meta,.furniture-wrapper [data-gu-name=meta]{grid-area:meta;padding-left:10px;padding-bottom:5px}@media (min-width: 71.25em){.furniture-wrapper #meta,.furniture-wrapper [data-gu-name=meta]{border-left:1px solid var(–article-meta-lines);border-bottom:1px solid var(–article-meta-lines)}}.furniture-wrapper .meta__social,.furniture-wrapper .meta__comment{border-top:none}.furniture-wrapper .content__meta-container_dcr{color:#676767}.furniture-wrapper .keyline-4,.furniture-wrapper [data-gu-name=lines]{grid-area:lines;padding:0 10px}@media (min-width: 41.25em){.furniture-wrapper .keyline-4,.furniture-wrapper [data-gu-name=lines]{padding:0}}@media (min-width: 61.25em){.furniture-wrapper .keyline-4 div,.furniture-wrapper [data-gu-name=lines] div{max-width:100%}}@media (min-width: 71.25em){.furniture-wrapper .keyline-4,.furniture-wrapper [data-gu-name=lines]{margin-top:100px}.furniture-wrapper .keyline-4 div,.furniture-wrapper [data-gu-name=lines] div{max-width:100%}}.furniture-wrapper figcaption{position:absolute;bottom:0;padding:4px 10px 12px;background-color:var(–captionBackground);color:var(–captionText);max-width:unset;width:100%;margin-bottom:0;min-height:46px}.furniture-wrapper figcaption span{color:var(–headerBorder)}.furniture-wrapper figcaption span svg{fill:var(–headerBorder)}.furniture-wrapper figcaption span:nth-of-type(1){display:none}.furniture-wrapper figcaption span:nth-of-type(2){display:block;max-width:90%}@media (min-width: 30em){.furniture-wrapper figcaption{padding:4px 20px 12px}}.furniture-wrapper figcaption.hidden{opacity:0}.furniture-wrapper #caption-button{display:none!important;display:block;position:absolute;bottom:10px;right:8px;z-index:100;background-color:var(–captionBackground);border:none;border-radius:50%;padding:6px 5px 5px}.furniture-wrapper #caption-button svg{transform:scale(.85)}@media (min-width: 30em){.furniture-wrapper #caption-button{right:10px}}.gv-lockup-container{display:flex;flex-wrap:wrap;margin-bottom:20px;margin-top:20px}hr.gv-lockup{background-color:unset!important;background:linear-gradient(to bottom,var(–article-border) 0px,var(–article-border) 1px,transparent 1px,transparent 4px,var(–article-border) 4px,var(–article-border) 5px,transparent 5px,transparent 8px,var(–article-border) 8px,var(–article-border) 9px,transparent 9px,transparent 12px,var(–article-border) 12px,var(–article-border) 13px);background-size:100% 13px;height:13px;width:100%}figure.gv-lockup{float:none;clear:none;position:relative;padding-right:10px;margin-right:10px;margin-left:0}@media (min-width: 71.25em){figure.gv-lockup{margin-left:unset}}figure.gv-lockup:after{content:””;background-color:var(–article-border);display:block;height:calc(100% + 11px);position:absolute;right:0;top:-11px;width:1px}h2.gv-lockup{text-wrap:balance;padding-top:0;width:calc(100% – 130px)}@media (min-width: 46.25em){h2.gv-lockup{width:calc(100% – 170px)}}body.ios,body.android{background-color:var(–article-background)}body.ios #author-avatar,body.android #author-avatar{display:none}body.ios #article-header,body.android #article-header{grid-area:title;background-color:transparent}body.ios .byline__author a,body.android .byline__author a{color:var(–series-title-text)!important}body.ios #headline,body.ios .headline,body.android #headline,body.android .headline{background-color:transparent;color:#121212;font-size:40px;line-height:1.02;font-weight:700}body.ios #headline .byline,body.android #headline .byline{color:var(–series-title-text)!important}body.ios .prose p a,body.android .prose p a{color:var(–series-title-text)!important;background-image:linear-gradient(#dcdcdc 0% 100%)!important}body.ios .prose blockquote:before,body.android .prose blockquote:before{color:var(–series-title-text)!important}body.ios .prose blockquote p,body.android .prose blockquote p{color:var(–series-title-text)!important}body.ios .prose .element.element-rich-link a,body.android .prose .element.element-rich-link a{background-image:none!important}body.ios .prose h2,body.android .prose h2{font-size:2em;line-height:1.1}@media (prefers-color-scheme: dark){body.ios .prose p a,body.android .prose p a{color:unset!important;background-image:linear-gradient(#999 0% 100%)!important}body.ios .prose blockquote:before,body.android .prose blockquote:before{color:unset!important}body.ios .prose blockquote p,body.android .prose blockquote p{color:unset!important}body.ios .prose h2,body.android .prose h2{color:#dcdcdc}}body.ios hr.gv-lockup,body.android hr.gv-lockup{margin-bottom:5px}body.ios .article__header .article-kicker,body.android .article__header .article-kicker{display:none}body.ios .furniture-wrapper,body.android .furniture-wrapper{background-color:#fff;padding:0 10px 11px;position:relative;margin-bottom:10px}body.ios .furniture-wrapper:after,body.android .furniture-wrapper:after{content:””;background-image:repeating-linear-gradient(var(–article-border),var(–article-border) 1px,transparent 1px,transparent 3px);height:12px;width:100%;position:absolute;bottom:0;left:0;right:0}body.ios .furniture-wrapper .article-kicker__series,body.android .furniture-wrapper .article-kicker__series{grid-area:title;color:var(–series-title-text);font-weight:700;line-height:1;padding:10px 0;border-bottom:1px solid var(–article-border);margin-bottom:10px}body.ios .furniture-wrapper .figure–thumbnail,body.android .furniture-wrapper .figure–thumbnail{max-width:unset}body.ios .furniture-wrapper .article-kicker,body.android .furniture-wrapper .article-kicker{grid-area:title;color:var(–series-title-text);padding:0 0 5px;border-bottom:1px solid var(–article-border);margin-bottom:10px}body.ios .furniture-wrapper .figure-wide .figure__inner,body.android .furniture-wrapper .figure-wide .figure__inner{background-color:transparent}body.ios .furniture-wrapper .standfirst,body.android .furniture-wrapper .standfirst{background-color:transparent;color:#121212;padding-right:0!important}body.ios .furniture-wrapper .standfirst__inner,body.android .furniture-wrapper .standfirst__inner{background-color:transparent!important}@media (prefers-color-scheme: dark){body.ios .furniture-wrapper .standfirst__inner p,body.android .furniture-wrapper .standfirst__inner p{color:#121212}}@media (prefers-color-scheme: dark){body.ios .furniture-wrapper .standfirst__inner a,body.android .furniture-wrapper .standfirst__inner a{color:#121212!important}}@media (prefers-color-scheme: dark){body.ios .furniture-wrapper .standfirst__inner .article-link li a,body.android .furniture-wrapper .standfirst__inner .article-link li a{color:#121212!important}}body.ios .furniture-wrapper #meta,body.android .furniture-wrapper #meta{background-color:#fff;height:100%;display:flex;flex-direction:column;justify-content:end}body.ios .furniture-wrapper .meta__misc,body.android .furniture-wrapper .meta__misc{background-color:#fff;padding:0}body.ios .furniture-wrapper .meta:before,body.android .furniture-wrapper .meta:before{display:none}[data-component=meta-byline] span >div,[data-component=meta-byline] gu-island{display:none}

    View image in fullscreenAs I write these words, the No 1 trending story on the Guardian is titled: “The history and future of societal collapse”. It is an account of a study by a Cambridge expert who works at something ominously called the Centre for the Study of Existential Risk; he concludes that “we can’t put a date on Doomsday, but by looking at the 5,000 years of [civilisation], we can understand the trajectories we face today – and self-termination is most likely”.I can’t claim to have done a study, though I have been at work on climate change for almost 40 years and I gotta say: seems about right. So it’s maybe not the worst moment for a bit of worry about how you would fare in the case of a temporary breakdown of our civilization. Perhaps you have noticed that extreme weather events are becoming more frequent and violent. Or you read the stories that Donald Trump was shutting down the Federal Emergency Management Agency and surmised you’ll have to take care of yourself going forward. Or hey, maybe you think a cabal of pedophiles might try and use black helicopters to herd you into a 15-minute city where a communist mayor will make you spend the rest of your life riding a scary subway.Whatever. I am not telling you what to prep for – I’m just here to talk about the energy supply for your bunker. And in the process, make the case that maybe it’s time for rightwing nutjobs to join us leftwing nutjobs in embracing solar energy. Not because it’s nice for the environment – heaven forbid. But because it works. Including under adverse conditions when everything goes to hell.It’s not the obvious choice, perhaps. At least in the US, conservatism is heavily identified with fossil fuel; the Trump administration has spent the last months doing everything it can think of to stymie solar and wind power and to boost hydrocarbons, going so far as to shut down an 80% finished windfarm off the coast of Rhode Island. So, it’s understandable that in a lot of cases, your diehard prepper will be inclined to use what he knows and trusts. It’s not just Trump, of course – there’s also the work that big oil has done to pitch itself as manly, the idea that the climate change is a hobbyhorse of those scientific “elites”, and so on.View image in fullscreenThat is why you can go on Reddit and find long exchanges about, say, how to keep jerrycans of diesel fuel fresh over the years. (It turns out that diesel can grow algae – the consensus on the forum is that if you store it in metal cans in the dark you are probably good for a couple of years, though you may want to buy some “diesel biocide” just in case. Here’s some available online, just $185 a gallon.)But say you imagine the emergency might last a little longer – then things just keep getting harder. Here’s how one prepper on the forum outlined his dilemma:
    I currently have three 275 gallon fuel oil tanks. 2 are in my basement and filled with diesel. One will be put somewhere outside with gasoline. I just picked up 3 70s-80’s vintage gas pumps that are supposedly in working order. What is everyone doing for home refueling? Concrete pads for the pumps and tanks? What are you doing to protect the pumps from getting run into or damaged from snowplows? How are you ensuring 250+ gallons of gas gets turned over and refilled before it goes bad? I was thinking of selling to close friends and neighbors either at cost or at a slight loss to make sure the fuel is always fresh.
    I guess that might be workable – running your own gas station for your neighbors, albeit at a slight loss. (If they’re old like me, you could lure them in with free drinking glasses.)But say the emergency goes on longer than that, and you have to refill your tanks. At some point you are likely to realize what an incredibly complicated system you have tied yourself into, with multiple failure points everywhere. To get oil these days you basically need a company sophisticated enough to drill a couple of miles below the ocean; to get natural gas you need drillers able to detonate explosives miles beneath the Earth’s surface to “frack” the deposits into flowing. And then you need to be able to pipe your crude to a massive refinery where it can be separated into various components, and then a fleet of trucks to carry it to gas stations and so on. Once you have it, the engine that it goes in has to be properly maintained – there’s a lot of engineering involved in making a flammable liquid burn at a steady pace and, say, move power to wheels, which is why there are about 2,000 parts in the drivetrain of an internal combustion vehicle. Any of them can and do break, at which point you would better have a pretty good stock in your bunker unless you are absolutely sure your local Pep Boys is going to be up and running.Or – and bear with me here a minute – you could go solar. Again, I understand that Trump hates it. “It’s all steel and glass and wires,” he told a California gathering shortly before the last election. “It looks like hell. And you see rabbits get caught in it … It’s just terrible.” But maybe aesthetics is not your primary concern and maybe you hunt rabbits, anyway – in that case, solar has a lot to recommend it for us average paranoiacs. In fact, I think you could go so far as to say that it is the one form of power that matches up almost perfectly with a rational conservative outlook: if you look at it one way, it is energy for hyper-individualists.View image in fullscreenFor one thing, it works – for a really, really long time. My oldest solar panels have been up on the roof for a quarter century and they are still going strong; the oldest solar array in France was just tested and 30 years later it was still at 80% of its original output. And you can now easily connect solar panels to batteries – some even come from that Nazi-adjacent billionaire Elon Musk (though there are also plenty of competitors now, in case you want non-fascist electron storage). Once you have got a battery in the basement, the afternoon’s sunshine can last all day. Indeed, if you have thought ahead and bought, say, a Ford F-150 Lightning, the electric version of America’s most popular vehicle, you have battery enough to keep your house running for days and days.But best of all there is no complicated system to plug into. It’s just you and the sun, and the sun is currently predicted to go on burning for 5bn years (after which, admittedly, you’re on your own).Similarly, the stuff you can get to use all that electricity to is super-duper simple. Take that Ford Lightning, or indeed any electric vehicle: it has about 20 moving parts in the drivetrain. I know that good red-hatted Americans are supposed to be a little suspicious of EVs – our president has explained that they “only drive for 15 minutes before you have to get a charge”. (You would think he would have more respect, the golf carts at his courses are electric and carry his considerable bulk for 18 holes). But in fact EVs are now high-performance vehicles (if you must, you can actually get an electric Hummer), and they are incredibly self-supporting. When I was buying mine – again, early on – the salesman offered me six free oil changes. I looked at him for a little while, and then he blushed and offered me free floor mats instead. Tires need changing, but that’s about it.And here’s the thing: you just plug your EV into the solar panels and the batteries in your house. You never need to worry about the gas station running out of gas, or running out power. And you know, just in case, I would get an e-bike too; the manual backup (they’re called pedals) is already in place.I think back often to the first couple of Mad Max movies, especially the ever popular Mad Max 2, which came out in 1981. Mel Gibson is wandering a post-apocalyptic Australian outback (energy crisis, environmental collapse, never really specified) and his main quest is for oil. In a major plot point, he helps defend a besieged refinery in return for some petrol (gyrocopters, deadly steel boomerang). Even in this desperate future, it is all about the oil.View image in fullscreenThat made sense at the time, because when the movie was made, solar panels were still basically a toy – they were most likely to be found in calculators and wrist watches; a roof full of panels would have been prohibitively expensive. You had no choice in a 1980s-era apocalypse to try to live off whatever oil still remained (especially if you wanted to drive around the desert in a souped-up dune buggy). But since 1981, the price of a solar panel has dropped about 99% and so has the price of a battery. In Australia, as a result, about 40% of homes now have solar panels on the roof. It is so easy and cheap it is almost incredible. As the electrification guru Saul Griffith wrote recently:
    Our rooftops generate over 10% of total energy supply. For an individual household with a large rooftop, it pays to install more than you need. My friend Fred’s house produces 141% of the electricity it needs in a year to run an entirely electric life including 2 cars and a heated pool. This is true abundance.
    An Australian system costs a third of what it will currently run you in America. That’s largely because we raise the price with a lot of unnecessary permitting, which is another place where left and right could easily meet. Why should the government be keeping you from harvesting the electrons that fall on your roof? It’s a conspiracy! Actually, it kind of is: it suits the utilities to keep us hooked to the current ways of doing business.That is why we are staging Sun Day later this month: a big nationwide celebration of clean energy with some pretty pointed efforts to make local governments change their ways. If we can’t move Washington right now, we can at least pressure blue city halls and state legislatures, and maybe some red ones too: earlier this spring deep-red Utah became the first state to allow European-style “balcony solar”, those apartment-scale solar panels you just hang from your veranda and plug into your wall.What I’m saying is, Mad Max was good entertainment but bad prepping. Even if you find an oil tanker to hijack, you’re still going to run out of fuel pretty fast; it seems likely there is a finite number of old oil tankers. Whereas the sun, the sun just keeps rising. Why not just kick back and enjoy the easy life with your solar panels? No need to be Mad Max – you can be Chill Max, running your fridge and your piña colada machine and every other appliance you can imagine.Do I think prepping for a disaster is the best reason to put up solar panels? I do not. I think avoiding a disaster is the best reason: the rapid buildout of solar and wind and batteries is the first scalable solution to the climate crisis that has emerged in all these decades I have been at work. If we put up enough of it quickly enough (say, at the pace China is currently going), then we would take some of the sting out of global heating. We cannot stop climate change, but maybe we can stop it short of the place where it cuts civilization off at the knees.But I know plenty of people who think more individually than societally, whose main concern is the fate of themselves and their families. So it pleases me that for them the answer is the same: a solar panel makes your home truly your castle. If you want to defend it with an AR-15 – well, now you have got something worth defending.That is why, I think, that Sun Day seems to be drawing in all types, from unreconstructed hippies to entrepreneurs to evangelical pastors who are setting up hundreds of events across the country. In a moment when our incredibly polarized society makes it hard to do much of anything, that is worth at least a modest celebration. So come out on 21 September to celebrate the rise of clean energy, to make it easier to put up panels – and to meet your neighbors. And by the way, knowing your neighbors is a pretty good survival technology too.

    Bill McKibben is the author of the forthcoming Here Comes the Sun, and the founder of Sun Day More

  • in

    New England states vow to fight Trump administration order to halt work on offshore wind farm that’s nearly complete

    The Democratic governors of Rhode Island and Connecticut promised on Saturday to fight a Trump administration order halting work on a nearly complete wind farm off their coasts that was expected to be operational next year.The Revolution Wind project was about 80% complete, with 45 of its 65 turbines already installed, according to the Danish wind farm developer Ørsted, when the US Bureau of Ocean Energy Management sent the firm a letter on Friday ordering it to “halt all ongoing activities”.“In particular, BOEM is seeking to address concerns related to the protection of national security interests in the United States,” wrote Matt Giacona, the agency’s acting director, adding that Ørsted “may not resume activities” until the agency has completed a review of the project.Giacona said that the project, which had already cleared years of federal and state reviews, now needs to be re-examined in light of Donald Trump’s order, on the first day of his second term, to consider “terminating or amending any existing wind energy leases”.Giacona, whose prior work as a lobbyist for the offshore oil industry alarmed consumer advocates, also said that the review was necessary to “address concerns related to the protection of national security interests of the United States”. He did not specify what those national security concerns are.Rhode Island’s governor, Dan McKee, criticized the stop-work order and said he and Connecticut’s governor, Ned Lamont, “will pursue every avenue to reverse the decision to halt work on Revolution Wind”, which was “just steps away from powering more than 350,000 homes”.Senator Chris Murphy, a Connecticut Democrat, connected the decision to Trump’s reported pitch last year to oil industry executives to trade $1bn in campaign donations for regulatory favors. “When the oil industry showed up at Mar-a-Lago with a set of demands in exchange for a $1 billion of campaign support for Trump, this is what they were asking for: the destruction of clean energy in America,” Murpy said in a statement.“This is a story of corruption, plain and simple. President Trump has sold our country out to big corporations with the oil and gas industry at the top of the list,” the senator added. “I will work with my colleagues and Governor Lamont to pursue all legal paths to get this project back on track.”Since returning to office, Trump has taken sweeping actions to prioritize fossil fuels and hinder renewable energy projects. Throughout his time in public office, Trump has repeatedly brought up his visceral hatred for wind power, apparently prompted by his belief that offshore turbines spoil the views at his golf courses, and his embrace of the bizarre theory that “the noise causes cancer”.Trump recently called wind and solar power “THE SCAM OF THE CENTURY!” in a social media post and vowed not to approve wind or “farmer destroying Solar” projects.Rhode Island’s attorney general, Peter Neronha, said in a statement on Saturday that, without the Revolution Wind project, the state’s Act on Climate law, which aims to use renewable energy to battle global warming, “is dead in the water”.Scientists agree that nations need to rapidly embrace renewable energy to stave off the worst effects of climate change, including extreme heat and drought; larger, more intense wildfires and supercharged hurricanes, typhoons and rainstorms that lead to catastrophic flooding.Construction on Revolution Wind began in 2023, and the project was expected to be fully operational next year. Ørsted says it is evaluating the financial impact of stopping construction and considering legal proceedings.Revolution Wind is located more than 15 miles (24km) south of the Rhode Island coast, 32 miles (51km) south-east of the Connecticut coast and 12 miles (19km) south-west of Martha’s Vineyard. Rhode Island is already home to one offshore wind farm, the five-turbine Block Island Wind Farm.skip past newsletter promotionafter newsletter promotionRevolution Wind was expected to be Rhode Island and Connecticut’s first commercial-scale offshore wind farm, capable of powering more than 350,000 homes. The densely populated states have minimal space available for land-based energy projects, which is why the offshore wind project is considered crucial for the states to meet their climate goals.Wind power is the largest source of renewable energy in the US and provides about 10% of the electricity generated in the nation.Green Oceans, a non-profit that opposes the offshore wind industry, and sued in federal court last year to stop the 83,798-acre (33,912-hectare) Revolution Wind project on environmental grounds, applauded the decision. “We are grateful that the Trump Administration and the federal government are taking meaningful action to preserve the fragile ocean environment off the coasts of Rhode Island and Massachusetts,” the non-profit said in a statement.This is the second major offshore wind project the Trump White House has halted. Work was previously stopped on Empire Wind, a New York offshore wind project, but construction was allowed to resume after New York’s governor, Kathy Hochul, and senator Chuck Schumer intervened.“This administration has it exactly backwards. It’s trying to prop up clunky, polluting coal plants while doing all it can to halt the fastest growing energy sources of the future – solar and wind power,” Kit Kennedy, managing director for the power division at the Natural Resources Defense Council, said in a statement. “Unfortunately, every American is paying the price for these misguided decisions.”The Associated Press contributed reporting More

  • in

    ‘Shooting ourselves in the foot’: how Trump is fumbling geothermal energy

    Geothermal is one of the most promising clean energy sources in the US, providing 24/7 renewable power that could meet rising energy demand from AI datacentres. But former Department of Energy officials are alarmed that Donald Trump is fumbling its potential.Compared with other clean energy sources such as solar and wind, geothermal enjoys rare bipartisan support. The US energy secretary, Chris Wright, has praised the technology, calling it “an awesome resource that’s under our feet”. And Trump’s One Big Beautiful Bill Act preserved tax credits for geothermal.But the administration’s slashing of Department of Energy staff, delays in issuing low-interest loans, and tariffs are together creating uncertainty for the industry and investors.The US has an advantage on geothermal over China and must move urgently, said David Turk, who served as the deputy secretary of energy under former president Joe Biden. “Anything that stops our ability to execute on a plan – staffing, other funding – I think, is shooting ourselves in the foot,” Turk said.The White House and Department of Energy did not respond to questions about how their policies are affecting enhanced geothermal.The potential of geothermalGeothermal energy uses the heat from the Earth’s crust to transform water into steam that turns turbines and generates electricity. It has been used for more than a century, but has been limited to places where hot water reached the Earth’s surface, including hot springs.Now there’s a new technique that can generate energy anywhere, known as enhanced geothermal. The same horizontal drilling approach used in fracking can reach hot rock deep below the surface. “It opens up enhanced geothermal all over the country, all over the world,” Turk said. “That’s just tremendous.”So far, enhanced geothermal systems are located in the Western US. One of the most promising geothermal projects by Fervo Energy can be found in Utah. But the technology can also work in the east.The US is ahead of other countries on enhanced geothermal because of its shale gas boom over the past 15 years, said Eva Schill, a staff scientist who leads the Geothermal Systems Program at Berkeley Lab. “The reason is that we have a lot of experience here from oil and gas fracking,” she said.The enhanced geothermal industry is nascent, generating only 1% of the US’s electricity. And it’s still too expensive to compete with coal and natural gas.View image in fullscreenBut under the right conditions, it could evolve into a cheap source of power. A January article in the journal Nature Reviews found that it could be cost competitive with the national average cost of electricity generation by 2030.The US is the world’s second-largest greenhouse gas emitter after China, and although US emissions have trended downward for the past two decades, the country is still not on track to meet its climate targets. The rapid growth of AI datacentres is further threatening those targets by fueling rising energy demand; datacentres need to run 24/7, so they tend to rely on fossil fuels.Geothermal can potentially solve that problem. It could create 80,000 megawatts of new power, according to a liftoff report published by the Department of Energy.“To put that in perspective, that could meet 100% of all of the AI datacenter load growth for the next 10 years,” said Jigar Shah, a clean energy entrepreneur who served as the director of the loan programs office at the Department of Energy under Joe Biden. “That’s pretty impressive.”Already, Google and Meta have signed deals that would see geothermal companies power their datacentres.How the Trump administration is fumbling geothermalEnhanced geothermal accelerated under Biden-era policies. But several former energy department officials say the Trump administration is failing to provide the business certainty needed to get the fledgling industry off the ground.“The whole ball game right now is bringing down those costs, proving it for investors,” Turk said.“This is really about feelings,” Shah said. “Do the investors feel like this administration really has their back when it comes to investing in these new technologies? They felt like we actually had their back when I was running the loan programs office, and when secretary [Jennifer] Granholm was running energy. They’re unsure whether this administration has their back on these technologies.”View image in fullscreenUnder the Biden administration, the loan programs office was working on closing a low-interest loan for geothermal. Similar loans previously boosted Tesla and utility-scale solar. However, the Trump administration has yet to close a low-interest loan for geothermal, Shah said.The gutting of energy department staff has lowered its capacity to support geothermal, several former energy department officials said. Thousands of scientists, analysts, engineers and procurement officers took deferred resignation offers or were fired. Politico reported that the administration was considering cutting loan programs office staff by half.The Department of Energy has lost “absolutely indispensable” experts on geothermal and loans, Turk said. “So I would worry about, have we lost some of that capacity to actually execute?”Trump’s zeal for tariffs is adding to the industry’s anxiety. Steel tariffs, now at 50%, are hurting companies that use steel in wells. Enhanced geothermal wells require installing miles of steel pipes.Behind the scenes, geothermal companies are “freaking out” about the steel tariffs, Shah said. “They don’t want to say anything negative, lest the Eye of Sauron find them,” he added.The survival of the Inflation Reduction Act tax credits for geothermal provides some certainty. Geothermal can still access the full tax credit, as long as they begin construction by 2033, when the value of the credit will begin phasing down.But geothermal projects now face strict restrictions on the involvement of “foreign entities of concern,” such as Chinese companies and individuals, known as FEOC requirements. Geothermal projects use rare earth elements in their drill bits, and China dominates the rare earth minerals market, said a former energy department official who requested anonymity.What Trump officials can do to boost geothermal“This is a good enough market opportunity that somewhere in the world is going to come true, and we are really well set up for it, if we’re not stupid,” the official said, talking generally about the industry. “But we’ve unfortunately been pretty stupid, and we’re making it harder on ourselves to win in an area that should be pretty easy to win.”There are actions the Trump administration can take immediately to bring down costs and boost the industry.The government can speed things along by “doing a lot of mapping of resources to make it cheaper and less risky for drilling in this area versus that area”, Turk said.“Close a loan,” Shah said, explaining that it would send a strong signal to investors.“We have the technology, we have the tools – the loan programs office and other tools – and I think now what we really need to do is establish the confidence,” Shah said. More

  • in

    Trump signs orders to allow coal-fired power plants to remain open

    Donald Trump signed four executive orders on Tuesday aimed at reviving coal, the dirtiest fossil fuel that has long been in decline, and which substantially contributes to planet-heating greenhouse gas emissions and pollution.Environmentalists expressed dismay at the news, saying that Trump was stuck in the past and wanted to make utility customers “pay more for yesterday’s energy”.The US president is using emergency authority to allow some older coal-fired power plants scheduled for retirement to keep producing electricity.The move, announced at a White House event on Tuesday afternoon, was described by White House officials as being in response to increased US power demand from growth in datacenters, artificial intelligence and electric cars.Trump, standing in front of a group of miners in hard hats, said he would sign an executive order “that slashes unnecessary regulations that targeted the beautiful, clean coal”.He added that “we will rapidly expedite leases for coal mining on federal lands”, “streamline permitting”, “end the government bias against coal” and use the Defense Production Act “to turbocharge coal mining in America”.The first order directed all departments and agencies to “end all discriminatory policies against the coal industry” including by ending the leasing moratorium on coal on federal land and accelerate all permitted funding for coal projects.The second imposes a moratorium on the “unscientific and unrealistic policies enacted by the Biden administration” to protect coal power plants currently operating.The third promotes “grid security and reliability” by ensuring that grid policies are focused on “secure and effective energy production” as opposed to “woke” policies that “discriminate against secure sources of power like coal and other fossil fuels”.The fourth instructs the justice department to “vigorously pursue and investigate” the “unconstitutional” policies of “radically leftist states” that “discriminate against coal”.Trump’s approach is in contrast to that of his predecessor Joe Biden, who in May last year brought in new climate rules requiring huge cuts in carbon pollution from coal-fired power plants that some experts said were “probably terminal” for an industry that until recently provided most of the US’s power, but is being driven out of the sector by cheaper renewables and gas.Trump, a Republican, has long promised to boost what he calls “beautiful” coal to fire power plants and for other uses, but the industry has been in decline for decades.The EPA under Trump last month announced a barrage of actions to weaken or repeal a host of pollution limits, including seeking to overturn the Biden-era plan to reduce the number of coal plants.The orders direct the interior secretary, Doug Burgum, to “acknowledge the end” of an Obama-era moratorium that paused coal leasing on federal lands and to require federal agencies to rescind policies transitioning the nation away from coal production.The orders also seek to promote coal and coal technology exports and to accelerate development of coal technologies.Trump has long suggested that coal can help meet surging electricity demand from manufacturing and the massive datacenters needed for artificial intelligence.“Nothing can destroy coal. Not the weather, not a bomb – nothing,” Trump told the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, by video link in January. “And we have more coal than anybody.”Energy experts say any bump for coal under Trump is likely to be temporary because natural gas is cheaper and there is a durable market for renewable energy such as wind and solar power no matter who holds the White House.Environmental groups were scathing about the orders, pointing out that coal is in steep decline in the US compared with the increasingly cheap option of renewable energy. This year, 93% of the power added to the US grid will be from solar, wind and batteries, according to forecasts from Trump’s own administration.“What’s next, a mandate that Americans must commute by horse and buggy?” said Kit Kennedy, managing director of power at the Natural Resources Defense Council.“Coal plants are old and dirty, uncompetitive and unreliable. The Trump administration is stuck in the past, trying to make utility customers pay more for yesterday’s energy. Instead, it should be doing all it can to build the electricity grid of the future.”Clean energy, such as solar and wind, is now so affordable that 99% of the existing US coal fleet costs more just to keep running than to retire a coal plant and replace it with renewables, a 2023 Energy Innovation report found. More

  • in

    They’re in Hot Water in Idaho. Here’s Why That’s a Good Thing.

    50 States, 50 FixesThey’re in Hot Water in Idaho. Here’s Why That’s a Good Thing.Nearly 500 buildings in the state capital get their heat from a clean, renewable source located deep in the ground.Kirkham Hot Springs in Boise National Forest.It’s pretty easy to get into hot water in Boise. After all, it’s in Idaho, a state filled with hundreds of hot springs.The city has tapped into that naturally hot water to create the largest municipally run geothermal system in the country.Nearly 500 Boise businesses, government buildings and homes — as well as hospital and university buildings, City Hall and a Y.M.C.A. — are warmed by heat drawn directly from hot water reservoirs, or aquifers, below ground. The Idaho Statehouse, in Boise, is the only one in the United States to use geothermal heat. The heat even warms some sidewalks in the winter, to melt the snow, and raises the temperature in hot tubs.50 States, 50 Fixes is a series about local solutions to environmental problems. More to come this year.Renewable, reliable and relatively free of pollution, geothermal heating is possible in Boise because of fault lines that expose groundwater to hot rocks, heating water to around 170 degrees Fahrenheit, or about 77 degrees Celsius. The water is drawn from wells in nearby foothills into a closed-loop network of pipes that reach into buildings, before going back to the aquifer to be heated again.Tell Us About Solutions Where You Live

    #top-wrapper, sponsor-wrapper {
    display: none;
    }

    We are having trouble retrieving the article content.Please enable JavaScript in your browser settings.Thank you for your patience while we verify access. If you are in Reader mode please exit and log into your Times account, or subscribe for all of The Times.Thank you for your patience while we verify access.Already a subscriber? Log in.Want all of The Times? Subscribe. More

  • in

    What’s at stake in the US election? The climate for the next million years | Bill McKibben

    .Svg-clip-paths-container.svelte-1yf4410{width:0;height:0}@font-face{font-family:Guardian Headline Full;src:url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Light.woff2) format(“woff2”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Light.woff) format(“woff”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Light.ttf) format(“truetype”);font-weight:300;font-style:normal}@font-face{font-family:Guardian Headline Full;src:url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-LightItalic.woff2) format(“woff2”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-LightItalic.woff) format(“woff”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-LightItalic.ttf) format(“truetype”);font-weight:300;font-style:italic}@font-face{font-family:Guardian Headline Full;src:url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Regular.woff2) format(“woff2”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Regular.woff) format(“woff”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Regular.ttf) format(“truetype”);font-weight:400;font-style:normal}@font-face{font-family:Guardian Headline Full;src:url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-RegularItalic.woff2) format(“woff2”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-RegularItalic.woff) format(“woff”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-RegularItalic.ttf) format(“truetype”);font-weight:400;font-style:italic}@font-face{font-family:Guardian Headline Full;src:url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Medium.woff2) format(“woff2”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Medium.woff) format(“woff”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Medium.ttf) format(“truetype”);font-weight:500;font-style:normal}@font-face{font-family:Guardian Headline Full;src:url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-MediumItalic.woff2) format(“woff2”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-MediumItalic.woff) format(“woff”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-MediumItalic.ttf) format(“truetype”);font-weight:500;font-style:italic}@font-face{font-family:Guardian Headline Full;src:url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Semibold.woff2) format(“woff2”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Semibold.woff) format(“woff”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Semibold.ttf) format(“truetype”);font-weight:600;font-style:normal}@font-face{font-family:Guardian Headline Full;src:url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-SemiboldItalic.woff2) format(“woff2”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-SemiboldItalic.woff) format(“woff”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-SemiboldItalic.ttf) format(“truetype”);font-weight:600;font-style:italic}@font-face{font-family:Guardian Headline Full;src:url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Bold.woff2) format(“woff2”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Bold.woff) format(“woff”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Bold.ttf) format(“truetype”);font-weight:700;font-style:normal}@font-face{font-family:Guardian Headline Full;src:url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-BoldItalic.woff2) format(“woff2”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-BoldItalic.woff) format(“woff”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-BoldItalic.ttf) format(“truetype”);font-weight:700;font-style:italic}@font-face{font-family:Guardian Headline Full;src:url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Black.woff2) format(“woff2”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Black.woff) format(“woff”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Black.ttf) format(“truetype”);font-weight:900;font-style:normal}@font-face{font-family:Guardian Headline Full;src:url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-BlackItalic.woff2) format(“woff2”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-BlackItalic.woff) format(“woff”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-BlackItalic.ttf) format(“truetype”);font-weight:900;font-style:italic}@font-face{font-family:Guardian Titlepiece;src:url(https://interactive.guim.co.uk/fonts/garnett/GTGuardianTitlepiece-Bold.woff2) format(“woff2”),url(https://interactive.guim.co.uk/fonts/garnett/GTGuardianTitlepiece-Bold.woff) format(“woff”),url(https://interactive.guim.co.uk/fonts/garnett/GTGuardianTitlepiece-Bold.ttf) format(“truetype”);font-weight:700;font-style:normal}.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24.svelte-1cslg24{grid-area:header;width:100vw;overflow:clip;position:relative;height:230vh;background-color:#121212;margin-left:-10px;padding:0}@media (min-width: 30em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24.svelte-1cslg24{margin-left:-20px}}@media (min-width: 46.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24.svelte-1cslg24{margin-left:calc((100vw – 740px – var(–scrollbar-width, 0px)) / 2 * -1 – 21px)}}@media (min-width: 61.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24.svelte-1cslg24{margin-left:calc((100vw – 980px – var(–scrollbar-width, 0px)) / 2 * -1 – 21px)}}@media (min-width: 71.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24.svelte-1cslg24{margin-left:calc((100vw – 1140px – var(–scrollbar-width, 0px)) / 2 * -1 – 21px)}}@media (min-width: 81.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24.svelte-1cslg24{margin-left:calc((100vw – 1300px – var(–scrollbar-width, 0px)) / 2 * -1 – 21px)}}@media (min-width: 46.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24.svelte-1cslg24{padding:0 calc((100vw – 740px – var(–scrollbar-width, 0px)) / 2)}}@media (min-width: 61.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24.svelte-1cslg24{padding:0 calc((100vw – 980px – var(–scrollbar-width, 0px)) / 2)}}@media (min-width: 71.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24.svelte-1cslg24{padding:0 calc((100vw – 1140px – var(–scrollbar-width, 0px)) / 2)}}@media (min-width: 81.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24.svelte-1cslg24{padding:0 calc((100vw – 1300px – var(–scrollbar-width, 0px)) / 2)}}@media (min-width: 46.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24.svelte-1cslg24{height:210vh}.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24.svelte-1cslg24:before{display:block;content:””;position:absolute;width:1px;height:100%;left:calc((100vw – 740px – var(–scrollbar-width, 0px)) / 2);background-color:#606060}.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24.svelte-1cslg24:after{display:block;content:””;position:absolute;width:1px;height:100%;top:0;right:calc((100vw – 740px – var(–scrollbar-width, 0px)) / 2);background-color:#606060;z-index:11}}@media (min-width: 61.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24.svelte-1cslg24{height:300vh}.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24.svelte-1cslg24:before{left:calc((100vw – 980px – var(–scrollbar-width, 0px)) / 2)}.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24.svelte-1cslg24:after{right:calc((100vw – 980px – var(–scrollbar-width, 0px)) / 2)}}@media (min-width: 71.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24.svelte-1cslg24:before{left:calc((100vw – 1140px – var(–scrollbar-width, 0px)) / 2)}.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24.svelte-1cslg24:after{right:calc((100vw – 1140px – var(–scrollbar-width, 0px)) / 2)}}@media (min-width: 81.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24.svelte-1cslg24:before{left:calc((100vw – 1300px – var(–scrollbar-width, 0px)) / 2)}.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24.svelte-1cslg24:after{right:calc((100vw – 1300px – var(–scrollbar-width, 0px)) / 2)}}.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .image-wrapper.svelte-1cslg24{position:sticky;top:0;left:0;width:100vw;height:100vh;z-index:0;opacity:.65;overflow:hidden}@media (min-width: 46.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .image-wrapper.svelte-1cslg24{width:740px}}@media (min-width: 61.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .image-wrapper.svelte-1cslg24{width:980px}}@media (min-width: 71.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .image-wrapper.svelte-1cslg24{width:1140px}}@media (min-width: 81.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .image-wrapper.svelte-1cslg24{width:1300px}}.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .image-wrapper-left.svelte-1cslg24,.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .image-wrapper-right.svelte-1cslg24{height:100vh;width:100vw;background-position:center;background-size:cover;position:absolute;top:0;left:0;overflow:hidden}@media (min-width: 46.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .image-wrapper-left.svelte-1cslg24,.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .image-wrapper-right.svelte-1cslg24{width:740px}}@media (min-width: 61.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .image-wrapper-left.svelte-1cslg24,.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .image-wrapper-right.svelte-1cslg24{width:980px}}@media (min-width: 71.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .image-wrapper-left.svelte-1cslg24,.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .image-wrapper-right.svelte-1cslg24{width:1140px}}@media (min-width: 81.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .image-wrapper-left.svelte-1cslg24,.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .image-wrapper-right.svelte-1cslg24{width:1300px}}.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .image-wrapper-left.svelte-1cslg24{z-index:2;clip-path:url(#rip-left)}.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .image-wrapper-right.svelte-1cslg24{z-index:4;left:-1px;clip-path:url(#rip-right)}.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .text-container.svelte-1cslg24{position:absolute;top:0;left:0;background-color:transparent;z-index:1;padding:0}@media (min-width: 46.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .text-container.svelte-1cslg24{padding:0 calc((100vw – 740px – var(–scrollbar-width, 0px)) / 2)}}@media (min-width: 61.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .text-container.svelte-1cslg24{padding:0 calc((100vw – 980px – var(–scrollbar-width, 0px)) / 2)}}@media (min-width: 71.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .text-container.svelte-1cslg24{padding:0 calc((100vw – 1140px – var(–scrollbar-width, 0px)) / 2)}}@media (min-width: 81.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .text-container.svelte-1cslg24{padding:0 calc((100vw – 1300px – var(–scrollbar-width, 0px)) / 2)}}@media (min-width: 71.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .text-container.svelte-1cslg24{padding:0 calc((100vw – 800px – var(–scrollbar-width, 0px)) / 2)}}.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .text-wrapper-animate.svelte-1cslg24{margin:0 auto}@media (min-width: 61.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .text-wrapper-animate.svelte-1cslg24{height:200vh}}.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .text-wrapper.svelte-1cslg24{background-color:transparent;width:100vw;height:70vh;display:flex;align-items:center}.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .text-wrapper.svelte-1cslg24:has(h1){height:90vh;align-items:self-start;padding-top:20%}@media (min-width: 46.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .text-wrapper.svelte-1cslg24{height:70vh;width:740px;align-items:center;padding-top:unset}}@media (min-width: 61.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .text-wrapper.svelte-1cslg24{height:100vh;width:640px}}.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .text-wrapper .new-standfirst.svelte-1cslg24,.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .text-wrapper .new-headline.svelte-1cslg24{font-size:24px;margin:0 10px;font-family:Guardian Headline,Guardian Headline Full,Guardian Egyptian Web,Georgia,serif;font-weight:500;line-height:1.1;color:#fff;text-shadow:0px 0px 6px rgba(0,0,0,.7);opacity:.5;transition:opacity .5s ease;text-wrap:balance}@media (prefers-reduced-motion: reduce){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .text-wrapper .new-standfirst.svelte-1cslg24,.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .text-wrapper .new-headline.svelte-1cslg24{opacity:1}}.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .text-wrapper .new-headline.svelte-1cslg24{font-size:40px;position:relative}@media (min-width: 46.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .text-wrapper .new-standfirst.svelte-1cslg24{font-size:32px}.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .text-wrapper .new-headline.svelte-1cslg24{font-size:48px}}.Stakes-header .text-wrapper .new-headline span{display:block}.Stakes-header .text-wrapper .new-headline span:after{content:””;display:block;position:absolute;bottom:-20px;background-image:url(https://uploads.guim.co.uk/2024/08/21/LINE-53.png);width:275px;height:20px;background-size:contain;background-repeat:no-repeat;background-position:top left;transform:rotate(-2deg)}@media (min-width: 46.25em){.Stakes-header .text-wrapper .new-headline span:after{width:320px}}.Stakes-header .text-container .text-wrapper .new-standfirst.animate-in,.Stakes-header .text-container .text-wrapper .new-headline.animate-in{opacity:1}.ios .Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24.svelte-1cslg24,.android .Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24.svelte-1cslg24{margin-left:0}.ios .Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .text-wrapper-animate.svelte-1cslg24,.android .Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .text-wrapper-animate.svelte-1cslg24{height:140vh}.ios .Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .text-wrapper.svelte-1cslg24,.android .Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .text-wrapper.svelte-1cslg24{height:70vh}@font-face{font-family:Guardian Headline Full;src:url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Light.woff2) format(“woff2”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Light.woff) format(“woff”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Light.ttf) format(“truetype”);font-weight:300;font-style:normal}@font-face{font-family:Guardian Headline Full;src:url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-LightItalic.woff2) format(“woff2”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-LightItalic.woff) format(“woff”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-LightItalic.ttf) format(“truetype”);font-weight:300;font-style:italic}@font-face{font-family:Guardian Headline Full;src:url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Regular.woff2) format(“woff2”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Regular.woff) format(“woff”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Regular.ttf) format(“truetype”);font-weight:400;font-style:normal}@font-face{font-family:Guardian Headline Full;src:url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-RegularItalic.woff2) format(“woff2”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-RegularItalic.woff) format(“woff”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-RegularItalic.ttf) format(“truetype”);font-weight:400;font-style:italic}@font-face{font-family:Guardian Headline Full;src:url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Medium.woff2) format(“woff2”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Medium.woff) format(“woff”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Medium.ttf) format(“truetype”);font-weight:500;font-style:normal}@font-face{font-family:Guardian Headline Full;src:url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-MediumItalic.woff2) format(“woff2”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-MediumItalic.woff) format(“woff”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-MediumItalic.ttf) format(“truetype”);font-weight:500;font-style:italic}@font-face{font-family:Guardian Headline Full;src:url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Semibold.woff2) format(“woff2”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Semibold.woff) format(“woff”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Semibold.ttf) format(“truetype”);font-weight:600;font-style:normal}@font-face{font-family:Guardian Headline Full;src:url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-SemiboldItalic.woff2) format(“woff2”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-SemiboldItalic.woff) format(“woff”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-SemiboldItalic.ttf) format(“truetype”);font-weight:600;font-style:italic}@font-face{font-family:Guardian Headline Full;src:url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Bold.woff2) format(“woff2”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Bold.woff) format(“woff”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Bold.ttf) format(“truetype”);font-weight:700;font-style:normal}@font-face{font-family:Guardian Headline Full;src:url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-BoldItalic.woff2) format(“woff2”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-BoldItalic.woff) format(“woff”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-BoldItalic.ttf) format(“truetype”);font-weight:700;font-style:italic}@font-face{font-family:Guardian Headline Full;src:url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Black.woff2) format(“woff2”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Black.woff) format(“woff”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Black.ttf) format(“truetype”);font-weight:900;font-style:normal}@font-face{font-family:Guardian Headline Full;src:url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-BlackItalic.woff2) format(“woff2”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-BlackItalic.woff) format(“woff”),url(https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-BlackItalic.ttf) format(“truetype”);font-weight:900;font-style:italic}@font-face{font-family:Guardian Titlepiece;src:url(https://interactive.guim.co.uk/fonts/garnett/GTGuardianTitlepiece-Bold.woff2) format(“woff2”),url(https://interactive.guim.co.uk/fonts/garnett/GTGuardianTitlepiece-Bold.woff) format(“woff”),url(https://interactive.guim.co.uk/fonts/garnett/GTGuardianTitlepiece-Bold.ttf) format(“truetype”);font-weight:700;font-style:normal}@media (min-width: 71.25em){.content__main-column–interactive{margin-left:160px}}@media (min-width: 81.25em){.content__main-column–interactive{margin-left:240px}}.content__main-column–interactive .element-atom{max-width:620px}@media (max-width: 46.24em){.content__main-column–interactive .element-atom{max-width:100%}}.content__main-column–interactive .element-showcase{margin-left:0}@media (min-width: 46.25em){.content__main-column–interactive .element-showcase{max-width:620px}}@media (min-width: 71.25em){.content__main-column–interactive .element-showcase{max-width:860px}}.content__main-column–interactive .element-immersive{max-width:1100px}@media (max-width: 46.24em){.content__main-column–interactive .element-immersive{width:calc(100vw – var(–scrollbar-width));position:relative;left:50%;right:50%;margin-left:calc(-50vw + var(–half-scrollbar-width))!important;margin-right:calc(-50vw + var(–half-scrollbar-width))!important}}@media (min-width: 46.25em){.content__main-column–interactive .element-immersive{transform:translate(-20px);width:calc(100% + 60px)}}@media (max-width: 71.24em){.content__main-column–interactive .element-immersive{margin-left:0;margin-right:0}}@media (min-width: 71.25em){.content__main-column–interactive .element-immersive{transform:translate(0);width:auto}}@media (min-width: 81.25em){.content__main-column–interactive .element-immersive{max-width:1260px}}.content__main-column–interactive p{color:#121212;max-width:620px}.content__main-column–interactive ul{max-width:620px}.content__main-column–interactive:before{position:absolute;top:0;height:calc(100% + 15px);min-height:100px;content:””}@media (min-width: 71.25em){.content__main-column–interactive:before{border-left:1px solid #dcdcdc;z-index:-1;left:-10px}}@media (min-width: 81.25em){.content__main-column–interactive:before{border-left:1px solid #dcdcdc;left:-11px}}.content__main-column–interactive .element-atom{margin-top:0;margin-bottom:0;padding-bottom:12px;padding-top:12px}.content__main-column–interactive p+.element-atom{padding-top:0;padding-bottom:0;margin-top:12px;margin-bottom:12px}.content__main-column–interactive .element-inline{max-width:620px}nav+section{display:none}nav+aside{display:none}aside+section{display:none}#maincontent{margin-top:0}.content–interactive-grid{position:relative;grid-template-areas:”title” “header” “media” “media” “lines” “meta” “body”;grid-template-rows:[title-start header-start media-start] auto [title-end header-end lines-start media-end] auto [lines-end meta-start] auto [meta-end standfirst-start] auto [body-start] auto [body-end]}.content–interactive-grid #headline,.content–interactive-grid [data-gu-name=headline],.content–interactive-grid .headline,.content–interactive-grid .standfirst,.content–interactive-grid #standfirst,.content–interactive-grid [data-gu-name=standfirst]{display:none}.content–interactive-grid .article-header,.content–interactive-grid [data-gu-name=title],.content–interactive-grid #main-media,.content–interactive-grid [data-gu-name=media]{z-index:10;height:-moz-fit-content;height:fit-content}.content–interactive-grid .article-header a,.content–interactive-grid [data-gu-name=title] a{position:relative}@media (min-width: 61.25em){.content–interactive-grid .article-header a:hover,.content–interactive-grid [data-gu-name=title] a:hover{text-decoration:none}}.content–interactive-grid .article-header a:after,.content–interactive-grid [data-gu-name=title] a:after{content:””;display:block;position:absolute;top:22px;background-image:url(“https://uploads.guim.co.uk/2024/09/05/red-scribble-2_(1).png”);width:90px;height:20px;background-size:contain;background-repeat:no-repeat;background-position:top left;transform:rotate(-2deg)}@media (min-width: 81.25em){.content–interactive-grid .article-header a:after,.content–interactive-grid [data-gu-name=title] a:after{top:25px;width:110px}}.content–interactive-grid .article-header a,.content–interactive-grid .article-header span,.content–interactive-grid [data-gu-name=title] a,.content–interactive-grid [data-gu-name=title] span{color:#fff;text-shadow:0px 0px 6px rgba(0,0,0,.7)}.content–interactive-grid .article-header .content__labels span a,.content–interactive-grid [data-gu-name=title] .content__labels span a{display:none}.content–interactive-grid #main-media,.content–interactive-grid [data-gu-name=media]{align-self:flex-end;margin-inline:-10px;padding-inline:10px;width:100vw}.content–interactive-grid #main-media figcaption,.content–interactive-grid [data-gu-name=media] figcaption{margin-bottom:0;padding-bottom:6px;margin-inline:-10px;padding-inline:10px;background-color:#121212b8}@media (min-width: 23.4375em){.content–interactive-grid #main-media,.content–interactive-grid [data-gu-name=media]{margin-inline:-20px;padding-inline:20px}.content–interactive-grid #main-media figcaption,.content–interactive-grid [data-gu-name=media] figcaption{margin-inline:-20px;padding-inline:20px}}.content–interactive-grid #main-media figcaption,.content–interactive-grid #main-media figcaption span,.content–interactive-grid [data-gu-name=media] figcaption,.content–interactive-grid [data-gu-name=media] figcaption span{color:#999}.content–interactive-grid #main-media figcaption span svg,.content–interactive-grid [data-gu-name=media] figcaption span svg{fill:#999}@media (min-width: 46.25em){.content–interactive-grid #main-media,.content–interactive-grid [data-gu-name=media]{width:unset;display:flex;justify-content:flex-end}.content–interactive-grid #main-media figcaption,.content–interactive-grid [data-gu-name=media] figcaption{width:-moz-fit-content;width:fit-content}}@media (min-width: 71.25em){.content–interactive-grid{grid-template-areas:”title . .” “header header header” “. . media” “. . media” “. border lines” “. border meta” ” body body body” “. . .”}.content–interactive-grid .keyline-4,.content–interactive-grid [data-gu-name=lines],.content–interactive-grid #meta,.content–interactive-grid [data-gu-name=meta]{position:absolute;left:-160px;max-width:140px}.content–interactive-grid .keyline-4,.content–interactive-grid [data-gu-name=lines]{top:14px}.content–interactive-grid #meta,.content–interactive-grid [data-gu-name=meta]{top:27px}}@media (min-width: 81.25em){.content–interactive-grid .keyline-4,.content–interactive-grid [data-gu-name=lines],.content–interactive-grid #meta,.content–interactive-grid [data-gu-name=meta]{left:-240px;max-width:220px}}.content–interactive-grid .standfirst-links{padding-top:25px}.content–interactive-grid .standfirst-links ul >li >a{font-family:Guardian Headline,Guardian Headline Full,Guardian Egyptian Web,Georgia,serif;font-size:1.25rem;font-style:normal;font-weight:700;line-height:115%}@media (min-width: 71.25em){.content–interactive-grid .standfirst-links{padding-top:7px}}.content–interactive-grid figure.element-atom+figure+#sign-in-gate+p:not(:has(em)):first-letter,.content–interactive-grid figure.element-atom+figure+#sign-in-gate+p:has(em)+p:first-letter,.content–interactive-grid figure.element-atom+figure+p:not(:has(em)):first-letter,.content–interactive-grid figure.element-atom+figure+p:has(em)+p:first-letter{float:left;font-size:7rem;line-height:5.75rem;text-transform:uppercase;box-sizing:border-box;margin-right:4px;vertical-align:text-top}.content–interactive-grid .element-atom{height:0;margin:0;padding:0}.content–interactive-grid .element-atom+figure.element-inline{height:0;margin:0;padding:0}@media (min-width: 71.25em){.content–interactive-grid .italic-p:has(em){margin-top:8px}}@media (min-width: 81.25em){.content–interactive-grid .italic-p:has(em){margin-top:10px}}@media (min-width: 71.25em){.content–interactive-grid .no-italic-p{margin-top:5px}}@media (min-width: 71.25em){.content–interactive-grid figure.element-showcase{margin-left:-170px}}@media (min-width: 81.25em){.content–interactive-grid figure.element-showcase{margin-left:-250px}}#maincontent h2,#feature-article-container h2,#standard-article-container h2,#comment-article-container h2{position:relative;margin-top:48px;max-width:620px}@media (min-width: 71.25em){#maincontent h2,#feature-article-container h2,#standard-article-container h2,#comment-article-container h2{margin-top:56px}}#maincontent h2:before,#feature-article-container h2:before,#standard-article-container h2:before,#comment-article-container h2:before{content:””;width:calc(100vw – 1px);left:-10px;height:60px;display:block;position:absolute;top:-30px;background-image:url(https://uploads.guim.co.uk/2024/09/03/tear-2-mob.png);background-size:contain;background-repeat:no-repeat}@media (min-width: 30em){#maincontent h2:before,#feature-article-container h2:before,#standard-article-container h2:before,#comment-article-container h2:before{left:-20px}}@media (min-width: 41.25em){#maincontent h2:before,#feature-article-container h2:before,#standard-article-container h2:before,#comment-article-container h2:before{width:659px;top:-17px;background-image:url(https://uploads.guim.co.uk/2024/09/03/tear-2-wide.png)}}@media (min-width: 46.25em){#maincontent h2:before,#feature-article-container h2:before,#standard-article-container h2:before,#comment-article-container h2:before{width:739px}}@media (min-width: 61.25em){#maincontent h2:before,#feature-article-container h2:before,#standard-article-container h2:before,#comment-article-container h2:before{width:979px}}@media (min-width: 71.25em){#maincontent h2:before,#feature-article-container h2:before,#standard-article-container h2:before,#comment-article-container h2:before{top:-48px;left:-181px;width:1139px}}@media (min-width: 81.25em){#maincontent h2:before,#feature-article-container h2:before,#standard-article-container h2:before,#comment-article-container h2:before{left:-260px;width:1299px}}@media (min-width: 71.25em){#maincontent h2:after,#feature-article-container h2:after,#standard-article-container h2:after,#comment-article-container h2:after{content:””;width:3px;height:44px;position:absolute;top:-30px;left:-11px;background-color:#fff}}#maincontent h2:nth-child(odd):before,#feature-article-container h2:nth-child(odd):before,#standard-article-container h2:nth-child(odd):before,#comment-article-container h2:nth-child(odd):before{transform:scaleX(-1)}#maincontent h2:nth-child(odd):after,#feature-article-container h2:nth-child(odd):after,#standard-article-container h2:nth-child(odd):after,#comment-article-container h2:nth-child(odd):after{height:33px;top:-19px}.ios #standard-article-container,.ios #feature-article-container,.android #standard-article-container,.android #feature-article-container{overflow:clip}.ios h2,.android h2{position:relative;margin-top:48px;max-width:620px;font-size:24px;line-height:1.15;font-weight:500;font-style:normal;padding-top:8px;padding-bottom:2px}@media (prefers-color-scheme: dark){.ios h2:before,.android h2:before{background-image:url(https://uploads.guim.co.uk/2024/09/03/tear-2-mob-dark.png)}}.ios .Stakes-header .text-container .text-wrapper h2:before,.android .Stakes-header .text-container .text-wrapper h2:before{display:none!important}.ios .article-kicker,.android .article-kicker{padding:0}.ios .article-kicker__section,.android .article-kicker__section{display:none}.ios .article-kicker__highlight,.android .article-kicker__highlight{display:unset;position:absolute;top:4px;left:10px;text-shadow:0px 0px 6px rgba(0,0,0,.7);color:#fff;z-index:20}.ios .article-kicker__highlight:after,.android .article-kicker__highlight:after{content:””;display:block;position:absolute;top:22px;background-image:url(“https://uploads.guim.co.uk/2024/09/05/red-scribble-2_(1).png”);width:90px;height:20px;background-size:contain;background-repeat:no-repeat;background-position:top left;transform:rotate(-2deg)}.ios #article-header #headline,.ios #article-header [data-gu-name=headline],.ios #article-header .headline,.ios #article-header .standfirst,.ios #article-header #standfirst,.ios #article-header [data-gu-name=standfirst],.ios #feature-header #headline,.ios #feature-header [data-gu-name=headline],.ios #feature-header .headline,.ios #feature-header .standfirst,.ios #feature-header #standfirst,.ios #feature-header [data-gu-name=standfirst],.android #article-header #headline,.android #article-header [data-gu-name=headline],.android #article-header .headline,.android #article-header .standfirst,.android #article-header #standfirst,.android #article-header [data-gu-name=standfirst],.android #feature-header #headline,.android #feature-header [data-gu-name=headline],.android #feature-header .headline,.android #feature-header .standfirst,.android #feature-header #standfirst,.android #feature-header [data-gu-name=standfirst]{display:none}.ios #article-header #main-media,.ios #feature-header #main-media,.android #article-header #main-media,.android #feature-header #main-media{height:0}.ios #article-header #main-media figcaption,.ios #feature-header #main-media figcaption,.android #article-header #main-media figcaption,.android #feature-header #main-media figcaption{display:none}.ios #article-body .element-atom,.ios #feature-body .element-atom,.android #article-body .element-atom,.android #feature-body .element-atom{height:0;margin:0;padding:0}.ios #article-body .element-atom+figure.element-image,.ios #feature-body .element-atom+figure.element-image,.android #article-body .element-atom+figure.element-image,.android #feature-body .element-atom+figure.element-image{height:0;margin:0;padding:0}.ios #article-body .element-atom+figure.element-image .figure__inner,.ios #feature-body .element-atom+figure.element-image .figure__inner,.android #article-body .element-atom+figure.element-image .figure__inner,.android #feature-body .element-atom+figure.element-image .figure__inner{height:0!important}.ios #article-body .element-atom+figure.element-image figcaption,.ios #feature-body .element-atom+figure.element-image figcaption,.android #article-body .element-atom+figure.element-image figcaption,.android #feature-body .element-atom+figure.element-image figcaption{display:none}.ios #article-body .element-atom+figure.element-image+p:has(em)+p:first-letter,.ios #feature-body .element-atom+figure.element-image+p:has(em)+p:first-letter,.android #article-body .element-atom+figure.element-image+p:has(em)+p:first-letter,.android #feature-body .element-atom+figure.element-image+p:has(em)+p:first-letter{float:left;font-size:11.85rem;line-height:8.75rem;text-transform:uppercase;box-sizing:border-box;margin-right:4px;vertical-align:text-top;margin-top:8px}.ios #article-body .standfirst-links li:before,.ios #feature-body .standfirst-links li:before,.android #article-body .standfirst-links li:before,.android #feature-body .standfirst-links li:before{display:none}.ios #article-body .standfirst-links ul >li >a,.ios #feature-body .standfirst-links ul >li >a,.android #article-body .standfirst-links ul >li >a,.android #feature-body .standfirst-links ul >li >a{font-family:Guardian Headline,Guardian Headline Full,Guardian Egyptian Web,Georgia,serif;font-size:17px;font-style:normal;font-weight:700;line-height:115%;color:#c70000}@media (prefers-color-scheme: dark){.ios #article-body .standfirst-links ul >li >a,.ios #feature-body .standfirst-links ul >li >a,.android #article-body .standfirst-links ul >li >a,.android #feature-body .standfirst-links ul >li >a{color:#ff4e36}}.ios #article-body figure.element-atom+figure+p:has(em) a,.ios #feature-body figure.element-atom+figure+p:has(em) a,.android #article-body figure.element-atom+figure+p:has(em) a,.android #feature-body figure.element-atom+figure+p:has(em) a{color:#c70000;text-decoration:underline;text-decoration-color:#dcdcdc;background-image:none}@media (prefers-color-scheme: dark){.ios #article-body figure.element-atom+figure+p:has(em) a,.ios #feature-body figure.element-atom+figure+p:has(em) a,.android #article-body figure.element-atom+figure+p:has(em) a,.android #feature-body figure.element-atom+figure+p:has(em) a{color:#ff4e36}}.ios #article-body figure.element-atom+figure+p:not(:has(em)):first-letter,.ios #article-body figure.element-atom+figure+p:has(em)+p:first-letter,.ios #feature-body figure.element-atom+figure+p:not(:has(em)):first-letter,.ios #feature-body figure.element-atom+figure+p:has(em)+p:first-letter,.android #article-body figure.element-atom+figure+p:not(:has(em)):first-letter,.android #article-body figure.element-atom+figure+p:has(em)+p:first-letter,.android #feature-body figure.element-atom+figure+p:not(:has(em)):first-letter,.android #feature-body figure.element-atom+figure+p:has(em)+p:first-letter{float:left;font-size:11.25rem!important;line-height:8rem!important;text-transform:uppercase;box-sizing:border-box;margin-right:4px;vertical-align:text-top;margin-top:16px!important}
    @font-face{font-family:”Guardian Headline Full”;src:url(“https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Light.woff2”) format(“woff2”), url(“https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Light.woff”) format(“woff”), url(“https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Light.ttf”) format(“truetype”);font-weight:300;font-style:normal}@font-face{font-family:”Guardian Headline Full”;src:url(“https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-LightItalic.woff2”) format(“woff2”), url(“https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-LightItalic.woff”) format(“woff”), url(“https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-LightItalic.ttf”) format(“truetype”);font-weight:300;font-style:italic}@font-face{font-family:”Guardian Headline Full”;src:url(“https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Regular.woff2”) format(“woff2”), url(“https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Regular.woff”) format(“woff”), url(“https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Regular.ttf”) format(“truetype”);font-weight:400;font-style:normal}@font-face{font-family:”Guardian Headline Full”;src:url(“https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-RegularItalic.woff2”) format(“woff2”), url(“https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-RegularItalic.woff”) format(“woff”), url(“https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-RegularItalic.ttf”) format(“truetype”);font-weight:400;font-style:italic}@font-face{font-family:”Guardian Headline Full”;src:url(“https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Medium.woff2”) format(“woff2”), url(“https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Medium.woff”) format(“woff”), url(“https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Medium.ttf”) format(“truetype”);font-weight:500;font-style:normal}@font-face{font-family:”Guardian Headline Full”;src:url(“https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-MediumItalic.woff2”) format(“woff2”), url(“https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-MediumItalic.woff”) format(“woff”), url(“https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-MediumItalic.ttf”) format(“truetype”);font-weight:500;font-style:italic}@font-face{font-family:”Guardian Headline Full”;src:url(“https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Semibold.woff2”) format(“woff2”), url(“https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Semibold.woff”) format(“woff”), url(“https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Semibold.ttf”) format(“truetype”);font-weight:600;font-style:normal}@font-face{font-family:”Guardian Headline Full”;src:url(“https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-SemiboldItalic.woff2”) format(“woff2”), url(“https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-SemiboldItalic.woff”) format(“woff”), url(“https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-SemiboldItalic.ttf”) format(“truetype”);font-weight:600;font-style:italic}@font-face{font-family:”Guardian Headline Full”;src:url(“https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Bold.woff2”) format(“woff2”), url(“https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Bold.woff”) format(“woff”), url(“https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Bold.ttf”) format(“truetype”);font-weight:700;font-style:normal}@font-face{font-family:”Guardian Headline Full”;src:url(“https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-BoldItalic.woff2”) format(“woff2”), url(“https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-BoldItalic.woff”) format(“woff”), url(“https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-BoldItalic.ttf”) format(“truetype”);font-weight:700;font-style:italic}@font-face{font-family:”Guardian Headline Full”;src:url(“https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Black.woff2”) format(“woff2”), url(“https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Black.woff”) format(“woff”), url(“https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-Black.ttf”) format(“truetype”);font-weight:900;font-style:normal}@font-face{font-family:”Guardian Headline Full”;src:url(“https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-BlackItalic.woff2”) format(“woff2”), url(“https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-BlackItalic.woff”) format(“woff”), url(“https://assets.guim.co.uk/static/frontend/fonts/guardian-headline/noalts-not-hinted/GHGuardianHeadline-BlackItalic.ttf”) format(“truetype”);font-weight:900;font-style:italic}@font-face{font-family:”Guardian Titlepiece”;src:url(“https://interactive.guim.co.uk/fonts/garnett/GTGuardianTitlepiece-Bold.woff2”) format(“woff2”), url(“https://interactive.guim.co.uk/fonts/garnett/GTGuardianTitlepiece-Bold.woff”) format(“woff”), url(“https://interactive.guim.co.uk/fonts/garnett/GTGuardianTitlepiece-Bold.ttf”) format(“truetype”);font-weight:700;font-style:normal}.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24.svelte-1cslg24{grid-area:header;width:100vw;overflow:clip;position:relative;height:230vh;background-color:#121212;margin-left:-10px;margin-left:-10px;padding:0}@media(min-width: 30em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24.svelte-1cslg24{margin-left:-20px}}@media(min-width: 46.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24.svelte-1cslg24{margin-left:calc((100vw – 740px – var(–scrollbar-width, 0px)) / 2 * -1 – 21px)}}@media(min-width: 61.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24.svelte-1cslg24{margin-left:calc((100vw – 980px – var(–scrollbar-width, 0px)) / 2 * -1 – 21px)}}@media(min-width: 71.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24.svelte-1cslg24{margin-left:calc((100vw – 1140px – var(–scrollbar-width, 0px)) / 2 * -1 – 21px)}}@media(min-width: 81.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24.svelte-1cslg24{margin-left:calc((100vw – 1300px – var(–scrollbar-width, 0px)) / 2 * -1 – 21px)}}@media(min-width: 46.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24.svelte-1cslg24{padding:0 calc((100vw – 740px – var(–scrollbar-width, 0px)) / 2)}}@media(min-width: 61.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24.svelte-1cslg24{padding:0 calc((100vw – 980px – var(–scrollbar-width, 0px)) / 2)}}@media(min-width: 71.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24.svelte-1cslg24{padding:0 calc((100vw – 1140px – var(–scrollbar-width, 0px)) / 2)}}@media(min-width: 81.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24.svelte-1cslg24{padding:0 calc((100vw – 1300px – var(–scrollbar-width, 0px)) / 2)}}@media(min-width: 46.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24.svelte-1cslg24{height:210vh}.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24.svelte-1cslg24::before{display:block;content:””;position:absolute;width:1px;height:100%;left:calc((100vw – 740px – var(–scrollbar-width, 0px)) / 2);background-color:#606060}.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24.svelte-1cslg24::after{display:block;content:””;position:absolute;width:1px;height:100%;top:0;right:calc((100vw – 740px – var(–scrollbar-width, 0px)) / 2);background-color:#606060;z-index:11}}@media(min-width: 61.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24.svelte-1cslg24{height:300vh}.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24.svelte-1cslg24::before{left:calc((100vw – 980px – var(–scrollbar-width, 0px)) / 2)}.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24.svelte-1cslg24::after{right:calc((100vw – 980px – var(–scrollbar-width, 0px)) / 2)}}@media(min-width: 71.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24.svelte-1cslg24::before{left:calc((100vw – 1140px – var(–scrollbar-width, 0px)) / 2)}.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24.svelte-1cslg24::after{right:calc((100vw – 1140px – var(–scrollbar-width, 0px)) / 2)}}@media(min-width: 81.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24.svelte-1cslg24::before{left:calc((100vw – 1300px – var(–scrollbar-width, 0px)) / 2)}.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24.svelte-1cslg24::after{right:calc((100vw – 1300px – var(–scrollbar-width, 0px)) / 2)}}.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .image-wrapper.svelte-1cslg24{position:sticky;top:0;left:0;width:100vw;height:100vh;z-index:0;opacity:0.65;overflow:hidden}@media(min-width: 46.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .image-wrapper.svelte-1cslg24{width:740px}}@media(min-width: 61.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .image-wrapper.svelte-1cslg24{width:980px}}@media(min-width: 71.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .image-wrapper.svelte-1cslg24{width:1140px}}@media(min-width: 81.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .image-wrapper.svelte-1cslg24{width:1300px}}.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .image-wrapper-left.svelte-1cslg24,.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .image-wrapper-right.svelte-1cslg24{height:100vh;width:100vw;background-position:center;background-size:cover;position:absolute;top:0;left:0;overflow:hidden}@media(min-width: 46.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .image-wrapper-left.svelte-1cslg24,.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .image-wrapper-right.svelte-1cslg24{width:740px}}@media(min-width: 61.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .image-wrapper-left.svelte-1cslg24,.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .image-wrapper-right.svelte-1cslg24{width:980px}}@media(min-width: 71.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .image-wrapper-left.svelte-1cslg24,.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .image-wrapper-right.svelte-1cslg24{width:1140px}}@media(min-width: 81.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .image-wrapper-left.svelte-1cslg24,.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .image-wrapper-right.svelte-1cslg24{width:1300px}}.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .image-wrapper-left.svelte-1cslg24{z-index:2;clip-path:url(#rip-left)}.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .image-wrapper-right.svelte-1cslg24{z-index:4;left:-1px;clip-path:url(#rip-right)}.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .text-container.svelte-1cslg24{position:absolute;top:0;left:0;background-color:transparent;z-index:1;padding:0}@media(min-width: 46.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .text-container.svelte-1cslg24{padding:0 calc((100vw – 740px – var(–scrollbar-width, 0px)) / 2)}}@media(min-width: 61.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .text-container.svelte-1cslg24{padding:0 calc((100vw – 980px – var(–scrollbar-width, 0px)) / 2)}}@media(min-width: 71.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .text-container.svelte-1cslg24{padding:0 calc((100vw – 1140px – var(–scrollbar-width, 0px)) / 2)}}@media(min-width: 81.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .text-container.svelte-1cslg24{padding:0 calc((100vw – 1300px – var(–scrollbar-width, 0px)) / 2)}}@media(min-width: 71.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .text-container.svelte-1cslg24{padding:0 calc((100vw – 800px – var(–scrollbar-width, 0px)) / 2)}}.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .text-wrapper-animate.svelte-1cslg24{margin:0 auto}@media(min-width: 61.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .text-wrapper-animate.svelte-1cslg24{height:200vh}}.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .text-wrapper.svelte-1cslg24{background-color:transparent;width:100vw;height:70vh;display:flex;align-items:center}.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .text-wrapper.svelte-1cslg24:has(h1){height:90vh;align-items:self-start;padding-top:20%}@media(min-width: 46.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .text-wrapper.svelte-1cslg24{height:70vh;width:740px;align-items:center;padding-top:unset}}@media(min-width: 61.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .text-wrapper.svelte-1cslg24{height:100vh;width:640px}}.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .text-wrapper .new-standfirst.svelte-1cslg24,.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .text-wrapper .new-headline.svelte-1cslg24{font-size:24px;margin:0 10px;font-family:”Guardian Headline”, “Guardian Headline Full”, “Guardian Egyptian Web”, Georgia, serif;font-weight:500;line-height:1.1;color:white;text-shadow:0px 0px 6px rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.7);opacity:0.5;transition:opacity 0.5s ease;text-wrap:balance}@media(prefers-reduced-motion: reduce){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .text-wrapper .new-standfirst.svelte-1cslg24,.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .text-wrapper .new-headline.svelte-1cslg24{opacity:1}}.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .text-wrapper .new-headline.svelte-1cslg24{font-size:40px;position:relative}@media(min-width: 46.25em){.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .text-wrapper .new-standfirst.svelte-1cslg24{font-size:32px}.Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .text-wrapper .new-headline.svelte-1cslg24{font-size:48px}}.Stakes-header .text-wrapper .new-headline span{display:block}.Stakes-header .text-wrapper .new-headline span:after{content:””;display:block;position:absolute;bottom:-20px;background-image:url(“https://uploads.guim.co.uk/2024/08/21/LINE-53.png”);width:275px;height:20px;background-size:contain;background-repeat:no-repeat;background-position:top left;transform:rotate(-2deg)}@media(min-width: 46.25em){.Stakes-header .text-wrapper .new-headline span:after{width:320px}}.Stakes-header .text-container .text-wrapper .new-standfirst.animate-in,
    .Stakes-header .text-container .text-wrapper .new-headline.animate-in{opacity:1}.ios .Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24.svelte-1cslg24,.android .Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24.svelte-1cslg24{margin-left:0}.ios .Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .text-wrapper-animate.svelte-1cslg24,.android .Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .text-wrapper-animate.svelte-1cslg24{height:140vh}.ios .Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .text-wrapper.svelte-1cslg24,.android .Stakes-header.svelte-1cslg24 .text-wrapper.svelte-1cslg24{height:70vh}
    .Svg-clip-paths-container.svelte-1yf4410{width:0;height:0}
    This is the first part of the standfirst This is the second part of the standfirst Headline what’s at stake?
    View image in fullscreenHere is the biggest thing happening on our planet as we head into the autumn of 2024: the Earth is continuing to heat dramatically. Scientists have said that there’s a better than 90% chance that this year will top 2023 as the warmest ever recorded. And paleoclimatologists were pretty sure last year was the hottest in the last 125,000 years. The result is an almost-cliched run of disasters: open Twitter/X anytime for pictures of floods pushing cars through streets somewhere. It is starting to make life on this planet very difficult, and in some places impossible. And it’s on target to get far, far worse.Here’s the second-biggest thing happening on our planet right now: finally, finally, renewable energy, mostly from the sun and wind, seems to be reaching some sort of takeoff point. By some calculations, we’re now putting up a nuclear plant’s worth of solar panels every day. In California, there are now enough solar farms and wind turbines that day after day this spring and summer they supplied more than 100% of the state’s electric needs for long stretches; there are now enough batteries on the grid that they become the biggest source of power after dark. In China it looks as if carbon emissions may have peaked – they’re six years ahead of schedule on the effort to build out renewables.And here’s the third biggest thing in the months ahead: the American presidential election, which looks as if it is going down to the wire – and which may have the power to determine how high the temperature goes and how fast we turn to clean power.Donald Trump gave an interview last week, in which he laid out his understanding of climate change:
    “You know, when I hear these poor fools talking about global warming. They don’t call it that any more, they call it climate change because you know, some parts of the planet are cooling and warming, and it didn’t work. So they finally got it right, they just call it climate change. They used to call it global warming. You know, years ago they used to call it global cooling. In the 1920s they thought the planet was going to freeze. Now they think the planet’s going to burn up. And we’re still waiting for the 12 years. You know we’re down almost to the end of the 12-year period, you understand that, where these lunatics that know nothing, they weren’t even good students at school, they didn’t even study it, they predict, they said we have 12 years to live. And people didn’t have babies because they said – it’s so crazy. But the problem isn’t the fact that the oceans in 500 years will raise a quarter of an inch, the problem is nuclear weapons. It’s nuclear warming … These poor fools talk about global warming all the time, you know the planet’s going to global warm to a point where the oceans will rise an eighth of an inch in 355 years, you know, they have no idea what’s going to happen. It’s weather.”
    I’ve quoted this at length because this could again be the most important man on the planet, talking about the most important issue the planet has ever faced. And he’s gotten every word of it wrong. It’s gibberish.View image in fullscreenBut it’s gibberish in the service of something very important and very dangerous: doing all that he can to block the energy transition, in America and around the world. His friends at Project 2025 have laid out in considerable detail how you translate that gibberish into policy. It lays out in loving detail many of the steps his administration would use to bolster oil, gas and coal while sidetracking sun and wind. These include ending the effort to spur EV production in Detroit; ending support for renewables (Trump has promised to “kill wind”, whatever that means); and reversing a crucial 2009 finding from the EPA that carbon dioxide causes harm, a position that undergirds much of the federal effort to rein in climate pollution. He has also – chef’s kiss – promised to close down the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, otherwise known as the people who measure how much the temperature is rising. That’s on the grounds that those measurements are “one of the main drivers of the climate change alarm industry”.‘Drill, baby, drill’In return for this endless largesse (beginning on day one, Trump said, he would become a dictator in order to “drill, baby, drill”), he has asked the industry for only (Austin Powers moment here) “one billion dollars” in campaign contributions. Big oil is doing its best. As the Washington Post reported a couple of weeks ago, Harold Hamm, one of the country’s most prominent frackers, is working the phones to come up with as much cash as possible. Hamm is working “incredibly hard to raise as much money as he can from the energy sector”, said a Trump campaign aide. “We’ve gotten max-out checks from people we’ve never gotten a dollar from before.”Can Trump reverse the tide towards renewable energy? No, not entirely – it’s too strong, based on the ever-falling cost of sun, wind and batteries. Even in Texas, HQ of the hydrocarbon cartel where the state legislature has tried to pass laws limiting renewables, the undeniable economics of clean power continue to surge. The Lone Star state is now leading the nation in installing batteries on its grid, a good thing given the ongoing spate of climate disasters that strain and stress the state’s system.But he can slow it down considerably. America’s buildout of renewables is dependent, among other things, on overcoming the bewildering array of permitting requirements that make every transmission line a harrowing bureaucratic battle. At the moment, the Biden-Harris White House has a dedicated team at work, with senior officials assigned to senior projects, constantly bird-dogging them to make sure that they get built on schedule. That would disappear, replaced with a new set of bureaucrats deeply invested in making sure these projects didn’t happen.At least as bad would be the effect around the world. Last time, Trump withdrew America from the Paris climate accords, badly denting the momentum those talks had produced. This time he’d do the same and more – he’s promised, for instance, to end Biden’s pause on liquefied natural gas export terminals. These are designed to take huge volumes of US gas and ship it to Asia, where it will undercut the move to renewables. It is the last real growth strategy the oil industry has, and it is the biggest greenhouse gas bomb on the planet.View image in fullscreenIn essence, Trump would give every other oligarch in the world – Vladimir Putin, the king of Saudi Arabia, and on down the list – license to keep pumping away. If the biggest historical emitter of greenhouse gases is not going to play a role, why should anyone else feel any pressure? As Project 2025 quite clearly declares, Trump would “rescind all climate policies from its foreign aid programs” and “cease its war on fossil fuels in the developing world”. (Though Trump has claimed not to know anything about Project 2025.) The global climate talks in Brazil next year and the 2026 version in Australia – currently shaping up to be the last huge chance for global cooperation – would be turned on their heads.There are ways to calculate the meaning of all this. The UK-based NGO Carbon Brief, for instance, said earlier this year that “a victory for Donald Trump in November’s presidential election could lead to an additional 4bn tonnes of US emissions by 2030 compared with Joe Biden’s plans”. Just for perspective, that’s a lot: “This extra 4bn tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent (GtCO2e) by 2030 would cause global climate damages worth more than $900bn, based on the latest US government valuations. For context, 4GtCO2e is equivalent to the combined annual emissions of the EU and Japan, or the combined annual total of the world’s 140 lowest-emitting countries.” It’s like finding an extra continent full of greenhouse gases.But worse than the totals is the timing. If a Trump administration was merely going to be a four-year interregnum, it would be annoying. But in fact it comes at precisely the moment when we need, desperately, acceleration. We’re on the edge of breaking the planet’s climate system – we can see it cracking in the poles (the Thwaites glacier now undermined by warm seawater), in the Atlantic (the great currents now starting to slow) and in the Amazon (where savannafication seems to be gathering speed). The earth’s hydrological system – how water moves around the earth – has already gone kaflooey, as warm air holds far more water vapor than cold.The world’s climate scientists have done their best to set out a timetable: cut emissions in half by 2030 or see the possibilities of anything like the Paris pathway, holding temperature increases to 1.5C above preindustrial levels, disappear. That cut is on the bleeding edge of the technically possible, but only if everyone is acting in good faith. And the next presidential term will end in January of 2029, which is 11 months before 2030.If we elect Donald Trump, we may feel the effects not for years, and not for a generation. We may read our mistake in the geological record a million years hence. This one really counts. More

  • in

    Biden administration to award $7bn in grants to create US ‘hydrogen hubs’

    The Department of Energy has selected seven projects for a $7bn program to launch the development and production of hydrogen fuel, the White House announced on Friday.The Biden administration says the program will constitute a major boost to the country’s nascent clean hydrogen industry, helping it achieve its climate goals. But many climate advocates are skeptical that it will actually help reduce emissions.Unlike coal, oil, and gas, when burned, hydrogen does not produce greenhouse gas emissions. It can be produced using carbon-free energy, but roughly 96% of it is currently derived from planet-heating fossil fuels – something the Biden administration hopes to change.“With this historic investment, the Biden-Harris administration is laying the foundation for a new, American-led industry that will propel the global clean energy transition,” said Jennifer Granholm, secretary of energy, in a statement.The money will be awarded to proposed hydrogen projects on the Gulf Coast, the mid-Atlantic, Appalachia, the midwest, the upper midwest, the Pacific north-west and California. Dozens of regions competed for funds from the $7b pot, set aside in the 2021 bipartisan infrastructure law. On Friday, Joe Biden will travel to Philadelphia to promote the mid-Atlantic hub.The Department of Energy says it expects the funding to help cut 25m metric tons of carbon dioxide emissions annually, the equivalent of removing 5.5m gasoline-powered vehicles from the road each year.But some experts say the new initiative could amount to little more than greenwashing. Though researchers agree that truly clean hydrogen, produced without fossil fuels, can fulfill certain crucial roles in hard-to-decarbonize sectors, including in the production of synthetic fertilizers and steel, studies have found it to be much less efficient for home heating and transportation than technologies such as heat pumps and electric vehicles.“Direct electrification and batteries offer so much more, and much more quickly,” Robert Howarth, professor of ecology and environmental biology at Cornell University, told the Guardian this year.Despite this, fossil fuel companies have spent years promotinghydrogen production as a catch-all climate solution. Some have used the hope of clean hydrogen to justify building more pipelines, claiming that they can be used to transport the climate-friendly fuel in the future.Climate advocates also note that hydrogen production, even when powered by renewable energy, can be highly water intensive. And since hydrogen is also a highly flammable and corrosive element, it can create risk for workers.Oil companies often say fossil fuels can power hydrogen production, so long any emissions produced are trapped with carbon capture and kept out of the atmosphere.But carbon capture technology is not currently available at commercial scale, and a 2021 paper co-authored by Haworth found that using methane gas paired with carbon capture to produce so-called “blue” hydrogen for home heating, could produce more climate-warming pollution burning gas, coal or diesel oil.“At face value – and according to the Biden playbook – the hydrogen hub grants aim to help transition the United States to clean energy,” said Marion Gee, co-executive director at the Climate Justice Alliance, a national coalition of grassroots environmental justice groups. “In reality, they amount to another corporate scam, one that preserves and extends the life of the extractive economy and prevents the frontline communities most impacted by climate disaster from having input.”Julie McNamara, deputy policy director of the science and climate advocacy organization Union of Concerned Scientists, said the administration should impose stricter regulations on the hydrogen hubs to boost community input and ensure only completely fossil-free projects receive funding.“Concerningly, today’s H2Hubs announcement advances multiple projects premised on fossil fuel-based hydrogen production and risky hydrogen end uses,” she said. “Billions of taxpayer dollars are at risk of perpetuating fossil fuel industry injustices and harms while subsidizing fossil fuel greenwashing.” More

  • in

    Trump falsely claims wind turbines lead to whale deaths by making them ‘batty’

    Donald Trump has launched a lengthy and largely baseless attack on wind turbines for causing large numbers of whales to die, claiming that “windmills” are making the cetaceans “crazy” and “a little batty”.Trump, the frontrunner for the Republican presidential nomination, used a rally in South Carolina to assert that while there was only a small chance of killing a whale by hitting it with a boat, “their windmills are causing whales to die in numbers never seen before. No one does anything about that.”“They are washing up ashore,” said Trump, the twice-impeached former US president and reality TV host who is facing multiple criminal indictments. “You wouldn’t see that once a year – now they are coming up on a weekly basis. The windmills are driving them crazy. They are driving the whales, I think, a little batty.”Trump has a history of making false or exaggerated claims about renewable energy, previously asserting that the noise from wind turbines can cause cancer, and that the structures “kill all the birds”. In that case, experts say there is no proven link to ill health from wind turbines, and that there are far greater causes of avian deaths, such as cats or fossil fuel infrastructure. There is also little to support Trump’s foray into whale science.“He displays an astonishing lack of knowledge of whales and whale strandings,” said Andrew Read, a whale researcher and commissioner of the Marine Mammal Commission, of Trump. “There is no scientific evidence whatsoever that wind turbines, or surveying for wind turbines, is causing any whale deaths at all.”The US has been slow, compared with other countries, to develop offshore wind farms but several projects are now under way off the east coast, enthusiastically backed by Joe Biden as a way to boost clean energy supply and combat the climate crisis.Critics of this push, including some environmentalists, have warned that whales are being imperiled by work to install these new offshore turbines, but scientists have largely dismissed these claims. “At this point, there is no scientific evidence that noise resulting from offshore wind site characterization surveys could cause mortality of whales,” the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration has noted.Read said that there are some “broad concerns” about the overall industrialization of the oceans, but that the main threats to whales come from their being hit by boats and becoming entangled in fishing gear, and from warming oceans due to the climate change.“The population of humpback whales, in particular, is recovering from being hunted and they are coming closer to the coast to feed on prey, which means they are being hit as they come into shipping lanes, or being caught up in nets,” said Read.skip past newsletter promotionafter newsletter promotionA spate of dead whales that washed up along New York and New Jersey’s coasts earlier this year has fueled opposition to wind turbines, however, with Republicans in New Jersey attempting to halt construction of turbines.This opposition has been embraced not only as another culture war battle but also as a way to help businesses keen to stymie clean energy, with several rightwing groups funded by fossil fuel interests linked to seemingly organic community protests against wind farms.“It’s particularly sad to see well-meaning people who care about whales being persuaded that wind turbines are a risk to them,” said Read. “They are being manipulated by fossil fuel interests who see wind energy as a threat to those interests.” More