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    Trump is driving the Nato agenda – but he may still leave the alliance hanging when it needs the US the most

    Many expected this Nato summit to be the most significant since the Cold War ended. And as we enter the final day of the conference, it was clear they were right. With escalating pressure in the Middle East, the looming backdrop of war in Ukraine and an increasingly volatile US president, tensions on the global stage are the highest they have been in recent history. Britain’s decision to purchase 12 new F-35A jets – to be formally announced by the prime minister at a press conference today – is a big one. Ministers dubbed it the “biggest strengthening of the UK’s nuclear posture in a generation”, primarily because it restores a nuclear role for the RAF for the first time since the Cold War. Donald Trump has been pushing Nato allies to spend more on their own defence More

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    How will your MP vote on Labour’s welfare bill – and could Starmer’s government be defeated?

    Labour’s controversial welfare cuts face a significant hurdle at a crunch Commons vote on Tuesday as more than 100 Labour MPs have joined the growing rebellion against the plans.An amendment signed by the 123 rebels – a figure which grew by 15 on Wednesday morning – would essentially halt the reforms if passed, as it would prevent the government’s bill from progressing any further through Parliament.The episode marks a major challenge to Sir Keir Starmer’s government. Should all of the rebels stand by the amendment – alongside MPs from other parties – then they would hold a majority of 44.This would be more than enough to secure an embarrassing and uncommon defeat for the Labour government.However, Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch has staged a last-minute intervention, signalling that she will ask her members to back the government’s plans.While this would allow the bill to pass, it is likely not the ideal outcome for the prime minister. This scenario would see him defeating many of his own backbenchers by relying on opposition support.Entitled the ‘Universal Credit and Personal Independent Payment Bill’, the government’s proposed legislation would see the eligibility and/or payment rates of both of these benefits sharply cut back for disabled claimants.The changes put forward by the group of Labour rebels would not halt these plans forever, but essentially lists several issues that mean the signatories cannot abide by the changes as things stand.Speaker of the House Lindsay Hoyle would need to select this amendment for it to be voted on, but with the amount of support it is unlikely that he would not. If this were to happen, MPs would still be required to vote on the main bill anyway, keeping the door open for a potential rebellion.For the latest updates on this developing story, follow The Independent’s live coverageFive key reasons are listed in the amendment, including the lack of a formal consultation with disabled people, and the Office for Budget Responsibility’s (OBR) analysis that the plans would push 250,000 into poverty, including 50,000 children.Also listed as a key issue is that the OBR is not due to publish its employment impact of the reforms essentially an analysis of how many people they would support into work, until autumn – months after MPs are expected to vote on them.However, the text of the amendment does also begin by “noting the need for the reform of the social security system,” as well as “agreeing with the government’s principles for providing support to people into work and protecting people who cannot work.”The amendment has been signed by 11 Commons committee chairs, including Dame Meg Hillier (Treasury select committee) and Debbie Abrahams (Work and Pensions select committee). Confirming her decision to sign the amendment on Bluesky, Ms Abrahams said: “I’ve signed this as I believe there are alternative ways we can achieve the Government’s goals of increasing employment while reducing sickness and disability cases, therefore reducing overall disability benefits spending.”“This can be achieved through improvements in the Labour market, along side increases in NHS and employment support. Not by impoverishing disabled people and their families further from next April by cutting their benefits before all these measures are in place.” More

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    Voices: Poll of the day: Do you support Keir Starmer’s welfare reform plans?

    A political storm is brewing over proposed changes to the UK welfare system, as Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer pushes ahead with controversial reforms that would overhaul disability benefit payments.Under the new plans, access to Personal Independence Payments (PIP) would be tightened in a bid to reduce what ministers say is unsustainable growth in the system, which currently sees the equivalent of a city the size of Leicester added in new claims each year.Supporters of the reforms, including Starmer himself, argue that the welfare system is “broken” and needs urgent change to remain sustainable and to better support people who want to return to work. But critics, including more than 100 Labour MPs and at least a dozen ministers, warn that the changes will disproportionately harm disabled people and the most vulnerable. Independent readers have warned that the cuts will “break people,” leave carers “destitute,” and impose a human cost many feel is being ignored.The proposed legislation is expected to face a major rebellion when it goes to a vote in Parliament next week.As the government prepares to make one of the most significant changes to welfare in over a decade, we want to know what you think: should Starmer’s welfare reforms go ahead – or do they go too far?Vote in our poll and share your thoughts in the comments below. More

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    Number of Brits who see US as a global threat doubles since Donald Trump came to power

    The number of Britons who see the US as a serious threat to global security has skyrocketed since Donald Trump entered the White House in January, new research shows. Even before the president bombed Iran at the weekend, almost three quarters of those asked — 72 per cent — named the US as a threat to world peace in the next decade. Researchers said the figure, which has doubled since last autumn, when it was just 36 per cent, was an “all time high”.And it rivals China, on 69 per cent, Israel, on 73 per cent, and North Korea, on 77 per cent, although the highest was Russia on 90 per cent.The President bombed Iran at the weekend More

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    Kemi Badenoch offers to rescue Starmer’s welfare reforms as Labour rebellion grows

    Kemi Badenoch has offered to rescue Sir Keir Starmer from his own Labour backbenchers after a massive rebellion threatened to bring down his welfare reforms.In a late intervention on Tuesday evening, the Tory leader stepped in to say her party would back the swingeing cuts to benefits, as more than 120 Labour MPs were gearing up to reject the plans when they are voted on next week.It came after the defiant PM hit back at Labour rebels, warning that “those who care about a future welfare system” must support the legislation.And with question marks about whether he could survive a potential defeat, Sir Keir also insisted on Sky News that it is “not a confidence vote”.The amendment is expected to be tabled by Labour MP Meg Hillier, chair of both the Treasury and Liaison committees, and signed by 12 additional Labour Party select committee chairs More

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    UK to buy new fighter jets for RAF’s first nuclear role since Cold War

    Britain will purchase at least a dozen new F35A fighter jets, reintroducing a nuclear role for the Royal Air Force for the first time since the Cold War. The decision to purchase the jets marks a major ramping up of Britain’s nuclear capabilities in the face of escalating global instability and comes alongside the UK’s decision to join Nato’s dual-capable aircraft nuclear mission – an aircraft sharing agreement among Nato allies.Sir Keir Starmer will use a press conference at Wednesday’s Nato summit in the Hague to announce plans to purchase the aircraft, which can carry both nuclear and conventional weapons.The purchase – which has been hailed by ministers as the “biggest strengthening of the UK’s nuclear posture in a generation”.The Royal Air Force has not held a nuclear role since the UK retired its sovereign air-launched nuclear weapons following the end of the Cold War.Announcing the purchase of the jets, Sir Keir warned that Britain can “no longer take peace for granted” in an “era of radical uncertainty”. “Supporting 100 businesses across the country and more than 20,000 jobs, these F35 dual-capable aircraft will herald a new era for our world-leading Royal Air Force and deter hostile threats that threaten the UK and our allies.Britain will purchase at least a dozen new F35A fighter jets and join Nato’s dual capable aircraft nuclear mission More

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    Government branded ‘dangerously flat-footed’ in recovering £1.9bn of Covid loan losses

    The government has been branded “dangerously flat-footed” in its efforts to recover nearly £2 billion in estimated taxpayer losses from the Covid-19 bounce back loan scheme, a cross-party committee of MPs has warned.The Public Accounts Committee (PAC) criticised the lack of incentive for lenders to pursue the recovery of these funds, highlighting a significant gap in the scheme’s oversight.Introduced in the early days of the pandemic, the bounce back loan scheme was designed to provide rapid financial support to businesses grappling with forced closures and plummeting demand. It offered loans of up to £50,000 per business, made available swiftly to most UK firms by waiving standard credit and affordability checks.However, the Department for Business and Trade (DBT) now estimates that total losses due to fraud within the scheme will reach at least £1.9 billion, a figure acknowledged to likely be higher as not all fraudulent cases have yet been identified. While approximately £130 million has been recovered so far, the DBT admits it cannot determine how much of this relates to loans taken out fraudulently.Chancellor Rishi Sunak introduced the Covid bounce back loan scheme during the Covid-19 pandemic More

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    Starmer ignores Labour rebels’ pleas on welfare reforms as he vows to press ahead with cuts

    Sir Keir Starmer has stubbornly vowed to press ahead with his controversial welfare reforms despite more than 100 of his own MPs gearing up to reject the plans.The defiant prime minister hit back at Labour rebels, warning that “those who care about a future welfare system” must support the legislation.But with question marks about whether he could survive a potential defeat the prime minister also insisted on Sky News that it is “not a confidence vote”.It came as a senior backbencher made it clear many rebels are looking for blood with Sir Keir sacking his chancellor Rachel Reeves and changing policy or facing a challenge to his leadership.The amendment is expected to be tabled by Labour MP Meg Hillier, chair of both the Treasury and Liaison committees, and signed by 12 additional Labour Party select committee chairs More