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'It's surreal': the US officials facing violent threats as Trump claims voter fraud
by Evelyn Reynolds 10 December 2020, 06:00
On 1 December Gabriel Sterling, a Republican election official in Georgia, stood on the steps of the state capitol in Atlanta and let rip on Donald Trump.
“Mr President, it looks like you likely lost the state of Georgia,” he said, contradicting Trump’s increasingly unhinged claim that he had won the presidential race against all evidence.
“Stop inspiring people to commit potential acts of violence,” Sterling went on, referring to a storm of death threats and intimidation that had been unleashed by Trump supporters against public officials in the state.
“Someone is going to get shot, someone is going to get killed. And it’s not right.”
Then Sterling uttered the phrase that instantly entered the annals of American political rhetoric: “It has to stop.”
It did not stop.
Two days after Sterling’s impassioned speech went viral, Elena Parent, a Democratic state senator in Georgia, turned up for a hearing organized by Republican leaders to try to cast doubt on the election result. Trump attorneys, led by Rudy Giuliani, presented the hearing with a raft of conspiracy theories and baseless claims that tens of thousands of dead people and other ineligible individuals had voted.
The Republicans hadn’t warned Parent that the event would be attended by Giuliani, Trump’s henchman in his mission to undermine American democracy until this week when the former New York mayor came down with Covid-19. So she had no idea that a big crowd of far-right fanatics and the media outlets that feed them lies and falsehoods would also be in the chamber.
If she had known, she would have been careful to protect her personal details online. And she might not have sent out an anodyne tweet decrying the event accurately as a “sad sham”.
The bombardment began immediately. “The attacks came from all corners and on all platforms,” Parent told the Guardian. “They were in chat-boards, by email, in comments on my Facebook and Instagram pages, on the phone. They ran the gamut from basic insults to ‘We are watching you, you have kids, we are coming to your house.’”
In eight years as an elected politician in Georgia, she had never experienced anything like it. “It was surreal. I’m not someone who will ever be bullied or intimidated into being silent, but never have I had an issue on this scale.”
The bile spread far and wide. An elected official in Missouri accused her on Facebook of an act of treason “punishable by death”.
The worst part wasn’t the threats of sexual violence against her, or even the death threats; it was that her home address was plastered all over the internet. As a result, state police have stepped up patrols outside her home.
Parent has no doubt about the source of the overwhelming assault she has endured. “We have a president who does not care about American institutions or democracy. He has created a cult-like following and is exposing people like me across the country to danger because of his unfounded rhetoric on the election.”
What she fears most is that “cult-like” quality of Trump supporters. “That makes the entire experience more disturbing because you know there is no logic or sense of reality that will dissuade or deter these folks.”
The election may be more than five weeks in the past, but in Georgia, the heat that Trump has generated around his unprecedented refusal to accept defeat shows no sign of cooling.
Parent suspects that for elected officials like her, as well as election workers, it will remain “very difficult” through the two US senate runoff elections in Georgia on 5 January, which will be crucial in determining which party controls the Senate, and probably until Joe Biden’s inauguration on 20 January and beyond.
At the center of the maelstrom are the public servants in charge of Georgia’s election process. Brad Raffensperger, the Republican secretary of state who on Monday recertified the results after three separate counts all showed Biden the victor by about 12,000 votes, has faced caravans of armed “Stop the Steal” militants driving past his house.
In an interview with the Guardian, Raffensperger said that his wife was the first to start getting death threats. “Then I started getting them. Then she started getting sexualized texts. Threatening stuff.” More
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‘Will he ever concede?’: Trump keeps GOP leaders in endless political limbo
by Evelyn Reynolds 9 December 2020, 19:38
First Republicans in Congress gave Donald Trump a week to admit he lost the presidential election. Then they called for the lame duck president to have his day in court, where the Trump campaign amassed a 1-51 win-loss record in challenging Democrat Joe Biden’s victory.Next Republicans pointed to the so-called “safe harbor” deadline of 8 December, when states would certify their respective results, as the date when Trump would surely be forced to admit his loss. But that deadline came and went on Tuesday, seemingly unnoticed by the White House.Now, it is beginning to dawn on some members of the Republican leadership that Trump is working on a calendar all his own, and that the political limbo they now inhabit – unable to take the basic step, as elected officials in the United States of America, of recognizing the rightful winner of a free and fair election – might never end, assuming they will not summon the courage to contradict Trump.“I don’t know that he’s ever gonna concede,” John Thune, the Senate majority whip, told Politico on Wednesday. More than 200 Republicans in Congress – about 90% of the total – will not say publicly who won the presidential election, the Washington Post found.The Republican silence has given Trump a window to expand his attacks on US democracy. The president’s tweeted lies about fake election fraud have escalated in the last month to include the simple message on Twitter “#OVERTURN”.The majority of Republican voters who think the election was fraudulent, despite findings to the contrary by Trump’s own administration and no supporting evidence, is still growing.The high stakes are plain. As Trump himself put it on Wednesday: “How can you have a presidency when a vast majority think the election was RIGGED?”Some Republicans cling to hopes that upcoming events in the transfer of power – future dates on the election calendar – will cause Trump to change course, and relax the pressure on them. Next Monday, 14 December, the electoral college meets to cast votes based on state certifications of the result.On 6 January, Vice-President Mike Pence, in his capacity as president of the US Senate, is to preside over a ceremonial meeting of a joint session of Congress at which the electoral votes are added up and Joe Biden is formally declared the next president.Representative Alex Mooney, a Republican from West Virginia who introduced a House resolution on Tuesday that encourages neither Trump nor Biden to concede until all the investigations are completed, expressed faith that the congressional count would convince Trump and end the silence of his colleagues.“The end is when the roll call is put up here,” Mooney told the Associated Press.But the five weeks since the election are littered with flawed speculation by Republicans about the supposedly imminent moment when Trump would admit reality and they could safely follow suit.“I think the goal here is to give the president and his campaign team some space to demonstrate there is real evidence to support any claims of voter fraud,” one senior Senate Republican aide told Reuters on 10 November. “If there is, then they will be litigated quickly. If not, we’ll all move on.”“At some point this has to give,” a second aide told Reuters at the time. “And I give it a week or two.”The result is a risky standoff like none other in US history. The refusal to agree upon the facts of the election – which was called for Biden by the leading media decision desks, including the Associated Press and, thereby, the Guardian, on 7 November, threatens to undermine voter confidence, chisel away at the legitimacy of Biden’s presidency and re-stack civic norms.Trump sent his party down this unprecedented path by claiming the election was “rigged”, but Republican leadership has enabled doubts to swell through their past four weeks of silence.The president has personally called on some local elected officials to reconsider the results. Now, the disputed election has taken on a political life of its own that the party’s leadership may not be able to squash, even as Trump’s legal challenges crumble and state and national level officials declared it the most secure election in US history.Republicans say it makes little political sense at this point for them to counter Trump’s views lest they risk a backlash from his supporters – their own constituents – back home.They are relying on Trump voters to power the Georgia runoff elections on 5 January that will determine control of the Senate. And while some GOP lawmakers have acknowledged Biden’s victory, most prefer to keep quiet, letting the process play out “organically”, as one aide put it, into January.But election experts warn of long-term damage to the long-cherished American system.“It clearly hurts confidence in the elections,” said Trey Grayson, the Republican former secretary of state for Kentucky and a past president of the National Association of Secretaries of State.“My hope,” he said, is by 14 December “there will be some more voices, but my gut is it won’t be until the 6th” (of January).Edward Foley, an elections expert and constitutional law professor at Ohio State University, said it was true that the election winner is not officially the president-elect until the Congress declares it so with its vote on 6 January to accept the electoral college results.“I’m less concerned about the timing, but that it happens,” he said.For Americans to “have faith” in the elections, the losing side has to accept defeat. “It’s very, very dangerous if the losing side can’t get to that,” he said.“It’s essential for the parties to play by that ethos – even if one individual, Mr Trump, can’t do it, the party has to do it,” he said.“What’s so disturbing about the dynamic that has developed since election day is that the party has been incapable of conveying that message because they’re taking their cues from Trump.” More
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Republicans' devotion to Trump pits them against democracy, history – and reality
by Eliana Willis 9 December 2020, 16:56
The supreme court tersely rejected a bid to overturn to the election result but much of the GOP is rallying to the lost causeOn Tuesday, the US supreme court delivered a devastating blow to Donald Trump’s dreams. A terse one-sentence order left the president even more desperate than he was at the start of the day: “The application for injunctive relief presented to Justice Alito and by him referred to the Court is denied.”The three justices whom the president appointed to the highest court failed to rescue him from the voters’ verdict. When he needed them the most, the persons that Trump called “my judges” were not his. Continue reading… More
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Supreme court rejects Republican bid to overturn Biden's Pennsylvania victory
by Eliana Willis 8 December 2020, 23:04
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The US supreme court on Tuesday turned away a long-shot bid by Republicans to overturn the election results in Pennsylvania, where Joe Biden defeated Donald Trump in the 2020 race.
The suit, filed on behalf of Mike Kelly, a Republican congressman from Pennsylvania, took issue with a 2019 state law that adopted no-excuse absentee voting, and argued that the expansion of mail-in voting was illegal.
Several courts, including the Pennsylvania supreme court, had already denied the request, noting that Kelly waited until after the 2020 election to file his suit when the law was in place well before the election.
The case is the first piece of 2020 election litigation to reach the US supreme court, which has a 6-3 conservative majority including three Trump appointees. But the decision is not a surprise. As is customary with emergency requests, the supreme court did not offer an explanation for its decision. There were no noted dissents.
Pennsylvania was one of the pivotal states in the election, with Biden, a Democrat, defeating Trump after the Republican president won the state in 2016. State officials had already certified the election results.
Trump has falsely claimed that he won re-election, making unfounded claims about widespread voting fraud in states including Pennsylvania. Democrats and other critics have accused Trump of aiming to reduce public confidence in the integrity of US elections and undermine democracy by trying to subvert the will of the voters.
“This election is over. We must continue to stop this circus of ‘lawsuits’ and move forward,” the Pennsylvania attorney general, Josh Shapiro, a Democrat, wrote on Twitter.
The supreme court also must decide what to do with another election-related case brought on Tuesday. Republican-governed Texas, hoping to help Trump, mounted an unusual effort to overturn the election results in Pennsylvania and three other states – Georgia, Michigan and Wisconsin – by filing a lawsuit against them directly at the supreme court.
The Republican plaintiffs argued that the universal, “no-excuse” mail-in ballot program passed by the Republican-controlled Pennsylvania legislature in 2019, enabling voters to cast ballots by mail for any reason, violated the state’s constitution.
Biden won Pennsylvania by 80,000 votes and received a much higher proportion of the mail-in votes than Trump. Many more people voted by mail this year because of health concerns prompted by the coronavirus pandemic as they sought to avoid crowds at polling places.
Ahead of the election, Trump urged his supporters not to vote by mail, making groundless claims that mail-in voting – a longstanding feature of American elections – was rife with fraud.Pennsylvania said in a court filing that the Republican challengers were asking the justices to “undertake one of the most dramatic, disruptive invocations of judicial power” in US history by nullifying a state’s certification of its election results.
The state said most of what the challengers had sought was moot because the election results already were certified and what they were really wanted was for “the court overturn the results of the election”.
Trump’s campaign and his allies have lost in a stream of lawsuits in key states won by Biden, also including Georgia, Michigan, Wisconsin and others. Judges have rejected sweeping assertions of voting irregularities.
Biden has amassed 306 electoral votes – exceeding the necessary 270 – compared to 232 for Trump in the state-by-state electoral college that determines the election’s outcome, while also winning the national popular vote by more than 7m votes.
Tuesday represents a “safe harbor” deadline set by an 1887 US law for states to certify presidential election results. Meeting the deadline is not mandatory but provides assurance that a state’s results will not be second-guessed by Congress. After this deadline, Trump could still pursue lawsuits seeking to overturn Biden’s victory but the effort would become even more difficult.
Reuters contributed to this report More
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Texas sues four states over election results in effort to help Donald Trump
by Evelyn Reynolds 8 December 2020, 15:55
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The state of Texas, aiming to help Donald Trump upend the results of the US election, decisively won by Joe Biden, said on Tuesday it has filed a lawsuit against the states of Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin at the US supreme court, calling changes they made to election procedures amid the coronavirus pandemic unlawful.
The extraordinary and probably long-shot lawsuit, announced by the Republican attorney general of Texas, Ken Paxton, was filed directly with the supreme court, as is permitted for certain litigation between states.
The supreme court has a 6-3 conservative majority, including three justices appointed by Trump.
The lawsuit represents the latest legal effort intended to reverse the Republican president’s loss to Democratic candidate Biden in the 3 November election, which had appeared to be running out of steam after dozens of losses by the Trump campaign in its court challenges over the past month.
Republican-governed Texas in the lawsuit accused election officials in the four states of failing to protect mail-in voting from fraud, thus diminishing “the weight of votes cast in states that lawfully abide by the election structure set forth in the constitution”.
State election officials have said they have found no evidence of such fraud that would change the results, and local and national officials have declared it the most secure election in US history.
There was an increase in voting by mail in the election due to the pandemic, as many Americans stayed away from polling places to avoid the spread of Covid-19.
Texas is asking the supreme court to block the electoral college votes in the four states – a total of 62 votes – from being counted.
Biden has amassed 306 electoral votes – exceeding the necessary 270 – compared with 232 for Trump in the state-by-state electoral college that determines the election’s outcome, while also winning the national popular vote by more than 7m votes.
Texas also is asking the supreme court to delay the 14 December deadline for electoral college votes to be cast.
Paul Smith, a professor at Georgetown University’s law school, said Texas did not have a legitimate basis to bring the suit.
“There is no possible way that the state of Texas has standing to complain about how other states counted the votes and how they are about to cast their electoral votes,” Smith said.
Trump’s campaign and his allies have pursued unsuccessful lawsuits in Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and other states, making unfounded claims of widespread election fraud. Judges appointed under Democratic and Republican administrations, including Trump’s, have ruled against the president’s campaign, often in excoriating tones.
Trump lost those four states after winning them in 2016.
The supreme court is not obligated to hear the case and has said in previous decisions that its “original jurisdiction” that allows litigation between states to be filed directly with the nine justices should be invoked sparingly. More
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The US election's 'safe harbor' deadline is here. What does that mean for Biden?
by Evelyn Reynolds 8 December 2020, 13:00
While Donald Trump continues to falsely insist he won the 2020 race, Tuesday marks an important deadline further cementing that Joe Biden will be inaugurated as America’s 46th president on 20 January.
This year, 8 December is the so-called “safe harbor” deadline, which federal law says must fall six days before electors meet across the country to cast their votes for president. The statute says that as long as states use existing state law to resolve disputes about electors by the deadline, the votes cast by those electors will be “conclusive”. It is meant to act as a safeguard so that Congress, which will count the electoral votes on 6 January, can’t second-guess or overturn the election results.
At least one Republican member of Congress, Mo Brooks of Alabama, has said he will object to electors and Republicans in Pennsylvania have urged lawmakers to do the same. Those challenges are unlikely to be successful because a majority of both houses would have to agree to the challenge. Democrats control a majority of the US House of Representatives.
The Guardian spoke to Edward Foley, a law professor at Ohio State University, about the importance of the safe harbor deadline and what it could mean.
Why is the safe harbor deadline so important?
The key concept of safe harbor is the benefit that states get if they meet it. But it’s optional.
It’s desirable that they get this benefit, but it’s not essential. And what makes it desirable is Congress promises to accept as “conclusive” – that’s the statutory language – any resolution that the state itself meets if it complies with these two requirements, one being timing and the other being the use of existing law.
A state puts itself in as good a position as possible to have its electoral votes accepted by Congress if it’s safe-harbor-compliant. Because if Congress obeys its own promise, then it’s a done deal.
Lacking safe harbor status doesn’t mean a state’s electoral votes are going to be rejected by Congress. It just means that they’re arriving in Congress without the benefit of a super-shield, if you will.
Are there states that are at risk of not meeting safe harbor? It seems like every state has certified.
Yes. Certification is not sufficient for safe harbor status.
Electors have to be certified and they have to get their own certificates of ascertainment from the governor, and that then allows them to go to the state capitol and vote … That’s happened at least in enough states now for Biden to be above 270 electoral votes. There’s no danger of that not happening.
States that have litigation procedures written into state law to challenge a certification, even after the certification has occurred … it’s often called a contest. That’s a term of art, in law, that means you’re contesting the certification. If any state has a procedure like that … that’s what has to be finalized by 8 December for safe harbor status.
Wisconsin, for example, is a state that’s looking like at the moment like it’s not going to achieve safe harbor status because it has a hearing on 10 December in state court pursuant to a procedure that exists in state law … I’m not expecting that procedure to be successful in overturning certification. But I think it does mean that there will not be a final determination of that controversy or contest concerning the appointment of electors until after 8 December.
And that opens the door for Congress to second-guess the electoral votes that Wisconsin is sending?
It deprives Wisconsin of that super-shield that we were talking about. It doesn’t mean that Congress will reject the votes. I don’t think it puts Wisconsin’s votes in any practical jeopardy. But it does put them in a different legal status.
Representative Brooks from Alabama says he’s going to object to Biden’s electoral votes. I don’t know if he specified which states. But in my judgment it is inappropriate for any member of Congress, representative or senator, to file an objection to any electoral votes that actually have safe harbor status.
Congress should treat safe harbor status in the way the law calls for it to be treated. It’s conclusive. There shouldn’t be any objections filed to anything that a member of Congress believes to have safe harbor status. But if it doesn’t have safe harbor status, then I think it opens it up, as you said, to congressional second-guessing, in a way that safe harbor status shouldn’t.
When a state meets safe harbor, a member of Congress and a senator can still object to its electoral votes. And I expect we will see those objections. You talked about safe harbor offering a super-shield. What does that protection actually look like?
Unless there’s some court that’s gonna try and tell Congress what to do on 6 January, which I don’t really envision, then it’s up to Congress to police itself in terms of its own rules.
Every conscientious member of Congress, whether representative or senator, once the objection is raised … they’re not supposed to say: ‘Who do I think won Georgia? Who do I think won Pennsylvania?’ They’re supposed to ask themselves: ‘Did Georgia and Pennsylvania utilize a procedure to achieve its own resolution of that issue? Did they do so by 8 December?’
It’s up to Congress to abide by that rule that Congress created and not be tempted to second-guess a decision that it’s not supposed to second-guess. But human beings being human beings, if members of Congress want to ignore their own rules and second-guess something which they shouldn’t be second guessing, then who’s to stop them?
A lot of people are going to hear that and say: ‘If it’s up to Congress to police itself, that’s not reassuring.’ I think a lot of people will have a hard time believing there are going to be Republican senators, with a few exceptions, that aren’t willing to go along with an objection.
I totally get the realism there. And I understand why readers would want to think that. But here’s where I think maybe the safe harbor concept might provide a buffer for some.
Take someone like Senator Rob Portman of Ohio. It might be that the concept of this super-shield could actually help him both in his own internal and mental deliberations and also with his constituency, by saying: ‘Look, I’m trying to do a job here and the job I’m supposed to do is respect state law. I’ve been told by the relevant act of Congress that I’m obligated to accept the state’s judgment. I’m not going to ask myself who won Georgia. I’m only going to ask myself whether Georgia reached a final answer.’
How concerned should people be if a state like Wisconsin doesn’t meet safe harbor?
This year, as a practical matter, I wouldn’t have any concern. I think it’s unfortunate that Wisconsin wound up where it will. I think it was unnecessary.
I think the extent to which we get more objections of the Representative Brooks kind, it’s going to erode Congress’s own self-policing, which they should do, which is probably not a good thing.
There’s no threat to Biden’s inauguration. What there is potentially … if one senator signs anything that Representative Brooks submits, that’s going to cause there to be a repeat of what happened in 2004 … I think there will be roll-call votes.
Even though Biden’s going to be inaugurated, if a lot of senators go on record agreeing with Brooks, that’s agreeing with a claim that Biden didn’t win those states.
I think that’s a very likely scenario.
It’s taking us into a realm of American politics that I’m not sure we’ve had before. I mean, it’s a denial of reality that’s very dangerous.
Elections require accepting results, even if your team loses. Your team will win next time, maybe. You give the winning team a chance to govern based on what the voters said this time. You have to acknowledge that reality. For significant numbers of members of Congress, going on the record, if that’s what happens, in defiance of that reality, that will be really dangerous for the operation of competitive elections.
This interview has been condensed and edited for clarity More
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Trump thought courts would help him win but judges were his harshest critics
by Eliana Willis 8 December 2020, 12:25
Donald Trump and his allies say their lawsuits aimed at subverting the 2020 election and reversing his loss to Joe Biden would be substantiated, if only judges were allowed to hear the cases.There is a central flaw in the argument. Judges have heard the cases and have been among the harshest critics of the legal arguments put forth by Trump’s legal team, often dismissing them with scathing language of repudiation.This has been true whether the judge has been appointed by a Democrat or a Republican, including those named by Trump himself.The judicial rulings that have rejected Trump’s unfounded claims of widespread voter fraud have underscored not only the futility of the lame-duck president’s brazen attempt to sabotage the people’s will but also the role of the courts in checking his unprecedented efforts to stay in power.On Monday, US district judge Linda Parker threw out a lawsuit challenging Michigan’s election results that had been filed two days after the state certified the results for Biden. Parker, appointed by Barack Obama, said the case embodied the phrase “This ship has sailed.”“This lawsuit seems to be less about achieving the relief plaintiffs seek … and more about the impact of their allegations on people’s faith in the democratic process and their trust in our government,” she said.The lawsuit filed on behalf of a group of voters claimed Biden benefited from fraud, alleging, as in much of the other litigation, a massive Democrat-run conspiracy to shift the results. It sought to reverse the certification and impound all voting machines for inspection – “relief that is stunning in its scope and breathtaking in its reach,” the judge said.“Plaintiffs ask this court to ignore the orderly statutory scheme established to challenge elections and to ignore the will of millions of voters. This, the court cannot, and will not, do,” she said.“The people have spoken.”Her ruling stands alongside others in Pennsylvania, Georgia, Arizona and Nevada that have a common thread: they all rejected Trump’s claims.Even in the face of these losses in court, Trump has dangerously contended that, in fact, he won the election. And he’s moved out of the courts to directly appeal to lawmakers as his losses mount.He brought Michigan lawmakers to the White House in a failed bid to set aside the vote tally, and phoned Georgia governor Brian Kemp, asking him to order a special legislative session to overturn the states results. Kemp refused. Trump also called the Pennsylvania Republican House speaker, Bryan Cutler, who said state law did not give the legislature the power to overturn the will of voters.And Trump tweeted in all caps, “I WON THE ELECTION, BIG.”While that is not the case, what is true is that Trump is rapidly running out of legal runway. Out of roughly 50 lawsuits filed, more than 35 have been dropped or dismissed. The US supreme court was expected to weigh in later this week in a case from Pennsylvania.In Georgia, US district judge Timothy Batten, appointed by George W Bush, dismissed a lawsuit filed by attorney Sidney Powell, who was dropped from the Trump legal team a few weeks ago but has still continued to spread faulty election claims.The lawsuit claimed widespread fraud meant to illegally manipulate the vote count in favor of Biden. The suit said the scheme was carried out in different ways, including ballot stuffing, votes flipped by the election system from Trump to Biden and problems with absentee ballots. The judge summarily rejected those claims.Batten said the lawsuit sought “perhaps the most extraordinary relief ever sought in any federal court in connection with an election.”He said the lawsuit sought to ignore the will of voters in Georgia, which certified the state for Biden again Monday after three vote counts.“They want this court to substitute its judgment for that of two-and-a-half million Georgia voters who voted for Joe Biden and this I am unwilling to do,” Batten said.Trump has appointed more than 150 federal court judges who have been confirmed by the Senate and pushed through three supreme court justices.Much like Trump, his lawyers try to blame the political leanings of the judge after their legal arguments are flayed.When a federal appeals panel in Philadelphia rejected Trump’s election challenge just five days after it reached the court, Trump legal advisor Jenna Ellis called their work a product of “the activist judicial machinery in Pennsylvania”.But Trump appointed the judge who wrote the 27 November opinion.“Voters, not lawyers, choose the president. Ballots, not briefs, decide elections,” the judge, Stephanos Bibas, who wrote as the third US circuit panel refused to stop the state from certifying its results for Democrat Joe Biden, a demand he called “breathtaking.”All three of the panel members were appointed by Republican presidents.And they were upholding the decision of a fourth Republican, US district judge Matthew Brann, a conservative jurist and Federalist Society member. Brann had called the campaign’s legal case, which was argued in court by Rudy Giuliani, a “haphazard” jumble that resembled “Frankenstein’s monster.”In state courts, too, the lawsuits have failed. More
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US election results 2020: Joe Biden's defeat of Donald Trump
by Eliana Willis 8 December 2020, 09:21
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JOE
BIDEN
306
electoral college votes
81,271,137 votes
DONALD
TRUMP
electoral college votes
74,209,304 votes
232
81,271,137 votes
74,209,304 votes
How does the election work?
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Key states to watch
The race for the presidency is usually decided in a small number of key battleground states that switch party allegiance between elections.
Democrats
Republicans
Arizona
11 electoral college votes
Est. vote count
100%
Winner called a month ago
Est. vote count
100%
Candidate
Votes
Percent
Joe Biden
1,672,143
49.4%

Donald Trump
1,661,686
49.1%

Jo Jorgensen
51,465
1.5%

Why does it matter?
Arizona last voted Democratic for President in 1996, but the state has become increasingly competitive as the Hispanic share of the electorate has grown. The Democrats managed to gain a number of seats in the 2018 midterms here.
Florida
29 electoral college votes
Est. vote count
100%
Winner called a month ago
Est. vote count
100%
Candidate
Votes
Percent
Donald Trump
5,668,731
51.2%

Joe Biden
5,297,045
47.9%

Jo Jorgensen
70,324
0.6%

Why does it matter?
Florida has voted with the eventual winner in all but one presidential election since 1964. It is also the swing state with the largest population and the most electoral college votes.
Georgia
16 electoral college votes
Est. vote count
100%
Winner called 19 days ago
Est. vote count
100%
Candidate
Votes
Percent
Joe Biden
2,473,633
49.5%

Donald Trump
2,461,854
49.3%

Jo Jorgensen
62,229
1.2%

Why does it matter?
Long a Republican stronghold, southern Georgia has recently become more of a battleground state due to its growing black electorate. In the 2018 governor’s election, Republican Brian Kemp defeated Democrat Stacey Abrams by just 1.4 percentage points.
Michigan
16 electoral college votes
Est. vote count
100%
Winner called a month ago
Est. vote count
100%
Candidate
Votes
Percent
Joe Biden
2,804,040
50.6%

Donald Trump
2,649,852
47.8%

Jo Jorgensen
60,381
1.1%

Why does it matter?
Trump won Michigan by just 0.2 percentage points in 2016 – the narrowest margin of any state. In the six elections prior, the state consistently voted Democratic.
Nevada
6 electoral college votes
Est. vote count
100%
Winner called a month ago
Est. vote count
100%
Candidate
Votes
Percent
Joe Biden
703,486
50.1%

Donald Trump
669,890
47.7%

Jo Jorgensen
14,783
1.1%

Why does it matter?
Nevada’s population has grown rapidly in the past two decades, as has the share of Latino, Black and Asian American voters in the state. In 2016, Hillary Clinton won Nevada by a margin of 2.4 percentage points.
Ohio
18 electoral college votes
Est. vote count
100%
Winner called a month ago
Est. vote count
100%
Candidate
Votes
Percent
Donald Trump
3,154,834
53.3%

Joe Biden
2,679,165
45.3%

Jo Jorgensen
67,569
1.1%

Why does it matter?
Ohio is one of the largest swing states in the midwest, and it has sided with the eventual election winner for decades. Trump won the state by a margin of over eight points in 2016.
Wisconsin
10 electoral college votes
Est. vote count
100%
Winner called a month ago
Est. vote count
100%
Candidate
Votes
Percent
Joe Biden
1,630,866
49.6%

Donald Trump
1,610,184
48.9%

Jo Jorgensen
38,491
1.2%

Why does it matter?
Wisconsin sided with the Democratic candidate in all presidential elections from 1988 through 2012, although sometimes by very narrow margins. In 2016, Trump managed to flip the state despite his underdog status in the polls.
North Carolina
15 electoral college votes
Est. vote count
99%
Winner called 25 days ago
Est. vote count
99%
Candidate
Votes
Percent
Donald Trump
2,758,775
50.1%

Joe Biden
2,684,292
48.7%

Jo Jorgensen
48,678
0.9%

Why does it matter?
Historically Republican-leaning, North Carolina has become increasingly competitive in recent years. The state’s recent voting patterns mirror a national trend towards more polarisation, with cities swinging further towards the Democrats and rural areas towards the Republicans.
Pennsylvania
20 electoral college votes
Est. vote count
99%
Winner called a month ago
Est. vote count
99%
Candidate
Votes
Percent
Joe Biden
3,459,923
50%

Donald Trump
3,378,263
48.8%

Jo Jorgensen
79,397
1.1%

Why does it matter?
Pennsylvania was one of the largest states to swing to Trump in the 2016 election. He won the state by a margin of just 0.7 percentage points, turning it Republican for the first time since 1992.
More key states
Who is controlling Congress?
Americans are also electing members to the two chambers of Congress, the main law-making body of the US. Those chambers are the Senate and the House of Representatives.
Without support in the Senate and the House, the president’s ability to enact key policies is severely limited.
SENATE
Democrats*
48
+1
Republicans
-1
50
33 of 35 races called
* Includes 2 independents
HOUSE
Democrats
222
-9
Republicans
+10
211
433 of 435 races called
Full Senate and House results
How does the election work?
The winner of the election is determined through a system called the electoral college. Each of the 50 states, plus Washington DC, is given a number of electoral college votes, adding up to a total of 538 votes. More populous states get more electoral college votes than smaller ones.
A candidate needs to win 270 electoral college votes (50% plus one) to win the election.
In every state except two – Maine and Nebraska – the candidate that gets the most votes wins all of the state’s electoral college votes.
Due to these rules, a candidate can win the election without getting the most votes at the national level. This happened at the last election, in which Donald Trump won a majority of electoral college votes although more people voted for Hillary Clinton across the US.
How are the results reported?
The election results on this page are reported by the Associated Press (AP). AP “call” the winner in a state when they determine that the trailing candidate has no path to victory. This can happen before 100% of votes in a state have been counted.
Estimates for the total vote in each state are also provided by AP. The numbers update throughout election night, as more data on voter turnout becomes available.
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