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      Where Do Nikki Haley Voters Turn?

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      For Kamala Harris to win, are there enough Nikki Haley voters and other disaffected Republicans who will vote for her or sit this one out?It’s kind of incredible that it might all come down to this group. The Haley voter obviously isn’t the whole story of the election; there are all kinds of voters moving in and out of the edges of the two parties now, from the people red-pilled by the Covid era to those voting first on Israel and Gaza. But if Donald Trump loses again, maybe it will be due to the same problem that has been there for him from the beginning — the Republicans who didn’t like him in the first place, those in the suburbs, the more moderate women.Under the category of the Haley voter there are stability-minded, Constitution-focused traditionalists who can’t really get past Jan. 6, temperamental moderates who care about character and dislike chaos, for whom Mr. Trump has always been a tough sell, and — probably these people more than anything — just the kinds of voters, women especially, who voted a lot for Republicans before but on some deep, cellular level blanch at government now deciding abortion policy and the broader health complications that can be involved, regardless of how they feel about abortion itself.Those voters, in particular, might be described as having a conservatism organized around privacy and intentions, specifically not trusting the government in a world where Texas passes a law that allows a neighbor to sue another for abetting an abortion or a politician can’t seem to understand why a 50-something woman would still care about reproductive rights.What does some data tell us about Haley voters? In one of its weekly releases, Blueprint, a Democratic strategy firm, profiled the Haley voter based on a survey of nearly 800 Republicans and independents who voted for her in the primaries. It’s a small but notable group of people, with 59 percent who said they voted for Mr. Trump in 2020 but only 45 percent who said they would do so again in 2024. That slice of voters could decide a narrow election, and that’s not even taking into account the need for Ms. Harris to retain the Republicans who voted for Joe Biden in 2020 or the ones who are similarly inclined but didn’t bother voting in the Republican primaries this year.Blueprint found that one of the “most persuasive” criticisms of the Republican Party for this group of voters was that it “opposes abortion too much” (with 42 percent saying that described the party “very well”). They cared about the economy, immigration and national security; they were worried that Ms. Harris would be too extreme and Mr. Trump too erratic. In Blueprint’s polling, Haley voters had a lot of remaining favor for George W. Bush and John McCain and liked Dick Cheney more than Liz Cheney, whose support was underwater with the group.We are having trouble retrieving the article content.Please enable JavaScript in your browser settings.Thank you for your patience while we verify access. If you are in Reader mode please exit and log into your Times account, or subscribe for all of The Times.Thank you for your patience while we verify access.Already a subscriber? Log in.Want all of The Times? Subscribe. More

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      Trump and Harris Focus on Economy as They Campaign in Southern States

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      The candidates outlined vastly different messages in Georgia, North Carolina and Virginia, with Donald J. Trump exaggerating how bad the recent jobs report was and Kamala Harris promising to bring down costs.Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald J. Trump swept through Southern states on Saturday, outlining sharply divergent economic messages for voters in top battlegrounds and, in Mr. Trump’s case, solidly blue Virginia.Mr. Trump, after a week in which controversies often overshadowed his closing argument, traveled to North Carolina and Virginia, where he gave rambling speeches in which he tried to turn the race back toward immigration, the economy and transgender issues.Ms. Harris began her day at a rally in Atlanta, where she focused on her plans to bolster the economy, an approach that her advisers say has been intentional in the last days of a coin-flip race.At an event that featured food trucks and a performance by the Georgia-born rapper 2 Chainz, she said her first goal as president would be “to bring down the cost of living for you” through tax cuts and measures like expanding Medicare to help cover home care. She emphasized that message soon after at a rally in Charlotte, N.C., saying that Mr. Trump would fight for “billionaires and big corporations.”Mr. Trump, in his speeches at an airport in Gastonia, N.C. and an arena in Salem, Va., pounced on Friday’s labor report showing that employers added just 12,000 jobs last month.“These are depression numbers, I hate to tell you,” he said in Gastonia, wildly distorting the picture of what is actually a healthy economy and leaving out that the latest figures were driven down by hurricanes and a labor strike.We are having trouble retrieving the article content.Please enable JavaScript in your browser settings.Thank you for your patience while we verify access. If you are in Reader mode please exit and log into your Times account, or subscribe for all of The Times.Thank you for your patience while we verify access.Already a subscriber? Log in.Want all of The Times? Subscribe. More

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      Supreme Court Rejects Bid to Block Count of Some Pennsylvania Provisional Ballots

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      Republicans had sought to block the counting of provisional ballots by voters whose mail-in ballots were deemed invalid. Democrats celebrated the ruling as a win in a crucial state.The Supreme Court cleared the way on Friday for some voters in Pennsylvania whose mail-in ballots had been deemed invalid to cast provisional ballots in person, rejecting an appeal by Republicans not to count such votes.Democrats immediately celebrated the decision, which like in many such emergency petitions was unsigned and gave no reasoning, as a victory in a state crucial to each party’s presidential and Senate hopes. It could affect thousands of mail-in ballots in a contest where the latest polls show Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald J. Trump virtually tied.The ruling was one in a string of court victories for Democrats, whose voters are more likely to use mail ballots and were therefore more likely to have had their votes tossed out if Republicans had succeeded in the case.“In Pennsylvania and across the country, Trump and his allies are trying to make it harder for your vote to count, but our institutions are stronger than his shameful attacks,” the Harris campaign said in a statement after the ruling. “Today’s decision confirms that for every eligible voter, the right to vote means the right to have your vote counted.”The Republican National Committee was “disappointed” in the court’s ruling, a spokeswoman said.In a brief statement attached to the court’s order, Justice Samuel A. Alito Jr. wrote that the case was “a matter of considerable importance.” But he said the justices had no way to give the Republicans what they were asking for — a statewide block on allowing these provisional ballots.Only Butler County elections officials were parties to the case, he wrote, which meant the justices could not force elections officials in other counties to block those ballots. He was joined by two other conservative justices, Clarence Thomas and Neil M. Gorsuch.We are having trouble retrieving the article content.Please enable JavaScript in your browser settings.Thank you for your patience while we verify access. If you are in Reader mode please exit and log into your Times account, or subscribe for all of The Times.Thank you for your patience while we verify access.Already a subscriber? Log in.Want all of The Times? Subscribe. More

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      Judge Allows Unusual G.O.P. Strategy to Pump Money Into Senate Races

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      Democrats had claimed that the advertising strategy may have violated federal election laws establishing strict limits on spending by national party committees to aid individual candidates.A federal judge ruled on Friday that Senate Republicans may continue to pump tens of millions of dollars into key swing state races in the final days of the 2024 campaign by employing an unusual advertising strategy that Democrats had claimed was potentially illegal.By reclassifying campaign ads as fund-raising appeals, Republicans have been able to avoid strict limits Congress has placed on spending by national party committees to aid individual candidates, helping to offset a significant fund-raising deficit they face in states with critical Senate races, such as Arizona and Pennsylvania.House Democrats’ campaign arm sued the Federal Election Commission for failing to stop the Republicans and sought to either ban the practice or clear the way to use it themselves.But Judge Randolph D. Moss, of the U.S. District Court in Washington, wrote Friday that he was “unpersuaded” to outlaw a practice that the commission had not. He said Democratic and Republican campaign committees — those that support Senate and House candidates — are “all on an even playing field” and the lack of action taken by the Federal Election Commission had not tilted it.His ruling could give Republicans a last-minute boost in the fierce contest for the Senate, where they are favored to pick up the one or two seats they need to regain control of the chamber, but where polls show that several races are close.Sean Cooksey, the Republican chairman of the Federal Election Commission, also welcomed the ruling. “This is a huge win for the rule of law and political speech!” he wrote on social media.We are having trouble retrieving the article content.Please enable JavaScript in your browser settings.Thank you for your patience while we verify access. If you are in Reader mode please exit and log into your Times account, or subscribe for all of The Times.Thank you for your patience while we verify access.Already a subscriber? Log in.Want all of The Times? Subscribe. More

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      Las razones detrás de las visitas de Trump a Nuevo México y Virginia

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      Incluso si es improbable que el expresidente gane en estos estados, ofrecen la posibilidad de que nuevas audiencias aporten más votos republicanos al recuento popular.El jueves, el expresidente Donald Trump utilizó uno de sus últimos viajes antes de las elecciones para visitar Nuevo México, al tiempo que tiene un viaje de fin de semana programado para Virginia.Los dos estados han votado mayoritariamente por el candidato demócrata durante las últimas elecciones presidenciales. Entonces, ¿por qué Trump pasa tiempo allí?En un comunicado, Karoline Leavitt, una portavoz de Trump, dijo que el expresidente estaba “a la ofensiva en estados históricamente demócratas como Nuevo México y Virginia”, asegurando que Kamala Harris “sigue a la defensiva, destinando más recursos para captar el voto en las comunidades negras y enviando a Bill Clinton a Nuevo Hampshire”.Pero hay otras razones para las visitas.Algunos en el equipo de Trump creen que los dos estados representan oportunidades de repunte para el candidato republicano si hay un auge de la participación en todo el país para él. Así que no hay razón, en su opinión, para no invertir algo de tiempo allí. Especialmente en Nuevo México, existe la sensación de que el arco de apoyo que el equipo de Trump cree estar viendo en la votación anticipada y en las encuestas podría ayudarle en el recuento de votos en ese estado.El equipo de Trump ha estado trabajando para aumentar su apoyo en el recuento del voto popular y los mítines en lugares como California, Nueva York y Nueva Jersey han funcionado hacia ese objetivo. Estos nuevos mítines podrían hacer lo mismo.Considerando que sus actos son casi exclusivamente mítines a gran escala, Trump tiene un límite en la cantidad de veces que puede volver a visitar algunos de los estados más disputados. En Georgia, cientos de asistentes a uno de sus mítines empezaron a marcharse mucho antes de que este terminara.Nuevo México y Virginia son territorio nuevo, donde más gente probablemente no haya visto antes a Trump en un mitin. Eso ofrece al equipo de Trump la garantía de conseguir grandes multitudes. Y en una carrera nacionalizada, donde los mítines se emiten por televisión y son cubiertos por los medios locales, las imágenes lucen mejor. More

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      Elecciones de Estados Unidos en vivo: Trump y Harris hacen campaña en estados clave

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      Green Bay, Wis.Doug Mills/The New York TimesRaleigh, N.C.Kenny Holston/The New York TimesMadison, Wis. Jim Vondruska for The New York Times Green Bay, Wis.Doug Mills/The New York Times📌 Lo más recienteEl expresidente Donald Trump y la vicepresidenta Kamala Harris recorrerán hoy el suroeste en una de sus últimas giras de campaña en la región antes del día de las elecciones. Tras perseguirse mutuamente desde Carolina del Norte hasta Wisconsin ayer, ambos celebran hoy mítines en Arizona y Nevada: Phoenix, Reno y Las Vegas para Harris; y a las afueras de Las Vegas y Phoenix para Trump, que también tiene previsto hacer una parada en Albuquerque, en tradicionalmente demócrata Nuevo México.Sus compañeros de papeleta también estarán en campaña. JD Vance, senador por Ohio, celebrará una asamblea pública enfocada en los votantes más jóvenes en la Universidad de High Point, en Carolina del Norte. Tim Walz, gobernador de Minnesota, hará campaña en Erie, Pensilvania.Faltan cinco días para la jornada electoral.Esto es lo que hay que saber:Actualizaciones de los reporterosNicky Jam retira su apoyo a Trump¿Son legales los selfis electorales?¿Cuándo habrá resultados para presidente?Más para ponerse al díaActualizaciones de los reporterosEn Michigan, un estado clave donde 5,5 millones de personas votaron en las últimas elecciones presidenciales, ya se han entregado casi 1,8 millones de votos en ausencia, según funcionarios electorales. Durante los primeros cinco días de votación anticipada en persona en la mayoría de las ciudades y pueblos, más de 100.000 personas acudieron a las urnas cada día. Donald Trump, el entonces presidente, perdió el estado ante Joseph Biden por menos de 160.000 votos en 2020, y las encuestas muestran una carrera increíblemente reñida entre Trump y la vicepresidenta Kamala Harris.El líder de Hungría cruza los dedos por TrumpViktor Orbán, primer ministro de Hungría y aliado de Donald Trump, muy criticado por sus ataques a las normas democráticas, escribió el jueves en X que acababa de hablar por teléfono con el expresidente. “Le deseé la mejor de las suertes para el próximo martes”, escribió. “Solo faltan cinco días. Crucemos los dedos”.We are having trouble retrieving the article content.Please enable JavaScript in your browser settings.Thank you for your patience while we verify access. If you are in Reader mode please exit and log into your Times account, or subscribe for all of The Times.Thank you for your patience while we verify access.Already a subscriber? Log in.Want all of The Times? Subscribe. More

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      Nicky Jam, estrella del reguetón, retira su apoyo a Trump

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      Otras destacadas celebridades puertorriqueñas —entre ellas Ricky Martin y Bad Bunny— han utilizado las redes sociales para condenar los comentarios del mitin y mostrar su apoyo a la vicepresidenta Kamala Harris.Nicky Jam, un músico puertorriqueño que anunció su apoyo al expresidente Donald Trump el mes pasado, retiró su respaldo apenas unos días después de que los comentarios racistas contra Puerto Rico y los latinos hechos por un orador en el mitin de Trump en el Madison Square Garden el domingo provocaron una oleada de indignación.La estrella del reguetón había estado al lado de Trump en un acto de campaña en Las Vegas en septiembre, cuando respaldó al expresidente. Antes de que Nicky Jam subiera al escenario, Trump elogió el aspecto del músico, creyendo al parecer que era una mujer. “¿Conocen a Nicky?”, preguntó al público. “Es muy atractiva. ¿Dónde está Nicky?”.Cuando Nicky Jam subió al escenario, Trump pareció estar un poco desconcertado.En un video publicado en las redes sociales el miércoles, Nicky Jam dijo que había apoyado a Trump porque creía que sería lo mejor para la economía.“Nunca en mi vida pensé que un mes después iba a venir un comediante a criticar a mi país”, dijo en el video.El distanciamiento de Nicky Jam con Trump refleja el daño que las declaraciones en el mitin del Madison Square Garden podrían infligir a los esfuerzos de la campaña de Trump por cortejar a los votantes latinos. Nicky Jam fue solo uno de los músicos negros y latinos que Trump ha presentado en los mítines de campaña en un esfuerzo por reclutar nuevos representantes que puedan influir en los hombres de color más jóvenes, un grupo demográfico importante en una contienda que podría decidirse por el más estrecho de los márgenes.Otras destacadas celebridades puertorriqueñas —entre ellas Jennifer Lopez, Ricky Martin y el fenómeno pop Bad Bunny— han utilizado las redes sociales para condenar los comentarios del mitin y mostrar su apoyo a la vicepresidenta Kamala Harris a sus decenas de millones de seguidores. Harris había anunciado un plan para traer oportunidades económicas a Puerto Rico horas antes del mitin en el Madison Square Garden.Chris Cameron cubre política para el Times, enfocándose en noticias de última hora y en la campaña de 2024. Más de Chris CameronJazmine Ulloa es reportera de política nacional para el Times y cubre la campaña presidencial de 2024. Tiene su base en Washington. Más de Jazmine Ulloa More

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      Trump and His Allies Link Biden’s ‘Garbage’ Comment to 2016 ‘Deplorables’ Remark

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      Donald J. Trump and his allies are trying to recreate a moment that resonated deeply with his supporters in the 2016 campaign: when Hillary Clinton referred to Trump supporters as a “basket of deplorables.”On Tuesday, it was President Biden who provided the ammunition, appearing to call Trump supporters “garbage” while talking to Latino allies by video.“Just the other day, a speaker at his rally called Puerto Rico a ‘floating island of garbage,’” Mr. Biden said, adding, “The only garbage I see floating out there is his supporters — his, his demonization of Latinos is unconscionable, and it’s un-American.” The White House insisted that what Mr. Biden had said was “his supporter’s demonization,” referring only to the comic who initially insulted Puerto Ricans with an offensive joke at Mr. Trump’s New York rally on Sunday.Mr. Trump’s allies insisted the meaning was clear.Within minutes of the clip of Mr. Biden’s remarks going viral on social media on Tuesday night, Senator Marco Rubio of Florida addressed Mr. Trump’s rally in Allentown, Pa., and informed the crowd of Mr. Biden’s statement.“I have breaking news for you, Mr. President — you may not have heard this,” Mr. Rubio told the audience after Mr. Trump had called him up to the stage and stood next to him. “Just moments ago, Joe Biden stated that our supporters are garbage — are garbage.”Mr. Rubio added, as the crowd booed and Mr. Trump shook his head: “He’s talking about the Border Patrol. He’s talking about nurses. He’s talking about teachers. He’s talking about everyday Americans who love their country and want to dream big again and support you, Mr. President.”We are having trouble retrieving the article content.Please enable JavaScript in your browser settings.Thank you for your patience while we verify access. If you are in Reader mode please exit and log into your Times account, or subscribe for all of The Times.Thank you for your patience while we verify access.Already a subscriber? Log in.Want all of The Times? Subscribe. More