US elections 2020

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    • 213 Shares189 Views

      in US Politics

      Trump may have broken his own record for most dangerous lies in one speech | David Smith

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      It seemed like a desperate last stand from a fearful strongman who can feel power slipping inexorably away.
      The US president on Thursday returned to the White House briefing room, scene of past triumphs such as that time he proposed bleach as a cure for coronavirus and that other time he condemned QAnon with the words “They like me”.
      Trump offered a downright dangerous and dishonest take on this week’s election that current vote counting trends suggest he will lose. It was possibly an attempt to intimidate and deter TV networks from declaring a winner in the next few hours.
      It also risked inciting protests and violence from supporters encouraged to view Joe Biden as an illegitimate president-elect.
      Sombre and downbeat, Trump made false claims from a prepared statement ( is that better or worse than ad-libbing lies?)
      “If you count the legal votes, I easily win,” he said with a straight face. “If you count the illegal votes, they can try to steal the election from us. If you count the votes that came in late – we’re looking at them very strongly, a lot of votes came in late.”
      It was a bold, dramatic claim with massive implications and absolutely no foundation.
      Having often dismissed the significance of Vladmir Putin’s hackers’ meddling four years ago, Trump implied that opinion polls are a more sinister threat.
      “Media polling was election interference, in the truest sense of that word by powerful special interests,” he said. “These really phony polls … were designed to keep our voters at home, create the illusion of momentum for Mr Biden and diminish Republicans’ ability to raise funds. They were what’s called suppression polls.”
      Chris Murphy, a Democratic senator from Connecticut, tweeted: “This is just extraordinary. It’s a lie every 5 second. Not small lies either. Just nuclear grade whoppers.”
      The president went on to throw in some racism for good measure, targeting Philadelphia and Detroit, both African American majority cities in the battlegrounds Pennsylvania and Michigan respectively.
      “They’re trying to rig an election, and we can’t let that happen,” he said. “Detroit and Philadelphia – known as two of the most corrupt political places anywhere in our country.”
      The man who, during his property developing career, perfected the dark art of “truthful hyperbole” sounded a wholly unrealistic note. “We think we will win the election very easily.
      “We think there’s going to be a lot of litigation because we have so much evidence, so much proof, and it’s going to end up perhaps at the highest court in the land… We can’t have an election stolen like this.”
      In a circular argument, he claimed he had predicted this debacle all along: in effect, his old lies were proof of his new ones. Gesturing towards the press, he said: “I have been talking about this for many months with all of you and I’ve said very strongly that mail-in ballots are going to be a disaster … We’re hearing stories that are horror stories.”
      He was done after 16 minutes and walked from the podium, ignoring a loud barrage of questions. To the simplest of all, “where’s the evidence?”, he clearly had no answer.
      No one can accuse Trump of failing to rise to the big occasion. This was a record-breaking performance by the liar-in-chief. Daniel Dale, a fact checker at CNN, wrote on Twitter: “I’ve read or watched all of Trump’s speeches since 2016. This is the most dishonest speech he has ever given.”
      Perhaps the bogus claims of fraud will eventually allow Trump to quietly slip away while saving face, contending that he would have won reelection but for cheating establishment forces beyond his control.
      He used to promise his supporters: We’re going to win so much, you’ll be sick and tired of winning. Not half as much as he is unable to contemplate the reality of losing. More

    • 188 Shares179 Views

      in Elections

      MSNBC cuts away from Trump's address after he again falsely declares election victory – video

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      MSNBC anchor Brian Williams stopped broadcasting Donald Trump’s remarks after the US president falsely claimed ‘If you count the legal votes, I easily win’. The anchor’s interruption came less than a minute into Trump’s news conference, with Williams saying, ‘Here we are again in the unusual position of not only interrupting the president of the United States but correcting the president of the United States’
      Why are the media reporting different US election results?
      Trump v Biden – full results as they come in
      Senate and House elections – full results as they come in More

    • 175 Shares169 Views

      in Elections

      US election 2020 results live: Biden narrowly ahead of Trump as count goes on

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      JOE
      BIDEN

      264

      electoral college votes

      73,417,252 votes

      DONALD
      TRUMP

      electoral college votes

      69,588,797 votes

      214

      73,417,252 votes

      69,588,797 votes

      How does the election work?

      Live coverage / Biden and Trump virtually tied in key state of Georgia

      !
      No winner has been declared yet
      Millions of votes are still to be counted, including in key battleground states. In addition, AP has called Arizona’s 11 votes for Biden while other news organisations regard the race as still too close to call
      Which states haven’t been called yet?

      Updating in …

      Latest results

      The latest results will show up here.

      Loading …

      Every vote counts, so we’re counting every vote

      The US election has shown how important independent, fact-based journalism is to a functioning democracy. Help us deliver the high-quality news and information you need.

      Show your support

      Which states haven’t been called yet?

      This table shows an estimate for the amount of votes remaining to be counted in each state where the winner is not yet known, and the number of votes separating the current leading candidate from the second-placed party (the margin). Taken together the two things suggest how much scope there is for the positions to change in the final count.

      State
      Votes left to count (est.)
      Current margin
      Current leader

      %
      votes

      Georgia
      1%
      50,000
      +1,902
      Trump
      North Carolina
      6%
      348,000
      +76,701
      Trump
      Pennsylvania
      10%
      732,000
      +41,118
      Trump
      Nevada
      16%
      233,000
      +11,438
      Biden
      Alaska
      50%
      191,000
      +54,610
      Trump
      Back to top

      Key states to watch

      The race for the presidency is usually decided in a small number of key battleground states that switch party allegiance between elections.

      Democrats

      Republicans

      Georgia

      16 electoral college votes

      Est. vote count
      99%

      Polls closed 2 days ago

      Est. vote count
      99%

      Candidate
      Votes
      Percent

       
      Donald Trump
      2,447,223
      49.4%

       

       
      Joe Biden
      2,445,321
      49.4%

       

       
      Jo Jorgensen
      61,265
      1.2%

       

      Why does it matter?
      Long a Republican stronghold, southern Georgia has recently become more of a battleground state due to its growing black electorate. In the 2018 governor’s election, Republican Brian Kemp defeated Democrat Stacey Abrams by just 1.4 percentage points.

      North Carolina

      15 electoral college votes

      Est. vote count
      94%

      Polls closed 2 days ago

      Est. vote count
      94%

      Candidate
      Votes
      Percent

       
      Donald Trump
      2,732,084
      50.1%

       

       
      Joe Biden
      2,655,383
      48.7%

       

       
      Jo Jorgensen
      47,215
      0.9%

       

      Why does it matter?
      Historically Republican-leaning, North Carolina has become increasingly competitive in recent years. The state’s recent voting patterns mirror a national trend towards more polarisation, with cities swinging further towards the Democrats and rural areas towards the Republicans.

      Pennsylvania

      20 electoral college votes

      Est. vote count
      90%

      Polls closed 2 days ago

      Est. vote count
      90%

      Candidate
      Votes
      Percent

       
      Donald Trump
      3,278,490
      49.7%

       

       
      Joe Biden
      3,237,372
      49.1%

       

       
      Jo Jorgensen
      75,745
      1.1%

       

      Why does it matter?
      Pennsylvania was one of the largest states to swing to Trump in the 2016 election. He won the state by a margin of just 0.7 percentage points, turning it Republican for the first time since 1992.

      Nevada

      6 electoral college votes

      Est. vote count
      84%

      Polls closed 2 days ago

      Est. vote count
      84%

      Candidate
      Votes
      Percent

       
      Joe Biden
      604,251
      49.4%

       

       
      Donald Trump
      592,813
      48.5%

       

       
      Jo Jorgensen
      11,647
      1%

       

      Why does it matter?
      Nevada’s population has grown rapidly in the past two decades, as has the share of Latino, Black and Asian American voters in the state. In 2016, Hillary Clinton won Nevada by a margin of 2.4 percentage points.

      Florida

      29 electoral college votes

      Est. vote count
      99%

      Winner called 2 days ago

      Est. vote count
      99%

      Candidate
      Votes
      Percent

      Donald Trump
      5,658,690
      51.2%

       

       
      Joe Biden
      5,284,377
      47.9%

       

       
      Jo Jorgensen
      70,043
      0.6%

       

      Why does it matter?
      Florida has voted with the eventual winner in all but one presidential election since 1964. It is also the swing state with the largest population and the most electoral college votes.

      Michigan

      16 electoral college votes

      Est. vote count
      99%

      Winner called a day ago

      Est. vote count
      99%

      Candidate
      Votes
      Percent

      Joe Biden
      2,791,549
      50.6%

       

       
      Donald Trump
      2,646,423
      47.9%

       

       
      Jo Jorgensen
      60,343
      1.1%

       

      Why does it matter?
      Trump won Michigan by just 0.2 percentage points in 2016 – the narrowest margin of any state. In the six elections prior, the state consistently voted Democratic.

      Wisconsin

      10 electoral college votes

      Est. vote count
      99%

      Winner called a day ago

      Est. vote count
      99%

      Candidate
      Votes
      Percent

      Joe Biden
      1,630,542
      49.6%

       

       
      Donald Trump
      1,609,734
      48.9%

       

       
      Jo Jorgensen
      38,414
      1.2%

       

      Why does it matter?
      Wisconsin sided with the Democratic candidate in all presidential elections from 1988 through 2012, although sometimes by very narrow margins. In 2016, Trump managed to flip the state despite his underdog status in the polls.

      Ohio

      18 electoral college votes

      Est. vote count
      96%

      Winner called 2 days ago

      Est. vote count
      96%

      Candidate
      Votes
      Percent

      Donald Trump
      3,074,418
      53.4%

       

       
      Joe Biden
      2,603,731
      45.2%

       

       
      Jo Jorgensen
      65,069
      1.1%

       

      Why does it matter?
      Ohio is one of the largest swing states in the midwest, and it has sided with the eventual election winner for decades. Trump won the state by a margin of over eight points in 2016.

      Arizona

      11 electoral college votes

      Est. vote count
      90%

      Winner called 2 days ago

      Est. vote count
      90%

      Candidate
      Votes
      Percent

      Joe Biden
      1,528,319
      50.1%

       

       
      Donald Trump
      1,482,062
      48.5%

       

       
      Jo Jorgensen
      42,753
      1.4%

       

      Why does it matter?
      Arizona last voted Democratic for President in 1996, but the state has become increasingly competitive as the Hispanic share of the electorate has grown. The Democrats managed to gain a number of seats in the 2018 midterms here.

      More key states

      Who is controlling Congress?

      Americans are also electing members to the two chambers of Congress, the main law-making body of the US. Those chambers are the Senate and the House of Representatives.
      Without support in the Senate and the House, the president’s ability to enact key policies is severely limited.

      SENATE

      Democrats*

      48

      +1

      Republicans

      -1

      48

      31 of 35 races called

      * Includes 2 independents

      HOUSE

      Democrats

      208

      -5

      Republicans

      +6

      193

      401 of 435 races called

      Full Senate and House results

      How does the election work?

      The winner of the election is determined through a system called the electoral college. Each of the 50 states, plus Washington DC, is given a number of electoral college votes, adding up to a total of 538 votes. More populous states get more electoral college votes than smaller ones.

      A candidate needs to win 270 electoral college votes (50% plus one) to win the election.

      In every state except two – Maine and Nebraska – the candidate that gets the most votes wins all of the state’s electoral college votes.

      Due to these rules, a candidate can win the election without getting the most votes at the national level. This happened at the last election, in which Donald Trump won a majority of electoral college votes although more people voted for Hillary Clinton across the US.

      How are the results reported?
      The election results on this page are reported by the Associated Press (AP). AP “call” the winner in a state when they determine that the trailing candidate has no path to victory. This can happen before 100% of votes in a state have been counted.

      Estimates for the total vote in each state are also provided by AP. The numbers update throughout election night, as more data on voter turnout becomes available.

      Back to top More

    • 150 Shares199 Views

      in Elections

      Senate boost for Democrats as two Georgia races look set for runoffs

      by

      Democratic hopes of wrenching control of the Senate from Republicans received an unexpected boost as it seems likely that two key races in the southern state of Georgia may be headed to runoff races.
      One of the races is definitely headed to a second round in January, while a second Georgia contest and races in North Carolina and Alaska remain undecided, leaving the chamber now deadlocked 48-48. An outcome may now not be known until the new year.
      Republicans look likely to win in North Carolina and Alaska, but Democrats would undoubtedly focus huge amounts of energy and money on trying to win the Georgia runoffs. If both races did go to runoffs – and Democrats were to win them – it would leave the Senate split 50-50, with the vice-president serving as a tie-breaker.
      If Joe Biden is in the White House, that would mean a vice-president Kamala Harris would be the deciding vote in the Senate. If Donald Trump wins a second term, then it would be Mike Pence, the current vice-president.
      “We’re waiting – whether I’m going to be the majority leader or not,” Senate majority leader Mitch McConnell said Wednesday.
      That was still the case on Thursday.
      Counting continued in Georgia on Thursday, where Republican David Perdue was trying to hold off Democrat Jon Ossoff in a multi-candidate race that could also go to a runoff if neither candidate clears the 50% threshold to win.

      There already is a 5 January runoff in the state’s other Senate race. Republican senator Kelly Loeffler will face Democrat Raphael Warnock, a Black pastor at the church where the Rev Martin Luther King preached. Loeffler and Warnock were the top vote-getters in the race, but neither candidate was able to get a majority of the vote needed to win the seat outright.
      In North Carolina, Republican senator Thom Tillis hoped to prevail over Democrat Cal Cunningham, whose sexting affair with a public relations specialist has clouded the race. Republicans were confident they would keep Alaska, where Republican senator Dan Sullivan was faced a challenge by Democratic newcomer Al Gross, a doctor.
      Winning the Senate is vital as America’s complex governmental system of checks and balances gives the upper chamber of congress immense power in limiting a president’s ability to get their legislative agenda passed as well as having influence on key administration and judicial appointment.
      McConnell was one of Barack Obama’s chief legislative adversaries while Obama was in office. The Senate majority leader successfully stalled major initiatives by the Obama administration and Senate Democrats. Under Trump, McConnell has successfully ushered through a wave of judicial confirmations through his chamber.
      He has already signaled that if he were to control the senate under any Biden administration that he would be ruthless in exercising those powers.
      A source close to McConnell reportedly told the Axios website that a Republican held senate would work with Biden on centrist nominees but not allow any “radical progressives” or ones who are controversial with its conservative senators.
      Before the election Democrat hopes had been riding high that they would win control of the Senate and wrest it from McConnell’s grip. A slew of favorable polls had many Democrats even eying gains in traditionally strongly Republican areas like Kansas and South Carolina, and money had been poured into those races. But on the night itself, a stronger than expected Republican surge put paid to those hopes as well as dashed expectations in far more vulnerable seats, like that of Susan Collins in Maine and Joni Ernst in Iowa.
      In the end, Democrats’ gains were in Colorado, where former governor John Hickenlooper defeated senator Cory Gardner, and Arizona, where former astronaut Mark Kelly beat Republican incumbent Martha McSally. But Democrats couldn’t hold on in Alabama, where former college football coach Tommy Tuberville defeated Democrat Doug Jones. More

    • 188 Shares199 Views

      in US Politics

      A dysfunctional America helps China – but hurts Australia and our region | Natasha Kassam

      by

      As the US presidential election rolls into its fourth day of counting, Chinese leaders are not necessarily joining much of the world in frantically hitting refresh for updated vote tallies.
      As America edges towards a Biden victory in painful slow motion, there is no sense of urgency in Beijing, which benefits from the prolonged uncertainty.
      Chinese leaders – and many of its citizens – believe the United States is in terminal decline and that President Donald Trump has hastened the inevitable. The troubling story of decay in America paints a different picture in China from that in the rest of the world: the authoritarian model of politics and economics is just as good, if not better, than the liberal democratic model of the “west”.
      The coronavirus pandemic had already started the toppling dominos. China recovered from its disastrous response, wielding state capacity like an authoritarian sword to contain Covid-19. By contrast, the US has surrendered to the pandemic, tragically with a death toll 60 times that of China. The successes of democratic smaller nations, from Australia to Taiwan, barely register in Beijing.
      The four-day election count (so far) and divided polity are seen as further evidence of the wounds in US democracy. So too the increasingly erratic claims made by Trump that undermine US democratic institutions. These are chalked up as wins in Beijing’s column.
      More wins, from a Chinese perspective, are coming, and many in Australia’s immediate region. Beijing has threatened over $5bn exports from Australia. The issue has gained less traction than usual as eyes are glued to the circus that US politics has paraded for four years.
      China has also been extending olive branches across south-east Asia, providing technical assistance and protective equipment in the pandemic and attempting to repair the reputational hit that Covid-19 caused. Many have made deals with China guaranteeing preferential access if a Chinese vaccine candidate is approved.
      This vacuum was left by the US. When it comes to global public health, America has literally left the building. Ensnared in its own pandemic crisis, the world’s largest economy abandoned the World Health Organization. US allies are among the countries that China has promised priority access to vaccines, including the Philippines and Thailand.
      With the US missing in action, Australia has had to go it alone. Canberra has looked to counter China’s efforts, promising more than $500m in “vaccine diplomacy” across the region.
      China may struggle to find these opportunities if Biden is inaugurated. A globalist at heart, he has promised to reposition the US on the international stage and re-join the WHO. Australia should embrace that prospect.
      But for Beijing, the outcome of the US presidential election changes few of its policy settings. The Trump administration’s tough stance towards China is a rare glimpse of unity in a divided country.
      A potential Biden administration would continue to challenge China in most fields, including trade and technology. And any instinct by a potential president Biden to nominate Obama-era officials would need to get past the inevitable China-hawk test if the Republican-majority Senate remains.
      Tough China policy is also good politics in the US – as it is in Australia. Both Australian and American publics have soured on China as more evidence of China’s aggression and human rights abuses have come to light.
      One difference may be that a Biden administration would be better coordinated with partners and allies on China policy. Under Trump, US policy oscillated from praising Xi Jinping to attempting regime change. A stable and consultative approach would be music to Australia’s proverbial ears, as it faces the brunt of China’s economic coercion with little backup or support. Biden could also be convinced to revive the ailing World Trade Organization, though US concerns pre-dated Trump.
      Still, who wins the US election matters much more to Australia than China.
      A weaker United States, led by a president elected in a messy and marginal victory, would only make China more confident. And a new administration, distracted by domestic turmoil, may lack the bandwidth to wake up to the urgent support needed in Australia, and the broader region. A divided America may translate into an isolated Australia. And this, in turn, would embolden China.
      • Natasha Kassam is a research fellow at the Lowy Institute More

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      in Elections

      Trump lawyers petitioning supreme court have close ties to Brett Kavanaugh

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      [embedded content]
      Trump campaign lawyers who have asked the supreme court to intervene in Pennsylvania’s vote count have close ties to Brett Kavanaugh, the justice who is expected to have a decisive vote in any upcoming election-related rulings.
      Justin Clark, a senior lawyer for Donald Trump’s campaign, helped shepherd Kavanaugh’s controversial 2018 confirmation through the Senate in his previous role as White House congressional liaison.
      Another lawyer, William Consovoy, the litigator who filed the supreme court challenge on behalf of the Trump campaign, helped to bankroll a high-profile Federalist Society dinner in Kavanaugh’s honour in 2019.
      It is far from clear whether the Trump campaign’s bid before the US supreme court – which is challenging Pennsylvania’s inclusion of mail-in ballots received after 3 November – will lead to any changes in the state’s ultimate vote count. But the relationships between the campaign lawyers and Kavanaugh are an example of how conservative lawyers and jurists who have been appointed to the highest court have especially close political ties.
      Activist Chris Kang, who serves as chief counsel for Demand Justice, a progressive group that has said it is trying to restore federal courts’ “legitimacy”, said the relationships between Consovoy, Clark and Kavanaugh, were “alarming”.
      “It is very troubling. This kind of thing is more commonplace these days, but I don’t think it makes it any less concerning,” Kang said. “It’s a very insular world of supreme court justices and the lawyers who argue in front of them. It does breed a backscratching culture that is very problematic.”
      The Federalist Society lies at the heart of the conservative bar, and has played what critics call an outsized role in advising the White House on the nomination of judges and justices.
      The lawyers who are part of the Federalist Society, some of whom become judges, share a strict conservative view of the law which, in turn, has helped to propel Republican political causes, like restricting voting rights and opposition to environmental regulations.
      One staunch critic of the group, the Rhode Island Democratic senator Sheldon Whitehouse, has said that nearly 90% of Trump’s appellate judges, as well as most of the supreme court’s conservative justices, are members of the Federalist Society, which is funded entirely by anonymous conservative donors and corporations. More

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      in Elections

      Joe Biden urges calm: 'In America, the vote is sacred' – video

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      Joe Biden issued a very short statement on the current state of play in the presidential race, emphasizing that election officials must count every valid vote that was cast. Biden noted he and his running mate, Kamala Harris, ‘continue to feel very good’ about the ultimate result.
      Speaking at the Queen Theater in Wilmington, Delaware, the Democratic nominee also noted the country was nearing 240,000 deaths from Covid-19 and expressed sympathy for Americans who had lost loved ones to the virus
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      Trump v Biden – full results as they come in More

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      in US Politics

      Cori Bush delivers electrifying victory speech: 'This is our moment … I love you' – video

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      Cori Bush is set to become the first Black congresswoman in the history of Missouri after storming to victory over her Republican rival Anthony Rogers with more than 75% of the vote in the state’s 1st district, which includes the city of St Louis.
      Bush, a single mother, nurse and former Covid patient, gave a rousing victory speech on Tuesday, saying: ‘This is our moment to finally, finally start living and growing and thriving … My message today is to every Black, brown, immigrant, queer, and trans person, and to every person locked out of opportunities to thrive because of oppressive systems: I’m here to serve you. To every person who knows what it’s like to give a loved one that “just make it home safely, baby” talk: I love you.’
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      Trump v Biden – full results as they come in More