in Elections

Absentee Votes Will Help Decide the Winner of the NYC Mayoral Primary

189 Views

The outcome of the New York City mayor’s race will likely come down to the results of the more than 125,000 absentee ballots that still remain to be counted. According to preliminary and unofficial results released Wednesday, Eric Adams leads Kathryn Garcia by about 15,000 votes after all rounds of ranked-choice tabulation.

Strong Election Day Support for Garcia in Districts With Most Absentee Ballots

The areas that cast the most absentee ballots were Manhattan and parts of Brooklyn, where Kathryn Garcia drew stronger support in the Election Day vote tally. More than 125,000 absentee ballots received by the Board of Elections have yet to be counted in the Democratic mayoral primary.





#g-bubble-map-box ,
#g-bubble-map-box .g-artboard {
margin:0 auto;
}
#g-bubble-map-box p {
margin:0;
}
#g-bubble-map-box .g-aiAbs {
position:absolute;
}
#g-bubble-map-box .g-aiImg {
position:absolute;
top:0;
display:block;
width:100% !important;
}
#g-bubble-map-box .g-aiSymbol {
position: absolute;
box-sizing: border-box;
}
#g-bubble-map-box .g-aiPointText p { white-space: nowrap; }
#g-bubble-map-Artboard_2 {
position:relative;
overflow:hidden;
}
#g-bubble-map-Artboard_2 p {
font-family:nyt-franklin,arial,helvetica,sans-serif;
font-weight:500;
line-height:19px;
filter:alpha(opacity=100);
-ms-filter:progid:DXImageTransform.Microsoft.Alpha(Opacity=100);
opacity:1;
letter-spacing:0em;
font-size:15px;
text-align:left;
color:rgb(0,0,0);
text-transform:none;
padding-bottom:0;
padding-top:0;
mix-blend-mode:normal;
font-style:normal;
height:auto;
position:static;
}
#g-bubble-map-Artboard_2 .g-pstyle0 {
line-height:18px;
height:18px;
text-align:center;
top:1.2px;
position:relative;
}
#g-bubble-map-Artboard_2 .g-pstyle1 {
line-height:18px;
height:18px;
text-align:right;
top:1.2px;
position:relative;
}
#g-bubble-map-Artboard_2 .g-pstyle2 {
line-height:18px;
height:18px;
top:1.2px;
position:relative;
}
#g-bubble-map-Artboard_2 .g-pstyle3 {
font-weight:700;
line-height:17px;
height:17px;
letter-spacing:0.06em;
font-size:14px;
text-align:center;
top:1.1px;
position:relative;
}
#g-bubble-map-Artboard_2 .g-pstyle4 {
line-height:17px;
height:17px;
font-size:14px;
text-align:center;
top:1.1px;
position:relative;
}
#g-bubble-map-Artboard_4 {
position:relative;
overflow:hidden;
}
#g-bubble-map-Artboard_4 p {
font-family:nyt-franklin,arial,helvetica,sans-serif;
font-weight:500;
line-height:12px;
filter:alpha(opacity=100);
-ms-filter:progid:DXImageTransform.Microsoft.Alpha(Opacity=100);
opacity:1;
letter-spacing:0em;
font-size:10px;
text-align:left;
color:rgb(0,0,0);
text-transform:none;
padding-bottom:0;
padding-top:0;
mix-blend-mode:normal;
font-style:normal;
height:auto;
position:static;
}
#g-bubble-map-Artboard_4 .g-pstyle0 {
height:12px;
text-align:center;
top:0.8px;
position:relative;
}
#g-bubble-map-Artboard_4 .g-pstyle1 {
font-weight:700;
line-height:11px;
height:11px;
letter-spacing:0.06em;
font-size:9px;
text-align:center;
top:0.7px;
position:relative;
}
#g-bubble-map-Artboard_4 .g-pstyle2 {
line-height:11px;
height:11px;
font-size:9px;
text-align:center;
top:0.7px;
position:relative;
}
#g-bubble-map-Artboard_4 .g-pstyle3 {
height:12px;
text-align:right;
top:0.8px;
position:relative;
}
#g-bubble-map-Artboard_4 .g-pstyle4 {
height:12px;
top:0.8px;
position:relative;
}

Number of absentee ballots

returned in Democratic primary

1,000

5,000

BRONX

12,928 ballots

5,501 absentee ballots were cast in Assembly District 73, which includes parts of Midtown and the Upper East Side. Kathryn Garcia received 42 percent of the Election Day vote here, and Eric Adams received just 12 percent.

MANHATTAN

39,553 ballots

QUEENS

35,436 ballots

BROOKLYN

32,481 ballots

STATEN ISLAND

5,021 ballots

Number of absentee ballots

returned in Democratic primary

BRONX

12,928 ballots

1,000

5,000

In Assembly District 73, which cast the most absentee votes, Kathryn Garcia received 42 percent of the Election Day vote, and Eric Adams received just 12 percent.

MANHATTAN

39,553 ballots

QUEENS

35,436 ballots

BROOKLYN

32,481 ballots

STATEN ISLAND

5,021 ballots






#g-scatter-plot-box ,
#g-scatter-plot-box .g-artboard {
margin:0 auto;
}
#g-scatter-plot-box p {
margin:0;
}
#g-scatter-plot-box .g-aiAbs {
position:absolute;
}
#g-scatter-plot-box .g-aiImg {
position:absolute;
top:0;
display:block;
width:100% !important;
}
#g-scatter-plot-box .g-aiSymbol {
position: absolute;
box-sizing: border-box;
}
#g-scatter-plot-box .g-aiPointText p { white-space: nowrap; }
#g-scatter-plot-Artboard_2 {
position:relative;
overflow:hidden;
}
#g-scatter-plot-Artboard_2 p {
font-family:nyt-franklin,arial,helvetica,sans-serif;
font-weight:500;
line-height:20px;
filter:alpha(opacity=100);
-ms-filter:progid:DXImageTransform.Microsoft.Alpha(Opacity=100);
opacity:1;
letter-spacing:0em;
font-size:16px;
text-align:left;
color:rgb(0,0,0);
text-transform:none;
padding-bottom:0;
padding-top:0;
mix-blend-mode:normal;
font-style:normal;
height:auto;
position:static;
}
#g-scatter-plot-Artboard_2 .g-pstyle0 {
font-weight:700;
line-height:18px;
height:18px;
top:1.3px;
position:relative;
}
#g-scatter-plot-Artboard_2 .g-pstyle1 {
line-height:13px;
height:13px;
font-size:11px;
text-align:right;
text-transform:uppercase;
color:rgb(119,119,119);
top:0.9px;
position:relative;
}
#g-scatter-plot-Artboard_2 .g-pstyle2 {
line-height:13px;
height:13px;
letter-spacing:0.04em;
font-size:11px;
text-align:right;
text-transform:uppercase;
color:rgb(119,119,119);
top:0.9px;
position:relative;
}
#g-scatter-plot-Artboard_2 .g-pstyle3 {
font-weight:700;
line-height:16px;
height:16px;
text-align:center;
top:1.3px;
position:relative;
}
#g-scatter-plot-Artboard_2 .g-pstyle4 {
font-weight:700;
line-height:16px;
height:16px;
text-align:right;
top:1.3px;
position:relative;
}
#g-scatter-plot-Artboard_2 .g-pstyle5 {
line-height:13px;
height:13px;
letter-spacing:0.04em;
font-size:11px;
text-transform:uppercase;
color:rgb(119,119,119);
top:0.9px;
position:relative;
}
#g-scatter-plot-Artboard_2 .g-pstyle6 {
line-height:13px;
height:13px;
letter-spacing:0.04em;
font-size:11px;
text-align:center;
text-transform:uppercase;
color:rgb(119,119,119);
top:0.9px;
position:relative;
}
#g-scatter-plot-Artboard_2 .g-cstyle0 {
font-weight:700;
color:rgb(196,20,75);
}
#g-scatter-plot-Artboard_3 {
position:relative;
overflow:hidden;
}
#g-scatter-plot-Artboard_3 p {
font-family:nyt-franklin,arial,helvetica,sans-serif;
font-weight:500;
line-height:12px;
filter:alpha(opacity=100);
-ms-filter:progid:DXImageTransform.Microsoft.Alpha(Opacity=100);
opacity:1;
letter-spacing:0em;
font-size:10px;
text-align:left;
color:rgb(0,0,0);
text-transform:none;
padding-bottom:0;
padding-top:0;
mix-blend-mode:normal;
font-style:normal;
height:auto;
position:static;
}
#g-scatter-plot-Artboard_3 .g-pstyle0 {
font-weight:700;
height:12px;
font-size:12px;
top:1px;
position:relative;
}
#g-scatter-plot-Artboard_3 .g-pstyle1 {
line-height:10px;
height:10px;
font-size:8px;
text-align:right;
text-transform:uppercase;
color:rgb(119,119,119);
top:0.6px;
position:relative;
}
#g-scatter-plot-Artboard_3 .g-pstyle2 {
line-height:10px;
height:10px;
letter-spacing:0.04em;
font-size:8px;
text-align:right;
text-transform:uppercase;
color:rgb(119,119,119);
top:0.6px;
position:relative;
}
#g-scatter-plot-Artboard_3 .g-pstyle3 {
font-weight:700;
line-height:8px;
height:8px;
text-align:center;
top:0.8px;
position:relative;
}
#g-scatter-plot-Artboard_3 .g-pstyle4 {
font-weight:700;
line-height:8px;
height:8px;
text-align:right;
top:0.8px;
position:relative;
}
#g-scatter-plot-Artboard_3 .g-pstyle5 {
line-height:10px;
height:10px;
letter-spacing:0.04em;
font-size:8px;
text-transform:uppercase;
color:rgb(119,119,119);
top:0.6px;
position:relative;
}
#g-scatter-plot-Artboard_3 .g-cstyle0 {
font-weight:700;
color:rgb(196,20,75);
}

Absentee ballots cast and share of votes by assembly district

Kathryn Garcia drew strong Election Day support from many Manhattan districts that are near Central Park, where many people voted by mail.

5,000

absentee

ballots

4,000

Eric Adams’s strongest districts cast fewer absentee ballots, but he received more Election Day support overall.

3,000

2,000

1,000

Favors Garcia

Favors Adams

Strongest garcia support

Even

Strongest Adams Support

Absentee ballots cast and share of votes

by assembly district

Kathryn Garcia drew strong Election Day support from many Manhattan districts that are near Central Park, where many people voted by mail.

5,000

ballots

Eric Adams’s strongest districts cast fewer absentee ballots, but he received more Election Day support overall.

4,000

3,000

2,000

1,000

Favors Garcia

Favors Adams

Strongest Adams Support

Strongest garcia support


Source: New York City Board of Elections

By Charlie Smart

Ms. Garcia led the in-person vote in the wealthy neighborhoods near Central Park where voters cast the most absentee ballots. She could see a bump in support if her share of the absentee vote there is the same or better than her in-person share.

The districts where Mr. Adams performed best cast fewer absentee ballots. But he led in more districts, and by higher margins, than Ms. Garcia overall. In order to overcome Mr. Adams’s lead, Ms. Garcia would need to outperform her in-person vote share among absentee voters across the city.

In this preliminary release of results, Ms. Garcia edged-out Maya Wiley by fewer than 400 votes in the penultimate round of tabulations. But the bulk of Ms. Wiley’s first-round support came from neighborhoods in Brooklyn and Queens where relatively few absentee votes were cast. She would need stronger absentee support than she received from in-person voting to overtake Ms. Garcia in the final vote count.

Source: Elections - nytimes.com

Tagcloud: absentee votingAdams, Eric LElections, MayorsGarcia, KathrynNew York CityWiley, Maya

Donald Rumsfeld obituary

Altering Our Vision of Voting