UK Politics

Average living standards could fall for all UK families by 2030, with those on the lowest incomes hit twice as hard as middle and high-earners, a new forecast suggests.In analysis published days before chancellor Rachel Reeves is set to announce new spending cuts in her spring statement, the Joseph Rowntree Foundation (JRF) issued a stark new warning to the Labour government.While much discussion has focused on whether Ms Reeves will meet her “iron-clad” fiscal rules after rising borrowing costs wiped out the £10bn of headroom in her October budget, the JRF warned a preoccupation with the public purse risks a deterioration in the finances of ordinary families going under the radar.As a result, the charity believes Sir Keir Starmer could be on course to miss his fundamental milestone – just four months after it was announced – of seeing living standards rise during this parliament, a target which the JRF said would have been met by every previous government since comparable records began in 1955.Instead, this past year may prove to be the high point for living standards this parliament, according to the charity – whose forecasts rest on the assumption that the Office for Budget Responsibility will upgrade its own forecasts on Wednesday in line with those of the Bank of England and other major forecasters.If so, the JRF estimates the average family will be £1,400 worse off by 2030 than they are today – marking a 3 per cent fall in their disposable income after housing costs.The lowest income families will be £900 a year worse off, according to the JRF’s forecasts – amounting to a 6 per cent fall in their disposable income.UK government borrowing has soared above forecasts last month More

Rachel Reeves hopes to kickstart the economy and save Labour’s plan to build 1.5m new homes by training up to 60,000 bricklayers, electricians, engineers and carpenters over the next four years. The £600m move is designed to help fill 35,000 job vacancies in construction after warnings revealed by The Independent that the government’s flagship scheme is unachievable due to a shortage of workers. It comes as the chancellor tries to head off criticism of her stewardship of the economy as she unveils what are expected to be the deepest cuts to government departments since austerity in her spring statement on Wednesday.Chancellor Rachel Reeves hopes to kickstart the economy and save Labour’s plan to build 1.5m new homes More

Rachel Reeves has been urged by one of her former advisers to abandon Labour’s commitment to the state pension triple lock, warning that the pledge is “bonkers” and risks hobbling the government’s ability to manage the economy.Jim O’Neill, a former Treasury minister who quit the Conservatives and later advised Ms Reeves, warned the chancellor had “hemmed herself in” with unsustainable manifesto commitments ahead of Wednesday’s spring statement.His comments come as senior economists and Labour figures warn that the government has “boxed itself in” with pledges not to raise major taxes or break the triple lock – which guarantees the state pension will rise by 2.5 per cent, average earnings, or inflation, whichever is highest.Rachel Reeves warned Labour could not “tax and spend our way to higher living standards and better public services” More

Failed asylum seekers could be sent to the Balkans under plans being considered by the Labour government to tackle the crisis of migrants crossing the English Channel in small boats. Migration Watch UK reports that up to and including yesterday, more than 5,200 migrants have entered Britain via small boat crossings in 2025.Under the government proposals, “return hubs” overseas would house those who have had their applications rejected. That would set it apart from the Conservatives’ failed Rwanda scheme – in which those who arrived on small boats were to be given a one-way ticket to the African nation, whether they were ultimately deemed eligible for asylum in the UK or not. The UK could approach Albania as well as Serbia, Bosnia and North Macedonia, according to The Times, which first reported the scheme was being considered by ministers. Last week, the European Union announced that it was proposing to allow member states to set up the so-called return hubs.A boat of around 40 people picked up more migrants on the coast of Gravelines More

Ministers have pledged to ‘tear down’ barriers to trade with the European Union after new figures showed Brexit has cost UK business £37bn a year. The price of the UK’s departure was laid bare as the government said the UK’s total trade with the EU was 5 per cent lower than before we left the bloc. Trade minister Douglas Alexander hit out at the Brexit deal agreed by the previous Conservative government, saying it was “clear .. (it) is not working well enough.” Labour is currently negotiating a “reset” of relations, in a deal Keir Starmer has said will repair the UK’s damaged relationship with the EU for the benefit of “generations to come”. Mr Alexander said ministers would work with other countries “to improve the UK’s trade and investment relationship with the EU, tearing down unnecessary barriers to trade to help drive growth”. The Prime Minister faces a challenge in his own party as Britain and the European Union inch closer to an agreement (PA) More

Rachel Reeves has ruled out “tax and spend” policies ahead of her crunch spring statement next week. The chancellor is under pressure to fill a hole of around £20 billion in the public finances as she scrambles to meet her own financial rules following higher-than-expected borrowing and disappointing economic growth.A further blow to her plans came on Friday, when official figures showed government borrowing had soared past February forecasts. In an interview with the BBC, Ms Reeves signalled that she would not raise taxes, amid expectations of swingeing cuts to government departments in her statement on Wednesday. “We can’t tax and spend our way to higher living standards and better public services. That’s not available in the world we live in today,” she said.UK Government borrowing has soared above forecasts last month (Jordan Pettitt/PA) More

Rachel Reeves will soon give an update on her plans for the UK economy as she prepares to make the first Spring Statement of the new Labour government. The chancellor will also speak to an economic forecast as part of the event, with many predicting further spending cuts to come as the Treasury seeks to tackle ailing growth.Ms Reeves will be delivering the statement on Wednesday 26 March. She had previously committed to one major economic event a year – the Budget – which usually comes in the Autumn. This is to “give families and businesses stability and certainty on tax and spending changes,” she says.This means there a no major policy announcements expected as part of the statement, although some have predicted that reduced spending targets and some key tax changes will be revealed.Chancellor Rachel Reeves will deliver her Spring Statement on 26 March (Jonathan Brady/PA) More

‘What was the point?’ Starmer grilled on real-life impacts of disability benefits cutsIn another setback for Rachel Reeves, UK Government borrowing soared above forecasts last month as public sector spending rose, putting pressure ahead of the spring statement next week. The Office for National Statistics (ONS) said public sector net borrowing was £10.7 billion in February. This was £100 million more than the same month last year and the fourth-highest February on record.The UK’s official economic growth forecast for the year is also reportedly set to halve in a blow for a Labour government that has pledged to prioritise growth.The expected growth rate for the 2025 financial year, from April to March 2026, will be downgraded by the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) next week, The Telegraph reported, reducing from 2 per cent to around 1 per cent.In her spring statement next week, Rachel Reeves is expected to try blaming the drop on worsening global economics amid Donald Trump’s tariffs.The chancellor is also set to announce the biggest cuts since the George Osborne era on Wednesday, forcing Labour to reject claims the government is returning to a policy of austerity, days after the party slashed the welfare bill by around £5 billion.Is the UK facing a new age of austerity?There are ever more signs that the chancellor, Rachel Reeves, will use her spring statement next week to introduce further public spending cuts, augmenting fears that the country could be on the verge of a new age of austerity. How has the growth agenda morphed so soon into something akin to its opposite?Why might new cuts be needed?The growth that was the theme of Reeve’s first Budget last autumn has failed to materialise, and economic forecasts have become ever more pessimistic. The Bank of England last month reduced its growth forecast for this financial year by half – from 1.5 per cent to 0.75 per cent, and predicted higher inflation. Worse, according to the National Institute of Economic and Social Research think tank, the combination of poor growth and rising interest rates has reduced the chancellor’s spending buffer – or fiscal headroom – from an estimated £10bn to zero. And while the effect of US trade tariffs could be less damaging to the UK than to EU and other countries, there could still be a cost.Read the full analysis here: Is the UK facing a new age of austerity? Another round of expected cutbacks in the spring statement has led some to ask if we’re heading towards more austerity? The return of the A-word to conversations would be very bad for the chancellor, says Mary DejevskyHolly Evans21 March 2025 14:50The planning system is broken. Here’s how we should fix itHolly Evans21 March 2025 14:30’Nothing off the table’ in placing UK troops on the ground for Kyiv Downing Street on Friday said officials from allied countries will meet again at the same site next week to firm up a strategy to protect Kyiv as plans enter an “operational phase”.Asked whether the focus of discussions had shifted away from the prospect of ground troops for Ukraine, a Number 10 spokesman said: “No, nothing is off the table on any of these fronts, so I wouldn’t start ruling anything out.“But clearly thousands of troops will be required to support any deployment, whether that is at sea, on land or in the air.”Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer and Defence Secretary John Healey (Oli Scarff/PA) More