US elections 2020

Subterms

    More stories

    • 150 Shares179 Views

      in Elections

      'He’s paying attention to people like us': Trump’s messages resonate in Wisconsin

      by

      With 47 days to go until the election, Air Force One flew into central Wisconsin’s airport on Thursday evening, where Donald Trump pitched himself as the lone figure standing between Americans and leftwing radicals bent on chaos.“Biden wants to surrender our country to the violent leftwing mob,” Trump told a crowd of thousands beside the tarmac. “If Biden wins, very simple, China wins. If Biden wins, the mob wins. If Biden wins, the rioters, anarchists, arsonists and flag-burners, they win. And we’re not into flag-burners.”In a speech that ran close to 90 minutes, Trump boasted of economic success prior to the pandemic, promised to “deliver a safe and effective vaccine before the end of the year”, and framed Joe Biden as a feckless, career politician eager to confiscate guns, raise taxes and lead the nation toward anarchy.And, as he has done in previous rallies, Trump also veered into rambling, at times bizarre claims, including an unspecific assertion that he “saved the suburbs” and that it’s legal to “climb over” someone’s face while protesting but not always legal to host a rally. More

    • 150 Shares169 Views

      in US Politics

      Joe Biden: Listen to the scientists, not Trump, about coronavirus vaccine – video

      by

      Play Video

      1:29

      Joe Biden has accused Donald Trump of ‘close to criminal’ behaviour by intentionally misleading the public over the scale of the threat posed by coronavirus. ‘He knew it, and did nothing,’ the former vice president said at a CNN town hall event in Pennsylvania.
      Biden said he did not trust Trump’s statements on the development of a coronavirus vaccine, accusing the president of politicizing the issue for the sake of his re-election.
      ‘I don’t trust the president on vaccines. I trust Dr Fauci,’ Biden said. ‘We should listen to the scientists, not to the president.’
      Joe Biden: trust scientists, not Trump, on realities of coronavirus

      Topics

      Joe Biden

      Donald Trump

      Coronavirus obituaries

      US politics

      US elections 2020 More

    • 138 Shares189 Views

      in Elections

      US election polls tracker: who is leading in the swing states?

      by

      US elections 2020

      As the presidential campaign heats up, the Guardian is tracking the latest polling in eight states that could decide the election

      [embedded content]
      Joe Biden is leading ​Donald Trump in the national polls for the presidential election.
      But that doesn’t guarantee ​the Democratic candidate victory. Hillary Clinton also had a clear lead over Trump in the polls for almost the entire 2016 campaign. She ended up losing in the electoral college.
      ​Because the presidential ​voting system assigns each state a number of electoral college votes, which​ go to the state’s victor regardless of the​ margin of victory, a handful swing states will ​probably decide the election and be targeted heavily by campaigners.
      Each day, the Guardian’s poll tracker takes a rolling 14-day average of the polls in ​eight swing states.
      In order to track how the race is developing in the areas that could decide the election, six of the eight states we focused on were those that flipped to Trump​ in 2016 after backing Barack Obama in 2012. Arizona and North Carolina were also added due to what they might tell us about a shifting electoral landscape – they could emerge as vital new swing states this year.
      We must caution that the polls – particularly some swing state polls – severely undercounted Trump supporters in 2016. We are not certain, despite assurances, that they they have corrected this​. Additionally, they may be over-counting Democratic support (more people may say they will vote for Biden than actually turn out).
      We present the latest polls with those caveats to be borne in mind.
      [embedded content]
      The national polls
      The latest polling average puts Biden ahead of Trump nationally.
      While the national poll tracker is a poor indicator of how the crucial swing states will sway the election, a strong polling lead across the country can point to how the race will develop.
      Each day, the Guardian’s national poll tracker takes a 14-day average of national voting intention polls.
      [embedded content]
      On Tuesday 3 November 2020, Americans will vote for their next president, with a choice between ​Donald Trump, the Republican incumbent, or his Democratic challenger, Joe Biden.
      [embedded content]
      Methodology
      The Guardian poll tracker tracks the latest polls in eight crucial swing states. For Biden to win, he needs to reclaim some of these swing states.
      The Guardian is collating polls in each of these ​states, as well as another set of national polls. Any polls deemed unreliable – for example, because they have small sample sizes – are excluded.
      Our polling average is a 14-day rolling average: on any day, we collate any polls published in the last 14 days and take a mean average of their results.
      If any ​company ​has conducted multiple polls in the last 14 days, we average out their polling results in order to give them just one entry. After this standardi​zation process, we take a mean average of these daily entries to present the polling average.

      Topics

      US elections 2020

      Democrats

      Republicans

      Joe Biden

      Donald Trump

      news

      Share on Facebook

      Share on Twitter

      Share via Email

      Share on LinkedIn

      Share on Pinterest

      Share on WhatsApp

      Share on Messenger

      Reuse this content More

    • 163 Shares169 Views

      in US Politics

      Why is Biden polling better than Clinton did?: Politics Weekly Extra podcast

      by

      This week, Jonathan Freedland speaks with the Guardian’s Washington DC bureau chief David Smith about why Joe Biden is seemingly doing better than Hillary Clinton did in the polls in 2016

      How to listen to podcasts: everything you need to know

      This week, the question is: “Why is Biden polling better than Clinton did in 2016?” Polls don’t necessarily determine who will win an election, as anyone who lived through the 2016 election knows – Democrats especially. However, it is noticeable that Joe Biden has had a consistent lead over Donald Trump for the last 12 months and that when polls are averaged out, he is 6.2% ahead. Around the same time in 2016, Hillary Clinton’s lead over Trump was just 1%. So, what is causing this bump in numbers for Biden? To delve into the many possible reasons, Jonathan Freedland is joined by the Guardian’s Washington Bureau Chief, David Smith. Let us know what you think of the podcast: send your feedback to podcasts@theguardian.com Help support the Guardian by going to gu.com/supportpodcasts More