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    US Intervention Could Spark Chaos in Iran

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    Iranian protesters may find that they got more than they bargained for if US President Donald Trump acts on his threat to intervene militarily in support of protesters. Mr. Trump’s threat may have emboldened Iranians to continue taking to the streets, assuming that the world’s most powerful leader has their back. Many protesters and some… Continue reading US Intervention Could Spark Chaos in Iran
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      Trump Backs Down From Iran Threats, for Now

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      US President Donald Trump, who is nothing if not direct, had threatened to intervene on behalf of demonstrators calling for the removal of Iran’s ruling theocratic regime. But by mid-week, he decided to hold off. The ostensible reason for his turnabout was the apparent decline in protest activity and the government’s failure to follow through… Continue reading Trump Backs Down From Iran Threats, for Now
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      Iran’s Protest Moment: Four Stakeholders, One Coherent Vision

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      Iran’s latest wave of protests did not begin as a romantic revolution. It started as an economic alarm — a warning flare from the country’s commercial heart, where shopkeepers and bazaar merchants shuttered their doors as the rial plunged to record lows. Within days, a market shock evolved into a national political crisis. The driver… Continue reading Iran’s Protest Moment: Four Stakeholders, One Coherent Vision
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      Why Iran’s Collapse Requires Decisive American and Israeli Intervention

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      January 2026 marks an irrevocable geopolitical shift. The Islamic Republic of Iran faces terminal systemic failure. What began on December 28, 2025, as local economic protests has rapidly escalated into the clerical establishment’s gravest existential threat since the 1979 Islamic Revolution. Unlike past unrest, this uprising demands revolution rather than reform.  The regime’s internal survival… Continue reading Why Iran’s Collapse Requires Decisive American and Israeli Intervention
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      South Yemen’s Near Moment of Independence: Hadramaut, Regional Anxiety and the Saudi Reset

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      Earlier this month, South Yemen came closer to independence than at any point since unification in 1990. A combination of rapid military advances, a constitutional declaration by the Southern Transitional Council (STC) and the collapse of effective government authority across much of the south appeared to set the stage for a decisive break. Yet regional… Continue reading South Yemen’s Near Moment of Independence: Hadramaut, Regional Anxiety and the Saudi Reset
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      What The US’ Syria Envoy Got Wrong About Middle East Governance

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      When US Ambassador to Türkiye and Special Envoy to Syria Tom Barrack declared at the Doha Forum that federalism and decentralization “have never worked” in the Middle East, he was not offering a bold insight. He was repeating a familiar and deeply flawed argument, one that not only misdiagnoses the region’s crises and risks but… Continue reading What The US’ Syria Envoy Got Wrong About Middle East Governance
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      Somalia Must Confront Israeli Neocolonial Exploitation of “Somaliland”

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      This is not merely about “Somaliland”. This is about Africa and the principle that Somalia’s borders cannot be altered without the consent of its people and institutions. Israel’s recognition of the self-declared “Republic of Somaliland” is a neocolonial exploitation project of a complex, deeply divided region in northwestern Somalia. It is a violation of Somalia’s… Continue reading Somalia Must Confront Israeli Neocolonial Exploitation of “Somaliland”
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