More stories

  • in

    Britons ‘to be £400 worse off’ due to Reeves’ tax hikes – despite pledge to boost pockets by £500

    Working age households will be £400 worse off on average next year due to tax hikes, soaring bills and stagnant benefits, a leading think-tank has warned.Days after Rachel Reeves boasted that Labour’s policies will leave families £500 better off, the Resolution Foundation said the outlook for living standards is actually “historically bleak”.In a blow to the chancellor, the left-leaning think tank said Labour’s tax hikes, the Tories’ ongoing freeze on personal tax thresholds and below-inflation increases to working-age benefits will lead to a £400, or one per cent, fall in disposable income for a typical household. The Chancellor made the spring statement last week (Ben Stansall/PA) More

  • in

    Polish prime minister says his party was targeted in cyberattack ahead of election

    Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk said Wednesday that his centrist political party was the target of a cyberattack, and suggested that it could have been interference from the east — meaning Russia or Belarus — ahead of Poland’s presidential election next month.Tusk announced on the X platform that his Civic Platform party’s computer system was targeted.“Foreign interference in elections begins. Services point to eastern trace,” Tusk said.Jan Grabiec, the head of Tusk’s office, told the Polish state news agency PAP that the cyberattack consisted of an attempt to take control of computers of employees of the Civic Platform office and the election staff over about a dozen hours on Wednesday.Asked if Tusk was pointing the finger at Russia or Belarus, Grabiec said that would be for Poland’s secret services to comment on, but that in past cases Belarusians have infiltrated Poland’s systems on behalf of Russian intelligence services.Poland is weeks away from the first round of a presidential election, scheduled for May 18. The frontrunner is the Civic Platform candidate, Warsaw Mayor Rafał Trzaskowski, who like Tusk is a pro-European Union centrist. He has been polling around 35%.His main contenders include a conservative backed by the Law and Justice party, Karol Nawrocki, who is second in most polls at a bit over 20%, and a co-leader of the far-right Confederation candidate, Sławomir Mentzen, who has been polling around 20%.If no candidate wins outright with at least 50% of the vote on May 18, a runoff will be held June 1. More

  • in

    Voices: ‘The US is the biggest loser’: What Independent readers are saying about Trump’s tariffs

    As Donald Trump prepares to unveil the latest round of US tariffs – grandly dubbed “Liberation Day” by the White House – the uncertainty surrounding their impact is growing. While Trump has hinted that all nations, including the UK, will be affected, the specifics remain unclear. What is certain, however, is that his trade war will have far-reaching consequences for global markets, businesses, and consumers.The topic has got Independent readers talking, with many sharing their views on Trump’s tariffs.Across our community, there is deep concern that these tariffs will drive up prices in the UK, worsen the cost-of-living crisis, and further destabilise an already fragile economy. Some argued that instead of scrambling to avoid tariffs, UK leaders should focus on making US tech giants pay their fair share of tax. Others pointed out historical warnings in America’s own past, drawing parallels to the devastating effects of the 1930 Smoot-Hawley Tariffs.However, a few suggested that the UK could find opportunity amid the chaos – if it plays its cards right. They argued that Redirected trade flows might benefit certain industries, while economic shifts could ease borrowing costs for the government. Whether the UK emerges from this as a loser or a winner will depend on the political and economic decisions made in the coming weeks.Below is a selection of your views on Trump’s tariffs. Feel free to share your own thoughts in the comments section by clicking here.Resisting bullyingStarmer ‘offers US tech firms tax cut’ in last-ditch bid to dodge Trump tariffs.This is diametrically opposed to the position he should be taking.US tech firms already do not pay a fair share of tax on the revenue they generate here. We should be seeking to make them so, regardless of tariffs, but especially so given that tariffs have been imposed.Furthermore, Starmer should not be seeking to wheedle out of tariffs, he should be aligning with the rest of the world to resist Trump’s bullying. Jolly SwagmanRocketing cost of livingMy Limited Capability for Work and Work-Related Activity/Universal Credit… that 1.7 per cent increase, approx £12 per month, which won’t even cover the 29 per cent rise on my water bill, let alone gas/electric, council tax, water, TV licence and mobile/broadband increases.It’s absolutely pitiful in comparison to the rocketing rises of the costs of living on all fronts, and that goes for everyone who isn’t well off or wealthy.And now we have to wait and see the impact of Trump’s tariffs on an already ailing economy and a decimated UK population! It never seems to stop! RedRocket68Support for UK industriesWell, Trump is right in one respect. We need to support our own industries, something successive governments since Thatcher have failed to do.But tariffs are not the way, as they only raise prices for all consumers. Tax is a better option, and raising the digital services tax on Tech Bros who can well afford to pay would raise much-needed revenue.Let our government stand up for British interests for once. Time for the British lion to stop rolling over to have its tummy rubbed like a domestic moggy. Time for the British Lion to show its claws. 49ninerHistory lessonAmerica has been here before with the Smoot-Hawley tariffs of 1930, and it’s difficult to comprehend why they think this time will be any different. All it did was drive inflation, unemployment, and prolong the Great Depression in America. The damage to global trade, instability, and animosity no doubt contributed to the outbreak of the Second World War. fruitpicker15Tariffs benefit no oneThere are no winners with tariffs. The biggest losers are the consumers in the country imposing extra domestic taxes.Trump was elected to lower the price of eggs, not increase the price of automobiles. LordNelson3Trump’s re-electionFrom what we are hearing about the planned increases in import tariffs, Trump might actually destroy his own chances of ever being re-elected. American consumers will be hit by them as well as those elsewhere. Disillusion with Trump will be a more effective way of restoring democracy because the likes of Vance and any other strong supporters of Trump will become just as unelectable.InterestedObserverBritish alternativesIt would be smart not to raise tariffs against America; they only increase prices in the UK. If they want to tax US citizens to buy our products, then that is up to them, we can’t control what they do, but there is no point fighting back by damaging ourselves. I would, however, be harsher on their tech companies in terms of an age validation requirement for adult content, the need to stop harmful content and increase the tax on the companies themselves. Let’s ensure people can have cheap or free access to social media and email, etc., in the UK without the need to access American companies. Let’s ensure there is a British alternative to Amazon. Everyone needs to stop buying American goods and services and seek UK or EU alternatives. PeterHenleyWhy target only economic reprisals?Why is the UK Government restricting their consideration of reprisals against POTUS to economic ones? There are 13 USAF bases in the UK which appear to have no immediate benefit for this country. Simply say that as long as the tariffs continue, no USAF planes will be allowed to land here or overfly UK airspace. There may be UK bases abroad too that are used by the USAF. If Canada and the EU also imposed restrictions, the US “Reach” worldwide would be much diminished. We could also think about adding restrictions to commercial air flights if they provide no benefit to the UK. sweepydogRisks of retaliationIt will very often be the case that the party imposing tariffs, in this case the US, is the biggest loser. A corollary is that retaliation, however tempting, is not necessarily the best policy. Why shoot ourselves in the foot just because Trump has?That said, some carefully selected responses, e.g. targeting the products of Trump-supporting states, might be worth considering politically speaking. Prester JohnImpact of sanctions and tariffsI am not convinced that putting sanctions or tariffs on Russian oil will help the US at all… India and China will just continue to trade oil across the border directly in Yuan. In fact, it will help them to get cheaper oil than the rest of the world… However, the Chinese also hold so much in American T-bills that if things get nasty they will start selling (and not buying)… yields will quickly rise… then there go interest payments. Ok if you’re cash-rich… not so good for middle and working classes with any debt exposure… house owners, students, small businesses, employees… etc… this could all go wobbly pudding… IndysouthwestThe Great DepressionIn response to the Smoot-Hawley Tariffs Act signed into law by President Hoover in 1930, tariffs imposed by U.S.’s trading partners in retaliation, along with the act’s direct effects, were major factors in the reduction of American exports and imports by 67% during the Great Depression.We should remember that, along with the U.S. itself, Germany was among the worst affected at the time, and that this was a significant factor in the rise of fascism.This time, fascism appears to be a driving force. RocketoftheNorthTrade diversions due to Trump’s tariffsTrump tariffs offer the UK a potential fortune through trade diversions, expert suggests….Professor Jun Du, of the Aston Business School, said: “The picture for tariff measures may not be clear at the moment, but what is clear is that economies like the UK need to plan for various eventualities and start to put mitigating measures in place.“US tariffs offer the UK a potential fortune through trade diversions, yet these gains could complicate efforts to reset UK–EU relations, amplifying economic divergence, political distrust, and misalignment.”I never thought I’d agree with Gove – but there is one “expert” we can do without. Do they not understand that if the UK acted as a diverter into the EU, they would not get a fortune, they would be crucified by the EU27 and put in the same box with Trump. ArcticFoxEconomic impactIf Trump’s tariffs lead to fears of global recession, then that will cause interest rates to fall. That restores Reeves’s “fiscal headroom” because borrowing costs will fall and slightly ease cost of living issues. Also, any retaliatory tariffs we impose will bring in revenue.I’m not saying any of this is good, but just that it doesn’t automatically ruin the government’s financial plans. Also, if Labour can’t get growth going (and they seem to have no idea how to do this), the next best thing is to have someone else to blame for the lack of growth.Chrisw27Some of the comments have been edited for this article for brevity and clarity. Want to share your views? Simply register your details below. Once registered, you can comment on the day’s top stories for a chance to be featured. Alternatively, click ‘log in’ or ‘register’ in the top right corner to sign in or sign up.Make sure you adhere to our community guidelines, which can be found here. For a full guide on how to comment click here. More

  • in

    Extra 400,000 people to be signed off as unfit for work under Labour’s welfare reforms, government admits

    An extra 400,000 people could be signed off as unfit for work under Labour’s controversial welfare reforms, the government’s own figures show.Work and Pensions Secretary Liz Kendall declared ministers were being “ambitious for our people and our country” as she announced plans to slash £5bn from the benefits bill earlier this month. Alongside the cuts, she pledged changes to the system designed to get the long-term sick back into work. ( More

  • in

    UK to work with allies and social media to tackle people smuggling adverts

    The UK has pledged further action with allies and social media platforms to tackle people smuggling adverts online as part of efforts to cut small boat crossings and other illegal migration services.A new agreement made at the UK’s Organised Immigration Crime Summit on Tuesday will see the UK, US, Albania, Sweden, Tunisia and Vietnam take more collective action to target criminal gangs advertising illegal migration online, and share more data on the issue.The agreement will also see governments work with social media companies – including Meta, TikTok and X, who were present at the summit – to design out methods being used by criminal gangs to advertise and glorify their people smuggling activities online.The Home Office said 18,000 social media accounts used to sell spaces on small boats have been taken down by the National Crime Agency (NCA) since last July – 10,000 more than the previous year – but that further action is still needed.As part of the new collective action agreement, governments will work with online platforms to help improve detection and moderation tools for identifying content linked to people smuggling.Border Security Commander Martin Hewitt said: “Criminal gangs are exploiting online platforms to prey on vulnerable people, luring them into dangerous and illegal journeys that undermine our border security.“This international agreement is a vital step in shutting down their online operations and dismantling their networks across the world.“These organised crime groups operate across borders, which is why the UK has united with five nations to take decisive action – strengthening intelligence-sharing and taking away platforms that these criminals depend on for their business.“Under the Government’s Plan for Change, we will continue working with global partners to dismantle smuggling networks, bring perpetrators to justice, and protect vulnerable people from falling into their hands.”The summit has also seen nations agree to increased intelligence-sharing, including between law enforcement agencies, while the UK is to lead work on investigating how criminal gangs are using online spaces.Graeme Biggar, director-general of the NCA, said: “Yesterday we saw law enforcement from over 40 nations come together in a shared endeavour to stop these criminal gangs.“We have explored challenges, sought solutions, and reinforced our shared commitment to tackling the threat and harm caused by people smuggling.“International intelligence-sharing and co-operation is absolutely crucial to track criminal activity across borders, allowing us to put a stop to these dangerous criminals, and this summit has ensured that we can build on our work to put a stop to these gangs, protect our borders and save lives.” More

  • in

    Starmer ‘offers US tech firms tax cut’ in last-ditch bid to dodge Trump tariffs

    Sir Keir Starmer has reportedly offered big US tech companies a major tax break in a last-ditch bid to dodge Donald Trump’s damaging tariffs. The prime minister is prepared to lower the rate of the government’s digital services tax (DST) in a bid to win concessions from the president as a global trade war looms, it has emerged. It comes after a scramble in government to strike a deal with the US ahead of what Mr Trump has dubbed “liberation day”, with the president set to impose tariffs of up to 20 per cent on all imports to the US. The PM conceded this week that an agreement would not be reached before the tariffs take effect, but his business secretary Jonathan Reynolds has said the UK could be the first country to do a deal with Washington on a carve-out from the levies. There is reportedly a deal on the table ready to be signed, covering areas such as artificial intelligence and other future technologies. But The Guardian on Wednesday also reported the UK has offered significant changes to the DST. The move would reportedly see Britain lower the headline rate of the tax, in a major boost to major American firms such as Amazon, Facebook owner Meta and Google owner Alphabet, while at the same time applying the levy to companies from other countries. The Government still hopes to secure a carve-out from Donald Trump’s sweeping tariffs (Carl Court/PA) More

  • in

    Britain braced for worst from Donald Trump’s ‘Liberation Day’ trade war

    Britain “must prepare for the worst” from new import tariffs, the foreign secretary David Lammy said yesterday as the world awaits the start of Donald Trump’s trade war. The United States president has threatened to impose fees of 20 per cent or more on imports from around the world with immediate effect in measures expected to be announced on Wednesday – which he has dubbed “Liberation Day”. Global market jitters continued over the potential impact of a trade war, as one study estimated it could cost the world £1.1 trillion.In Britain alone, 25,000 jobs are at risk according to the Institute of Public Policy Research (IPPR), which said the new White House trade policy would “completely destabilise the UK car manufacturing industry”.Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs analysts expected Britain’s GDP to suffer a greater hit than previously feared even if a UK trade deal were agreed, due to “larger negative spillovers” from tariffs levied against the European Union. As a result, the bank now expects 0.8 per cent of UK growth this year and 1.2 per cent in 2026 – down from 0.9 and 1.3 respectively.Chancellor Rachel Reeves told a cabinet meeting that there would be a serious impact from the tariffs.And while business secretary Jonathan Reynolds tried to be optimistic about the prospect of a UK-US deal, he was unable to give a timeline on when one might be completed. Ministers were also forced to deny the Trump administration was making demands about free speech in the UK as part of any potential trade deal.Mr Trump has previously announced a 25 per cent tax will be introduced on all cars imported to the US. He has also announced similar tariffs on steel and aluminium.However, the announcement on Wednesday is expected to be far more wide-ranging.Foreign secretary David Lammy More

  • in

    ‘Awful April’ bills rise will push people to poverty, homelessness and foodbanks, charities warn

    Foodbank use and homelessness are set to rise, charities have warned as ‘awful April’ pushes up the cost of crucial bills, including energy and water, for millions of households across the country. People across the country are struggling to afford the bare essentials and with somany costs rising at once, from gas to council tax, has led to fresh calls for ministers to help limit the impact. From Tuesday, the annual average energy bill will go up by £111 a year, or £9.25 a month, to £1,849, after Ofgem raised the energy cap.Water bills are also set to soar by an average of 26 per cent, or £123 a year, in England and Wales, while council tax will rise by £108 a year on average, after ministers confirmed they would be allowed to increase by at most 5 per cent.Matt Downie, chief executive at Crisis, the housing charity, warned it was becoming “even harder for people on low incomes to afford the basic essentials. This is leaving them dangerously exposed, forced into debt and in real danger of being pushed into homelessness as the cost of living crisis continues to bite.” Rachel Reeves’ decision to freeze housing benefits from Tuesday in last October’s Budget would also “push people deeper into poverty and homelessness,” he added. Trussell warned more people would be forced to turn to food banks (Danny Lawson/PA) More